Wednesday, August 15, 2018

Impulse Moves in the Currencies / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Rambus_Chartology

For the last several months or so I’ve been showing you that many of the important currencies that make up the US dollar have been breaking down from large 2 1/2 year trading ranges. If you want to know what the US dollar is going to do the first thing you need to do is look at the important currencies that make up the US dollar as the US dollar is just a derivative of those currencies. Most of the time a stock, or in this case the currencies that make up the US dollar are trading within a reversal pattern, consolidation pattern, or are in an impulse move. It’s that impulse move that you want to be aware of and the earlier the better.

Tonight I’m going to update most of the currencies we’ve been following over the last several months because I believe they’re in the process of beginning an important impulse leg down which can have a profound affect on the PM complex and commodities in general. These types of moves don’t come around all that often, but when you begin to see an important setup maturing it’s usually worth the risk to try and take advantage of what the market will give you and impulse moves are what I live for as an intermediate term trader.

Wednesday, August 15, 2018

Best Merlin UK Theme Park Summer Holiday 2018 - Thorpe, Alton Towers, LegoLand or Chessington? / Personal_Finance / Travel & Holidays

By: Anika_Walayat

We are now well into the UK school summer holidays so families are busy planning where to go next, which usually includes trips to Britain's Theme parks where the king of UK attractions is Merlin with it's 32 theme parks spread out across the UK. And so with so much choice many are asking which is Britians' best theme park as this video after multiple visits to Merlin's largest and most popular theme parks i.e. Alton Towers, Thorpe Park, Chessington World of Adventures and of course probably the best known LegoLand Windsor.

Wednesday, August 15, 2018

Controlled Virtual Reality by Algorithms / Politics / Virtual Reality

By: Submissions

The backlash against the high tech mob is so obvious that no sane person can deny that their version of acceptable thinking requires banning Free Speech. The genie is out of the lamp and the only way to prevent these demons from repeating their censorship is to cork the bottle of any product offered by these companies. Utopia for the authoritarian collectivists necessitates that they conjure up twisted and absurd content targets as hate speech in a desperate attempt to rationalize the purging of counter opinions to their orthodox "PC" Communist Manifesto. In essence, the "so called" left has become the model of fascism by and under Silicon Valley's techno plutocrats. Merging Fabian ideals with state/corporatist absolutism produces a deformed corporeality by algorithms in an artificial intelligence society.

Wednesday, August 15, 2018

The Essence of Writing an Essay that Must be Understood / Personal_Finance / Education

By: Submissions

Wednesday, August 15, 2018

Is Solar Energy Rising From The Ashes Again? / Companies / Solar Energy

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Recently, the Solar Energy sector has popped up on our watch-list of potential sectors to pay attention to.  Over the past few weeks, the Solar Energy sector has been under some pricing pressure and has retraced nearly 50% of the previous trend across the sector.  We, the research team at Technical Traders Ltd. understand the Trade War and uncertainty resulting from geopolitical tensions can sometimes create opportunities in the markets for all traders/investors.  We just have to be smart enough to find them end execute them efficiently.

Wednesday, August 15, 2018

A Bullish Bond Argument That Hides in Plain Sight / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: F_F_Wiley

It’s been awhile since I advised anyone to load up on long Treasuries. The bearish bond narrative has been too strong for that, thanks largely to fiscal policy but also to near-4% unemployment rates, quantitative tightening and—maybe most threatening of all—tit-for-tat tariffs.

In fact, I challenge anyone to think of a time during the past two decades when bond bears (read: most mainstream commentators) have possessed a more compelling Powerpoint pack.

But maybe the powerful bear story has become overplayed, maybe it was fully or almost fully priced in by mid-May, when the 10-year Treasury yield reached a six-year high of 3.11%. If so, it might be a good time to revisit the argument that the secular bull is still intact, a time for contrarians to speak up.

Wednesday, August 15, 2018

Saudi Arabia And Iran Reignite The Oil Price War / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

The rivalry between Saudi Arabia and Iran is becoming increasingly evident in the oil pricing policies of the two large Middle Eastern producers. The two countries are currently reigniting the market share and pricing war ahead of the returning U.S. sanctions on Iranian oil.

Saudi Arabia, OPEC's largest producer, has been boosting oil production to offset supply disruptions elsewhere, including the anticipated loss of Iranian oil supply after U.S. sanctions on Tehran return in early November. The Saudis are also cutting their prices to the prized Asian market to lure more customers as they increase supply.

Wednesday, August 15, 2018

Jim Rogers on Gold, Silver, Bitcoin and Blockchain’s “Spectacular Future” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: GoldCore

Jim Rogers, legendary investor and “Adventure Capitalist” speaks with Mark O’Byrne, GoldCore’s Director of Research, in the Goldnomics Podcast (Episode 7).

Are the actions of the US administration making China great again? What currency is going to challenge the US dollar as the global reserve? What can we do to protect ourselves against the next financial crash?

Wednesday, August 15, 2018

A Depressed Economy And A Silver Boom / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Hubert_Moolman

Let’s take a look at silver priced in oil (WTI Crude), the Dow and US dollars:

Above, is silver priced in oil from 1983 to now. Price has moved in a large channel before it broke out at the end of 2014. This is really significant given the length of time involved.

Tuesday, August 14, 2018

Moving Averages Help You Define Market Trend – Here’s How / InvestorEducation / Technical Analysis

By: EWI

This simple moving average "works equally well in commodities, currencies, and stocksquot;

The "moving average" is a technical indicator of market strength which has stood the test of time.

Over 30 years ago, Robert Prechter described this indicator in his essay, "What a Trader Really Needs to be Successful." What he said then remains true today:

...a simple 10-day moving average of the daily advance-decline net, probably the first indicator a stock market technician learns, can be used as a trading tool, if objectively defined rules are created for its use.

So, what is a moving average?

Tuesday, August 14, 2018

Anatomy of Hyperinflation / Economics / Inflation

By: Michael_Pento

Two drones filled with explosives were recently deployed in a failed assassination attempt to take out Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro. Chaos filled the streets as the military ran for their lives. But this sort of pandemonium is commonplace in Venezuela today: Where citizens have run out of basic necessities such as toilet paper and have begun eating their pets in order to stay alive. The mainstream Keynesian-brainwashed media doesn’t talk much about Venezuela or hyperinflation; perhaps because they are viscerally aware that the seeds of intractable inflation on a worldwide basis have already been sown by the global elites--and they don’t want to frighten you.

Venezuela is currently in the throes of hyperinflation on a massive scale. The communist-led government has mismanaged its economy into a fiscal catastrophe. Among other things, skilled farmers were thrown off their land and replaced by government apparatchiks that are untrained and incapable of producing enough food to feed the people. Oil production also waned due to mismanagement and corruption. To smooth over the government’s mounting debt it printed massive amounts of money in response to rising budget deficits. The currency plummeted, and foreign denominated debts were defaulted on.  

Tuesday, August 14, 2018

It's Time for A New Economic Strategy in Turkey / Economics / Turkey

By: Steve_H_Hanke

Since President Tayyip Erdogan has been at the helm, the Turkish lira has tumbled.  Today, it collapsed. At one point, it was down as much as 18.5% against the U.S. dollar.  The chart below traces the ugly course the lira has taken against the greenback under Erdogan’s tutelage.

Tuesday, August 14, 2018

The Federal Reserve: Secretly Sticking It to Americans for Over 100 Years / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: MoneyMetals

In the aftermath of the 2008 Financial Crisis, the private Federal Reserve bank cartel was front and center as a target for public outrage.

Former U.S. Congressman Ron Paul’s "End the Fed" message suddenly resonated. Americans hated Fed officials bailing out the banksters – richly rewarding them for crooked and irresponsible behavior which helped create the crisis.

But years have passed. Americans have been enjoying the expansion stage of the next great bubble. The central planners at the Fed and their colleagues at the nation’s largest banks have been busy stimulating the real estate, equity, and bond markets.

Tuesday, August 14, 2018

Gold Price to Plunge Below $1000 - Key Factors for Gold & Silver Investors / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Briefly: Gold is likely to plunge below $1,000 this year and we’ve been writing about it for months. This article provides a list of critical long-term factors that one should be aware of if they want to invest in or trade gold, silver, and/or mining stocks. We include links to our previous premium analyses and we just made these analyses available to everyone.

But first, a quick short-term update.

There were a few important technical details that took place on Friday that confirmed what we had written previously. The USD Index broke above the rising wedge pattern and the medium-term reverse head-and-shoulders pattern, while silver closed (the daily and weekly close) below its July 2017 lows.

Monday, August 13, 2018

Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast 2018 - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This is the 7th and final part of my stock market in-depth analysis that will conclude in a detailed trend forecast for the whole of the remainder of 2018.

The whole of this analysis and concluding trend forecast was first made available to Patrons who support my work. So to get immediate First Access to ALL of my analysis and future trend forecasts then do consider becoming a Patron by supporting my work for as little as just $3 per month. https://www.patreon.com/Nadeem_Walayat.

Monday, August 13, 2018

Stock Market Downtrend to Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Paul_Rejczak

Stocks were declining on Friday, as investors reacted to the Turkey financial crisis, among other factors. The market reversed lower following global stock markets' rout. Will uptrend reverse or is this just a downward correction before another leg up?

The U.S. stock market indexes lost 0.7-0.8% on Friday, retracing some of their early August advance, as investors reacted to global stock markets' rout. The S&P 500 index broke below its relatively narrow three-day-long trading range following bouncing off the resistance level of around 2,860-2,865. It currently trades 1.4% below the January's 26th record high of 2,872.87. The Dow Jones Industrial Average lost 0.8% and the technology Nasdaq Composite lost 0.7% on Friday.

Monday, August 13, 2018

72% of the Base Interest Rate Rise Already Factored into Mortgage Fixed Rates / Interest-Rates / Mortgages

By: MoneyFacts

Moneyfacts UK Mortgage Trends Treasury Report data, not yet published, highlights that two-year fixed rates were already on the rise before the Bank of England’s announcement earlier this month, with the average two-year fixed rate having risen by 0.18% since January 2018.

Monday, August 13, 2018

More Signs That the Stock Market Will Rally Until 2019 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Troy_Bombardia

The S&P 500 is right under all-time highs. An upside breakout in the next few weeks/months is very likely.

Based on where the Medium-Long Term Model is right now and the rate at which data is progressing, this bull market probably has 1 year left. Over the past week we have seen a few more signs that the stock market will probably make an important top somewhere in mid-2019.

Monday, August 13, 2018

New Stock Market Correction Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – The bull market is continuing with a top expected in the low 3000s.
 
Intermediate trend –  A new correction has started.  More time is needed to determine its extent.
 
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends. 

Monday, August 13, 2018

Turkey Is Simply Noise As The U.S. Market Pulls Back Before Rallying To New Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

Every week the market provides us another example of the intellectual dishonesty in believing the substance of any news event was the “cause” of a market move. And, if you cannot yet see that on your own, I will explain it a bit further below.

While everyone has been so concerned about the evil trade wars that were supposedly going to topple the US markets, we have been rallying in the face of this latest evil. In doing so, the market provided us with yet another reason it was supposed to have tanked, but, instead, continued to rally. We can add this to Brexit, Grexit, terrorist attacks, rising interest rates, North Korea, Trump, cessation of quantitative easing, and the myriad of other reasons the market was supposed to crash and burn over the last 3 years as we have rallied strongly.