Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Friday, January 06, 2017

The Gold Market in 2016 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

How can we summarize the last year in the gold market? First of all, it was a mixed year for gold. The first half of 2016 was excellent for the yellow metal. Actually, the several-month long bull market in gold started in December 2015, when the shiny metal found a bottom at $1,049, after the FOMC historical meeting and the first interest rate hike for almost a decade. From then, the shiny metal made higher highs and higher lows, reaching a peak at $1,366 at the early July in the aftermath of the British referendum on the withdrawal from the EU. Gold was one of the best performing assets that time, and gained about 30 percent, as one can see in the chart below.

Friday, January 06, 2017

Gold Surges Over 30% in GBP In 2016 After Brexit / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: GoldCore

– Gold gains in USD, GBP, EUR, CAD, AUD, NZD, JPY
– Gold gains in CNY, INR & most emerging market currencies
– Gold surges 31.5% in British pounds after Brexit shock
– Gold acted as hedge and safe haven in 2016 … for those who need safe haven
– Further signs of market having bottomed and bodes well for 2017
– What drivers will gold respond to in 2017?
– EU elections and contagion risk, Geo-politics, terrorism, war and cyber war
– Outlook for gold good during Trump Presidency (2017 to 2020)

Friday, January 06, 2017

Gold and Silver Outlook 2017 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: MoneyMetals

Clint Siegner writes: Precious metals had a wild ride in 2016, launching higher in the first half of the year and then falling much of the way back to earth in the second half. Our outlook for 2017 hinges on some of the drivers that figured prominently in last year’s trading. There are also a couple of new wrinkles.

Thursday, January 05, 2017

The Rising U.S. Dollar and the Impact on Commodities / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Donald_W_Dony

The FOMC has raised its benchmark interest rate up for the second time since the recession of 2008 and 2009. And as the U.S. is the only G8 country, over the last eight years, to start increasing its rate, there is little to no competition for the currency.

The impact of a raising currency are many.

On the plus side, it creates higher demand for U.S. Treasuries, lower borrowing costs for the Federal government and foreign demand for U.S. assets (including stocks).

Thursday, January 05, 2017

Gold – Half Cycle Low Due Soon / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Gary_Savage

Gold is 13 days into its daily cycle. At some point soon there will be a dip into a half cycle low. That will be the next opportunity to buy long.

Thursday, January 05, 2017

Now Is the Time to Buy Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: John_Mauldin

John Grandits : The Fed finally raised its target interest rate and issued guidance for 2017. Trump shocked the political world and stocks seem to be making new highs daily. Investor sentiment is at two-year highs, fueled by optimism for renewed economic growth, de-regulation, and tax cuts.

Wednesday, January 04, 2017

Here’s the Real Oil Price Russia Needs to Break Even / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: John_Mauldin

BY JACOB SHAPIRO : We published our 2017 forecast earlier this week. One of our predictions is that Russia is in for a difficult year economically. This is because Russia’s economy depends significantly on oil.

The price of oil in 2016 has averaged roughly $43 a barrel. That’s a far cry from two years ago, when it was more than double. According to Russia’s Federal Customs Service, oil-export revenue accounts for 26 percent of total revenue from Russian exports. For an economy with exports making up almost 30 percent of GDP, that’s fairly significant.

Wednesday, January 04, 2017

The Gold Owner's Guide to 2017 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Michael_J_Kosares

Reversal, resurgence and renewal on the road to the new year

Quietly, while all attention was riveted on the U.S. election, gold made a notable comeback in 2016. The gain was not spectacular at 8.7%, but it was respectable, and it came after three straight down years. (Silver had an even better year with a 15.2% gain.) In addition and perhaps even more importantly, global investment demand registered its fourth largest increase since the 2011 post-crisis peak. That resurgence suggests that down years for gold did not temper the global inclination to own it. To be sure, these numbers in tandem represent an important turnaround for gold and a break from the near-term past. It is also perhaps the first hint that we may have turned the page from the corrective phase of the cycle to resumption of the long-term secular bull market for both gold and silver.

Tuesday, January 03, 2017

Commodities: New Year's Promises Vs. Elliott Wave Patterns / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: EWI

2011, 2014, and 2016: The year's performance has consistently followed its Elliott wave script

It's that time of year again, when before us an entirely new blank slate is laid, which we eagerly fill with promises of better health, habits, and life choices.

But, according to Statisticsbrain.com, only 8% of people successfully carry through with their New Year's resolutions -- or as I like to call them, Maybe-lutions.

Tuesday, January 03, 2017

What IF Gold has a Drop Dead Line? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Rambus_Chartology

In part 2 of this Weekend Report we’ll take an indepth look at gold and especially the long term view. Again, this is just for entertainment purposes only until gold can close below a very important trendline. I’ve been following this potential scenario since shortly after the US elections. Up until the elections this pattern I’m about to show you didn’t show its self, but now it’s one of the most important chart patterns for gold that I’ve posted in several years. As we discussed in part 1 , please read forward with an open mind regardless of what other information you re processing and what your current expectations are. This is an exercise in my preferred method of Technical Analysis , Chartology.

Tuesday, January 03, 2017

The No.1 Silver Stock for 2017 / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017

By: OilPrice_Com

Tuesday, January 03, 2017

Silver Prices and the Russian Connection / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: DeviantInvestor

Silver prices nearly reached $50.00 in April of 2011. They crashed to a low under $14 in December of 2015 and currently (December 2016) sit at about $16.

Silver prices, in our increasingly unreal debt based fiat currency world, streak higher and subsequently crash to unbelievable lows.

Monday, January 02, 2017

Gold: Getting There A Little At A Time / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: John_Rubino

One of life’s hardest-to-learn but most necessary lessons is that things usually take a lot longer to work out than you’d like them to.

That’s where the sayings “Being too early is the same as being wrong” and “The market can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent” come from.

Sunday, January 01, 2017

Gold And Silver 2017 – The Golden Lye / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Michael_Noonan

Lye – [noun] a strongly alkaline solution, esp. of potassium hydroxide, used for washing or cleansing.

There has indeed been an ongoing cleansing in the precious metals market since the spike highs five years ago. Remember, there have been calls for a massive turnaround in prices for both gold and silver since 2013…2014…again, even more so in 2015. 2016 has just freshly passed, and both metals continue to flirt with their lows from a year ago. A few years ago, all the rage was for the man and woman on the street to be buying gold and silver coins, long lines, especially in China, forming for blocks to make purchases for the inevitable rally “sure” to soon follow.

Saturday, December 31, 2016

Gold and the SPX Stocks Bull Market / Commodities / Stock Market 2017

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week at SPX 2264. On Tuesday the market rallied to SPX 2274 in the opening minutes and then started to pullback. The pullback lasted all week, with one 9 point rally along the way, and hit SPX 2234 on Friday before bouncing to end the week at 2239. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 1.0%, and the NDX/NAZ lost 1.5%. Economic reports for the week were slightly positive. On the downtick: pending home sales, the Chicago PMI, plus the trade deficit increased. On the uptick: Case-Shiller, consumer confidence, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims decreased. Next week economic highlights: monthly payrolls, FOMC minutes and the ISMs. Happy New Year!

Saturday, December 31, 2016

Ready for New Year 2017 Massive Rally in Gold and SIlve rand Junior Miners / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017

By: Jeb_Handwerger

The Trump presidential election win has pushed capital into a major risk on rally, benefiting stocks, energy and the US dollar.

Interest rates are soaring in line with the Dow breaking 20k indicating major inflationary pressures.

Commodities such as industrial metals, copper and oil are rallying.

Friday, December 30, 2016

Gold: No Bold Predictions for the New Year / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Kelsey_Williams

I’m not much of a fan when it comes to New Year’s predictions. There seems to be an almost fanatical obsession with ‘fortune telling’ when it comes to the financial markets.  And gold is no exception.

Some twenty years ago when I was advising my financial planning clients to own gold shares as part of a diversified investment portfolio, my focus was more permanent and long-term.  Of course, that is the way I viewed other asset classes as well. There were certainly no ‘predictions’ about performance over the next year or so.  Since I retired in 2005, I have noticed that the time periods which we consider and focus on with respect to analysis and investing –  be it stocks, real estate, etc. –  have become increasingly short-term.  In fact, the financial markets seem to be more characteristic of casino-type activity.  Investing has become speculation.

Friday, December 30, 2016

Gold Surges Above $1,150, Mining Stocks Rocket Higher, Time to Buy the Dip? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Jason_Hamlin

The gold price is showing strength heading into the close of 2016. The gold price has advanced for five straight days and is back above $1,150. The price put in a double bottom around $1,125 during December and the recent really suggests this may have been the bottom. After taking out $1,150, the gold price steadily climbed above $1,160 per ounce today.

Thursday, December 29, 2016

These Commodity Markets Resource Sectors Will Soar in 2017 / Commodities / Resources Investing

By: The_Gold_Report

A perfectly timed opportunity and a deep-value contrarian speculation are setting up in the resource sector, says Lior Gantz, editor of Wealth Research Group.

Thursday, December 29, 2016

Surging US Dollar in 2017 a Catalyst for Gold Bottom / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Gold has suffered recently in the wake of higher real interest rates while the US Dollar, thanks to higher yields has reached a 14-year high. Stronger real rates hurt Gold but so does a stronger US Dollar, which remains the dominant global currency. In addition to falling real interest rates Gold likely needs the US Dollar to approach a major peak. It may sound perverse to gold bugs but the sooner the US Dollar climbs and the stronger it gets, the closer Gold could be to the start of a new bull market.