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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Friday, January 09, 2015

Gold Stocks Turning Up / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Zeal_LLC

The gold miners have seen impressive investor interest in their beaten-down stocks in this young new year, with capital inflows fueling a sharp rally.  And this buying is likely just beginning, as major market changes are afoot that should catapult gold much higher.  With gold stocks trading at fundamentally-absurd price levels relative to prevailing gold prices, this sector’s upside potential is vast and unequalled.

But after the gold miners suffered a miserable couple of years, it sure takes a contrarian to understand that.  The leading gold-stock investment vehicle and metric is Van Eck Global’s Gold Miners ETF, which trades under the symbol GDX.  It is an excellent well-constructed gold-stock benchmark that matches the traditional HUI gold-stock index very well.  So it naturally reflected the extreme carnage ravaging this sector.

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Commodities

Friday, January 09, 2015

Gold and Silver Steady Start for 2015 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Alasdair_Macleod

Gold and silver started the year at a muted point, with gold at $1168 and silver at $15.50, from which modest rallies have developed, with gold up 4% and silver 6%. These rises were against a background of high volatility in equity markets, a strong US dollar and very weak oil prices.

The firmly entrenched bearish opinions in recent months for the outlook for gold and silver have backed off from recent extremes. There is confusion in dealers’ minds, brought about by the threat of deflation and the collapse in oil prices.

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Commodities

Friday, January 09, 2015

The Hoarder, The Miser, The Gold and Silver Investor / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

A subscriber sent me the following note recently:

You know I was driving home tonight and was observing all the cars building etc. I thought maybe I am nuts this can't all stop. Then I also said to myself this is an illusion that massive un-payable debt has created. I hope for all of our sakes the former wins because the latter would be unbearable. Do you honestly believe a collapse war and poverty is truly going to happen? What's the difference even if you have a ton of silver people just would take it. No law cops etc. everything would be vaporized!

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Commodities

Friday, January 09, 2015

Gold Price Shows Increasing Relative Strength Amid US Dollar Strength / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

The current trendy reason for the mainstream to dislike Gold is strength in the US Dollar. On the surface it makes quite a bit of sense. Gold is priced in dollars. Dollar strength automatically pressures the Gold price. However, this popular view reveals a total lack of introspection. Since the end of 2013 Gold is essentially flat (positive by a fraction) while the greenback has gained a whopping 14.9%. Better yet, since Gold’s early November low it has gained 6.0% even while the US$ is up 5.8%. This type of relative strength within the context of an aging bear market may be another sign of a major trend change brewing under the surface.

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Commodities

Friday, January 09, 2015

The Real Cause Of Low Oil Prices: Interview With Arthur Berman / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

With all the conspiracy theories surrounding OPEC's November decision not cut production, is it really not just a case of simple economics? The U.S. shale boom has seen huge hype but the numbers speak for themselves and such overflowing optimism may have been unwarranted. When discussing harsh truths in energy, no sector is in greater need of a reality check than renewable energy.

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Commodities

Friday, January 09, 2015

Why the Paper-Price of Gold and Silver Matters / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Joseph_Russo

Part 1: If you are at all inclined to agree with the largely defensive and reflexive concept that paper-prices (i.e. dollar-values) for all products, commodities, and services are virtually meaningless, you're going to want to read this.

If you are especially quick in holding to the notion that the paper-price valuations of gold and silver simply don't matter, read on - we're going to share some opinions as to why all of these paper-prices do matter.

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Commodities

Thursday, January 08, 2015

Sub $50 Crude Oil - Unbelievable Lack of Trust in the System - Video / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: David_Morgan

If the oil sector unraveled, as it is doing now, what would happen to gold and silver prices? David Morgan of Silver-Investor.com thinks, “Gold, I am pretty sure, would maintain right where it’s at, and that would be the worst case scenario, or it would go up and go up rapidly. Gold and silver may go down temporarily like we saw in 2008, but they will catch a bottom and come up. Silver in a deflationary environment has not done that well in the past. . . . Gold and silver are crisis hedges. People will say I don’t know what is happening. I’m scared. I need something I can trust. You can trust money that has been money for 5,000 years.

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Commodities

Thursday, January 08, 2015

Two Strategies to Profit as Crude Oil Price Drops Below $50 a Barrel / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: DailyGainsLetter

The energy sector was dismal in 2014 and it is looking like we could see more of the same for this year. If you are long on oil, you may want to read this, as oil prices could move lower and there are two strategies you can consider to profit from their drop: put options and futures.

Currently, we have the excessive supply overriding the declining demand as the global economy struggles along. China just announced its gross domestic product (GDP) growth would fall to seven percent this year; however, I think the real figure is likely already below seven percent, as there’s some fudging of the numbers. The eurozone could dwindle into another recession or see flat growth, and Russia is clearly heading for another recession in 2015, as long as President Putin continues to refuse to conform to global demands.

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Commodities

Thursday, January 08, 2015

The Price Of Gold And The Art Of War Part IV / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Darryl_R_Schoon

If you wait by the river long enough, the bodies of your enemies will float by
                           Sun Tzu, The Art of War, 5th century BC

WHITHER GOLD

After theV, bankers could no longer force the price of gold lower by loaning central bank gold and selling it in the open market. In 2001, as demand—and the price of gold—rose, the bankers were forced to flood markets with discounted ‘paper gold’, gold futures, i.e. paper promises of future gold deliveries at lower prices, in order to contain gold’s rising price.

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Commodities

Thursday, January 08, 2015

Energy Players Profit from the Oil Price "Grinch" / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Money_Morning

Dr. Kent Moors writes: Getting started this year took a bit longer than usual.

When I returned home from the Bahamas, I had to hook up an entirely new system of computers and peripherals. To top it off, everything is in a new version of Windows.

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Commodities

Thursday, January 08, 2015

Gold Price Will Likely Go Higher in 2015 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldSilverWorlds

Steen Jakobsen: Things Are About To Take A Different Turn In 2015

This article is based on an interview conducted by Claudio Grass, the Managing Director of Global Gold based in Switzerland, with Mr. Steen Jakobsen. Mr. Jakobsen is the Chief Economist and Chief Investment Officer at Saxo Bank, where he has served for a total of 14 years, including two years where he left to act as Chief Investment officer of Limus Capital. He is a renowned economist and trader with more than 25 years of experience in the fields of proprietary trading and alternative investment. The topics covered in the interview range from monetary policy to business cycles and precious metals. This is the full interview in Q&A format.

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Commodities

Thursday, January 08, 2015

Jim Rogers Gold Price 50% Correction Low During 2015 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Jim Rogers Gold outlook for 2015 according to a recent youtube video is for the gold price to halve from its all time high during 2015, which implies a drop from its April 2011 high of $1923 to $960 as the following extract illustrates -

"We have a lot of people who bought gold in the last 14 years. Gold has not had a proper correction for a long long time and in my view until there is a proper correction Gold cannot make a bottom and start over."

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 07, 2015

Will the January Effect Give Gold and Silver Miners a Bounce? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: The_Gold_Report

The January Effect, the surge that small-cap companies may experience at the beginning of the year, goes back some seven decades. What will 2015 bring? The Gold Report talked to some experts to find out what they are expecting in the early days of the new year and which companies might be in position to take advantage. Most experts were optimistic about a bump, but some had some very interesting ways to profit from it.

Louis James, senior editor of the International Speculator, Casey Investment Alert and Conversations with Casey: We certainly had plenty of tax-loss selling, and I think most investors who know resources see the sector as close to bottom, so, yes, I do expect healthy January buying. I'd differentiate that by commodity, however, as bad economic news could push oil and copper further down, while pushing gold and silver up, and the January effect won't be enough to offset another sharp decline in industrial commodities.

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 07, 2015

Challenging the Mainstream Propaganda / Commodities / Propaganda

By: Nick_Barisheff

Paul Joseph Goebbels was the Minister of Propaganda in Nazi Germany from 1933 to 1945. He once said that if you tell a big enough lie and keep repeating it, people eventually come to believe it.

Today’s governments together with the mainstream media seems to have taken Goebbels’ comment to heart. They omit facts and distort the truth to suit their agenda, while a completely different point of view is presented by highly qualified, intelligent analysts through blogs, websites and Internet articles. This article by Raul Ilargi Meijer gives an excellent overview of the propaganda disseminated by the press today. 

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 07, 2015

One of the Best 'Hard Assets' to Own in 2015 / Commodities / Timber

By: DailyWealth

Dr. David Eifrig writes: To most everyone's surprise, the U.S. dollar continues to surge...

The U.S. Dollar Index has gained nearly 15% in the last six months... an astounding move for a major currency.

While this is great news for the purchasing power of U.S. consumers, it has crushed the value of almost all "hard assets" such as oil and precious metals – which are priced in U.S. dollars.

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 07, 2015

Is 2015 the Year US FED comes to the Aid of Gold and Silver Investors? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Peter_Degraaf

In a moment we will provide our answer to this interesting question. 
The correction in the price of gold and silver is now in its fourth year, and in the words of W. D. Gann:  “When time is up – price will turn.”

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 07, 2015

Top Five Factors Affecting Oil Prices In 2015 / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

As we ring in the New Year, let's take stock of where we are at with the oil markets. 2014 proved to be a momentous one for the oil markets, having seen prices cut in half in just six months.

The big question is what oil prices will do in 2015. Oil prices are unsustainably low right now – many high-cost oil producers and oil-producing regions are currently operating in the red. That may work in the short-term, but over the medium and long-term, companies will be forced out of the market, precipitating a price rise. The big question is when they will rise, and by how much.

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 06, 2015

January Barometer Forecasting Strong Year for Junior Gold Miners in 2015 / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Jeb_Handwerger

There is an old market saying, “As January Goes so too the Year”.  Tensions between Russia and the West continue to push precious metals higher, while the equity markets such as the Dow and S&P500 are crashing.  Gold climbed back above the critical $1200 mark.  Once again the Greek debacle is coming back to haunt markets as investors fear another decline in the Euro.  The Dow was down over 300 points yesterday as investors are beginning to brace for uncertainty from a declining oil price pushed down to punish Putin and his friends.

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 06, 2015

Gold Price / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Ed_Carlson

Gold has gone sideways since late Oct. and at this point the Dec 24 low is pivotal. A close below 1,173.50 will open the door for a return to the Nov low at 1,137. The 89-dma has done a good job of providing support and resistance all year and is now at 1,212. Stay bearish until it is exceeded.

A bull flag (if triggered by a move above the 89-dma) measures a minimum move to 1,300. A five-wave decline from the 2011 high appears to be finished and comes complete with a positive divergence in weekly RSI (chart).  However, a full moon (often seen at turning points in gold) is due today and short-term cycle highs are due near Jan 7 and 13 so any rally early this week will probably be turned back once again.

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Commodities

Tuesday, January 06, 2015

Falling Oil Prices and Gold Market / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

In the last Market Overview we pointed out some signals indicating that recession may be on the U.S. horizon. There is no doubt that a possible outbreak of the crisis would have important implications for the whole global economy, including of course the gold market. Therefore, it is extremely important to analyze gold performance through business cycle.

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