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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 22, 2016

Yellen’s Oversight of the Fed Is Not Producing Monetary Policy but Disbelief / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Jeff_Berwick

The real product of the Fed these days is not monetary policy but disbelief. People can’t believe the amount of speculation, conversation and outright complexity that results in… nothing.

Yellen is basically presiding over the deflation of the Fed’s reputation. Every month more and more credibility leaks away.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 22, 2016

Gutless Fed Bails On A Rate Hike Yet Again.... / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Jack_Steiman

Fed Yellen is gutless and very transparent. She does the same nonsense over and over. She talks about the need to normalize rates and tells us that things are improving economically. We all know that she's not telling the truth and we all know by now that she's a phony. She never had any intention of raising rates, and found the usual excuses she knows will be there for her. Poor numbers as the year moves along on the economic front. She smiled from ear-to-ear when manufacturing stunk. She smiled more when services nosedived, and celebrated when retail sales were a major disappointment. Three beautiful excuses not to raise rates in September.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 22, 2016

Federal Reserve, US Interest Rates - America Needs A Brain / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Barry_M_Ferguson

Like the scarecrow in the ‘Wizard of Oz’, America needs a brain. Otherwise, it will never get out of the corn field.

The Federal Reserve Bank met today and again left interest rates and the fed funds rate as is. No change. But, they said a rate increase before the year is out is still a very real possibility. Ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha, ha!!!!!! These mendacious meddlers of monetary policy are hilarious. Stan Fisher has lost all credibility since he was so adamant a few weeks ago about rate increases. Janet Yellen? A complete joke. The Fed apparently uses the same ‘red line’ that obama uses. Threats and nothing more. They don’t have the guts and they sure don’t have the intellect to know what to do. Of course, we all know if the Fed really wanted to help they would follow the advice of Jim Rodgers. They should all resign immediately and terminate the Fed bank. But that ain’t going to happen.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, September 20, 2016

Global Bond Bubble has Finally Reached its Apogee / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Michael_Pento

Boston Fed President Eric Rosengren recently rattled markets when he warned that low-interest rates were increasing the temperature of the U.S. economy, which now runs the risk of overheating. That sunny opinion was echoed by several other Federal Reserve officials who are trying to portray an economy that is on a solid footing. And thus, prepare investors and consumers for an imminent rise in rates.  But perhaps someone should check the temperatures of those at the Federal Reserve, the idea that this tepid economy is starting to sizzle could not be further from the truth.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, September 19, 2016

Yellen’s Footnote 8 Would Put Interest Rates on Autopilot / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: John_Mauldin

Yellen’s Jackson Hole speech was widely reported, so I’ll spare you the summary.

What wasn’t widely reported was her Footnote 8. Yellen cited approving a mathematical formula that could put interest rates on autopilot. The Fed hasn’t yet followed the rule, but its presence in Yellen’s paper suggests its use is on the table.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 15, 2016

The Fed’s Monetary Monkeying Is Ruining Your Retirement and the Economy / Interest-Rates / Negative Interest Rates

By: John_Mauldin

The Fed’s mission is to maintain a stable inflation rate while spurring employment. Its main tools are the money supply and interest rates.

What is an interest rate? You might describe it as the price of money. Or in investment terms, it’s the price of liquidity. You don’t have cash now, but you expect to have it in the future.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 15, 2016

The Fed Used Jackson Hole to Plan Negative Rates / Interest-Rates / Negative Interest Rates

By: John_Mauldin

Jackson Hole revealed things that did not make it into reports by the mainstream media. Turns out, the academic and philosophical underpinnings were being laid down for a radical expansion of the Federal Reserve’s toolbox.

The unthinkable policy that I’ve been warning about since last May—yes, we’re talking negative rates—was not only discussed at Jackson Hole, it was discussed in a positive, even slavishly approving, manner.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 15, 2016

Unprecedented Global Bond Bubble Threatens Holders of Cash / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: MoneyMetals

As big as previous real estate and stock market bubbles have been, the current global bubble in government debt dwarfs them all. Not only is it far bigger in size and scope (some $60 trillion in sovereign bonds now trade globally); it is also unprecedented in character.
The world has rarely seen a bond bull market that is not only 36 years old, but also shows few signs of ending. And never before in recorded history have interest rates gotten so low across the board.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 14, 2016

The Most Political Fed in History / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Graham_Summers

Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari wants us to believe that the Fed is not a political entity.

Kashkari is either ignoring reality or simply providing cover for the single most political Fed in history. This is not a Left vs. Right issue, this is an establishment vs. legitimate reform issue.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, September 10, 2016

Negative Interest Rates Will Kill Economic Growth / Interest-Rates / Negative Interest Rates

By: Peter_Schiff

For years I have argued that ultra-low interest rates act more as an economic sedative than a stimulant. This idea has elicited laughter from the economic establishment. But it is becoming clearer that rates set by central banks that are far below the levels that free markets would have otherwise determined have dragged the world into the economic mud. The simple proof is currently arising in Europe where negative interest rates are now transforming companies from agents of growth, production, and employment into financial sloths that exist solely to borrow money.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 09, 2016

‘Helicopter Money Coming’ – Exclusive Interview With Top Hedge Fund Manager Tom Conrad / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Jeff_Berwick

TDV: Hello, Tom, thanks for sitting down with us once again. We last talked to you more than a year ago. At the time you predicted a significant stock market crash and only a month later the Dow reflected your position with a huge intra-day crash. There was huge volatility throughout the fall.

Tom Conrad: Yes, and then again in at the beginning of January of 2016.

TDV: It’s not over yet, of course.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 08, 2016

Delusional Mark Carney Claims Success for Bank of England's Worthless BrExit Forecasts / Interest-Rates / BrExit

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Britain's very own Tyrion Lanister, The Master of Coin, migrant banker Mark Carney, Governor of the Bank of England stepped forward Wednesday to claim success both for Banks dire forecasts of economic doom, a technical recession in store for the UK economy should Brexit happen AND now also for subsequent surprisingly strong performance of the UK economy that has seen record numbers across several economic measures such as the Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) for August recording its largest jump in its 25 year history, or that the house price crash of 18% has failed to materialise, or that new car sales have leapt 3% against a year ago which is a sign of consumer confidence.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 07, 2016

How I Got Mark Cuban to Concede That Central Banks Have Cornered the Bond Markets / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Graham_Summers

Mark Cuban just conceded to me that Central Banks have cornered the bond market.

Cuban is a billionaire investor, owner of the Dallas Mavericks, and reality TV star from Shark Tank.

He’s also begun making a series of strange media appearances in which he claims that if Donald Trump wins the US Presidency in November, “I have no doubt in my mind that the market tanks.”

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, September 06, 2016

We’re Reaching Point Zero of Debt Creation / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Harry_Dent

Forty-five years and counting.

We’ve been on a debt spree since the early 1970s when we went off the gold standard, covering every possible angle. Trade deficits, government deficits, unfunded entitlements, private debt – you name it! Our total debt has grown 2.5-times GDP since 1971.

How could economists not see this as a problem? How is this the least bit sustainable?

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, September 06, 2016

Ireland “Especially Exposed” To “International Shocks” – Central Bank / Interest-Rates / Financial Crisis 2016

By: GoldCore

Ireland remains especially exposed to another financial shock because of the extremely high levels of public and private debt, the open nature of the economy, and Brexit, Irish Central Bank Governor Philip Lane has warned in a pre-budget letter to Minister for Finance, Michael Noonan.

“Ireland is especially exposed due to the legacy of high public and private debt levels, the sensitivity of small, highly-open economies to international shocks and Brexit-related vulnerabilities,” Ireland’s Central Bank Governor said.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, September 04, 2016

Negative Interest Rates and the War on Cash (1) / Interest-Rates / War on Cash

By: Raul_I_Meijer

It’s been a while, but Nicole Foss is back at the Automatic Earth -which makes me very happy-, and for good measure, she starts out with a very long article. So long in fact that we have decided to turn it into a 4-part series, if only just to show you that we do care about your health and well-being, as well as your families and social lives. The other 3 parts will follow in the next few days, and at the end we will publish the entire piece in one post.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 02, 2016

30 Year US Treasury Bonds Analysis / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Austin_Galt

We are looking for a final top to the massive bond bull market that began in 1981. While it is possible the final top is in place, I am leaning to one final marginal high before everything goes belly up.

Let’s review the quarterly and weekly charts of the 30 Year US Treasury Bond price.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, August 31, 2016

Green Bond Market Will Continue To Grow / Interest-Rates / Renewable Energy

By: Chris_Vermeulen

If a bond has a negative yield, then the bondholders will lose their money on their investment. In the long run, their expectations are lower and consequently they lose the incentive to invest — which may have far-reaching repercussions.

Green Bonds Are Changing Investor Expectation’s

The rapid growth of the green bond market has sparked interest from many audiences.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, August 31, 2016

Debt Bubble in Ireland and Globally / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2016

By: GoldCore

Mark O’Byrne, Research Director of GoldCore, was interviewed by Max Keiser about the arrival of negative interest rates in Ireland and Germany, the risk of bail-ins, the return of a rental and property bubble in Dublin, the Irish and global debt bubble and why wealthy individuals and institutions are diversifying into gold.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, August 31, 2016

Awareness of Fed Credibility Problems Going Mainstream / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: MoneyMetals

The nation’s pre-eminent central planners just held their annual gathering at an exclusive resort just outside Jackson Hole, Wyoming and discussed how to interfere even more deeply in markets. In a speech entitled “The Federal Reserve’s Monetary Policy Toolkit: Past, Present and Future,” Fed chair Janet Yellen outlined why zero interest rate policy (ZIRP), purchases of toxic mortgage securities, and monetization of Treasury debt just aren’t adequate. Officials must add negative interest rates (NIRP) and purchases of even more sketchy assets to their “toolkit.”

Yellen has spent more than a year floating the idea of negative rates, so it is no surprise she is hustling the ludicrous policy once again. In fact, very little of what she said Friday is new. It was the usual mess of contradictions.

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