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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Thursday, August 04, 2016

Don’t Be So Sure That States Can’t Go Bankrupt / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: John_Mauldin

Our judicial system has a time-tested option for those who can’t pay their debts: bankruptcy. Individuals and businesses use it all the time.

The debtor submits itself to a court, which tries to reach the fairest possible settlement with creditors. It’s messy, but it usually works for the best.

Federal bankruptcy code permits cities, school districts, and other local governments to file bankruptcy.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, August 04, 2016

UK interest Rate PANIC CUT! As Banks Prepare to Steal Customer Deposits / Interest-Rates / UK Interest Rates

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Today is the day when UK interest rates will be cut from 0.5% to probably 0.25%, there lowest levels for over 320 year history of the Bank of England. Which follows over 7 years of rates being held at 0.5% the duration of which has seen virtually ALL economists reveal their true level of ineptitude as they have collectively consistently forecast that UK Interest rates were always just about to head higher, that the start of a series of rate hikes was just months away, which not only never materialised but is now hit with the reality of a RATE CUT! And probably announce an additional QE of at least £50 billion to monetize UK government debt and generate artificial profits for the Bank of England's banking sector brethren.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, August 02, 2016

Beware: Central Bankers are Driving Us into the Dirt / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2016

By: Harry_Dent

One of the major triggers I’ve been warning about is already happening, even before we understand and/or admit that we are in a recession. Zero Hedge just picked up on an article from Jeff Cox at CNBC.

Global corporate debt now sits at a record $51 trillion and is poised to hit $75 trillion by 2020 – just four years away. If interest rates rise and the economy slows, it will be very hard for companies to roll these bonds over – and then we get what S&P Global Ratings is calling “Crexit.”
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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, August 02, 2016

What You Need to Know If You’re Exposed to Muni Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Rodney_Johnson

The housing bust was awful, particularly in Florida and other “sand states.” As the economy slowed, consumers lost their jobs, and when they couldn’t pay their mortgages, they then lost their homes.

Even though that wrenching period happened almost a decade ago, it will live in our memories for years to come. I can recall much of the pain, but also other aspects of the moment. Some people were desperate for the relief that came their way; others were using it as cover to game the system.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, August 02, 2016

The Yield Curve - 3 Big Stories Not Being Covered With Graham Mehl / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Andy_Sutton

It occurred to us as we were laying out the contents of this article that we should probably not assume certain things. This publication has a wide readership, from corporate CEOs to high school students. The former are looking for analysis, the latter to become educated. The topic we are going to tackle in this second installment is a complex one, so some introduction is in order. Therefore, this piece will consist of two parts: an opening introduction, a primer if you will, then the analysis will follow. If you are well-versed in interest rates, bonds, bond yields, and debt, you can probably skip the primer, although we’ve been surprised at the number of people who have subscribed to the misconceptions stated therein.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, August 01, 2016

Central Bankers Fighting An Unprecedented Global Economic Slowdown / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: Gordon_T_Long

The mainstream news sources seem determined to ignore the extent of the global slowdown in trade. Whether exports, imports, industrial production or whatever your preferrred metric, the facts are undeniable. Nevertheless, the mainstream media chooses to refuse to cover it. It begs an obvious question of - why?

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Interest-Rates

Monday, August 01, 2016

Former Fed Chairman May Have Given Japan the Answer to Its Debt Problems / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2016

By: John_Mauldin

Japan just had its national elections. Voters there do not share the anti-establishment fever that grips the rest of the developed world. They gave Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and his allies a solid parliamentary majority. Japanese are either happy with Abenomics or see no better option.

Abe may now have the backing he needs to change Japan’s constitution and its official pacifism policy. This would be less a sign of nationalism than a new economic stimulus tool. Defense spending is expected to more than double. This will give a big boost to Japan’s shipyards, vehicle manufacturing, and electronics industries.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, July 29, 2016

Retirees Are Risking Their Life Savings on Junk Bonds / Interest-Rates / Pensions & Retirement

By: John_Mauldin

Retirees and other investors are reaching farther and farther for yield. They’re piling into all sorts of increasingly risky investments. So, it should come as no surprise that credit spreads are shrinking between what in theory are risk-free investments and other investments.

My friend Danielle DiMartino Booth, formerly at the Dallas Fed, covers a range of topics affected by central-bank policies. I think she is going to be an increasingly visible force in the world of central bank critics.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, July 29, 2016

The Fed Is Preparing for Negative Rates—Here’s the Sign Everyone Missed / Interest-Rates / Negative Interest Rates

By: John_Mauldin

I think it’s possible that the Fed will push rates below zero when the next recession arrives. I explained why a few months ago in my free weekly column, Thoughts from the Frontline, at Mauldin Economics.

In that regard, something important happened recently. And not many people noticed. I’ll do a quick review to explain.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, July 29, 2016

A Cornered Bank of Japan Shocks Markets. Risk Assets Now Under Threat - Video / Interest-Rates / Japanese Interest Rates

By: Mario_Innecco

I just like to talk about the bank of japan they had a policy meeting today
like the equivalent of the FOMC for the Fed the news came out at a quarter to
midnight sorry quarter to midnight yet new york time or quarter to five a.m. london time
so it actually came out yesterday New York and today in London but that's not
the point a lot of people i think the majority of economist in Japan were expecting a big
surprise by the bank of japan in terms of in terms of lowering even more their
negative interest rates and increasing the size of QE bottom as i read here
from news headlines zerohedge for example says bank of japan shocks market shuns government pressure
leaves q we r & rates unchanged questions policy effectiveness
there's more here from investing.com yen jumps after boj easing fall short of
expectation there is a new stimulus package though the government has
announced after the meeting we've seen new stimulus package by the bank of japan and it's includes a
hundred and thirty billion dollars in fiscal measures

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, July 28, 2016

The Fed's Loud Talk Policy / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Peter_Schiff

Theodore Roosevelt's famous mantra "speak softly and carry a big stick" suggested that the United States should seek to avoid creating controversies and expectations through loose or rash pronouncements, but be prepared to act decisively, with the most powerful weaponry, when the time came. More than a century later, the Federal Reserve has stood Teddy's maxim on its head. As far as Janet Yellen and her colleagues at the Fed are concerned, the Fed should speak as loudly, frequently, and as circularly as possible to conceal that they are holding no stick whatsoever.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, July 28, 2016

FOMC Interest Rates and Their Impact on the US Economy / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Charles_Carnevale

To me, interest rates and their future direction seems to be obsessively discussed and debated by many investors.  So much so, that I often get the impression that many investors believe that interest rates coupled with Federal Reserve policy are the primary drivers of our economy.  From my perspective, interest rates and Federal Reserve monetary policy are contributing factors to economic growth and stability.  However, I would stop short of considering them of primary importance.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, July 27, 2016

On the Italian and Eurozone Doomsday Scenario / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Steve_H_Hanke

On June 23rd, the voters in the United Kingdom (UK) turned a collective thumbs-down on the European Union (EU). The Brexit advocates – the ones who had had enough of the EU’s mandates and regulations – won the day. But, this is only the first step on a long and winding exit road. To formally begin its withdrawal from the EU, the UK must trigger Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty, and the new British Prime Minister, Theresa May, won’t do that before the end of 2016. Once triggered, the UK has two years to negotiate its exit from the EU.

The Brexit vote was a surprise that temporarily rocked the markets, sent the pound to a 32 year low, and sent the chattering classes chattering. It also poured fuel on a simmering Italian fire – a fire that could result in an Italian, as well as a Eurozone, doomsday scenario.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, July 27, 2016

Japan's "Helicopter Money" Play: Road to Hyperinflation or Cure Debt Deflation? / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Ellen_Brown

Fifteen years after embarking on its largely ineffective quantitative easing program, Japan appears poised to try the form recommended by Ben Bernanke in his notorious "helicopter money" speech in 2002. The Japanese test case could finally resolve a longstanding dispute between monetarists and money reformers over the economic effects of government-issued money.

When then-Fed Governor Ben Bernanke gave his famous helicopter money speech to the Japanese in 2002, he was talking about something quite different from the quantitative easing they actually got and other central banks later mimicked. Quoting Milton Friedman, he said the government could reverse a deflation simply by printing money and dropping it from helicopters. A gift of free money with no strings attached, it would find its way into the real economy and trigger the demand needed to power productivity and employment.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, July 27, 2016

Are Central Banks Crazy Enough to Think Helicopter Money is the Answer? / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Rodney_Johnson

Central banks around the world have a common problem. They are failures. For the past eight years, central bankers worked tirelessly to generate economic activity. They pushed interest rates below zero and printed trillions of dollars.

And yet, the IMF recently cut its global growth forecast again.

Most economies are stuck in neutral while threats such as the debt crisis in Europe and deflation in Japan keep growing. Now central bankers are talking about a new tool – helicopter cash (free money distributed by a government agency). It won’t work either, but don’t expect that to stop the bankers from trying!

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, July 27, 2016

Consumption and Debt Will Bring Down the System - Video / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2016

By: Mario_Innecco

I like to talk about credit consumption and financial bubbles and also
production which is seems to been forgotten for the last note 20 years or
so especially in the Western countries you know the United States Canada Australia
Europe Japan it seems like the problem - all the solutions in terms of the economy is for
the creation of more credit more leverage more bubbles in order to keep people consuming and creating this
artificial wealth and paying taxes to keep a big bloated government going or
you know creating credit to build Matt weapons you know of war and conflict for
profit and i remember i think it was after the financial crisis and hank.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, July 25, 2016

Japan’s Lemming Central Bank Blindly on the Path Towards Hyperinflation / Interest-Rates / HyperInflation

By: Michael_Pento

The financial world is buzzing about former Fed chairman Ben Bernanke's recent trip to Japan, where he advised Japan's central bank chief Haruhiko Kuroda on how to manage his nation out of multi-decades of stagnant growth. Channeling economist Milton Friedman, Bernanke warned that Japan was vulnerable to perpetual deflation and stagnate growth and that helicopter money--where the government issues non-marketable bonds with no maturity date and the Central Bank buys them with counterfeited credit--was the most useful tool in overcoming this condition.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, July 25, 2016

The Path to Fed-Exit / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Dr_Ron_Paul

I recently proposed that the liberty movement capitalize on Brexit with "Fed-exit": a campaign to "secede" from the Federal Reserve. Fed-exit could be accomplished with a few simple policy changes.

Passing Audit the Fed is a good first step toward Fed-exit. Contrary to the Federal Reserve's propaganda, auditing the Fed will not reduce the Federal Reserve's mythical "independence." It will simply allow Congress and the people to learn the full truth about the Fed's conduct of monetary policy.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, July 21, 2016

Addicted to Debt - We Can’t Borrow from the Future Anymore / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2016

By: John_Mauldin

While everyone was talking about Brexit last month, the Bank for International Settlements released its 86th annual report.

Based in Basel, Switzerland, the BIS functions as a master hub for all the world’s central banks. It settles transactions among central banks and other international organizations. It doesn’t serve private individuals, businesses, or national governments.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, July 21, 2016

The Bank of Central Banks Reveals the Biggest Threat to the Global Financial System / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: John_Mauldin

The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) is in the unique position of serving global economic stability in general… and central banks in particular.

It functions as a master hub for all the world’s central banks. It settles transactions among central banks and other international organizations. It doesn’t serve private individuals, businesses, or national governments

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