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Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Wednesday, November 03, 2010

Fed Anounces $600 Billion QE2 to Buy U.S. Treasury Bonds and Reinvest $250 Billion More / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs expected, the Fed announced a "modest" $600 billion second round of Quantitative Easing. Estimates rated as high as $2 trillion.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, November 03, 2010

What to Expect from the Federal Reserve’s Next Round of Quantitative Easing, QE2 / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJon D. Markman writes: The U.S. Federal Reserve today (Wednesday) is all but certain to announce a second round of quantitative easing - "QE2."

Most analysts believe the Fed will pledge to buy another $500 billion in U.S. Treasuries, but I think it will go even further. My expectation is that $500 billion in Treasury purchases over six months will be just a first step, and that the full amount contemplated - as much as $2 trillion - is much larger than consensus.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, November 03, 2010

Real Bills (loans) are Harmful / Interest-Rates / Fiat Currency

By: Shelby_H_Moore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAnd analogously saving at interest rates, insurance, and all other forms of futures contracts (promises and surety) are harmful.

Someone recently attempted to distill Real Bills, but missed the key essence of the problem with Real Bills:

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, November 03, 2010

Why Quantitative Easing Is Similar to Monopoly / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Jared_Levy

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe second iteration of quantitative easing (QE2) is supposed to make "money easier" -- make it flow from the banks to consumers to businesses, etc. The first round of quantitative easing pumped billions of U.S. dollars into the system, but not much of it made it into my hands, and I'm guessing yours either...

If you have ever played Monopoly and have been "the bank," you get to control all the money that is divided out to each player.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, November 02, 2010

A Refresher Ahead Fed's Announcement of Second Round of Quantitative Easing / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Fed is widely expected to announce the second round of quantitative easing (QE) after the FOMC meeting on November 4. The goal of the policy change is to bring about an increase in real GDP above the tepid 2.0% pace reported for the third quarter such that it eventually makes a dent in the current elevated unemployment rate of 9.6%. The details of QE2 in terms of timing, size, and speed are awaited.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, November 02, 2010

Goldman Sachs 50-Year Bonds Show Why Investors Should Steer Clear of Wall Street / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Hutchinson writes: Last week, Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE: GS) sold $1.3 billion of 50-year bonds with a 6.125% interest rate. The issue was specially designed - with bonds in denominations as low as $25 - so the securities could be sold to small retail investors.

At last, Goldie's done something for the little guy ...

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Interest-Rates

Monday, November 01, 2010

U.S. Treasury Bond Market Stabilises / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market stabilized last week.  Although the economic data schedule was rather busy, trading was more heavily influenced by the Treasury auctions and month end activity as the second tier fundamental news did not offer any major surprises.  While the volatility in the currency markets continued, the chop was more sideways and less directional.  Trading in stocks and bonds had the same directionless character.  The Treasury auctions were somewhat strange during this cycle.  Normally the shorter maturities are relatively well received and the longest tranche can hit some bumps.  Last week the 2 year auction was mediocre, the 5 year was sloppy but the 7 year bonds were very well received on Thursday setting up – as advertised - a seasonal bond rally into month end very nicely.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, October 29, 2010

QE2 Sends U.S. Interest Rates Higher / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Mike_Larson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSo if the latest reporting is to be believed, QE2 is a fait accompli.

The Wall Street Journal on Wednesday said the Federal Reserve plans to purchase “a few hundred billion dollars” worth of Treasuries over a period of “several months.” The Fed will stick largely with Treasury notes, rather than bills or bonds, with the lion’s share of the buying focused on securities with maturities between two and ten years.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, October 29, 2010

Are the German Bund Bulls Finished? / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDuring the Euro zone sovereign debt crisis the Bund was a strong safe-haven trade. This may seem paradoxical given the nature of the crisis: investors were worried about the solvency of several Euro zone governments, but sought shelter from government default in the Euro Bund.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, October 28, 2010

U.S. Treasury Bond Market Developing Disaster / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGreetings investor,

If you have money in mutual funds, Treasury bonds, municipal bonds or high-yield bonds, Robert Prechter has just issued a crystal-clear warning for you: Your money could be at risk.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Interest-Rates

Wednesday, October 27, 2010

PIMCO Bill Gross's Arrogant Endorsement of Fed's QE Policy / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt is not often you see bond managers openly embrace Ponzi schemes, but that is exactly what Bill Gross did in his post Run Turkey, Run.

There’s another important day next week and it rather coincidentally occurs on Wednesday – the day after Election Day – when either the Donkeys or the Elephants will be celebrating a return to power and the continuation of partisan bickering no matter who is in charge. Wednesday is the day when the Fed will announce a renewed commitment to Quantitative Easing – a polite form disguise for “writing checks.” The market will be interested in the amount (perhaps as much as an initial $500 billion) as well as the targeted objective (perhaps a muddied version of “2% inflation or bust!”). The announcement, however, has been well telegraphed and the market’s reaction is likely to be subdued. More important will be the answer to the long-term question of “will it work?” and perhaps its associated twin “will it create a bond market bubble?”

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, October 27, 2010

Quantitative Easing Program Confirmed by Federal Reserve / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: David_Urban

Not content on waiting to reveal to the markets after the conclusion of the November 3rd Federal Reserve meeting, the St. Louis Fed just published an article in the latest Monetary Trends entitled 'Is More QE in Sight?'

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, October 27, 2010

U.S. Treasury Bond Bubble about to POP! / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Claus_Vogt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFinancial history shows that interest rates — and hence bond prices — have risen and fallen in long-term trends spanning decades. The following chart shows the 10-year Treasury since 1953.

As you can see, rates started rising shortly after the recession that ended in May 1954. In the second half of the 1960s this uptrend gathered speed. The market seemed to smell high inflation coming in the 1970s. And by the end of that decade and into 1980/81 rates soared. In fact, they peaked at slightly more than 15 percent — six times higher than the 1954 low!

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, October 27, 2010

Fed Builds Bubble in Junk Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Shedlock

The Fed's misguided policies have not done a thing for small businesses, the unemployment rate, or the real economy in general but they have induced a mad dash for yield in junk bonds, easily in a bubble state right now.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, October 26, 2010

Prechter on The Next Major Disaster Developing for U.S. Treasury Bond Holders / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: EWI

Greetings investor,

If you have money in mutual funds, Treasury bonds, municipal bonds or high-yield bonds, Robert Prechter has just issued a crystal-clear warning for you: Your money could be at risk.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Interest-Rates

Tuesday, October 26, 2010

Bernanke's $4 Trillion Quantitative Easing Dilemma / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBen Bernanke is in a real fix. His quantitative easing (QE) program is designed to boost stock prices, lower bond yields, and weaken the dollar.

But the market has already priced all that in, so when he announces the start of the program on November 3, there's a good chance that things will either stay the same or head in the opposite direction. That's bad for Bernanke. Just imagine if the dollar strengthens just as the Fed chairman begins buying-up Treasuries to push the dollar down. He'll look pretty foolish. But that could happen because the dollar has already slipped nearly 7% since August and is overdue for a rebound.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, October 26, 2010

Quantitative Easing (QE2): Who Gets the Fed’s Printed Money? / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Chris_Ciovacco

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePart 2 of a 6 Part Video Series on Quantitative Easing: In Part 1: Quantitative Easing Targets Asset Prices, Not Bank Reserves, we discussed how Mr. Bernanke’s quantitative easing program is implemented via the Fed’s eighteen primary dealers, not traditional banks.

We do not know the size of the Fed’s program, nor do we know how the markets will react in the short-term. However, one thing we know with near certainty – a large quantity of newly printed money is going to flow from the Fed to the eighteen primary dealers. We also know a significant amount of the electronic greenbacks will flow from the primary dealers into the accounts of their clients.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, October 25, 2010

Is the Fed Sorry It Promised QE2? / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Sy_Harding

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Fed has had stocks and gold spiking up since early September, and the dollar plunging, first on hints that it might consider providing another round of ‘quantitative easing’ if the economic recovery continued to worsen, and then practically promising it’s ready to do so.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, October 23, 2010

So, Who Is Selling U.S. Treasury Bonds? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Sy_Harding

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleQE2 is coming, and it isn’t stocks the Fed buys in large quantities with its quantitative easing. It buys treasury bonds, in an effort to drive long-term interest rates down, which should drive the price of bonds up.

But the bond market hasn’t been as excited about the idea of all that buying as the stock market has been. In fact, just the opposite. Treasury bonds have been tumbling since late August.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, October 21, 2010

Japan Quantitative Easing – A Curious Conundrum / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: David_Urban

As I mentioned in the Week in Review the move last week by the Bank of Japan to cut interest rates and enact a new quantitative easing program along with the lack of moves by Indonesia and Australia coupled with the immediate rally in equity markets looks increasingly like a coordinated global intervention to push up equity prices to help Japan. 

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