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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Friday, September 10, 2010

Making Money from Municipal Waste, Increasing Risk of States Bond Defaults / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Fred_Sheehan

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHarrisburg, Pennsylvania, is defaulting; Half Moon Bay, California, is disincorporating; and the City of Miami, Florida, declared a "state of fiscal urgency," then broke contracts with workers. Yet, Pennsylvania, California, and Florida municipal bond funds managed by Blackrock are trading at or near 52-week highs.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 08, 2010

Investor Shift from U.S. Treasury Bonds and into Gold and Commodities? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Gary_Dorsch

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor the past decade, prices in Japan have been stable or fallen, in an economy where the central bank has pegged its overnight loan rate near zero-percent, and where 10-year bond yields haven’t climbed above 2-percent. Between 1991 and 1995, Tokyo spent $2.1-trillion on public works, in an economy that’s less than half the size of the United States, in order to lift its economy out of a severe downturn caused by the bursting of a real estate and stock market bubble in the early 1990’s.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 08, 2010

Investors Searching for Yield: At Any Cost? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Kieran_Osborne

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn an environment with historically low interest rates, fixed income investors have been pouring money into longer-duration securities, substituting 3 and 6 month T-Bills with 10-year Treasures or bond funds. To an extent, this should not be so surprising: the Federal Reserve’s (the Fed) extraordinary monetary policies have resulted in extremely low yields at the short end of the yield curve. Investors seeking yield have been forced out the yield curve or into increasingly risky investments in an attempt to gain higher investment returns. However, this is not a strategy without risks, both at the individual investor level and for the economy as a whole. Are the Fed’s monetary policies, combined with the government’s decision to issue increasing levels of longer duration debt, having the unintended consequence of stoking the fire for further financial stress?

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, September 07, 2010

I Guarantee You'll Lose Money in The U.S. Treasury Bond "Comfort Trap" / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: DailyWealth

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTom Dyson writes: You'll sleep soundly at night. Your neighbors won't laugh at you. Your pulse won't budge. But if you make this trade, I guarantee you'll lose money...

One year ago, I opened an essay with the paragraph above. Then I showed you why a certain trade was a foolish proposition, even though it appeared to be a "no brainer."

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, September 04, 2010

Quantitative Easing QE2, Debt Created Out of Thin Air, Banking Crisis Worsens / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Bob_Chapman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn a futile attempt to keep the economic and financial system afloat, QE2 is underway. It began in early June as banks changed the rules for awarding loans. Their efforts over the past few months have only met with moderate success. Banks had cut back lending by some 25% over the past 16 months mainly to small and medium-sized companies. In the process the economy slowed down markedly and unemployment shot up to levels not seen since the 1930s. These first attempts to restart a sliding economy have so far not met with success. It was not long after that the real decision makers at the Fed that QE2 was going to be needed. We saw the marshalling of financial and economic forces and the tell tale sign of a stock market moving upward for unexplained reasons. That tipped us to QE2.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 03, 2010

Moving into Bonds: From Frying Pan to Fire / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: David_Galland

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDavid Galland and Kevin Brekke, Casey Research writes: The other day, I came across an article that said, while individuals may be moving their money out of equities, they have been moving into bond funds - and in a big way.

It's called jumping from the frying fan into the fire.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 03, 2010

How to Profit From the “Widow-Maker” Trade, Shorting U.S. Treasury Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKeith Fitz-Gerald writes: Although we're in the midst of a U.S. Treasury bond bubble so big that pundits are calling for investors to short the government paper, resist the urge to jump in with both feet.

Doing so right now is nothing more than a "widow-maker" trade that will test both your patience and your pocket book. And yet, "shorting" the U.S. Treasury bond market is an opportunity you can't afford to pass up - so long as you execute the trade correctly.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 03, 2010

Exhaustion Gap on Yields Chart! / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Brian_Bloom

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSummary: The charts are signalling an important change in market attitudes to risk – and by implication, the Fed’s attitude to risk. If yields are to rise from here it will be because investors in treasury bonds are expecting to incur capital losses. Why would this be? This article comes to the conclusion that we are heading for a period of tight capital markets. If money is tight, credit will be tight. If credit is tight, then, to borrow money will require the borrower to pay higher rates of interest to compensate the lender for his higher level of risk. If credit is tight, consumer demand will, at best, not grow and, at worst, fall. In the former case, we can expect a steady-as-she-goes outcome. In the latter case, the result will be a slow down in economic activity and a so-called “double dip” recession.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 02, 2010

Blowing Bubbles, U.S. Treasury Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Charles_Maley

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCommon sense is the knack of seeing things as they are, and doing things as they ought to be done – C.E. Stowe

The American media is officially obsessed with sensational terminology when describing the financial markets these days. Nothing trends, it either explodes higher or melts down. We have “flash crashes”, a “new normal” and the frightening “double dip”. We also see bubbles about to burst everywhere.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 01, 2010

Government Debt Defaults and Inflation Are the Norm, Not the Exception / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Claus_Vogt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe past 15 years have certainly been exciting for investors. During the second half of the 1990s we experienced one of the largest stock market bubbles of all times … and its bursting. Then, only a few years later, one of the biggest real estate bubbles … and its bursting.

In the aftermath of these events the world stumbled into the most severe economic downturn since the Great Depression of the 1930s. And the banking system came to the brink of a total collapse.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 01, 2010

US Must Displace Global Treasury Bonds Activity / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

Extremely low Treasury rates have been a boon for the Federal Government's bottom line, but they haven't helped attract any global interest in US debt.  Instead, nations around the world are cutting back on their Treasury positions, internalizing the financing of new debts and deficits.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, August 30, 2010

What is Going on in Washington? / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Michael_J_Kosares

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhat if you earned half of what you spent in a month and put the other half on your credit card? What if you did that month after month, year after year until your debt was six times your annual income? Would you consider yourself to be in deep financial trouble?

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Interest-Rates

Monday, August 30, 2010

Bernanke Hallucinating That Printing Money and Buying Bonds Can Save the Economy / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Martin_D_Weiss

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIf Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke honestly believes what he said at Jackson Hole on Friday — that he can save the economy by printing more money and buying more bonds — he’s hallucinating.

Through the first quarter of this year, he printed $1.5 trillion of paper money and promptly bought $1.5 trillion in mortgage bonds, government agency bonds, and Treasury bonds.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, August 30, 2010

It is the FedOnomics, Stupid! / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Submissions

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSeth Barani writes: It was 1913, year when US Federal Reserve Bank was established. Coincidently, the 16th amendment on income taxation was also passed in the same year. America was getting ready to wage wars. Fed was getting ready to print (aka "create") money and supply it in plenty. All done at your cost.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, August 29, 2010

U.S. Treasury Bond Market Rally Hits Bernanke Brick Wall / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Levente_Mady

The bond market continued to power ahead – until Thursday.  On Friday morning the All-mighty Ben Bernanke opened his mouth and the words of wisdom that were emitted have caused great joy and happiness for the risk trade and got the long bond futures to tank 2½ points on the day.  For a day it appears that Ben can walk on water, but I have to wonder how long before the deeply and increasingly disturbing reality will make this mirage disappear. 

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, August 28, 2010

Translation of Bernanke's Jackson Hole Speech / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: Gary_North

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt is far easier to translate Bernanke than Greenspan. Both men had this task: to deceive the public. Greenspan adopted verbal obfuscation as his technique. Bernanke has adopted boredom.

I hope this exercise will help you understand his speech of August 27.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, August 28, 2010

U.S. Fed About to Launch Monetary Shock and Awe / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Mike_Whitney

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe equities markets are in disarray while the bond markets continue to surge. The avalanche of bad news has started to take its toll on investor sentiment. Barry Ritholtz's "The Big Picture" reports that the bears have taken the high-ground and bullishness has dropped to its lowest level since March ‘09 when the market did a quick about-face and began a year-long rally. Could it happen again? No one knows, but the mood has definitely darkened along with the data. There's no talk of green shoots any more, and even the deficit hawks have gone into hibernation. It feels like the calm before the storm, which is why all eyes were on Jackson Hole this morning where Fed chairman Ben Bernanke delivered his verdict on the state of the economy on Friday.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, August 28, 2010

U.S. Fiscal Debt and Monetization are taking the Financial System Down / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Bob_Chapman

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Congressional Budget Office thinks the country faces serious budget problems, as well as serious economic problems, because it estimates that the deficit for 2011 will be $1.066 trillion. In addition it sees fiscal 2010, which ends on September 30th, at $1.34 trillion, or 9% of GDP. Last year was 9.9%.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, August 27, 2010

Gold and Stocks Yield Relationship and Buy Signals / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTime was, stocks were riskier than bonds and should have the higher yield. But then came inflation...

AT THE START of this week, stocks on the Dow Jones, Tokyo Nikkei and FTSE100 in London offered a bigger dividend-yield than you'd earn in interest from their local government bonds.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, August 27, 2010

U.S. Treasury Bond Rally Tiring, Gold Moving Higher / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhat might Bernanke's speech have said or implied that triggered the market response that we have witnessed so far today? How about: Don't fight the Fed...The economy is anemic, and the outlook might be uncertain-to-poor, but the Fed will pump, buy, and do whatever it takes to turn it around. The Fed will keep short rates at ZERO for a long time, and force companies and investors to take risk....

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