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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Friday, November 12, 2010

QE2, They Just Don't Get It / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleNo, I am not talking about the Democratic Party. I am talking about the mainstream commentators on the Federal Reserve's second round of quantitative easing, or QE2. In their defense, perhaps one of the reasons they don't get is because the way the Fed, itself, marketed it. This might suggest that the Fed doesn't really get it either. Firstly, the fact that the Fed announced that QE2 would involve the purchase of Treasury coupon securities rather than Treasury bills implied that one of the goals of QE2 was to bring down the interest rate levels on longer-maturity securities. Why is it so desirable to bring down the yield on longer-maturity securities? Because for decades, economists have clung to the unsubstantiated hypothesis that the interest rates on longer-maturity securities are what "count" in terms of decisions related to private-fixed investment expenditures.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, November 12, 2010

Bernanke QE2 Program Backfiring! Global Money War Intensifying! / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Mike_Larson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe reviews are coming in fast and furious — and they’re downright terrible!

I’m not talking about the latest romantic comedy or action movie. I’m talking about the reviews of the Federal Reserve’s quantitative easing, or “QE2,” program! Get a load of these comments …

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, November 11, 2010

BAC Rallying in Sync with U.S. Treasury Bonds TBT ETF? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The enclosed comparison chart supports my sense that the banks in general, and Bank of America (BAC) in particular, are sensitive to the recent shift in the shape of the yield curve.  In a loose sort of way, the patterns between the ProShares UltraShort 20+ Year Treasury (TBT) and BAC exhibit some pattern similarity. Certainly, the April-August downtrends paralleled closely, which represented a relentless decline in longer-term interest rates (TBT) concurrent with the declining price of BAC.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, November 10, 2010

Bernanke’s Money Printing Monetary Policy Is Doomed! / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Claus_Vogt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLast week Ben Bernanke wrote an article for The Washington Post to justify the Fed’s decision of another round of quantitative easing. Here’s his core argument:

“Easier financial conditions will promote economic growth. For example, lower mortgage rates will make housing more affordable and allow more homeowners to refinance. Lower corporate bond rates will encourage investment.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, November 10, 2010

Foreign Government's No More U.S. Treasury Debt Purchases Would be Bullish for Commodities / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Gary_North

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe familiar slogan of investing is this: "Timing is everything." If true, then Ben Bernanke had a bad week. Calling it a bad week barely does justice to it.

On November 2, the American people went to the polls in the greatest numbers in history for a mid-term election and threw out Democrats in the House of Representatives. If the Senators had all been up for re-election, the Democrats would have lost their majority. It was the largest reversal in the House since 1938, when Roosevelt's Supreme Court-packing scheme led to a huge veto at the polls by Republicans – an event not mentioned in the (universally) pro-Roosevelt history textbooks. The textbooks do admit that Roosevelt knew that he had gone too far. He never mentioned the plan again. It was the only major defeat of his Presidency.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, November 09, 2010

Bond Market Disaster For Treasury, Municipal and High Yield Bond Investors / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleElliott wave analysis can warn you of trend changes when the rest of the investment public least expects a market reversal. With that in mind, we have created a new report for our free Club EWI members: "The Next Major Disaster Developing for Bond Holders."

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, November 09, 2010

Fed Accelerating Cycles of Money Pritning Without Exit Strategy / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Peter_Schiff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhile it's true that history repeats itself, the patterns should always be separated by a generation or two to keep things respectable. Unfortunately, in today's economic world, it seems the cycle can be counted in months.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, November 05, 2010

Beware The Fed Money Printing Tide / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: John_Browne

This week, desperation became palpable at the Fed. In both the formulaic statement that accompanied its FOMC policy decision and Chairman Ben Bernanke's unusual (and clumsy) Washington Post op-ed follow up, the guardians of our currency expressed grave disappointment at the slow pace of US economic recovery and emphasized the continued threat of deflation. The Fed is now pledging to defeat this recession using any monetary means necessary. Unfortunately, their embrace threatens to smother our economy.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, November 05, 2010

Winners and Losers in the Global Money Printing War / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Mike_Larson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere’s a Great Global Money War raging right now — and the U.S. is losing.

That’s the inescapable conclusion I draw from the market action I see on my screens … the headlines coming across the tape … and the actions being taken in the financial capitals around the world.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, November 05, 2010

U.S. Fed Buying $600 Billion in Debt with Debt / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Midas_Letter

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHere is the glaring hole in the United States Federal Reserve’s approach to what it calls stimulus, and what history will one day categorize as fraud: You can’t use your own debt to purchase more debt when you can’t repay the original debt. The crime is compounded when you know you’re never going to repay the debt. It amounts to treason to intentionally destroy the integrity of the nation’s money. The Federal Reserve’s ability to “purchase” U.S. Treasury Bills is completely dependent on the fact that there is no overseer above the Board of Governors of the U.S. Federal Reserve to call an end to such self-destructive, immoral, and just plain criminal behaviour.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, November 05, 2010

Bernanke Dares The World with QE2 Money Printing / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Brady_Willett

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOn November 3, 2010 the Federal Reserve Board announced another round of money printing (aka quantitative easing), and yesterday Chairman Bernanke defended the Fed's actions in the Washington Post. It is unusual for Mr. Bernanke to use the op-ed format to impart the Fed's thought process. This speaks to the fact that while so many are aware of the risks of QE2, so few see the potential benefits. Before some thoughts on QE2, first an overview of Bernanke's commentary.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, November 05, 2010

South Korea, Hong Kong, Brazil, China, Complain about Bernanke's QE Policy / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA parade of countries have expressed grave concerns over the Fed's misguided Quantitative Easing policy.

South Korea Aggressively Considers Curbing Capital Inflows

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, November 04, 2010

Fed QE2, Insanity Prevails Over Common Sense / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Andy_Sutton

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt certainly looks as though once again insanity has prevailed over common sense. In what has become a recurring theme in our world, particularly from a policy standpoint, the Federal Reserve announced another round of government bond purchases, dubbing the effort ‘QE2’. I wonder if QE2 is any relation to R2D2 from the popular Star Wars series? I think a rather strong argument could be made that the little guy has more common sense than the entire board of Fed governors. All jest aside, however, there are rather serious ramifications to this latest round of pumping; especially since there is no reason to believe the results will be any different than the last effort. Banks and the Government will maintain the status quo while Main Street languishes.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, November 04, 2010

QE2 Is Likely to More Successful than QE1 / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOn November 3, the FOMC announced that it would increase the quantity of its outright holdings of securities by a net $600 billion by the end of the second quarter of 2011. Thus, the Fed has re-embarked on a policy of quantitative easing. Its first real "voyage" of quantitative easing, QE1, started at the end of November 2008 and ended in March 2010. The expected (hoped for?) outcome of a quantitative -easing policy is increased nominal demand for goods and services. Under normal circumstances when the commercial banking system is not constrained by actual or expected capital inadequacy, the Fed is able to stimulate the nominal demand for goods and services by lowering its key policy interest rate, the federal funds rate.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, November 04, 2010

The Next Major Disaster Developing for Bond Market Investors / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleElliott wave analysis can warn you of trend changes when the rest of the investment public least expects a market reversal. With that in mind, we have created a new report for our free Club EWI members: "The Next Major Disaster Developing for Bond Holders."

In this free report, you get some of the latest commentary on fixed-income markets adapted from various Elliott Wave International's publications, including 2010 issues of Robert Prechter's monthly Elliott Wave Theorist and its sister publication, The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, November 04, 2010

$600 billion Fed funny money! Big LIE! / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Larry_Edelson

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis is it — the hot news that Wall Street was waiting for with bated breath.

Fed Chief Bernanke’s going to buy another $600 billion in Treasury securities to pump liquidity into the economy.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, November 04, 2010

Reasons Why QE2 Will Fail / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDr. El-Erian, CEO and co-CIO of PIMCO states several reasons why QEII will backfire.

1. The Fed is going it alone, without meaningful structural reforms
2. Emerging economies burdened by capital inflows in the wake of QEII will react with currency wars, protectionism, and capital controls
3. Resultant commodity price increases will increase input costs and reduce earnings of American companies

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, November 03, 2010

Fed Announces QE2 to Make a Dent in the Unemployment Rate / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe FOMC policy statement, as widely expected, indicated the Fed's plan to purchase $600 billion of longer-term Treasury securities by the end of the second quarter of 2011.  At the end of October 2011, the Fed's balance sheet stood at $2.278 trillion, with its holding of securities at $2.039 trillion.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, November 03, 2010

Fed Anounces $600 Billion QE2 to Buy U.S. Treasury Bonds and Reinvest $250 Billion More / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs expected, the Fed announced a "modest" $600 billion second round of Quantitative Easing. Estimates rated as high as $2 trillion.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, November 03, 2010

What to Expect from the Federal Reserve’s Next Round of Quantitative Easing, QE2 / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJon D. Markman writes: The U.S. Federal Reserve today (Wednesday) is all but certain to announce a second round of quantitative easing - "QE2."

Most analysts believe the Fed will pledge to buy another $500 billion in U.S. Treasuries, but I think it will go even further. My expectation is that $500 billion in Treasury purchases over six months will be just a first step, and that the full amount contemplated - as much as $2 trillion - is much larger than consensus.

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