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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Currencies

Tuesday, November 05, 2019

Larger Bullish Move in USD/JPY May Just Be Getting Started / Currencies / Japanese Yen

By: MarketsToday

Summary

  • Once current retracement is complete the USD/JPY has a good chance of exceeding last week’s high.
  • Pair still in early stages of following through on bullish breakout of a large head and shoulders bottom.
  • Upside target zone around $110.51 to $110.70.

Following an upside breakout of a large head and shoulders bottom pattern several weeks ago, the USD/JPY pulled back to test support of the neckline last week. So far, the area of the neckline has held as support around $107.88. Whether it continues to do so remains to be seen.

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 05, 2019

Constructive Action in Gold & Silver Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

In our most recent editorial we concluded by observing a few positives in the gold and silver stocks. W concluded with: “Their performance over the weeks ahead could give us an early hint as to how much longer the correction will last.”

Fast forward another week and a few positives has morphed into a handful of positives. 

First let’s look at GDX. In the chart below we plot GDX and its advance decline (A/D) line.

GDX has essentially corrected for two months and it has yet to test the previous resistance zone at $24 to $25. It has bounced from $26 several times and established good support there. So it’s holding its gains.

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Companies

Tuesday, November 05, 2019

The Boring Industry That Hands +500% Gains / Companies / Sector Analysis

By: Stephen_McBride

Smart hunters prey on the weak.

That may sound heartless, but lions instinctually know not to chase fast, young gazelles. Instead, they run down the old limping gazelle in the back of the pack.

Smart disruptors also target easy prey.

Amazon (AMZN) first went after bookstores like Barnes & Noble and Borders. What could be easier than selling books online? Books are easy and cheap to mail... don’t spoil like food... don’t come in different sizes like clothes... and book buyers rarely demand refunds.

Then there’s Netflix (NFLX). It didn’t challenge mighty Disney (DIS) right away. It went after the limping gazelle known as Blockbuster, a company that hadn’t evolved much in decades.

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Personal_Finance

Tuesday, November 05, 2019

How to Fast Tame New Budgies to Sit on Your Finger - Parakeets Taming & Care / Personal_Finance / Educating Children

By: Anika_Walayat

It's only day 4 and we have already managed to to get our new pet budgie to start sitting on our fingers. So find out how to fast tame your budgie to sit on your finger in our latest Budgie / Parakeet care series video.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 04, 2019

Stock Market Chartology vs Fundamentals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Rambus_Chartology

I’ve been holding off on writing this Weekend Report for the US stock markets until I got just a little more confirmation that the next impulse move higher is underway. Last weeks price action is strongly suggesting that the nearly 2 year consolidation phase is drawing to a close. Lets say I’m seeing some green shoots sprouting up in many different areas of the markets.

Most investors rely on the fundamentals in which to make their trading decisions because that is how its been since the beginning of trading the markets. Fundamentals do have a place in investing in the long term trend but they usually lag at the beginning of a major turn in the markets. Normally when the fundamentals turn up at the bottom of a bear market the price action has already turned up many months in advance. The same thing is also true at tops. Before the fundamentals turn down the smart money has already gotten out while those looking at the fundamentals are left holding the bag.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, November 04, 2019

The Fed’s Policy Is Like Swatting Flies with Nuclear Weapons / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: John_Mauldin

The Federal Open Market Committee had an unscheduled meeting on October 4. That happens occasionally and they often don’t reveal it occurred until the next regular meeting. That would mean Oct. 30, in this case.

But for some reason (and you can bet they had a reason) they decided to announce this one on Oct. 11.

In between, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said in an Oct. 8 speech that the Fed would soon start growing its balance sheet again.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 04, 2019

Stock Market Warning: US Credit Delinquencies To Skyrocket In Q4 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Farm delinquencies skyrocket +24% year over year as global trade issues and the ability to service credit continues to be a problem.  This is a tell-tale sign that the US Fed decreased the Prime Rate recently as a result of broader credit issues related to higher interest rates for corporate and other borrowers.  The last thing the Fed wants is another collapse on the lending markets similar to 2008-09.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 04, 2019

Stock Market Intermediate Topping Process Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – There are no clear signs that the bull market is over.

Intermediate trend –  Most likely building an intermediate top.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends

Daily market analysis of the short-term trend is reserved for subscribers.  If you would like to sign up for a FREE 4-week trial period of daily comments, please let me know at ajg@cybertrails.com

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 04, 2019

Stock Market $SPY Expanded Flat, Déjà Vu All Over Again / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: ElliottWaveForecast

A Flat is one of the corrective structures in the Elliott Wave Theory. It is in our opinion the most dangerous and also less reliable structure. The reason is because a Flat allow analysts and traders to force a bias against the trend. Many times the market fails to reach traders’ correction target. When the market reacts different to the expectation and breaks into new highs or lows, analysts like to call an expanded flat as a way out. This is the last resource to prove they are not wrong in their original forecast. The structure of expanded flat looks like the following chart below:

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Commodities

Monday, November 04, 2019

How To Buy Gold For $3 An Ounce / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: OilPrice_Com

...

 


Companies

Sunday, November 03, 2019

Goldman Sachs (NYSE : GS) Bulls Aiming for Strong Rally / Companies / Company Chart Analysis

By: ElliottWaveForecast

Goldman Sachs (NYSE : GS) is one of the top 5 banks in USA and it’s stock is currently up $25% year-to-date. Last year, GS was on the edge of breaking its bullish trend which was established since 2009 but the  bulls took over on the right time to re-establish the main path.

The stock created a bullish higher high sequence from December 2018 low aiming for a minimum target at equal legs area $239 -$252 which is currently supporting further rally in the coming few months as GS is close to break above July 2019 peak creating another bullish sequence. June & October lows are expected to hold during short term pullback to allow the stock to continue it’s uptrend aiming for a break higher above 2018 peak.

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Currencies

Sunday, November 03, 2019

Is US Dollar Topping? / Currencies / US Dollar

By: ElliottWaveForecast

The Fed’s monetary stance has turned 180 degree this year. Recall last year the Fed talked about shrinking the balance sheet on auto pilot and raising interest rate. The QT (Quantitative Tightening) of $50 billion a month, according to former Fed Chair Janet Yellen, should be boring like watching paint dry. By July this year, the $50 billion monthly rundown has ended. Instead, the Fed embarks in another balance sheet inflation to the tune of 60 billion a month. In mid-September, short term funding in repo market spiked to 10% from 2% overnight. This suggests stress in the financial system as some banks and financial institution can’t find necessary cash in the market. The Fed quickly points out this balance sheet expansion is different than asset purchase from years ago. Below is the chart of the Fed’s balance sheet. It has dropped steadily from 2017 and reverses higher this year.

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Economics

Sunday, November 03, 2019

Lifting the Entitlement Burden Through Increased Infrastructure Spending / Economics / Infrastructure

By: Richard_Mills

On Wednesday the US Federal Reserve cut interest rates for the third time this year, amid continued weak growth both domestically and globally. 

The federal funds rate, the baseline for credit card and mortgage borrowing, dropped 25 basis points and is now between 1.5 and 1.75%.

Fed Chair Jerome Powell says the current interest rate levels are “likely to remain appropriate” (ie. on hold for the time being) to meet the Fed’s goal of 2% inflation.

Chairman Powell has been pressured for months by President Trump to continue slashing interest rates to help goose the American economy and keep North American stock markets on the boil.  

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Commodities

Saturday, November 02, 2019

Silver Trend Forecast 2019 Update / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Silver price soared during August as it played catch up to the Gold bull run, Silver peaking at a high of $ 19.75 early September before like Gold entering into a correction to a low of $16.94 late September and trending weakly higher during October to currently stand at $18.07, a 2 month trend similar to that of the gold price.

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Companies

Saturday, November 02, 2019

The #1 Reason the World’s Most Powerful Stock Is Crashing / Companies / Oil Companies

By: Stephen_McBride

What’s the greatest company in history? 

You could make a strong case for shopping disruptor Amazon (AMZN). Its stock has handed early investors 100,000% gains and counting.

Some will point to phone disruptor Apple (AAPL). It invented the iPhone—the most successful product in history—and was the world’s first trillion-dollar company.

Oil giant ExxonMobil (XOM) has to be in the mix too. While its stock has “only” handed investors 15X their money, Exxon has dominated in energy for half a century.

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Commodities

Saturday, November 02, 2019

Are Precious Metals Beginning Another Rally Attempt? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Recently, the US stock market rallied to new all-time highs which prompted an almost immediate celebration.  A day later, the US stock markets reacted by setting up multiple top rotation patterns.  The next day, a moderate price rally set up after the US Fed decreased rates by 25 basis points.  The next day, the markets sold off dramatically with heavier volume – prompting the metals and the VIX to rally.

We’ve been warning for weeks that the US markets were setting up into a Pennant/Flag formation within a tightening range biased to the upside.  See our index trend analysis signals here. We believe the move in precious metals today may be indicative of a breakout/breakdown move in the markets – near the apex of the pennant formation on the Gold chart, below.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, November 02, 2019

Fed’s Own Forecasts Again Dead Wrong as QE4 Accelerates / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: MoneyMetals

Precious metals markets enter November’s trading with bulls eying a potential year-end rally.

Gold and silver prices did manage to post gains on Wednesday and Thursday after the Federal Reserve announced a quarter point rate cut. But the Fed followed up its move with language suggesting interest rate policy is now on pause.

News Anchor #1: The Federal Reserve cut the benchmark rate by a quarter of a percentage point. It's now at 1.5% to 1.75%. The rate cuts come on a global slowdown; they say. Also muted inflation. Now the Fed does signal in this statement a pause for future rate cuts. The Federal Reserve statement changes the words from “act as appropriate” to “assess.”

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ConsumerWatch

Saturday, November 02, 2019

Amazon Half Price Bargains or Scams? 6Tb WD Blue for Just £74! / ConsumerWatch / Amazon

By: HGR

Are Amazon half price bargains too good to be true? You know, you've seen them an item being sold for a ridiculously low prices, at less than 50% of the price it should be selling at. As I happened upon an WD Blue 6TB Hard Drive selling for just £74, an irresistible bargain! For instance the 5tb drive was selling for £175, and the 4tb for £95. So how the hell can the 6TB be selling for just £74? Is this an example of the bargains that regular browsers can happen upon or is it a SCAM! Find out in my latest money saving amazon shopping video.

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Commodities

Friday, November 01, 2019

Gold Mining Stocks Winter Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019

By: Zeal_LLC

The gold miners’ stocks have surged in 2019, blasting higher after gold’s first bull-market breakout seen in several years.  That powerful summer rally left them really overbought, necessitating a correction to rebalance exuberant sentiment.  That grinding consolidation lower has set them up nicely for their winter rally, this sector’s seasonally-strongest time of the year.  These seasonal tailwinds will amplify their next upleg.

Seasonality is the tendency for prices to exhibit recurring patterns at certain times during the calendar year.  While seasonality doesn’t drive price action, it quantifies annually-repeating behavior driven by sentiment, technicals, and fundamentals.  We humans are creatures of habit and herd, which naturally colors our trading decisions.  The calendar year’s passage affects the timing and intensity of buying and selling.

Gold stocks exhibit strong seasonality because their price action mirrors that of their dominant primary driver, gold.  Gold’s seasonality generally isn’t driven by supply fluctuations like grown commodities see, as its mined supply remains relatively steady year-round.  Instead gold’s major seasonality is demand-driven, with global investment demand varying considerably depending on the time in the calendar year.

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Companies

Friday, November 01, 2019

Tesla Is the Underdog in the Electric Car Revolution / Companies / Electric Cars

By: Stephen_McBride

 If you’re not first… you’re last.

You may recognize this quote from fictional racecar driver Ricky Bobby. But it could easily be straight from a business school lecture.

Many professors preach the importance of “being first” in business.

But I have to tell you… it’s mostly a lie.

Microsoft introduced the first tablet computer in 2000. Apple didn’t unveil the iPad until a decade later.

The iPad has sold 360 million units… while the few “Tablet PCs” Microsoft sold are buried in junkyards.

“Friendster” started the world’s first major social network. Facebook didn’t come along until years later.
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