Thursday, July 18, 2019
Is the Stock Market Rally Floating on Thin Air? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Troy_Bombardia
The stock market went nowhere today. Today’s headlines:
- S&P internal weakness
- Low volume vs. high volume rallies
- Short term, medium term, and long term trend
- Mean reversion
- Consumer discretionary on fire
Go here to understand our fundamentals-driven long term outlook. For reference, here’s the random probability of the U.S. stock market going up on any given day.
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Thursday, July 18, 2019
Biotech Stocks With Near Term Catalysts / Companies / BioTech
By: Joshua_Rodriguez
Medical innovation is an incredible thing. In fact, as we continue to better understand the human body and cutting-edge biotechnology companies continue to produce innovative medicines, the average life expectancy in human beings is growing at a rate of about two months every year.Not only is this innovation in medicine leading to a better quality of life and longer lifespan for countless patients, it is also leading strong investment opportunities. Driven by the fact that there are multiple catalysts along the process of drug development and incredible value once new drugs are approved, investor interest in the field of biotechnology is running high.
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Thursday, July 18, 2019
SPX Consolidating, GBP and CAD Could be in Focus / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019
By: QUANTO
SPX may now be consolidating at 3000 levels for some time. If the market does not selloff aggressively at these levels, then we will melt higher.
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Wednesday, July 17, 2019
UK House Building and Population Growth Analysis / Housing-Market / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Part1 (UK House Building 20 Years Shortfall). The below graph shows the UK annual population change against annual new housing build completions accompanied by annual net migration.
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Wednesday, July 17, 2019
Financial Crisis Stocks Bear Market Is Scary Close / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Everyone knows something bad is brewing not just in tnhe USA but globally within the financial systems. Most countries are bankrupt, and almost all currencies have been losing value for the past year. Everyone is playing the game of musical chairs and getting creative with how they borrow, lend, create, and steal money in hopes the world does not catch on to just how corrupt and bad things really are.
It’s just a matter of time before we see another financial market meltdown and what I show you here today gives you an idea of just how close we could be to a market collapse.
The financial markets rarely repeat the same type of crisis, but most crisis’ cause the stock market to sell off and crash in the same way. Human nature and emotions do not change, and because traders and investors drive the price action of stocks we are able to profit from bear markets.
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Wednesday, July 17, 2019
Want to See What's Next for the US Economy? Try This. / Economics / US Economy
By: EWI
Don't listen to the naysayers -- there IS a way to forecast the general health of the economy. This method has repeatedly proven itself.
Yes, you can anticipate the likelihood of a recession, even a depression -- or, conversely, when major economic measures -- like jobs -- will be robust.
That surefire way is the performance of the stock market.
That's right, despite the widespread belief that the economy drives the stock market, it's the stock market which leads the economy. Why not the other way around? Because the economy is a slow boat.
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Wednesday, July 17, 2019
What to do if You Blow the Trading Account / InvestorEducation / Learn to Trade
By: Sumeet_Manhas
Trading is one of the most lucrative professions in today’s world. Every day the number of an active currency trader is rising at an exponential rate. But still, the success rate is pretty low. The new traders in the United Kingdom don’t even know the associated risks involved in currency trading business. They simply fund their trading account and start trading the market with an average class broker. Eventually, they blow up their trading account and make their financial condition much worse.
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Wednesday, July 17, 2019
Bitcoin Is Far Too Risky for Most Investors / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Robert_Ross
Bitcoin is a polarizing topic. Some economists think Bitcoin’s value should be $0. Others think it’s as revolutionary as the internet.
But one thing is certain: The price of Bitcoin is incredibly volatile. This makes it a non-starter for most income investors.
Fortunately, I’ve zeroed in on a company that actually benefits from Bitcoin’s volatility. It’s a safe and stable way to profit from Bitcoin without exposing yourself to a lot of risk.
But first, let’s take a closer look at Bitcoin’s wild price swings…
Wednesday, July 17, 2019
Core Inflation Rises but Fed Is Going to Cut Rates. Will Gold Gain? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The combination doesn’t feel right. Actually, something stinks – just what is it exactly? Payrolls were strong, while core inflation rose. Nevertheless, the Fed signaled it’s going to cut interest rate. Our shiny yellow friend, can you help us make sense of it all?
Is Really Inflation Muted? Core CPI Rises
The CPI rose 0.1 percent in June, by the same amount as in May, the government said on Thursday. However, the core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, jumped 0.3 percent following a previous increase of 0.1 percent. So, the core rate scored the biggest gain in a year and a half, which suggests that the Fed’s fears about tame inflation might be exaggerated.
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Wednesday, July 17, 2019
Federal Debt Ceiling Reached as Federal Spending Rages / Interest-Rates / US Debt
By: MoneyMetals
The federal government will soon run up against its self-imposed borrowing cap once again.
Current estimates are for the government to max out its credit limit at a little over $22 trillion in early September. Congress goes on recess in August, so there is some pressure to address the cap right now.
Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin has been fulfilling what seems to be the most sacred responsibility of his position: borrowing money. It’s one that each of his predecessors has also undertaken, without fail and without regard to party affiliation, in recent decades.
Wednesday, July 17, 2019
Boost your Trading Results - FREE eBook / Interest-Rates / Learn to Trade
By: Submissions
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Wednesday, July 17, 2019
This Needs To Happen Before Silver Really Takes Off / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019
By: Hubert_Moolman
Significant nominal peaks in the price of silver tend to come after significant nominal peaks in the Dow as well as Dow/Gold ratio peaks. This has been the case for the last 90 years at least. This is mainly due to the special relationship between silver, the stock markets and debt.
These stock market rallies are driven by the expansion of the money supply (debt), causing a big increase in the value of paper assets (including stocks) relative to real assets. When the increase in credit or the money supply has run its course, and is unable to drive paper prices higher; value then flees from paper assets to safe assets such as physical gold and silver, causing massive price increase.
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Wednesday, July 17, 2019
NASDAQ Should Reach 8031 Before Topping / Companies / Tech Stocks
By: Chris_Vermeulen
With earnings data starting to hit the markets and recent news that China’s economic activity levels shrank to levels not seen in nearly 30 years, we believe our proprietary Fibonacci price modeling system is showing us a target level in the NASDAQ (NQ) that will likely be reached within the next 7 to 10 days. We believe once this target level is reached, the US stock market will immediately begin an extended topping formation with sideways price action and increased volatility) which will culminate in our August 19, 2019 setup date for a much deeper price correction.
At this time, traders should start to prepare for this topping event and prepare for price resistance to be found as the NQ nears this 8031 level – only 60 pts away. If you are sitting on a bunch of profitable long trades, our suggestion would be to scale back 50% to 60% of these open positions and prepare for a top setup to begin within 7 to 10 days. The volatility we expect to see over the next 30 days will likely be 2x or 3x current levels.
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Tuesday, July 16, 2019
Elliott Wave Analysis of DUST (Gold Miners Bear 3x Shares ETF) / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019
By: WavePatternTraders
The strong decline over the last few weeks appears to argue for an impulse wave, I suspect it's close to ending a 3rd wave, so an up-down sequence is still favored before it completes 5 waves from the May 2019 high.I favor its very close to seeing a bounce for wave [iv], although I am still expecting to see further weakness for wave [v] thereafter once wave [iv] ends, however, I do think a new high on the GDX needs to be watched, as it too can end wave [iii] of an impulse wave, although in the opposite direction.
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Tuesday, July 16, 2019
This Economy Left Millions of Americans Behind / Politics / Social Issues
By: Patrick_Watson
Remember “No Child Left Behind,” George W. Bush’s education reform plan? Congress passed it in 2001.Whether that law actually helped is subject to debate, but Bush picked a good name for it. Humans are social creatures. Our instincts tell us to make sure no one in our tribe gets “left behind,” economically or otherwise.
That instinct breaks down sometimes. Or we disagree about who belongs in our tribe. It’s a big problem in either case.
Hence, when people say even the poorest Americans live better than their grandparents did, or better than those in other countries, they miss the point.
Past generations and people overseas are the wrong comparison. We get angry when our own group leaves us behind.
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Tuesday, July 16, 2019
US Housing Market Real Terms BUY / SELL Indicator / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This is the latest analysis in my US housing market analysis that concludes in a detailed multi-year trend forecast that covers the following in bold
- Current State
- Momentum Analysis
- US ECONOMY - GDP
- Unemployment
- Inflation
- Producer Prices Index
- Yield Curve
- US Debt
- QE4EVER!
- DEMOGRAPHICS
- US Home Builders Index (XHB)
- US Housing Market Real Terms BUY / SELL Indicator
- US House Prices 2019 to 2021 Trend Forecast Conclusion
- Peering into the Mists of Time
Tuesday, July 16, 2019
Could Trump Really Win the 2020 US Presidential Election? / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020
By: Harry_Dent
I hate politics. I hate that it’s inescapable. What I don’t hate is the investment opportunities the 2020 election will present us.So I hate, and then embrace…
And with the 2020 election fast approaching, we face a major tipping point… economically, politically, historically.
That means NOW is the time to prepare to protect your business endeavors and investments.
NOW is the time to position to profit.
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Tuesday, July 16, 2019
What Would Happen If Venezuela & the Middle East Couldn’t Access Oil? / Politics / Crude Oil
By: Rodney_Johnson
We’re hyper-focused on politics at the moment because, well, Trump. If he weren’t the president, with unshakeable support from one faction while inducing loathing from another, then the 2020 election cycle might be a touch less fanatical. But he is the president, and we’ve got Democratic hopefuls pummeling each other as they move to the left, promising many nw programs with questionable funding sources.It’s as if the laws of supply and demand have been suspended.
Maybe they have when it comes to politics, but back in the real world, supply and demand do matter. And this cold reality could put the energy market in the deep freeze over the next 12 months.
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Tuesday, July 16, 2019
Strong Dollar is good for Small Businesses / Politics / US Dollar
By: BATR
The Trump economy has provided a much needed optimism. While confidence for the future has grown over the meager performance under Obama, the fabric of prosperity has not yet achieved universal reach. Remember that an America First economy thrives on a strong dollar. So it is unfortunate that the establishment is pushing President Trump into favoring an internationalist trading system that hinders a domestic small business economy. The corporatists on Wall Street hate independent business.
In order to combat the export of American jobs, much higher tariffs should be imposed. Raising the value of the U.S. Dollar (Federal Reserve notes) would put an end to the oversea search for the cheapest labor regime. International trade that diminishes domestic output has been the primary cause of destroying our national autonomy. For those who are in denial, admitting this fact is a major threat to their cartel of global interdependency.
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Tuesday, July 16, 2019
Gold Stocks Forming Bullish Consolidation / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2019
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
Gold and gold stocks especially continue to shrug off bits and pieces of bad news.
No escalation in the trade war? The selloff lasted one day and the sector rebounded strongly the following day.
Strong headline jobs number? Again, the weakness was a buying opportunity.
This past week there was more.
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