Wednesday, July 10, 2019

Crude Oil Prices and the 2019 Hurricane Season / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: EWI

In May, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicted a near-normal 2019 hurricane season, which runs from June 1 to November 30.

But, the season got off to an early start with the short-lived sub-tropical storm Andrea on May 20.

Wednesday, July 10, 2019

Can Gold Recover from Friday’s Strong Payrolls Hit? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

And here we go again. Gold slipped below $1,400 per ounce. This is where it fell after stronger-than-expected June Employment Report. How does that key piece of economic data play into the market’s rate cuts expectations? And how does it all impact gold?

June Payrolls Surpass Expectations

The U.S. created 224,000 jobs in June, following a disappointing increase of 72,000 in May (after a downward revision). The number surprised positively, as the economists polled by the MarketWatch forecasted 170,000 created jobs. The gains in hiring last month were widespread, but with a leading role of education and health services (+61,000) and professional and business services (+51,000). Only retail trade and mining cut jobs.

Wednesday, July 10, 2019

Netflix’s Worst Nightmare Has Come True / Companies / Tech Stocks

By: Stephen_McBride

If there were a stock market “hall of fame,” Netflix (NFLX) would be a shoe-in.

Its stock has soared 8,500%+ in the last decade as “streaming” video has caught fire.

Netflix achieved those gains by stealing tens of millions of customers from cable companies. Last year, half of Americans age 22–45 didn’t watch a second of cable TV. And 35 million Americans have dropped cable in the last decade.

But it’s time to come to terms with a sad truth...

Netflix’s glory days are over. And what’s coming next won’t be pleasant if you own Netflix stock.

Wednesday, July 10, 2019

LIMITLESS - Improving Cognitive Function and Fighting Brain Ageing Right Now! / Personal_Finance / Health and Fitness

By: Nadeem_Walayat

We are currently galloping full speed along an exponential curve that unlike the neural nets of the 1990's, that promised a lot but delivered very little, this time it really looks like we are on the verge of AI success, not only that but it heralds changes in every aspect of our lives most of which we cannot even imagine today, hence the term the singularity is often used, the AI event horizon beyond which we cannot see.

My latest analysis in this series focuses on how to profit and capitalise on the unfolding machine intelligence driven mega-trend through investing in leveraged to AI Human Life Extension stocks.

Wednesday, July 10, 2019

The Phony Wealth Effect and Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: The_Gold_Report

Rudi Fronk and Jim Anthony, cofounders of Seabridge Gold, discuss what real wealth is and if financial assets should be considered real wealth. Our contention is that gold is real wealth. Gold is its own final settlement and no one else's liability. What this means is simply that gold stands for itself, it does not depend upon the faith and good credit of any other person or thing...it is universally accepted as final settlement. It has been so for thousands of years.

And in these days of radical central bank policies, gold has no central bank to control its issuance or its value. Its value is determined by those who wish to exchange it for other valuable things. Its issuance is established by the fact that it is rare and difficult to extract.

Wednesday, July 10, 2019

US Dollar Strength Will Drive Markets Higher / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Almost counter to current institutional thinking, the strength in the US Dollar will likely continue to push the US stock market higher over the next few weeks/months and act as a supporting price bias in any event of a short term global/us stock market price collapse.  Many traders/investors fail to understand the capacity of the US Dollar to wreak havoc on foreign markets as well as to act as a support level for US equities and US investments.

The support level near $96 is currently acting as a solid price floor.  Our researchers believe an attempt to breach the $99 level will happen soon and this continued strength will put further pressures on foreign currencies, commodities, metals and trade issues.

Wednesday, July 10, 2019

Government-Pumped Student Loan Bubble Sets Up Next Financial Crisis / Interest-Rates / Student Finances

By: MoneyMetals

Presidential candidates Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren are promising as much as $1.6 trillion in student debt forgiveness for millions of borrowers. Critics smell a cynical campaign ploy to try to buy the youth vote.

How is it either realistic or fair to declare an entire category of debt to be assumed by taxpayers?

Regardless, pie-in-the-sky proposals to cancel student debt shed light on a very down-to-earth problem for not only college students and recent graduates – but also for the economy and financial markets.

Student loans now rank as the second largest category of American consumer debt – bigger than credit cards, bigger than auto loans, and behind only mortgages.

Wednesday, July 10, 2019

Stock Market SPX 3000 Dream is Pushed Away: Pullback of 5-10% is Coming / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: QUANTO

US SPX came in touching distance of 3000 mark. However it again backed off and this time went over 20 handles lower. The lack of conviction at the top is suggestive of a major pullback coming. We think US market could pull back by over 5% in next two months.

The 10-year Treasury note yield TMUBMUSD10Y, -0.68% fell 1.4 basis points to 2.030%, after staging its biggest daily climb in around seven months, while the 30-year bond yield TMUBMUSD30Y, -0.45% slipped by 2.9 basis points to 2.520%. The 2-year note rate TMUBMUSD02Y, -1.26% was up 0.5 basis point to 1.875%, its highest level in around a month. Debt prices move in the opposite direction of yields.

DB Job cut: Tip of iceberg A dark day for Germany’s biggest lender, as Deutsche Bank DB, -6.10% unveiled the biggest restructuring probably of any bank since the aftermath of the 2008 financial crash. The troubled German giant—which once hoped to be Europe’s answer to Wall Street titans like J.P. Morgan or Goldman Sachs—is to reduce head count by 18,000 and call time on a big chunk of its global investment banking ambitions. This earnings season, zero is the number to beat. Expectations couldn’t be much lower, reports Barron’s.

Wednesday, July 10, 2019

July 2019 GBPUSD Market Update and Outlook / Currencies / British Pound

By: Justin_Weinger

Tuesday, July 09, 2019

Gold Price June Upturn Separates 2019 from the Pack / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Michael_J_Kosares

The summer months historically present a buying opportunity in precious metals as illustrated in the charts shown below. In the past, there has been a clear change of direction in sentiment annually from the 185-195 day mark – midway in the year. So far this summer, though, gold has broken with tradition by turning in a strong June, as shown in the third chart.

“Gold trading usually gives pundits, dealers, and investors a break at some point over the summer,” observes Adrian Ash at BullionVault. “But like 2007, 2008, 2009, 2011 and 2016…this year is proving no time to take your eye off the market. And if 2019 is going to see an old skool summer lull in gold trading, it won’t feel much like a discount up at these prices.” With a range of economic and geopolitical issues preying on investor psychology – particularly at the funds and institutions that have fueled the upside this year – the summer of 2019 might go down as one of those years when we bypass the annual slowdown. Last year, gold hit a low of $1178 in mid-August. By December 31st, it was trading at the $1280 mark.

Tuesday, July 09, 2019

Bridging Finance: An Option for Real Estate Business / Housing-Market / Debt & Loans

By: Submissions

If you are involved in real estate, the chances are high that you will be in need of some sort of financing for property development. A structure that is not developed properly will not sell – which is why you have to come up with ways to cover up the gaps.

Most of the time, this type of financing is usually done through borrowing against the property – and in most cases, the form of financing for property development goes under the name of bridging loans. By reading this guide, you will find out how bridge loan works and how it can help you in your real estate business.

Tuesday, July 09, 2019

Stock Market and the Global Debt Crisis To Be Reborn 2020 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

This final portion of our multiple part research post regarding the future of a crisis-like price revaluation event will focus on two components that we want to highlight for every trader, investor, and reader.  It does not matter if you are invested in anything at this point – you need to read this last portion of our research because you need to plan for and prepare for this next event.

On March 31, 2019, we published this research post regarding our cycle analysis predictions and the belief that a major price cycle top would likely form in July 2019.

On June 11, 2019, we updated our research and published this post regarding our belief that current cycle forecasting suggested the top in the market would now be set up for some time in late August or early September 2019.

Tuesday, July 09, 2019

Metformin the World's First Anti-Ageing Life Extension Wonder Drug? / Personal_Finance / Life Extension

By: Nadeem_Walayat

We are currently galloping full speed along an exponential curve that unlike the neural nets of the 1990's, that promised a lot but delivered very little, this time it really looks like we are on the verge of AI success, not only that but it heralds changes in every aspect of our lives most of which we cannot even imagine today, hence the term the singularity is often used, the AI event horizon beyond which we cannot see.

My latest analysis in this series focuses on how to profit and capitalise on the unfolding machine intelligence driven mega-trend through investing in leveraged to AI Human Life Extension stocks.

Tuesday, July 09, 2019

Stock Market Cycle Top and Fearless Vix Signal Turning Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Everything in the world goes through cycles including investors level of fear, and stock prices. In this report, I want to show you how you can identify short-term and longer-term market tops and bottoms using technical analysis that focuses on the most active time cycles in the stock market today.

Before we get into the details here I would like to touch on two myths that you as a trader need to know in terms of average profit per trade and the number of trades needed to be highly profitable. It’s not what you may think.

Myth #1: You Must Always Be In A Trade and Trading You don’t need to trade every week, or need to always be in a position. This is a huge misconception and something that most traders struggle with grasping. The reality is, the fewer the trades you make less likely you are to lose money. For example, over the past 17 months, I have placed 53 trades which works out to only 3 trades a month, not many. With those 53 trades, our entire portfolio is up 74.9%. Ya, a whopping 75% with only a few simple trades a month and if you calculate what the average percent return is then you get a taste of trading reality, which brings us to the topic 2.

Tuesday, July 09, 2019

Stock Market Hype and Hope Ends This Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Graham_Summers

The two biggest catalysts for the stock market rally are over.

Those catalysts were:

1)   The hope of a Fed rate cut.

2)   The hope of a Trade Deal between China and the US.

Regarding #1, the Fed June meeting resulted in no rate cuts. And last week’s jobs numbers greatly reduce the likelihood of a rate cut hitting in July.

Tuesday, July 09, 2019

Bullion Banks’ Manipulation Schemes Put Taxpayers at Risk / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019

By: MoneyMetals

Gold and silver bugs are well aware that JPMorgan Chase dominates precious metals futures trading. Russ and Pam Martens of the financial blog Wall Street on Parade just identified how much control they have.

There are more than 5,300 FDIC insured banks in the U.S. Just two of them, JPMorgan and Citibank, hold 75.7% of all precious metals derivative contracts (primarily futures) in possession of the nation’s banks.

Other major Wall Street banks, including Goldman Sachs and Bank of America, are barely even in the game.

Tuesday, July 09, 2019

Stock Market Preparing for a Backtest / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Submissions

By Ricky Wen : The first week of July went according our plan and expectations as the Emini S&P 500 (ES) fulfilled both the 2975 and 3000 targets. Then, later in the week, the market price hit a high of 3006 with a micro double top and made a temporary top, which is resistance going forward. Price action is likely doing some sort of mean reversion/consolidation setup going forward, until the train can ramp again.

Tuesday, July 09, 2019

Is the Stock Market About to Crash or Soar? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Troy_Bombardia

I’ve noticed an interesting development recently. Traders and investors are mostly split into 2 camps: those who are extremely bullish and think that December 2018 marked a cyclical bottom, and those who are extremely bearish and think that stocks will crash.

I think a middle ground scenario is more likely – this is just a normal rally towards the end of a bull market. A massive breakaway rally that will last years is unlikely, but neither is an imminent crash.

1. Fundamentals (long term): no significant U.S. macro deterioration, but the long term risk:reward doesn’t favor bulls.
2. Technicals (medium term): mostly bullish
3. Technicals (short term): mixed

Monday, July 08, 2019

Slow Down the Ageing Process by Lifting Weights to Increase Lean Muscle Mass / Personal_Finance / Life Extension

By: Nadeem_Walayat

We are currently galloping full speed along an exponential curve that unlike the neural nets of the 1990's, that promised a lot but delivered very little, this time it really looks like we are on the verge of AI success, not only that but it heralds changes in every aspect of our lives most of which we cannot even imagine today, hence the term the singularity is often used, the AI event horizon beyond which we cannot see.

My latest analysis in this series focuses on how to profit and capitalise on the unfolding machine intelligence driven mega-trend through investing in leveraged to AI Human Life Extension stocks.

• Intro & Humanities Quest for Immortality
• Extending Telomeres
• Slowing Down the Ageing Process - Strength Training
• Slowing Down the Ageing Process - Metformin
• LIMITLESS - Improving Cognitive Function and Fighting Brain Ageing Right Now!
• Investing in Life Extending Pharma Stocks
• Stock 1 - Primary
• Stock 2 - Tertiary
• Stock 3 - Tertiary
• Stock 4 - ETF
• AI Stocks Investing Portfolio Update

Monday, July 08, 2019

Is the Global Debt Crisis About to be Reborn in 2020? - PART II / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

There are some key elements of political and economic Super-Cycles that all traders must stay aware of listed below. But if you have not yet read PART I do so now.

_  Very often, 12+ months before a major US political election cycle, the US stock market typically enters a Bearish trend phase that lasts until 8+ month before the actual election date.

_   The Transportation Index has not recovered to levels from the September 2018 peak.  This lower price rotation in the Transportation Index suggests the global economy is not expecting growth in the near future.