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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 09, 2019

Stock Market Cycle Top and Fearless Vix Signal Turning Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Everything in the world goes through cycles including investors level of fear, and stock prices. In this report, I want to show you how you can identify short-term and longer-term market tops and bottoms using technical analysis that focuses on the most active time cycles in the stock market today.

Before we get into the details here I would like to touch on two myths that you as a trader need to know in terms of average profit per trade and the number of trades needed to be highly profitable. It’s not what you may think.

Myth #1: You Must Always Be In A Trade and Trading You don’t need to trade every week, or need to always be in a position. This is a huge misconception and something that most traders struggle with grasping. The reality is, the fewer the trades you make less likely you are to lose money. For example, over the past 17 months, I have placed 53 trades which works out to only 3 trades a month, not many. With those 53 trades, our entire portfolio is up 74.9%. Ya, a whopping 75% with only a few simple trades a month and if you calculate what the average percent return is then you get a taste of trading reality, which brings us to the topic 2.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 09, 2019

Stock Market Hype and Hope Ends This Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Graham_Summers

The two biggest catalysts for the stock market rally are over.

Those catalysts were:

1)   The hope of a Fed rate cut.

2)   The hope of a Trade Deal between China and the US.

Regarding #1, the Fed June meeting resulted in no rate cuts. And last week’s jobs numbers greatly reduce the likelihood of a rate cut hitting in July.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 09, 2019

Bullion Banks’ Manipulation Schemes Put Taxpayers at Risk / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019

By: MoneyMetals

Gold and silver bugs are well aware that JPMorgan Chase dominates precious metals futures trading. Russ and Pam Martens of the financial blog Wall Street on Parade just identified how much control they have.

There are more than 5,300 FDIC insured banks in the U.S. Just two of them, JPMorgan and Citibank, hold 75.7% of all precious metals derivative contracts (primarily futures) in possession of the nation’s banks.

Other major Wall Street banks, including Goldman Sachs and Bank of America, are barely even in the game.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 09, 2019

Stock Market Preparing for a Backtest / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Submissions

By Ricky Wen : The first week of July went according our plan and expectations as the Emini S&P 500 (ES) fulfilled both the 2975 and 3000 targets. Then, later in the week, the market price hit a high of 3006 with a micro double top and made a temporary top, which is resistance going forward. Price action is likely doing some sort of mean reversion/consolidation setup going forward, until the train can ramp again.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 09, 2019

Is the Stock Market About to Crash or Soar? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Troy_Bombardia

I’ve noticed an interesting development recently. Traders and investors are mostly split into 2 camps: those who are extremely bullish and think that December 2018 marked a cyclical bottom, and those who are extremely bearish and think that stocks will crash.

I think a middle ground scenario is more likely – this is just a normal rally towards the end of a bull market. A massive breakaway rally that will last years is unlikely, but neither is an imminent crash.

  1. Fundamentals (long term): no significant U.S. macro deterioration, but the long term risk:reward doesn’t favor bulls.
  2. Technicals (medium term): mostly bullish
  3. Technicals (short term): mixed
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Personal_Finance

Monday, July 08, 2019

Slow Down the Ageing Process by Lifting Weights to Increase Lean Muscle Mass / Personal_Finance / Life Extension

By: Nadeem_Walayat

We are currently galloping full speed along an exponential curve that unlike the neural nets of the 1990's, that promised a lot but delivered very little, this time it really looks like we are on the verge of AI success, not only that but it heralds changes in every aspect of our lives most of which we cannot even imagine today, hence the term the singularity is often used, the AI event horizon beyond which we cannot see.

My latest analysis in this series focuses on how to profit and capitalise on the unfolding machine intelligence driven mega-trend through investing in leveraged to AI Human Life Extension stocks.

  • Intro & Humanities Quest for Immortality
  • Extending Telomeres
  • Slowing Down the Ageing Process - Strength Training
  • Slowing Down the Ageing Process - Metformin
  • LIMITLESS - Improving Cognitive Function and Fighting Brain Ageing Right Now!
  • Investing in Life Extending Pharma Stocks
  • Stock 1 - Primary
  • Stock 2 - Tertiary
  • Stock 3 - Tertiary
  • Stock 4 - ETF
  • AI Stocks Investing Portfolio Update
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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 08, 2019

Is the Global Debt Crisis About to be Reborn in 2020? - PART II / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

There are some key elements of political and economic Super-Cycles that all traders must stay aware of listed below. But if you have not yet read PART I do so now.

_  Very often, 12+ months before a major US political election cycle, the US stock market typically enters a Bearish trend phase that lasts until 8+ month before the actual election date.

_   The Transportation Index has not recovered to levels from the September 2018 peak.  This lower price rotation in the Transportation Index suggests the global economy is not expecting growth in the near future.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 08, 2019

Stock Market Minor Cycles Peaking / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – Finallong-term phase on the way?  How much longer, is the question.

Intermediate trend –  The intermediate-term correction continues  to unfold.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 08, 2019

Kospi Stock Index Long Term Cycles Remain Bullish / Stock-Markets / South Korea

By: ElliottWaveForecast

The KOSPI Index in the long term has been trending higher with other world indices since inception in 1983. The index began with a base value set at 100 and trended higher until it ended that cycle in 1994. The index then corrected that cycle with the dip into 1998 lows during the Asian Financial Crisis. That is where the monthly chart pictured below begins. From the 1998 lows the index did three bullish swings higher into the November 2007 highs. The pullback from there until October 2008 was strong enough to suggest it was correcting the whole cycle up from the June 1998 lows.

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Economics

Monday, July 08, 2019

Slowing Western economies will force new QE: Trading Setups and Deep analysis / Economics / Global Economy

By: QUANTO

The world is slowing down dramatically. At the same time, the largest economy is hurtling towards an election. Al governments who go to election will try to massage the numbers and pump the stock markets. So while the economy slows, the governmment is buzy pumping markets higher with his tweets.

The slowing down economy can be seen in numerous metrics and we believe central banks will be forced to begin a new round of QE. This time they will need to face up to inflation even as they pump in money.

Key metrics and charts shown below.

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Commodities

Monday, July 08, 2019

Gold - Silver Ratio / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The Gold-Silver ratio is trading at an historic extreme of 90.31, at a level not seen for over 25 years. In comparison the historic average is 50 which on the current Gold price of $1330 would have the Silver price trading at $26.60. Which just goes to show how much of a coiled spring Silver tends to be as it eventually tends to swing sharply in the other direction at mania peaks.

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ElectionOracle

Monday, July 08, 2019

Why Trump Will Easily Win In 2020 / ElectionOracle / US Presidential Election 2020

By: Raul_I_Meijer

July 7 2019, just another tequila Sunday. There are elections here in Greece, and the right wing will take over. Bad idea, because it will bring out the left wing resistance that have remained subdued while Syriza reneged on all their promises, but they were left wing, and how does left protesting left work exactly? They didn’t know. Better lay low. No more.

From now on in, it’s women and children first. And there are so many pent up grievances. Youth unemployment is still at 40%. While ever more Greeks are evicted from their homes through Airbnb alone. This ain’t gonna go well. That strong economy the right promises will be there exclusively for their own richer supporters, at the ever-increasing cost of the poor.

The US women’s soccer team just became World Champions again. That’s the last time in a very long time. Because traditional soccer countries now also have women’s teams. There’s a very peculiar division at the bottom of this. In Europe and South America and Africa, soccer is a men’s game.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 08, 2019

Huge Gap between US Markets and International Trade / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Dan_Steinbock

Globalization is not a concern to the Trump administration, which seeks to sustain high market valuations that are not supported by the fundamentals. As a result, a global recession in 2020 would not be the worst scenario.

Since the mid-1980s, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) has been used as a barometer of international commodity trade. It is also seen as an economic indicator of future economic growth and production.

During the years of globalization, the Index heralded the peak of the oil prices and soared to a record high in May 2008 reaching 11,793 points. But as the financial crisis spread in the advanced West, the BDI plunged by 94% to 663 points, the lowest since 1986. That’s when marine shippers were moving dangerously close to the combined operating costs of vessels, fuel, and crews.
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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 08, 2019

Is The Debt Crisis About To Be Reborn In 2020? / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2020

By: Chris_Vermeulen

We have been focused on the upside price move in Gold and Precious Metals, we’ve been engaged in multiple private conversations with members and friends about the potential for a renewed debt crisis between now and the end of 2020. 

This research post should help to put some perspective into what we believe the next 16+ months of trading and what the US economy should look like for our followers.

First, we want to talk about one of our most favorite topics of the past 24+ months – the “capital shift” phenomenon.  We first identified this facet of global economic dynamics back in 2015 or so. 

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 08, 2019

Warning Stock Market May Go Off the Cliff, Stagflation Like Never Before / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: MoneyMetals

Welcome to this week’s Market Wrap Podcast, I’m Mike Gleason.

Coming up Michael Pento of Pento Portfolio Strategies joins me for a tremendous interview on what he sees as pending doom in the stock market and why he believes we’re in for a bout of stagflation that will make the 1970s look like a walk in the park. He also makes a compelling case for gold during an interest rate environment that he believes will soon be turning profoundly negative in real terms. So don’t miss a must-hear interview with Michael Pento, coming up after this week’s market update.

Following yesterday’s Independence Day celebrations, perhaps more Americans will wake up to the need to declare their independence from the financial system. One of the best ways to do that is by shifting dollar-denominated wealth from bank and brokerage accounts into physical precious metals.

Although the public isn’t yet clamoring in huge numbers to buy bullion, we have seen some encouraging price action of late in metals markets. The main fireworks have been in gold – rising to a multi-year high – and palladium.

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Commodities

Sunday, July 07, 2019

Record-Long Economic Expansion and Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2019

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

Ladies and Gentlemen, it has finally happened! The current expansion already goes on for 121 months, becoming the longest economic boom in the US history. Should we celebrate now? Or should we worry, as all good things come to an end, and whatever lasts long, ends up even faster? We invite you to read our today’s article, which assesses the vitality of the current expansion, and find out whether the U.S. economy in a good shape or on the edge of collapse, and what all of this implies for the gold market.

Ladies and Gentlemen, it has finally happened! The current expansion already goes on for 121 months, which means that the previous record of 120 months is now history. Thus, it has become the longest economic boom in the U.S. history. Should we celebrate now? Or should we worry, as all good things come to an end, and whatever lasts long, ends up even faster? Is the U.S. economy in a good shape or on the edge of collapse? Let’s make an assessment!

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, July 07, 2019

Stock Markets Don’t Care About the News, Nasdaq 10,000? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Harry_Dent

Markets popped higher this morning after a weekend of good news: The Donald and Xi Jinping have agreed to a temporary truce in the U.S.-China trade war. The Donald has eased trade restrictions on Huawei. And The Donald made nice with North Korea.

On Friday, I explained that markets were at that critical point where they could either roll over and die or zoom to the moon. Today’s market action shows we’re clearly following the Dark Window that I forecast back in January already. I hope you’re taking advantage of it.

I first mentioned the Dark Window opportunity in January. While I’ve updated you on the market’s progress along this scenario many times since then, it’s been a long time since I spelled out my forecast. So, in light of today’s market madness, let’s take a trip down memory lane and re-read an email I sent you on January 9th.

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Companies

Sunday, July 07, 2019

APPLE Stock Investing to Profit from AI Machine Learning Mega-trend - Video / Companies / Apple

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Are you ready for the exponential machine intelligence mega-trend?

In this series of videos I present my Top 10 AI stocks to invest in to profit from the exponential machine intelligence mega-trend.

My Top 10 AI stocks are ranked in terms of risk vs reward and volatility. So I consider my Top 5 stocks as primary, then the next 3 as secondary and the last 2 as far more risky tertiary stocks. And remember that when investing in the stock market that your capital is at risk. There are NO SURE BETS!

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Local

Sunday, July 07, 2019

Sheffield River Don 'Banksy' Sculptures - Must See Art Work! / Local / Sheffield

By: Anika_Walayat

Sheffield has a new hidden gem courtesy of our own river Banksy that most Sheffielders let alone visitors to the city will be totally unaware of. Painstakingly erected Sculptures IN the river Don that first started appearing 3 years ago and currently number more than 20. The sculptures can be found just behind the Wicker, not far from where Castle Market once stood, and can be viewed from the embankment as well as the road bridge and foot bridge.

This video shows the 20+ sculptures as they were in July 2019, that includes footage of the artist at work so you get to see how these magical pieces of art were put together in situ, in the river. So if your in Sheffield then do pop down and see them whilst they last as all it take is a few days of heavy rain fall for the river Don to wash many of the 20+ pieces away.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, July 06, 2019

Stock Market Surging 25%... or Falling 25%? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Harry_Dent

I sent a market update to Boom & Bust subscribers in our 5 Day Forecast last Monday. I explained that stocks saw their biggest correction since late 2011, which makes that a 4th wave correction leading into a 5th wave final blow-off rally… what I have been calling the Dark Window scenario. My target is around 10,000 on the leading index, the Nasdaq, and around 33,000 on the Dow.

It’s likely we saw the first wave up into early May with two more strong surges ahead. We have just made new highs on the Dow and S&P 500, with the Nasdaq coming close to a new high.

Is this a breakout in the next wave up?
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