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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Local

Friday, February 02, 2018

Sheffield Labour City Council Suspends Tree Fellings Until After May 2018 Local Elections / Local / Sheffield

By: N_Walayat

It's been quiet and peaceful on Sheffield's streets for the past 10 days since Labour city councilors contractor Amey withdrew their HiViz 'security' and felling crews following the outbreak of violence on the 22nd of January, a day that witnessed police officers turning their backs on screaming protestors whilst Amey's HiViz 'security' forcibly removed protestors from cordoned off tree felling zones as the following video illustrates, a female protestors screaming for the Police to intervene. Instead the officer walks away and turns his back to the scene.

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Commodities

Thursday, February 01, 2018

Gold Price Forecast 2018 - February Update / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The gold price had a good start for 2018, rising from 1310 at the start of January to a high of $1367 with the most recent trading price of $1351. Which is set against my forecast for 2018 for the gold price to first target resistance $1375, an eventual break of which would propel the Gold price towards a 2018 target of $1500, and then further for the Gold price to ultimately target a trend towards $1800.

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Commodities

Thursday, February 01, 2018

2018 Gold Price Forecast and Predictions / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: GoldSilver

Most price forecasts aren’t worth more than an umbrella in a hurricane. There are so many factors, so many ever-changing variables and dynamics, that even the most educated guess almost always ends up wrong.

Further, some forecasts base their predictions on one issue. “Interest rates will rise so gold will fall.” That’s not even an accurate statement, let alone a sensible prediction (it’s the real rate that affects gold prices—the rate minus inflation).

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Commodities

Thursday, February 01, 2018

Four Key Trends for Gold Market in 2018 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The World Gold Council published its gold market outlook for 2018. Will gold continue its January rally or should we expect declines?

Solid Gold’s Performance in 2017

The World Gold Council begins its report with a short summary of 2017. The organization points out that gold performed relatively well, given the fact that the global economy picked up, risk assets rose in value, while the Fed hiked interest rates three times. Against this backdrop, the price of gold in U.S. dollars rose 13.5 percent, the biggest annual gain since 2010, actually outperforming many other asset classes.

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Companies

Thursday, February 01, 2018

Capita the Next Carillion Seeks Emergency £700mln Funding to Prevent Collapse / Companies / Corporate News

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Barely a fortnight on from the spectacular collapse of Carillion, now another PFI outsourcing corporate giant Capita finds itself teetering on the brink, seeking emergency funding of £700mln in the form of new share issuances to buy itself time whilst trying to reassure investors that it is not the next Carillion. However, as was the case for Carillion, the Capita stock price says it all about the distressed state of this corporation that has seen its stock price CRASH by over 70% over the past few weeks.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, February 01, 2018

Stocks Went Sideways, No Quick Reversal Means Trouble / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Paul_Rejczak

The main U.S. stock market indexes gained 0.1-0.3% on Wednesday, as they fluctuated following recent move down. Investors were uncertain ahead of quarterly earnings, FOMC Rate Decision, economic data releases. The S&P 500 index remained below its Tuesday's relatively big daily gap down. It currently trades around 2.1% below its January 26 record high of 2,872.87. Yet, it remains 4.7% above its December 29 close of 2,673.61. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.3% on Wednesday, as it bounced off support level at 26,000, and the technology Nasdaq Composite gained 0.1%.

The nearest important level of support of the S&P 500 index is at 2,790-2,810, marked by the January mid-month consolidation. The next level of support remains at 2,770-2,780, marked by some previous local lows. On the other hand, the nearest important level of resistance is at 2,840-2,850, marked by Tuesday's daily gap down of 2,837.75-2,851.48. The next resistance level remains at around 2,870-2,875, marked by Friday's record high of 2,872.87. The resistance level is the price level at which the selling interest is strong enough to overcome buying pressure and push the price lower. It usually refers to previous high or highs, gap downs, trend lines, retracement levels etc.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, February 01, 2018

Will the Threat of a Bear Market in Bonds Finally Get Stocks Attention? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Graham_Summers

The single most important bond in the world is the US 10-Year Treasury bond.

According to modern financial theory, this bond, with a duration that is meant to cover a full economic cycle, is generally considered the “risk free” rate of the return for the entire financial system.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, February 01, 2018

US Treasury Yields Inflating? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Submissions

Fundamentals

The Herd is running into one direction. It is from bonds into stocks. The latest BAML Fund Manager report showed an intresting picture. Extreme flows have been recorded over the past couple of months relative to the past 12 years. That came on top of the fact that flows were at elevated levels throughout the past 14 months already.

The investment reasoning behind that gets confirmed by economic fundamentals. The US economy is expanding, retail sales have risen to all-time highs, unemployment is at a multidecade low, and new home sales look as good as they have never looked for the past 10 years.

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Currencies

Thursday, February 01, 2018

How To Identify The Right Forex Broker / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Kavinesh_A

Those who have been into forex market would certainly understand that your success or failure in the trading market would depend to a large extent on the kind of broker you choose.  In a real life situation, you will be giving all your trading capital the forex dealer. You will trust him fully and expect that he will trade well with it and give you some handsome profits at the end of the day. You could be an expert in forex with the best of experience and strategies. However, if you have a dubious forex dealer, you could end up losing your hard earned money and you could be in dire straits. Hence you must be careful when it comes to choosing the right forex dealer. This is not an easy task given the fact that there are dozens of forex dealers. We give below the list of a few tips to be kept in mind when it comes to choosing the right broker.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 31, 2018

Stocks Bull Market or Hyperinflationary Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Raymond_Matison

More than a decade ago several insightful people recognized that the bond market as it related to the then AAA rated mortgage backed bonds was a well-crafted illusion.  The eventual default in these bonds fostered a market meltdown which was within hours of totally freezing up markets, creating a global financial crisis.  The stock market reflected this crisis by the Dow Industrial Index declining from 16,437 in October of 2007 to 8,207 in February of 2009, a 50% decline in less than a one and half year period.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, January 31, 2018

The Most Important Bond In the World Just Broke a 25 Year Downtrend / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Graham_Summers

The single most important bond in the world is the US 10-Year Treasury bond.

According to modern financial theory, this bond, with a duration that is meant to cover a full economic cycle, is generally considered the “risk free” rate of the return for the entire financial system.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Currencies

Wednesday, January 31, 2018

Bitcoin’s $10,000 "Line in the Sand" / Currencies / Bitcoin

By: EWI


The cryptocurrency's trends continue to be fueled by investor psychology

On January 23, Bitcoin fell below $10,000. That's the second time in recent days that prices dipped below this psychologically important threshold. The headlines picked up on the drama:

"Bitcoin tumbles below $10,000 and is now down 25% on the year..." (CNBC, Jan 23)

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 31, 2018

Panic Selling On New York Stock Exchange – Get Ready! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Chris_Vermeulen

In this short conversation, we talk about Palladium and how it topped last week, and this metal has already dropped 5.5% in value since then.

We also mentioned a few days ago when gold was testing key resistance that traders should expect a correction in gold and mining stocks. This week we already locked in a quick 11% profit with DUST inverse ETF for gold miners and there is likely more selling to come!

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Commodities

Wednesday, January 31, 2018

Plunging Stocks to Push Gold Higher? Fat Chance! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2018

By: P_Radomski_CFA

The bearish case for gold continues as fresh new bearish confirmations have just emerged. You have already read about gold’s huge weekly volume, gold stocks’ underperformance and many other factors. Yesterday’s session provides us with even more bearish details. But, there’s one thing that looks promising for gold bulls – the possibility of a big and sharp decline in the stock market. Some expect money coming out of the stock market to flow into precious metals, thus pushing their prices higher. As much as we love gold (and silver even more) as a very long-term investment, in today’s analysis, we dismiss the above stock-based hope.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 31, 2018

How Will The S&P 500 Reach 4000? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Avi_Gilburt

There is no real secret to the market. In fact, it is rather simple. But, that does not mean the specific smaller degree moves in the market will be just as simple.

You see, markets are no different wherever you look. Whether that be metals, equities, Forex, crypto-currencies, etc, they all react in the exact same way. Markets simply move from one extreme to another. And, we need to be able to identify where those extremes can cause a turn.

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Currencies

Wednesday, January 31, 2018

Investors Can Make Huge Money Through Forex Trade / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Kavinesh_A

...

 


Politics

Wednesday, January 31, 2018

Kalifornia Open Warfare on Business / Politics / US Politics

By: BATR

The People's Republic of Kalifornia is a prime example of centralized technocratic planning under the protection of a monolithic legislature that is entirely rooted in a Marxist "global warming" climate of totalitarian collectivism. Business in this cage of redistribution exists to support the extortion demands of the Sacramento commissars. Decades of reporting definitively conclude that the Golden State has depleted their wealth creation resources because of persistent disincentives and outright penalties for conducting legitimate business. The citadel of punitive regulations has been claimed by California, the undisputed champion of anti-capitalism.  

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 31, 2018

Crises and Opportunity – Possible End of the Line for Stocks! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Enda_Glynn

There is not one person living today that has seen a period of overvaluation such as the onewe are living through right now.
And there are few people still alive who witnessed a crash similar to the one we are about to experience.

The market hit such an extreme level last week
that it brought the long term valuation metrics I follow
To a level higher than the property bubble highs of 2007,
the DOTCOM bubble highs of 1999,
the cocaine highs of 1987,
the space age highs of 1966,
and the roaring 20's highs of 1929.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, January 31, 2018

Stock Market Short-term Support May Come Into Play / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2018

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX is getting some lift at the Short-term support level at 2815.25. It suggests that may be the downside limit for this decline. If so, it may have its work cut out for it at the gap, which refused to be filled this morning. My best estimate is that SPX may make a probe (lower) to the Short-term support level before attempting a bounce.

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Currencies

Wednesday, January 31, 2018

USD/CHF – C Is for Consolidation / Currencies / Forex Trading

By: Nadia_Simmons

Looking at the daily chart of USD/CHF we can summarize the recent days in one word: boredom. But behind the current consolidation there may be something more than we think at first glance. Read today's alert and you'll find out what we mean.

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