Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, September 16, 2017
Gold And The Need To Explain Price Action / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Kelsey_Williams
People are obsessed with the price of gold. And the demand for answers to the question “Why?” continues to grow. Why did gold go up/down $20.00 today? Why?
All too eager to provide the answer, journalists respond as follows:
Quote: “A weak U.S. inflation print may be just what gold prices need to finally stay above $1,300.” …WSJ Aug 2016
Seriously? I thought higher gold prices were the result of inflation.
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Saturday, September 16, 2017
Gold GLD ETF Investment Resuming / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Zeal_LLC
Gold has surged dramatically to major breakouts since its usual summer-doldrums lows. That’s naturally rekindled interest in this leading alternative investment, despite the record-high stock markets. Investors are starting to return to gold again to prudently diversify their stock-heavy portfolios. That’s very bullish for gold, as investment capital inflows can persist for months or even years. This shift is most evident in GLD.
The American SPDR Gold Shares is the world’s leading and dominant gold exchange-traded fund. Since its birth way back in November 2004, it has acted as a conduit for the vast pools of stock-market capital to migrate into and out of physical gold bullion. The marginal gold investment demand, and sometimes supply, via GLD can be big and varies wildly. Thus GLD-share trading is often gold’s primary short-term driver.
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Saturday, September 16, 2017
Will Eurozone Growth Boost Gold Prices? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
The euro has appreciated about 13 percent against the U.S. dollar so far this year, as the chart below shows. Although it seemed ready to reach parity with the greenback or even to break up, the shared currency was the top-performing currency in the G10 in the first half of the year. Now, there is a hot debate about the future of the euro. As the EUR/USD exchange rate is one of the crucial drivers of gold prices (see the chart below), let’s analyze the outlook for the Eurozone and its currency.
Thursday, September 14, 2017
The $10 Trillion Resource North Korea Can't Tap / Commodities / Metals & Mining
By: OilPrice_Com
North Korea may not have proved petroleum reserves, but it’s estimated that the secluded belligerent nation sits on reserves of more than 200 minerals—including rare earth minerals—worth an estimated up to US$10 trillion.
Of course, there are no official reports on how much North Korea’s mineral wealth really is, but according to rough estimates from earlier this decade, Pyongyang’s deposits of coal, iron ore, zinc, copper, graphite, gold, silver, magnesite, molybdenite, and many others, are worth between US$6 trillion and US$10 trillion, as per South Korean projections reported by Quartz.
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Thursday, September 14, 2017
Mike Maloney: The Top 10 Reasons I Own Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: GoldSilver
When the average investor thinks about gold, they may view it as an inflation hedge. Or maybe as crisis insurance. Or perhaps solely as a portfolio diversifier.
These are all good reasons to own gold—but those are always good reasons to buy precious metals. Mike Maloney’s reasons to own gold and silver at this point in history are very different than what passes as standard arguments.
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Wednesday, September 13, 2017
Massive Equifax Hack Shows Cyber Risk to Deposits and Investments Today / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: GoldCore
- 44% of US population affected by Equifax hack
- Hackers took names, birthdays and addresses, Social Security and driver’s license numbers
- Steve Mnuchin “concerned about the global financial system and keeping it safe,”
- Hacks is a reminder of the vulnerabilities created in a connected world
- Cyber security is a major threat to both banking and financial industry
- Investors should hold physical gold as insurance against hacking and cyber attacks
Wednesday, September 13, 2017
Precious Metals Bull Analogs Update / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
We started employing analog charts during the latter stages of the seemingly forever bear market in precious metals. Comparing current to past trends by using price data is not considered technical analysis but it is extremely valuable because history tends to repeat itself. It also helps us identify extremes as well as opportunities. For example, in 2015 it was clear the epic bear market in gold stocks was due for a major reversal. Today, precious metals appear to be in the early innings of a cyclical bull market and the analogs suggest there is plenty of room to run to the upside.
Tuesday, September 12, 2017
Gold And The Coming Collapse: Are We Close To A Major Monetary Event? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Hubert_Moolman
It really should be clear that a major international banking crisis is inevitable, and likely to occur fairly soon. Due to the extreme debt levels, many banks are close to that point of failure.
An event like a stock market crash is likely to push many banks to that point of failure, since the pressure it would create (on cash resources), would expose their inability to fulfill their obligations.
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Tuesday, September 12, 2017
Crude Oil Price Invalidated Breakout – What’s next? / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Nadia_Simmons
On Friday, crude oil moved sharply lower and lost over 3% after investors digested the EIA report and reacted to the increase in crude oil inventories. Thanks to these circumstances, light crude invalidated the earlier breakout above the resistance area and slipped well below $48. What does it mean for the commodity?
Tuesday, September 12, 2017
Silver Lags Gold But Signs Point to End of Bear Market / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Clive_Maund
Technical analyst Clive Maund finds that signs are emerging that silver is getting read to break out. On its long-term 10-year chart silver superficially looks like it may still be in a bear market, but on more careful inspection we can see that a large Head-and-Shoulders bottom pattern is completing, which is tilted compared to the similar pattern that is completing in gold, because silver tends to underperform gold at the end of bear markets and the beginning of bull markets. As we can see, unlike gold, it is still some way from breaking out of this base pattern, but should do so not long after the dollar breaks down from its Broadening Top, that we look at in the parallel Gold Market update.
Tuesday, September 12, 2017
Is Gold in a Real Bull Market? This Chart will Show You / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Peter_Ginelli
After climbing 9% in 2016, from $1050 to $1150 and another 10% gain during the first half of this year, in July and again in early August, gold dropped down to $1210, before rallying back up both times to $1290 and $1350 per ounce respectively. This back and forth price action has some investors worried if this is a real bull market in gold or yet another flash in the pan for the coveted yellow metal?
Tuesday, September 12, 2017
Reverse H&S Pattern in Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Last week, we received quite a few messages in which readers asked about the long-term reverse head-and-shoulders pattern in gold and related ratios. In today’s alert we discuss this in greater detail.
Let’s jump right into the gold chart (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
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Tuesday, September 12, 2017
David Smith: Precious Metals Supply Pipeline “Getting Harder and Harder to Fill” / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: MoneyMetals
Mike Gleason: It is my privilege now to welcome back David Smith, senior analyst at The Morgan Report and regular contributor to MoneyMetals.com. David, thanks for joining us again and how are you?
David Smith: I'm just fine, Mike. It's great to be back.
Mike Gleason: Well, David, not too long ago you wrote an article for our site about how gold and silver were getting ready for an historic run you called it. So, before we start discussing some of the market action here recently, fill our listeners in on why you believe things were set up and are set up for us to see a good run in the metals here.
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Monday, September 11, 2017
Precious Metals Sector is on Major Buy Signal / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: The_Gold_Report
Technical analyst Jack Chan charts the latest moves in the gold and silver markets.
Our proprietary cycle indicator is up.
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Monday, September 11, 2017
The Recent Metals Action Is “Causing” Me To Change My Life / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Avi_Gilburt
I have made a ground-breaking discovery this past week. It is so earth shattering, that it will literally change the course of my life, and may cause you to change yours as well. Let me explain.
Maybe you believe that the stock market volatility was the reason the metals rose? Well, the S&P500 is within 2% of its all-time highs, yet the metals have continued to rally alongside the market.
Sunday, September 10, 2017
Major Gold Mining Stocks Breakouts / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2017
By: Zeal_LLC
The gold stocks are off to the races again, with big gains mounting. They just staged major breakouts, shattering a vexing consolidation that had trapped them for an entire year. Such momentum early in gold’s strong season is a very-bullish portent. As higher prices improve both technicals and sentiment, buying begets more buying. With gold-stock prices still quite low in secular terms, their upside remains huge.
Gold stocks are a small contrarian sector without a wide following. So their latest surge has surprised many investors and speculators. But it shouldn’t have. In the markets knowledge is profits, so staying informed about gold stocks’ fundamentals, technicals, and sentiment is crucial. The traders who did their homework this summer and bought in low when few others were willing are now sitting on fat unrealized gains.
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Saturday, September 09, 2017
Gold Has 2% Weekly Gain,18% Higher YTD – Trump’s Debt Ceiling Deal Hurts Dollar / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: GoldCore
– Gold hits $1,355/oz as USD at 32-month low -concerns about Trump, US economy
– Silver and platinum 2.3% and 1.2% higher in week; palladium 3% lower
– Euro Stoxx flat for week – S&P 500, Nikkei down 0.65% and 2.2%
– Geo-political concerns including North Korea, falling USD push gold 2.1% in week
– Gold prices reach $1,355 this morning following Mexico earthquake
– Safe haven demand sees gold over one year high, highest since August 2016
– Silver touches $18.24 – highest level since April 2017
– Goldman, BoAML and Deutsche Bank all warn re markets this week
Saturday, September 09, 2017
Will Gold Break Out of Sideway Trading? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Since July 11, gold has been in a short-term upward trend. The yellow metal has gained more than 8 percent since then until the end of August, mainly thanks to the depreciation of the U.S. dollar, as one can see in the chart below.
Chart 1: Gold prices (yellow line, left axis, London P.M. fix) and the U.S. dollar index (red line, right axis, trade weighted index against major currencies).
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Saturday, September 09, 2017
12 Reasons Why I Started Investing in Uranium Stocks / Commodities / Uranium
By: Michal_Matovcik
In the 2001–2006 timeframe.. that was easily — and this is a poor pun — the most explosive bull market I have ever seen in my career. I remember there were 5 uranium juniors, 5 companies worldwide where the management teams had a deep enough memory to be able to spell uranium. And over the course of that bull market, the poorest performer of those 5 juniors ran 22:1. The best performer in that market, Paladin Uranium, ran from a bottom of 1 penny to a high of $10. The single oddest experience of my financial career. Rick Rule
Friday, September 08, 2017
Silver: The Red-Headed, Freckle-Faced Stepchild / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: The_Gold_Report
Silver has lagged behind gold, says precious metals expert Michael Ballanger, who explains why he believes that is about to change.
In grade school, I had a classmate named Craig McVeigh who was easily one of the most maligned kids in the school because as a big lad standing a full hand width taller than anyone and weighing thirty pounds more than anyone, he was never allowed to play in any sports that involved physical contact. Craig was fair, with bright, curly red hair with freckles adorning most of his exposed skin. Most of all, this lumbering giant of a boy was decidedly unlucky. He couldn't catch a break with a butterfly net and a Geiger counter. In class, the kids would be stirring up trouble by firing spitballs at him and at after what felt like an eternity of pelting the poor guy, Craig would finally rear up with his lunch straw and begin to return fire at EXACTLY the precise second that the teacher took notice of the skullduggery and sure enough, Big Craig would be ordered to the corner of the room or out in the hall to await further punishment. On another occasion, a few years later in high school, we were engaged in underage beer drinking at the Claireville Dam and since our ride had left early, we loaded all of the empty bottles into Craig's old Ford pickup truck and then left to retrieve another load when we suddenly saw flashing lights and ran back to see Craig being carted off for carrying open alcohol in his vehicle. The fact that the poor slob was a non-drinker made it doubly bad but the fact remained that Craig McVeigh was one unlucky human being and one that resembled with great alacrity the current state of the silver market.
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