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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Thursday, July 25, 2013

Why are the Gold and Silver Prices Rising? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

Fall in the Prices of Gold & Silver

Gold and silver recently hit their lows -$1,180 for gold and $18.50 for silver--after being hit by tremendous persistent selling from the SPDR gold ETF and then a major, well-engineered bear raid from Goldman Sachs, J.P. Morgan Chase alongside several hedge funds. This entailed the selling of over 1,000 tonnes of physical gold in less than three months. The bear-raid in mid-April involved around 500 tonnes of this. In a market where the net supply is just over 10 tonnes a day, this wave of selling overwhelmed demand, initially and caused the precipitous fall in gold and silver prices.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 25, 2013

Attention Gold Bears - Fed to fall Short on Tapering QE-3 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Gary_Dorsch

The value of Gold has fluctuated wildly over the past few years. After rallying for 12-straight years, the yellow metal has tumbled as much as -38% from its all-time high of $1,923 /ounce reached in August ‘11. Gold officially fell into the quagmire of a Bear market on April 12th, and even central bankers were caught off guard. They were net buyers of 535-tons last year, - the most they’ve ever accumulated in any single year. Today, the central banks are among the biggest losers - holding 31,700-tons, or roughly 19% of all the gold mined.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 25, 2013

Gold Backed China’s Yuan Set To Become Global Reserve Currency? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: GoldCore

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,312.00, EUR 994.92 and GBP 857.63 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,340.00, EUR 1,012.31 and GBP 872.40 per ounce.

Gold fell $22.50 or 1.68% yesterday and closed at $1,319.90/oz.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 25, 2013

Goldman Sachs' "Warehouse Shuffle" Just Cost You $5 Billion / Commodities / Market Manipulation

By: Money_Morning

David Zeiler writes: It's just another game for Goldman Sachs Group (NYSE: GS) - a "warehouse shuffle" that moves aluminum around while the big bank collects rent on the metal.

Although the rent on the stored aluminum - Goldman isn't allowed to actually own the commodity - is just pennies a day, the vast amount of the metal it has stored in its 27 Detroit warehouses and the "warehouse shuffle" strategy that enables it to extend the rental period for months on end adds up.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 25, 2013

Why Gold Prices Are Rising Now / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Money_Morning

Tony Daltorio writes: After watching some drastic one-day plunges this year for the yellow metal, investors are wondering why gold prices are rising now– could this be the start of a healthy, prolonged rebound?

On Monday, gold enjoyed its biggest one-day jump in more than a year. It hit a four-week high as gold finally broke through the $1,300 an ounce technical resistance level and finished above $1,335 an ounce.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 25, 2013

Comex Gold Explained / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

Miguel Perez-Santalla writes: A primer on how physical gold stocks are held for Comex contracts, and what stock changes mean...

There has been a lot of misinformation recently about Comex warehouse gold stocks.

Most notably, there's confusion about how this year's sharp drop in the quantity of gold bullion held in Comex warehouses might point to some looming shortage of metal to settle gold futures contracts, or even signal an outright default by sellers to buyers.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 25, 2013

Gold GLD ETF Reverses as TLT Breaks Down / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

GLD briefly slipped above its 50-day moving average yesterday, but could not hold it as support. Today is day 26 of the new Master Cycle. The reversal in a minute Wave [iv] makes it extremely left-translated and bearish for several more months.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 24, 2013

Silver and Crude Oil Interesting Parallels / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: DeviantInvestor

Crude

Crude Oil bottomed (weekly data) about 12/25/1998 at $10.75. It rose erratically for several years, hit another low on 8/24/2007 at $68.70, and then rallied dramatically to an all-time high of $147.20 on 7/11/2008. Subsequently, crude collapsed to $35.35 on 12/26/2008.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 24, 2013

Did Gold Start to Respond to the U.S. Dollar Price Moves? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Yesterday, gold climbed up to over $1,347 per ounce after the U.S. dollar slipped against other currencies. The American currency dropped to a one-month low slightly below 82 after extending a broad decline for a third session.  Investors are probably wondering if  it will drop any further.

The recent price action suggests that market players are still long the dollar, which could weigh on the greenback, said Hiroshi Maeba, head of FX trading Japan for UBS in Tokyo.

What if he is right?  Will the buyers manage to push the USD Index higher? What impact could such action have on the gold’s chart? Could it trigger a correction?

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 24, 2013

Gold Price Slips But Up 13 Days Running on "Stop-Loss Fiesta" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

The PRICE OF GOLD fell $10 per ounce from a new 5-week high in London on Wednesday morning, but stood higher for the 13th session running amid what one trading desk called "a stop-loss fiesta".

"There [is] still a lot of short positioning to unwind," says a note from finance and refining group MKS in Geneva, "with very little seen in terms of any pullbacks."

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 24, 2013

China Demand Not Behind Commodities Boom? / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Frank_Holmes

There’s no denying China’s massive economic growth over the past decade, as the country recorded an average GDP of more than 10 percent per year. In only seven years, China’s economy doubled; in 13 years, it tripled.

With this incredible expansion, China began to import commodities at an incredible pace. In 2000, the country imported only 70 million tons of iron ore; today, it’s more than 10 times that amount, at 763 million tons. Copper imports increased dramatically too, growing from 1.6 million tons in 2000 to more than 4 million tons per year today, according to BCA Research data.

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 23, 2013

Gold - 'Never Mind', Quantitative Easing Is A Time Bomb / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: Submissions

John Ing writes: "Never mind" was how Gilda Radner's character, Emily Litella ended her rants on Saturday Night Live. Ben Bernanke should have said "never mind" after threatening the Fed might take the punch bowl away. Within days, following a panic in the markets he later recanted fearing that the hangover could be worse. The threat of the end of easy money was enough to knock a third off the gold price including a collapse of $150 in only two trading days in April. The prospect of higher rates caused big losses just after the Dow and Standard & Poors reached new highs. While the Fed's addiction to cheap money eased some of the pain from the financial crises, surprisingly not enough money was printed to sustain global growth. Instead trillions flowed into riskier investments inflating a string of asset bubbles in the financial world, destabilizing normalized markets as investors chased stocks and bonds in the search for higher returns.

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 23, 2013

Gold Price Now Heavy After Historically Strong 1-Month Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Adrian_Ash

The PRICE OF GOLD eased back to $1330 per ounce Tuesday morning in London, dropping 0.7% from yesterday's 5-week highs as commodities slipped with major government bond prices.
 
Asian stock markets rose as the Japanese Yen edged lower. European stocks and US equity futures crept 0.2% higher.
 
"We believe there is a strong element of short covering behind the recent buying in gold," says one broker's note, pointing to the record-large number of bearish bets held by speculative traders in gold futures.

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 23, 2013

Gold Surges As COMEX Default May Send Gold Price Over $3,500 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: GoldCore

Today’s AM fix was USD 1,326.75, EUR 1,007.10 and GBP 864.84 per ounce.
Yesterday’s AM fix was USD 1,313.75, EUR 998.21 and GBP 859.22 per ounce.

Gold climbed $39.30 or 3.04% yesterday and closed at $1,333.70/oz.

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 23, 2013

Gold in a (Un)Tapered World / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Axel_Merk

Gold is up, even getting a positive mention in Barron's. Is it Japan's election or the tapering of the taper talk that's driving gold higher of late? Is this a bounce or the beginning of a new major uptrend in gold?

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 23, 2013

Separating Junior Gold Stocks Winners From Loser / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: The_Gold_Report

Gold juniors need to get back to the basics, says Eric Coffin, and it is going to take large discoveries to get the market excited again. In this interview with The Gold Report, the publisher of Hard Rock Analyst explains how the new economics of gold production require investors to concentrate on companies with three specific qualities, and names companies and the regions that could generate breakout projects.

The Gold Report: Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke indicated last month that the Fed would begin to taper quantitative easing in September. The equity markets responded quite negatively to this. In the wake of this response, do you think the Fed is committed to this new policy?

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 23, 2013

Gold Stocks Sector: A Small Fish in a Big Pond / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2013

By: Casey_Research

By Andrey Dashkov, Research Analyst:

Earlier in July, Jeff Clark showed in his article A Rare Anomaly in the Gold Market that the gold sector is dramatically undervalued based on its price-to-book ratio. In this article, I would like to expand on his analysis and provide some additional context.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Tuesday, July 23, 2013

Best Days for Gold Still Ahead / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Michael_Pento

The prevailing mantra on Wall Street is that gold's bull market is now over and it's time to bury precious metals as an investment theme for the indefinite future. Their rational is based on the belief that many investors held misguided fears during the credit crisis about a breakout of massive inflation and economic chaos, which drove gold to nearly $2,000 per ounce. Of course, (the perma-bulls claim) those worries have now completely failed to materialize and will never be a genuine risk in the future.

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 23, 2013

World's Next Major Crude Oil Find in Mineral Rich Australia? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

Australia's massive mineral exports allowed it to weather the global recession, which began in 2008, quite nicely.

The U.S. government's Energy Information Administration noted in its country's analysis for Australia, "Australia, rich in hydrocarbons and uranium, was the world's second largest coal exporter in 2011 and the third largest liquefied natural gas (LNG) exporter in 2012. Australia is rich in commodities, including fossil fuel and uranium reserves, and is one of the few countries belonging to the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) that is a significant net hydrocarbon exporter, exporting over 70 percent of its total energy production according to government sources. Australia was the world's second largest coal exporter based on weight in 2011 and the third largest exporter of liquefied natural gas (LNG) in 2012."

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Commodities

Monday, July 22, 2013

A Closer Look at Developing Gold Price Bottom / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2013

By: Jesse

"The banks have essentially been told by the Federal Reserve they're allowed a certain number of sins. Just not as many as there used to be." Brad Hintz, Sanford and Bernstein

Here is a closer look at the gold bottom that everyone and their brother was rushing to call last week, so they could claim prescience.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


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