Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, January 29, 2014
Gold and Silver Price Ready To Rumble Higher? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
We have been writing about the bottoming process of the Gold Bear Cycle (Elliott Wave Theory) since December 4th 2013, and our most recent article on December 26th reiterated that the best time to accumulate the Gold/Silver stocks was in the December and January window. Specifically this is what we wrote:
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 29, 2014
Why Gold Looks Good to Me in 2014 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Sasha Cekerevac writes: Just the other day, I was talking to a friend of mine who seemed extremely cheerful. I asked why, and he said that his investments have performed well over the past few months and he saw no reasons to worry.
This is a common problem with investor sentiment; people tend to become complacent and only look to the recent past as an indication of what tomorrow will bring.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 28, 2014
Where Are Gold and Silver Heading into the Future ? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
The State of the Global Markets 2014 special 50 page report includes videos such as an 8-minute piece from Steve Hochberg's 'Elliott Speaks: What Lies Ahead?' Steve gave this presentation at the New Orleans Investment Conference where he showed how sentiment indicators signaled the top in gold and where gold and silver are headed in the future.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 28, 2014
Gold Price BOOM! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By Grant Williams
"What a year this has been for gold.
"The price of the yellow metal fell almost 30% from its peak at the end of August a year earlier, to bombed-out lows amidst a wall of selling which included several very sharp and somewhat counterintuitive selloffs, including violent plunges in both the April-May time frame and again into year-end.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 28, 2014
The Coming Economic Collapse Will Be Much Worse Than Most Realize / Commodities / Commodities Trading
Citizens of the U.S. and the world are heading into a future that few have prepared for. It will also turn out to be much worse than most realize as it will be unlike anything we have witnessed in the past.
Part of the reason we are in such a bad fix has to do with the compartmentalization and specialization of our modern educational and economic system. There are many intelligent people in the market doing smart things; however, they often have no clue on what the hell is going on in other industries or professions.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 28, 2014
Gold Price Exploding In Emerging Markets / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Mainstream economists and mainstream media remain convinced that the economy and markets are in full recovery mode. Along the same lines, gold is unanimously expected to decline in the year(s) head.One of the most recent appearances of that kind was the 2014 outlook of IMF economic counselor, Olivier Blanchard, who explained last week that global growth would average 3.7% in 2014.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 28, 2014
The Silver Price Bottom Is In / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
When the bulls are running for the doors, that is a sign that we have hit bottom and wise investors should hold on to their portfolios for the ride up, says Silver-Investor.com Editor David Morgan in this interview with The Gold Report . It may take a couple of resource war-addled years for gold and silver prices to move back to profitable levels, but the right companies—and he points to five from the members-only Morgan Report files—could make money all the way up.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 27, 2014
How Long Can Gold Prices Be Held Down - Supply Factors / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Supply changes coming?
On the supply side, we note that newly mined gold supply in 2013 was around 2,800 tonnes [final figures yet to be published] and scrap gold was around 1,400 tonnes, before U.S. sales [which were around 1,200 tonnes in 2013]. That totaled 5,400 tonnes.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 27, 2014
Market Disruptor: Nuclear Restarts Spells Trouble for LNG / Commodities / Energy Resources
There are two major factors that have emerged in the last five years that have sparked a surge in LNG investments. First is the shale gas "revolution" in the United States, which allowed the U.S. to vault to the top spot in the world for natural gas production. This caused prices to crater to below $2 per million Btu (MMBTu) in 2012, down from their 2008 highs above $10/MMBtu. Natural gas became significantly cheaper in the U.S. than nearly everywhere else in the world.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 27, 2014
US Natural Gas Glut To Gas Panic – Time For A Bull Run / Commodities / Natural Gas
Feast to Famine
Friday 24 January, as global stock markets and emerging market currencies took another hit, natural gas in the US – the world's lowest priced gas - soared by 9.6% in a single day, rising to $5.18 per million British thermal units (MBTU) pricing it at $30.04 per barrel of oil equivalent at the Henry Hub. Over the week, prices gained close to 20%. US gas prices on Friday were at their highest since June 2010.
Related to the Emerging market exit panic and the US taper down threat, from the Fed buying $85 billion a month of “troubled debt and assets”, to a mere $75 billion a month, investors had to run somewhere. Starkly underpriced US natural gas was the weekly winner.
Reeling back the story to 2010, the last time US gas was priced at $30.04 per barrel of oil equivalent, compared to the “natural price of oil” at nearly $100 a barrel, the “shale gas revolution” had gone critical and was running riot. Today, the sequels are coming fast.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 27, 2014
Gold Price Canary In The Coal Mine / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
The Cycles Roll On
On an almost predictable, totally certain cyclic basis, financial market crises throw up one pat question, with only one pat answer. What does the survival of our current finance, monetary and economic system depend on? It depends on people preferring fiat money more than gold. From the moment in 1971 when US president Nixon “broke the link with gold”, the dollar floated free and made the cyclic attempts to demonetize gold a permanent feature of the financial market system, and the collateral cause of its regular and cyclic crises. To be sure, we will not be told when the next “reset” will happen by the banksters operating this permanent rearguard fight against reality – but it will be soon.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 27, 2014
Gold Junior Miners... The Importance of Being Too Early / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
There is a lot we could discuss in this Weekend Report from the price action in the US stock markets to the world stock markets. As we are almost fully invested in the precious metals complex, and especially the juniors at this time, I think we need to put aside all the outside noise and focus on our PM investments.
I know many of our subscribers follow other market other than the precious metals sector which is good. There are thousands of investment opportunities out there that can be a daunting task trying to figure out where to invest ones hard earned capital. I'm agnostic when it comes to making money in the markets. I don't care which area to invest in as long as there is some volatility either going up or down. The 1990's was a good time to invest in the tech stocks for example.
Monday, January 27, 2014
Silver Lagging Gold Price Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
While gold has rallied across its downtrend channel in recent weeks to arrive at its top boundary, silver has arrived at the upper boundary of its channel by limping sideways. Next week is decision time - either it breaks out upside from the channel or it drops into another downleg. The technicals suggest that it will do the latter, but also that this will likely mark the drop into the final low before an important reversal to the upside takes place.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, January 26, 2014
Comex Gold Potential Claims Per Deliverable Ounces Rise to 112 to 1 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
As you know January is a non-active month for gold on the Comex, but February tends to be quite lively.
Here is the warehouse inventory picture for registered (deliverable) gold ounces. As you can see without exception the levels of bullion ready to be sold is quite low.
As a reminder, that is only one side of the picture. There is an additional category of gold held in these warehouses in 'eligible' bullion form that can be transferred to deliverable with the issuance of some fairly simple paperwork.
Sunday, January 26, 2014
Gold and Silver Confiscation? It’s Written In The Law / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Whilst most people in the precious metal community know about President Roosevelt’s gold confiscation in the 1930’s, less people are aware that there was also an executive order to confiscate silver which I wrote about here: http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article36933.html
The topic of gold and silver confiscation never seems to go away so I thought it would be interesting to look at the issue from a legal perspective. As I live in Australia, I looked at the two laws that cover our country:
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, January 26, 2014
Climate Change, Polar Vortex's and Nuclear Energy / Commodities / Uranium
What does nuclear energy have to do with a polar vortex, record cold/snow and climate change? Read on to find out...
From the World Nuclear Association (WNA) we take the following numbers as updated January 3rd, 2014. An important point to remember is I'm only going to use demand numbers from 'future reactors envisaged in specific plans and proposals and expected to be operating by 2030.'
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 25, 2014
Gold & Silver Chart Reading More Accurately Depicts Fundamentals/Technicals / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
Is there a difference between fundamental analysis v technical analysis? A qualified yes. How so qualified? We do not speak for others, not even from the "technical" camp for there is a distinct difference between strict technical analysis and "reading" a chart based solely on price and volume.
We are not fundamentalists, at all, with emphasis on at all. Nor are we technicians, as most technical analysts, [TA], are. TA rely upon a few or several technical tools as a means of interpreting the markets, such as moving averages, [even used by fundamentalists, to a degree], RSI, Bollinger Bands, MACD, trend lines, overbought/oversold indicators, etc, etc.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 24, 2014
Gold and Silver Trading Alert: Strong Rally’s Implications / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
In short: Opening a speculative short position (half of the regular position) in gold, silver and mining stocks might be a good idea right now.
Yesterday, gold rallied significantly, mining stocks rallied less significantly (didn’t close higher than on Tuesday) and silver moved higher very insignificantly. Let’s see how much changed (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 24, 2014
Gold Price Bottoming, Gold Stocks Set to Soar / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2014
Gold is bottoming, showing incredible resilience over the past 7 months. After suffering an epic plunge in last year’s second quarter, gold has held its ground ever since. This is despite still facing the same howling headwinds that forced that extraordinary selloff. Gold has found strong support and carved a massive double bottom. Thus 2013’s gold super-storm has passed, and a mighty new upleg is dawning.
Obviously last year was exceedingly miserable for gold. This metal plunged 27.9%, its worst calendar-year performance in 32 years! When something hasn’t been witnessed for a third of a century, there is no doubt it is rare and extreme. But the whole year masks the real story, the second quarter. The gold price plummeted an astounding 22.8% in 2013’s Q2. That was its worst calendar quarter in 93 years!
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 24, 2014
Fiat Money Implications for Gold and Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014
By December, the most recent month for which statistics are available, the US dollar Fiat Money Quantity (FMQ) had grown to $12.48 trillion. This is $5.05 trillion more than if it had grown in line with the established average monthly growth rate from 1960 to the month before the Lehman Crisis. By this measure of currency inflation, since August 2009 inflation is now 68% above trend. This is illustrated in Chart 1 below.
Read full article... Read full article...