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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Monday, July 27, 2009

Rearranging Deck Chairs On The U$$ Titanic / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Captain_Hook

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAmerica’s paper empire is slowly sinking into the sea, and all the powers that be can do about it is rearrange the deck chairs for a while as they wait for the inevitable. Increasingly, more and more people are comparing the US to Japan, and it’s 20-plus year bear market / economic doldrums, realizing try as they might, the prognosis for American is a match. This is of course why the stock market trading patterns are a match, because once you bubblize the real estate market (Japan peaked in 1990) it’s all over, as this assures a structural high in credit creation that cannot be fixed as easily as floating a new CDO, or throwing a trillion or two at the bond market. Nope – once you play that card, as Sir Allen did back in 2002 to counter the negative effects of the tech wreck, yet another bubble he inspired, there’s nothing left to do but inflate with abandon and hope nobody notices.

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Commodities

Monday, July 27, 2009

Waiting for Crude Oil to Reverse to the Downside / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Mike_Paulenoff

My optimal pullback target zone for the PowerShare DB Double Short Oil ETN (NYSE: DTO) is 82.00-79.00, which has been met today.  However, so far the inability of the DTO to turn up with sustainability and leave little doubt that the correction off of the 7/13 high at 99.50 is complete is bothersome, and suggests perhaps that more corrective weakness is forthcoming ahead of my anticipation of a powerful upside pivot reversal. 

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Commodities

Monday, July 27, 2009

Essential Gold Stock Analysis / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Neil_Charnock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAustralia is a major gold producing nation and a stable political environment in which to operate mining activities.  The global interest in our sector is significant and we have seen massive capital inflows into the sector during the past 18 months, both during and in contrast to very tough international credit / investment conditions.

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Commodities

Monday, July 27, 2009

Silver Increasingly Bearish COT Data / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Clive_Maund

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAlthough silver moves very much in lockstep with gold, it is looking considerably stronger than gold at this point. The reason for this is its role as an industrial commodity - when the stockmarket is high and rising, as now, silver usually outperforms gold, but once the stockmarket turns, silver then underperforms.

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Commodities

Monday, July 27, 2009

Gold and Gold Stocks at Risk of Serious Reversal / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Clive_Maund

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe chances of gold breaking out to new highs in the near future are rapidly diminishing as the heavy hitters who have always prevailed up to this point are dramatically ramping up their short positions. Our COT chart shows a big increase in Commercial short positions just over the week up to last Tuesday to levels that in the past have preceded major reactions in gold. While there is still a fair chance of gold making a run at its highs over the short-term, there is considered to be very little chance now of a breakout to new highs, and any such advance towards the highs would likely be accompanied by a further ballooning of Commercial short positions to an even more extreme level that would all but guarantee a heavy reaction.

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Commodities

Monday, July 27, 2009

Agri-Food's Investing Bypasses Illusory Stimulus Driven Economic Growth / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Ned_W_Schmidt

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSome, and perhaps more than we imagine, economic sectors are immune to the failing economic policies of the Obama Regime. Those industries being driven by the dominant global trends should be somewhat resilient to the ongoing economic problems of the U.S. However, none will totally escape as the U.S. is such an important economic center of consumption. How do investors escape this reliance on U.S. economic activity level? The answer is, quite simply, Agri-Food.

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Commodities

Monday, July 27, 2009

Precious Metals Rally Running Out of Steam, Or Going a Lot Higher? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Przemyslaw_Radomski

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn the previous essay I wrote the following: Recently the precious metals market has been influenced by developments in the general stock market, which contributed to a considerable extent to its recent downswing and subsequent rally. At the moment, the technical situation for the main stock indices is favorable, which means that precious metals are likely to move higher as well.

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Commodities

Monday, July 27, 2009

Commodities Technical Trading Setups for Gold, Crude Oil and Natural Gas ETF's / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCommodities are trying to hold their ground and could go either way quickly. There is a lot of chatter going on about gold and silver. I am hearing extreme theories from everyone I talk with. Generally when I see the market get jumpy we tend to see volatility increase which translates into sharp rallies or sell offs.

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Commodities

Monday, July 27, 2009

The Day the U.S. Dollar Died and Gold was Reborn / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Bill_Downey

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWho would have thought that the information age would be so confusing?  Given the same set of conditions, man has this tendency to find different interpretations of the same data.  For instance, there is a huge inflation/deflation debate going on.  The problem (for some of us) is that both sides can and do give good argument for their respective side.  When I read a good deflation article, I am convinced that it will be so.  That is, until I read a good inflation article.  Then I tend to start thinking inflation again. 

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Commodities

Monday, July 27, 2009

Gold Bull Market Guaranteed to Make new Highs During 2009 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Douglas_V._Gnazzo

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGold - For the week gold gained $14.10 (+1.50%) to close at $951.50 (continuous contract). This was the highest weekly close in the last seven weeks, so it is a positive development, especially if it holds.

The daily chart below shows gold approaching overhead resistance, as represented by the late March high, which is marked by the upper white horizontal line on the chart.

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Commodities

Saturday, July 25, 2009

Gold Marking Time Ahead of Next Direction Explosion, Up or Down? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Merv_Burak

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIt was actually somewhat of a BLAH week in the market.  Monday was gang busters and then nothing for the rest of the week.  Gold seems to be marking time waiting for the next explosion, up or down.

PRECIOUS METAL FUNDAMENTALS

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Commodities

Saturday, July 25, 2009

Will Big U.S. Banks Be Forced to Cover Large Gold Short Positions? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor many years, accusations that JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup, Bank of America and Goldman Sachs have wide open and huge, exposed short positions against gold and silver, have been made by groups like GATA and others. In the United States these four banks control over 90% of the derivatives market. They too will be subject to "substantial supervision and regulations," including conservative capital requirements and strong business conduct standards. U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner is set to propose giving securities and futures regulators authority to police the over-the-counter derivatives market. Discussions on these regulations begin next week.

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Commodities

Saturday, July 25, 2009

When to Buy Stocks on Bad News / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Q1_Publishing

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe old Wall Street adage says to “buy on bad news, sell on good news.”

This simple strategy paid off well for decades.

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Commodities

Friday, July 24, 2009

The Appeal of Advanced-Stage Development Assets / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: The_Gold_Report

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticlePrimevest Capital Corp. President Ryaz Shariff reaffirms his long-held status as a commodity bull in this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, telling us to expect significant upticks in the markets once demand resumes. He also talks about some of the value-creating catalysts he seeks among the investments he makes. High on his list are advanced-stage development explorers that could attract a sensible suitor or two from among the majors.

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Commodities

Friday, July 24, 2009

Gold's Quest to Break Above $1000 / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Zeal_LLC

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBig round numbers are irresistibly alluring.  There is some kind of psychological gravity about them that captures people’s attention.  Remember when the Dow 30 first breached 10k (March 1999) or oil first exceeded $100 (February 2008)?  These were major financial-media events that spilled widely into the mainstream consciousness.

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Commodities

Friday, July 24, 2009

Agricultural Commodities Bull Market / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Uncommon_Wisdom

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSean Broderick writes: World cereal prices hit record highs in 2007 and in the first half of 2008. Consequently, food prices spiked, which in turn triggered riots in dozens of countries along with a series of food export bans. Since then, prices have fallen due to a good harvest in 2008.

So does that mean we don’t have to worry about the global food supply anymore? Not by a long shot!

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Commodities

Thursday, July 23, 2009

Three United States Gold Scenarios, Fort Knox, Fort Hocks or Fort Shocks / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Stewart_Dougherty

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFor 72 years, the building at the intersection of Bullion Boulevard and Gold Vault Road in Fort Knox, Kentucky has symbolized the financial strength of the United States of America. The United States Bullion Depository, better known as Fort Knox, is said to contain 147.3 million troy ounces of gold, over half the nation’s total reported gold bullion holdings of 261.5 million troy ounces. The remaining 114 million ounces are said to be stored at the Denver and Philadelphia Mints, the West Point Bullion Depository, and the San Francisco Assay Office. Assuming a price of $1,000 / ounce, the nation’s gold is worth $261.5 billion. If the metal is actually there, it represents the largest sovereign stockpile of gold bullion in the world.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 23, 2009

Scaling Into the Natural Gas UNG ETF / Commodities / Natural Gas

By: Mike_Paulenoff

After this morning’s marginal new recovery high at 14.00, the U.S. Natural Gas Fund ETF (NYSE: UNG) reversed to the downside in reaction to “in-line” inventory data, which pressed indices to an intraday low so far at 13.25.   We initiated a 25% long position in our model portfolio at 13.32.  If the UNG is unable to consolidate and lift off from the 13.30/25 area, then I will be looking for another loop down towards 13.00, where we will add another 25% long position.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 23, 2009

Gold Consolidating Below $960, Supported by Fed Quantitative Easing / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Adrian_Ash

THE PRICE OF GOLD slipped $8 an ounce from its best level since June 12th in London on Thursday, dropping back from $957 as European stock markets struggled near break-even but US stocks began the day higher.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 23, 2009

Trading Carbon Emissions Allowances - The EUA Contract / Commodities / Climate Change

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThis week in the Commodity Trading Guide we commenced regular coverage of EUA – (Carbon) Emissions Allowances. Interest and, accordingly, volume is growing strongly in this market, and the charts lend themselves well to technical analysis. In this Update we reproduce our analysis from the Guide.

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