Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Saturday, September 19, 2009

Do We Have a Breakout in Gold or not ? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Bill_Downey

Medium Term Gold Technical Analysis - With gold's entry into triple digits for a second week, investors are asking themselves, is this it?  Is this the big one?  What price will confirm we're going much higher?  Will there be a pullback? 

For those who are not chart readers, consider this.  A doctor does not diagnose you by looking at you.  He tests and looks at his charts for results.  Based on those charts he determines how well you are.  

Saturday, September 19, 2009

Grand Supercycle Favors Gold & Silver / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: The_Gold_Report

A serious student of equity market cycles and stock charts, market technician Clif Droke pulls no punches about the fact that the 120-year Grand Supercycle bodes ill as it approaches its end. Although his analyses of charts and cycles suggest some bright days on the near-term horizon, they also foretell depressing darkness by the middle of the next decade. Clif peppers this exclusive interview with The Gold Report with eye-opening and jaw-dropping insights—cut (thankfully!) with a note of caution that cycles aren't the only forces in play and some thoughts about how to take advantage of an impending "recoil rally" before we close out the "best recovery year in memory."

Friday, September 18, 2009

Gold GLD ETF Violates Support / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD)’s violation this morning of support in the 99.20/00 area indicates that the high-level consolidation pattern between 100.00 and 99.00 has morphed into a deeper correction. The correction should press towards the 98.20 area, which represents the lower channel support line. Otherwise, the GLD needs to climb and sustain above 99.60/65 to neutralize the near-term negativity.

Friday, September 18, 2009

The Real Gold Price Analysis / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Adrian_Ash

Two charts and three measures of gold's "real" price today...

GOLD'S CURRENT price-tag of $1,000 an ounce suggests big doubts over the US Dollar, its domestic economy, and its status as the world's No.1 reserve currency.

Friday, September 18, 2009

Real Gold Price High, CPI Inflation Indexed / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Zeal_LLC

One-thousand Federal Reserve Notes per troy ounce!  This past week gold edged over $1000 to close at its highest levels ever witnessed.  This much-maligned investment has nearly quadrupled since its secular bull’s humble beginnings in April 2001, a fantastic 297% gain compared to the S&P 500’s pathetic 7% loss over this 8+ year span.

Friday, September 18, 2009

Gold Sets New Dollar Record / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Adrian_Ash

THE PRICE OF GOLD bounced from an overnight dip to $1008 an ounce early Friday to complete its longest run of rising prices since Nov. 2007 and record its highest-ever run of London Gold Fixes.

Set by London's biggest bullion banks as a clearing price for large orders – and used to value central-bank and industrial holdings – today's AM Gold Fix was the fifth consecutive fix above $1000 an ounce, setting an average of $1017.15 since Wednesday morning.

Friday, September 18, 2009

Commitment of Traders (Comex) Data Shows Speculative Fever Not High in Gold or Silver / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: GoldCore

Gold closed above the $1,000/oz level for a fourth session and is currently trading at $1,014/oz. During yesterday's trading it touched a new 18 month high of $1,023/oz. The gold open interest on the COMEX rose another 3764 contracts to 478,172 which is still a long way from the record 593,953 contracts seen in mid January 2008 (http://www.technicalindicators.com/cotgold.htm). Indeed such open interest figures were seen for much of the final quarter of 2007 and the first half of 2008.

Friday, September 18, 2009

Gold, Silver and REE / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: David_Morgan

Many have been asking what is going to happen with gold and silver this month, and I maintain it is a tough call. The September month is usually pretty positive for the metals. In fact, there have been several articles talking about the last chance to buy gold under $1000. Frank Holmes, a much respected fund manager, spoke recently about September being one of the best months to be in the metals markets. I certainly don’t disagree with Frank. I’m pretty bullish for September but I’m very cautious going into October.

Thursday, September 17, 2009

Geothermal & Nuclear Energy Stars Spark Gianni Kovacevic's Interest / Commodities / Energy Resources

By: The_Energy_Report

"It's all about the management," says corporate development strategist and consultant Gianni Kovacevic, who has identified a single player in both geothermal and nuclear energy sectors—the "absolute leaders in the space." In this exclusive interview with The Energy Report, Gianni discusses some of the elements that make their management teams so powerful.

Thursday, September 17, 2009

Barrick Gold Ripe for Bear Raid / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Jim_Willie_CB

Burn, Baby, Burn !!! Could it be that one response to the Chinese shot across the bow of the corrupted and leaky USS Derivative ship at sea is the announcement that Barrick Gold to cover their entire hedge book… again? Maybe! They covered them all in 2007, didn’t they? They said they did! This is turning out to be an event every two years. Maybe in 2011 they will announce cover and closure of their entire hedge book again. Last time, the key words in the fine print were closure of all hedged gold positions from operating mines. That meant they were willing to lose billion$ in shareholder equity on all mines not yet open, but with ongoing gold price exposure. No wonder they installed a new CEO recently.

Thursday, September 17, 2009

Gold Stocks Still in the Early Stages of a Historic Multi Year Bull Run / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Gold Stocks vs. Other Stocks - Compared to various stock groups, gold stocks offer good value. Take a look at these ratios. In nominal terms the GDM index is well above its 1994 & 1996 high. Yet in real terms (against these other stock groups), GDM is considerably below the high in the mid 1990s. Why should we care? It indicates that we have yet to see a widespread move out of other stock sectors and into the gold stocks. That is pretty amazing considering that gold stocks have been rising for nine years.

Thursday, September 17, 2009

Sugar’s Recent Key Reversal Week Tempts Bears / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Seven_Days_Ahead

At the beginning of September, following a significant bull run, a sharp sell-off produced a Key Reversal Week, heralding the end of the likely end of the bull phase and start of a medium term bear phase.

Thursday, September 17, 2009

Gold Imminent New Record High as Governments Set to Extend Stimulus / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Adrian_Ash

THE PRICE OF GOLD rose for the third day running on Thursday, hitting fresh 18-month highs during Asian trade as world equities gained 0.8% to new 2009 highs.

Government bonds fell sharply, while crude oil held above $72 per barrel.

Thursday, September 17, 2009

Gold Surging in All Major Currencies / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: GoldCore

Gold rose above the $1,020/oz barrier in late trading in Asia and rose to new 18 months highs at $1,023.60/oz this morning. Despite most analysts calling for a correction, there is buying at these levels and the market appears well supported. Gold's rise is again in all major currencies and not just in dollar and euro. Gold is again knocking on the €700/oz mark. British pound weakness has seen sterling gold rise from £570/oz to over £615/oz in the last month, as sterling has again come under pressure.

Wednesday, September 16, 2009

Gold at a Permanently Exuberant Plateau? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Adrian_Ash

"Whether through exuberant hedgies or anxious private investors, gold just keeps pushing higher..."

SO SPECULATIVE BETTING on gold going higher now equals a record-busting 752-tonne position in Comex futures and options, yet this is not a bubble according to Michael Pento of Deltaga.

Wednesday, September 16, 2009

Gold Price Breakout or B Wave Corrective Top? / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Ronald_Rosen

Mr. Leonardo de Pissa better known as Fibonacci is saying not so fast don’t count me out just yet. I suspect that he is referring to the quarterly gold chart posted on the next page.

Wednesday, September 16, 2009

Gold Acting as a Currency / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Christopher_Laird

And it’s being jumped on by a speculator bash. But, gold has good reasons to rally. Caution is warranted because speculators are involved.

Wednesday, September 16, 2009

Gold Gains as"Recession Over Means No End to Liquidity / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Adrian_Ash

THE PRICE OF GOLD jumped to new 18-month highs versus the US Dollar in Asian trade on Wednesday, adding 7.2% from the start of Sept. as world stock markets reached 12-month highs and commodity prices rose together with government bonds.

Briefly touching $1,021 an ounce in London trade, gold also reached its best level for UK investors since late April at £616 an ounce.

Wednesday, September 16, 2009

Why Politicians Hate Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver 2009

By: Greg_Canavan

"Gold is money and nothing else" ~ JP Morgan, testifying to the Pujo Committee, 1913.

Gold's recent breach of the symbolic US$1,000 level has elicited a predictable amount of commentary from mainstream analysts. The problem is, much of it is ill-informed. Due to the general amnesia of most market analysts, of all asset classes gold remains the most misunderstood. In order to comprehend why gold is rising and why it will continue to rise in the years ahead, we need to review some history.

Wednesday, September 16, 2009

Should One be a Pessimist or Realist In Todays Economy? / Commodities / Commodities Trading

By: Andrew_Abraham

I would say I would like to be the “Realist”. As a trend following commodity trading advisor I am not one to make predictions. Everything that I have ever learned about trading is follow my system make low risk bets and look to manage risk.