Friday, July 07, 2017
If The Fed’s Members Spent Some Time As Uber Drivers, Our Monetary Policy Would Be Saner / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: John_Mauldin
BY PATRICK WATSON : John Mauldin wrote a letter last year called “Life on the Edge” that I think was one of his most important ever. It drew more reader feedback than anything else of John’s I’ve seen.
Drawing on Peggy Noonan’s Protected vs. Unprotected theme, John described how our economy has left so many people behind. Their anger, much of it well-justified, is one reason Donald Trump is now president.
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Friday, July 07, 2017
Find Out How to Amazon-Proof Your Real Estate Portfolio / Housing-Market / US Housing
By: Charles_Sizemore
I recently heard Amazon, the world’s largest online retailer, described as a “bull in a china shop” for the way it’s disrupted industry after industry.But that’s really the wrong analogy. An angry bull lashes out erratically, goring or trampling whatever happens to be in front of it at the moment. Amazon is far too mechanical for that.
The better comparison for Amazon would be a steamroller. Like a steamroller, Amazon slowly and methodically flattens everything in its path.
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Friday, July 07, 2017
Trump Trade Will Break in 2017 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Adam_ODell
The first half of 2017 is over… and, boy, was it one for the history books!American politics dominated the global discussion, as speculation ran rampant over who would emerge as the winners and losers of a Trump presidency.
Surprisingly (or not!)… the media’s storylines have likely led naïve investors into some of the worst-performing investments so far this year.
Essentially, everything that was up “huuuuge” from Election Day through year end… is now lagging behind. And everything that struggled to digest the reality of Trump’s win… is now leading the pack.
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Friday, July 07, 2017
Don’t Listen To the Daily News When It Comes To Investments / Stock-Markets / Mainstream Media
By: Harry_Dent
The hot topic in politics of late is “fake news”… like the media is the villain.Sometimes they are. MSNBC obviously has a clear leaning towards the left, and Fox towards the right. That’s why I prefer to watch some CNN.
But I think the media generally does a good job of trying to find the truth, even if from a biased side. They ask hard questions and uncover scandals. A free press has always been a cornerstone of democracy, and should be allowed to do its job.
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Friday, July 07, 2017
UK Election Forecasting - YouGov Snatches Defeat from the Jaws of Victory! / ElectionOracle / UK General Election
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The most notable outlier forecast of the 2017 UK general election was YouGov's seats forecast announced about 2 weeks prior to the general election that was contrary to every other pollster and analysts at the time. Initially YouGov forecast that the Tories would only achieve 310 seats.
Friday, July 07, 2017
Silver Prices Bounce Higher After Futures Manipulated 7% Lower In Minute / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: GoldCore
– Silver prices ‘flash crash’ before rebound
– Silver hammered 7% lower in less than minute in Asian trading
– Silver fell from $16 to $14.82, before recovering to $15.89
– Silver plunge blamed on another ‘trading error’
– Gold similar ‘flash crash’ last week and similar recovery
– Hallmarks of market manipulation as $450 million worth of silver futures sold in minute
– Trading ‘errors’ always push gold and silver lower. Why never higher?
– ‘Flash crashes’ increasingly frequent in precious metals, yet rarely happen in stocks and bonds
– Rapid recovery from frequent raids bodes well for precious metals
– Silver coins and bars accumulated on dips by ‘stackers’
Friday, July 07, 2017
Gold Seasonal - The Golden Age Has Just Begun / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Dimitri_Speck
In recent issues of Seasonal Insights I have discussed two asset classes that tend to suffer performance problems in most years until the autumn, namely stocks and bitcoin.
I thought you might for a change want to hear of an asset that will be in a seasonal uptrend over coming months.
Such assets do of course exist, and one that has particularly good prospects at the moment is gold.
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Friday, July 07, 2017
UK House Prices the Most Accurate General Election Forecast Predictor / ElectionOracle / UK Housing
By: Nadeem_Walayat
UK house prices wealth effect once more proved to be the MOST accurate forecaster for the outcome of UK general elections i.e. April house prices data implied 342 Tory seats, which far more reliable when compared to the a range of forecast expectations primarily by pollster based analysts that extended 375 seats just prior to polling day.
Friday, July 07, 2017
The Fed Just Admitted, On RECORD, Stocks Are In a Bubble / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: Graham_Summers
Yesterday, the Fed made the single largest announcement of the last 10 years.
The media didn’t catch it. Nor did the markets.
The reason?
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Friday, July 07, 2017
A Crash is Coming.... Last Time This Happened Was Spring 2008 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Graham_Summers
Perhaps the single most accurate predictor of the economy has rolled over into recession territory.
I’m talking about tax revenues.
GDP growth, unemployment data, ISM surveys… all of these can and are massaged by statisticians to create a rosier picture of the economy than reality. By way of example, we recently noted that 95% of all net job growth since 2008 was in fact created via an accounting gimmick. In reality, the jobs were never created at all.
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Friday, July 07, 2017
GOLD Flashing Bullish Signals Again, USDJPY Contracting Triangle in Play / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: Enda_Glynn
My Bias: LONG
Wave Structure: rally in wave [C]
Long term wave count: wave [C] is underway, upside to above 136.00
Important risk events: JPY: N/A. USD: Non-Farm Employment Change, Unemployment Rate, Fed Monetary Policy Report.
USDJPY has spent the week going sideways in a contracting range.
This price action is beginning to look like a contracting triangle,
Possibly within wave '4' pink.
Thursday, July 06, 2017
Here’s Why This G20 Meeting Doesn’t Really Matter / Politics / Global Economy
By: John_Mauldin
BY GEORGE FRIEDMAN : Anyone who has ever been to a meeting knows that meetings are often confounding, frustrating affairs. Most of them are designed simply to be held. The people who attend them are unlikely to agree on anything except maybe the date of the next one.
The G-20 summit is no exception.
But that’s only because the people who attend it, the leaders of the countries with the world’s 20 largest economies, think of themselves as decision-makers when really they are hostages to history.
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Thursday, July 06, 2017
This Graphic Shows the Reach of North Korea’s Most Successful Missile Test / Politics / North Korea
By: John_Mauldin
RiskEdge: Kim Jong-un is variously seen as a fantasy-sodden rattler of sabers or a mad and dangerous threat to global peace.
Whichever more closely approximates the truth, the world is watching North Korea’s nuclear and ballistic missile quest ever more uneasily.
And on May 14, the pariah state embarked on its most successful missile test yet:
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Thursday, July 06, 2017
North vs. South Korea: The Human Divide / Politics / North Korea
By: John_Mauldin
RiskEdge : The wildly differing trajectories of North and South Korea since they were divided at the end of World War II are well known.
Slightly murkier are the very human statistics illustrating the differences between the two. The paranoically secretive nature of North Korea means that a wealth of data is difficult to come by, but the most reliable data available is striking.
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Thursday, July 06, 2017
6 Things Precious Metals Naysayers Get Dead Wrong / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2017
By: MoneyMetals
Stefan Gleason : Answering the Most Common and Current Objections
Gold attracts its fair share of detractors. But the most common objections to gold as money, and as a safe-haven asset within an investment portfolio, are misplaced. Anti-gold myths are ubiquitous.
Mega billionaire Warren Buffett remarked derisively of gold that it “gets dug out of the ground in Africa, or someplace. Then we melt it down, dig another hole, bury it again, and pay people to stand around guarding it. It has no utility.”
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Thursday, July 06, 2017
Don’t Hold Your Breath For Deeper OPEC Oil Cuts / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: OilPrice_Com
The rally in oil prices over the past two weeks came to a halt on Wednesday on news that OPEC is actually exporting more oil than previously thought.
A month ago, oil prices appeared to be higher than they should have been, with weak demand, elevated inventories, and a recognition that the nine-month OPEC extension would be inadequate to balance the market. Oil sold off and dropped to the mid-$40s and below. Oil traders then bought on the dip, and bid prices back up over the past two weeks. Now, prices again look like they could be reaching an upper limit.
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Thursday, July 06, 2017
The Whole Foods And Amazon Merger Is A Sign Of The Major Trend Every Investor Should Be Aware Of / Companies / Mergers & Acquisitions
By: John_Mauldin
BY PATRICK WATSON : If you are a shareholder in either Amazon (AMZN) or Whole Foods Market (WFM), their combination ought to please you.
Both stocks rose on the merger news while the rest of the grocery industry dropped. But in the long run, I’m not sure their deal will work out well for any of us.
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Thursday, July 06, 2017
London Workers Real Earnings Still below 2007 in 27 Boroughs / Economics / Wages
By: Submissions
EARNINGS IN 27 LONDON BOROUGHS STILL BELOW 2007 LEVEL ONCE INFLATION HAS BEEN TAKEN INTO ACCOUNT NEW GMB STUDY SHOWS
Impunity for employers hostility towards workers rights is maybe more important than the pay cap in the public sector in holding down pay in the private sector says GMB London region
The real value of earnings for all full-time employees resident in London has dropped by 17.9% between April 2007 and April 2016 a new GMB London Region analysis of the Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings shows.
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Thursday, July 06, 2017
Stock Market Uncertainty Near Record High / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,510, and profit target at 2,300, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, July 06, 2017
US Fed and Mainstream Media’s Moronic Statements On The Whole Foods Buyout / Companies / Corporate News
By: Jeff_Berwick
It’s already bad enough we live in a world overpopulated by idiots. Worse, they are often in charge of ‘the monetary system’ and even head up ‘the media’! Luckily for tomorrow, entrepreneurs are busy developing a decentralized crypto-monetary platform for a money that nobody can control, and an alternative media, of which we are part.
One recent article encompassed precisely the unnecessity of the stupidity of central bankers and their mainstream financial media lapdogs.
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