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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Interest-Rates

Wednesday, December 30, 2015

Does The National Debt Supercycle Override The Normal U.S. Interest Rate Cycle? / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Dan_Amerman

Markets and economies usually run in cycles and there have been numerous previous reversals where falling interest rates have been replaced by rising interest rates. The soothing reassurances from many financial authorities and much of the financial media are that there is no need for the general public to worry - because this sort of thing is quite normal.

But is this actually true? Have we really been "here" before?

Or are there are major differences between this time around and the previous cycles of rising interest rates which mean that much of recent history may not apply at all?

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, December 30, 2015

Get Your Money Out of Italian Banks Now! Austerity and Bail-Ins Fan Populist Flames / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2015

By: Mike_Shedlock

Austerity and Bail-Ins Fan Populist Flames

The Italian economy is growing, albeit barely. But Italy is still saddled with massive amounts of debt.

Citizens are upset about a recovery that has passed most of them by. For example, youth unemployment is a whopping 39.8%.

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Currencies

Wednesday, December 30, 2015

The War On Cash Is Now Being Rolled Out At An Incredible Speed / Currencies / War on Cash

By: Jeff_Berwick

In the old days there used to be bank robbers… old Westerns were full of the stories.  Now, the banks rob you.

It’s all part of a grand scheme to turn the entire world into indentured servants under total control.

Here is where the world is headed: Countries like India are already building corporately sponsored cities, municipal environments where people live in the same place they work.

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Politics

Tuesday, December 29, 2015

A Crisis Worse than ISIS? Bank Bail-Ins Begin / Politics / Banking Stocks

By: Ellen_Brown

At the end of November, an Italian pensioner hanged himself after his entire €100,000 savings were confiscated in a bank “rescue” scheme. He left a suicide note blaming the bank, where he had been a customer for 50 years and had invested in bank-issued bonds. But he might better have blamed the EU and the G20’s Financial Stability Board, which have imposed an “Orderly Resolution” regime that keeps insolvent banks afloat by confiscating the savings of investors and depositors. Some 130,000 shareholders and junior bond holders suffered losses in the “rescue.”

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 29, 2015

Gold Price $1071 Cap - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Gary_Savage

Gold is being capped at the 1071 level. This may or may not lead to one final attack to drive it to 1030 before the paper shorts get out of the way and let another bear market rally begin"

Transcript Excerpt:
today's commentary I'm going going to go over what's happening in the gold market
in the morning discuss the manipulation the gold market extensively in the last two videos I'm
just gonna chill down a little bit into what's happening right now we've got a
break this supports the intermediate low in July and it's become pretty clear

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 29, 2015

Year-end Effort at Stock Market Elevation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

SPX Premarket is higher today and threatens to break through the 50-day Moving Average at 2065.13. This is all part of the effort to have SPX close in the black for 2015. It fits the profile of a Wave [e], since these waves tend to be rogues and often advance beyond the Triangle trendline. The Cycles Model calls for a reversal tomorrow or Thursday. We’ll see if the efforts to keep the markets elevated can last the rest of this week..

David Stockman comments, “The S&P 500 closed at 2052 on November 18,2014. That was 405 days ago, and despite the rips and dips in the interim the broad market average has gone nowhere.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, December 29, 2015

Monetary Policy Monster With A Key To Its Own Cage / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis 2015

By: John_Rubino

Out on the fringes of monetary policy, a merger of sorts is taking place between the debt jubilee and Modern Monetary Theory (MMT). The result — likely to emerge sometime in 2016 — will make the past decade’s bank bailouts and QE programs look like kid stuff.

Let’s start by defining these terms:

The debt jubilee — an idea from biblical times in which debts are periodically forgiven — involves the government creating a lot of new currency and giving it to debtors, either through stepped-up public spending, tax cuts, or some sort of direct transfer. A more recent term for this is “helicopter money,” which reflects a central bank’s ability to simply drop newly-printed bills out of an aircraft if necessary.

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 29, 2015

Gold and Silver Kabuki Bonus Time / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Jesse

There were no silver deliveries reported, and JPM took another slug of gold for 'delivery.'

The Bucket Shop is little more than a betting parlor these days.

There were some little movements in the inventories as reported below.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 29, 2015

Stock Market Herd is Heading for the Cliff / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: James_Quinn

You would think investors (muppets) would be grateful for the extended topping process of the stock market, as it has given them the opportunity to exit before the inevitable crash. As CNBC and the rest of the mainstream media spin bullish stories to keep the few remaining mom and pop investors sedated and the millions of passive working Americans invested in their 401ks, the Wall Street rigging machine siphons off billions in ill-gotten gains, while absconding with fees for worthless advice.

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 29, 2015

Economic Lessons from the Age of the Pharaohs / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: GoldCore

“Joseph urged the Pharaoh to set aside one fifth of the crop in the good times and store the grain to ease the famine in the bad times, because if he didn’t do that, the good times would be forgotten and all the people would remember was the bad times. This wouldn’t be politically good for the Pharaoh.”

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Politics

Tuesday, December 29, 2015

The World is Safer For Big Government, War and Fiat Money / Politics / Social Issues

By: Mario_Innecco

Highlights Tuesday December 29 2015 this morning I'll be making a video about how
democracy has made the world safe for big government war and fear money and
you have been thinking about this subject for the last day or so and it's
very interesting because this morning . LBC radio there was a presenter called
me in pain and he was talking about the new law that has gonna come into books
in the UK and he talked about it on Twitter Ian Payne the radio presenter on
LBC and he said and I quote social media bosses face two years jail time if they
warned uses mi5 are watching them so basically here in the UK
you know the boss is a Google Facebook Twitter all the companies that give
people access to social media they'll be arrested for two years they could face
arrest forty years if they warn you know their customers that mi5 which is the....

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 29, 2015

Gold and Silver COTs Feature Short Covering / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Dan_Norcini

As suspected, the gains seen last week in both gold and silver ( and copper for that matter) were primarily the result of short covering. My view is that the bulk of this was tied to year-end book squaring ahead of Christmas and the New Year's holiday.

Starting with gold...

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Currencies

Tuesday, December 29, 2015

US Dollar Bull Market / Currencies / US Dollar

By: Ed_Carlson

     DXY fell 0.72% last week and closed at 98.01 (below the 13-dma) after printing an engulfing bearish candlestick on Friday.  14-day RSI was unable to stay above its 20-dma during the previous week’s rally and 3-day RSI remains below 80; bearish. Not surprisingly, DXY looks similar to the pattern in TNX – the interest rate on the ten-year treasury.

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Politics

Tuesday, December 29, 2015

2016 Is An Easy Year To Predict / Politics / Social Issues

By: Raul_I_Meijer

No year is ever easy to predict, if only because if it were, that would take all the fun out of life. But still, predictions for 2016 look quite a bit easier than other years. This is because a whole bunch of irreversible things happened in 2015 that were not recognized for what they are, either intentionally or by ‘accident’. Things that will therefore now be forced to play out in 2016, when denial will no longer be an available option.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 29, 2015

Stock Market Of Nothing....What Is It Waiting On?.... Sentiment Bullish... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

We've all seen markets that seem to go nowhere day after day. In fact, month after month, but this market is really tough on the nerves and one's emotions. We have spent a year at the flat line, but it's not just that it's flat, it's how it's going about its business. There are just no moves that sustain themselves. It would be fun if we could ramp up and ramp down, but we do neither for the most part. Some bigger moves for sure along the way, but in reality very few of them thus there's that word we all hate again, but there's no CONVICTION. Neither side is showing the ability to establish itself. No accumulation off bottoms. No distribution off tops. Nothing from nothing.

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 29, 2015

Gold and Silver Forecast 2016 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: MoneyMetals

Clint Siegner writes: Looking Ahead to 2016

Forecasting today's volatile, high-frequency machine driven and manipulated futures markets using fundamental analysis is futile, as a great many precious metals bulls will attest. To complicate matters, an obsession with Fed policy dominates all markets. Officials at the Federal Reserve are often less than forthcoming and are just as bumbling as the Soviet bureaucrats when it comes to centrally planning our economy.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 28, 2015

Chinese Markets Short Term Mess But Long Term Opportunity? / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market

By: Sol_Palha

A bird doesn't sing because it has an answer, it sings because it has a song. Maya Angelou

In the short term, China is still a mess, and the reasons are all but obvious.  Greed and stupidity fuelled the bubble that popped back in June of this year.  Some estimates put the number of individuals opening new accounts without high school diplomas at over 60%. Secondly, a large portion of these investors were playing the markets with borrowed money, otherwise known as trading on margin. Making matters worse to circumvent the limits placed by regular margin trading, many turned to the shadowy banking sector, where one could borrow up to ten times the value of one’s stock holding. At the height of the mania over 500,000 new brokerage accounts were being opened per week, a clear sign that the masses were ecstatic and believed that the market could only trend higher. When you couple Greed with stupidity, the result is always unpleasant.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 28, 2015

Stock Market Aggressive Sell Signals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX appears to be testing the trendline of its Orthodox Broadening Top formation and is expected to make a small bounce. At this moment, I would call the status of its current position as an aggressive sell signal, while a drop beneath the trendline at 2041.00 would turn it to a confirmed sell.

The famous stock trader, Jesse Livermore once said, “Money is made by sitting, not trading.” In this case, a short position carried since our first sell signal in early November still has value, while attempting to trade the Triangle would have led to a series of frustrations, if not losses.

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Politics

Monday, December 28, 2015

What Are The Chances For Peace in 2016? / Politics / US Military

By: Dr_Ron_Paul

Each year more than one trillion dollars goes up in smoke. More accurately, it is stolen from the middle and working classes and shipped off to the one percent. I am talking about the massive yearly bill to maintain the US empire. Washington's warmongers have sold the lie that the military budget has been gutted under President Obama, but even when the "Sequester" was in effect military spending continued to increase. Only the pace of increase was reduced, not actual spending.

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Commodities

Monday, December 28, 2015

Silver Price Tradeable Rally Probable / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Gary_Savage

I'm of the opinion that the metals have probably formed at least an intermediate bottom, and are ready to generate a trade-able rally over the next 4-8 weeks"

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