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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Personal_Finance

Wednesday, December 23, 2015

The Big Short Movie Review / Personal_Finance / Reviews

By: James_Quinn

"The truth is like poetry, and most people ***** hate poetry."

The Big Short opens nationwide today. But it happened to have one showing last night at a theater near me. My youngest son and I hopped in the car and went to see it. I loved the book by Michael Lewis. The cast assembled for the movie was top notch, but having the director of Anchorman and Talledaga Nights handle a subject matter like high finance seemed odd.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 23, 2015

Stock Market Breadth-less, Volume-less Rally May be Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

The SPX Premarket appears to be marginally higher than yesterday’s print high. Whether today’s opening and subsequent prices stay beneath yesterday’s high remain to be seen.

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Commodities

Wednesday, December 23, 2015

Gold Market Manipulation - Video / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Gary_Savage

I explain how and why I think the gold bear market is artificial, and due to manipulation by a few big banks in the paper market. I discuss the market reaction that will confirm I’m correct. The analysts that for a couple of years have been trying to deny manipulation are ultimately going to look like idiots, and the Sinclairs of the world are going to have the last laugh, and will be proven correct in the end.

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Companies

Wednesday, December 23, 2015

SME - How to Take Control of your Cash Flow / Companies / SME

By: Boris_Dzhingarov

If your business is concerned with investments or trading then there are a number of checks and balances you need to put in place in order to manage your cash flow. It’s well known that cash flow is one of the most vital and critical elements in the smooth running of a small or middle-sized business. If your enterprise is unable to manage cash effectively, you will be unable to invest in what your business needs and you may lose out. Check out this selection of things you need to have under your control:

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Commodities

Wednesday, December 23, 2015

Congress Eliminates U.S. Export Oil Ban / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: BATR

If you want to know how the “so called” Free Trade exponents think about exports, just analyze the impact and actual beneficiaries of the US House passes bill to lift 40-year ban on oil exports.

“The crude export restrictions were introduced in the US in 1975 in the middle of the energy crisis. They followed OPEC’s oil embargo of the US and other countries backing Israel during the Arab–Israeli war of 1973. In the face of embargo-related high oil prices, Washington eased the limits on oil imports and ordered an export ban.”

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 23, 2015

COT Report in the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Submissions

Sasafuturestrading writes: The COT report is issued on Thursday evenings by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission.  What it does is break down the amount of buying and selling done by three groups: Commercials, Large Traders, and Small Traders.

The largest powers in the marketplace are the Commercials.  These are the large users and producers of the commodity.  They do not use the commodity markets to speculate or directly make money in the markets. They are producers and users of the commodity, so they sell forward or hedge their production/demand. They use the markets for selling and delivery, not speculating.

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Personal_Finance

Wednesday, December 23, 2015

UK Christmas Sales 2015 High Street and Online Start Dates Full List / Personal_Finance / Shopping

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Britain's shoppers with more cash in their wallets look set to go on a debt fuelled spending binge at the cathedrals of modern Britain, though not quite as jam packed with shoppers as in years past as 2015 also looks like the first year where online shopping could exceed bricks and mortar shopping totals. Nevertheless there is plenty of cash to go around given consumers infected with sales fever hunting for bargains as Christmas has long since morphed into a month long relentless advertising campaign to keep spending all the way into January.

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Economics

Wednesday, December 23, 2015

U.S. Secular Economic Stagnation? / Economics / US Economy

By: Steve_H_Hanke

Stagnationists have been around for centuries. They have embraced many economic theories about what causes economic stagnation. That’s a situation in which total output, or output per capita, is constant, falling slightly, or rising sluggishly. Stagnation can also be characterized by a situation in which unemployment is chronic and growing.

Before we delve into the secular stagnation debate – a debate that has become a hot topic – a few words about current economic developments in the U.S. are in order. What was recently noticed was the Federal Reserve’s increase, for the first time in nearly a decade, of the fed funds interest rate by 0.25 percent. What went unnoticed, but was perhaps more important, was that the money supply, broadly measured by the Center for Financial Stability’s Divisia M4, jumped to a 4.6 percent year-over-year growth rate. This was the largest increase since May 2013.

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Commodities

Wednesday, December 23, 2015

Investors Gear Up for a Violent Uranium Price Spike / Commodities / Uranium

By: The_Energy_Report

The price of uranium is still in the doldrums, but that will change soon—and violently, says Rob Chang of Cantor Fitzgerald Canada. In this interview with The Energy Report, he explains that electric utilities will begin to run short of fuel even before 2020, when 33 additional reactors are expected to come on line. With that in mind, Chang predicts that prices could triple in the next few years, and highlights a half-dozen equities that will likely supply the increased demand and thereby deliver multiples to investors.

The Energy Report: Does cheap oil depress uranium demand?

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 23, 2015

SPX May be Turniing at the 50% Retracement Level / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

I am remiss in not bringing up the Orthodox Broadening Top trendline as a potential target for this retracement. It appears that SPX may have just turned at 2042.74 while the exact location of the trendline is at 2041.61. The 50% retracement point is 2041.57. While I did mention the 50% level this morning, I had not recently calculated the position of the trendline. Now that I have located it properly in the chart, you can see how many times (at least 5) it has provided support in the past month. Today it finally appears to act as resistance.

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Commodities

Wednesday, December 23, 2015

HUI GOLD Ratio Chart…Another Grizzly Year! / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015

By: Rambus_Chartology

I was just going over some old charts and came across this one which is a ratio chart that compares the HUI to gold going all the way back to the bear market low that was made back in 2000. I use to show this chart quite a bit when the blue triangle on the right side of the chart broke down. This chart shows you a good example of how weak the HUI has been vs gold. The initial impulse move out of the 2000 bear market low shows the HUI really kicking gold’s butt until late 2003. The ratio then declined into the 2005 low which ended creating a double top hump.

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InvestorEducation

Tuesday, December 22, 2015

Trading with Elliott wave analysis - GPS vs. Road Map: Which Works Best? (Part 2) / InvestorEducation / Elliott Wave Theory

By: EWI

(Continued; here is part one of this article, if you missed it.)

Think of Trading and Investing as a Trip

Here's my advice: View the Elliott Wave Principle as your road map to the market -- and your investment idea as a trip.

You start the trip with a specific plan in mind, but conditions along the way may force you to alter course. As I mentioned earlier, alternate Elliott wave counts are simply side roads that sometimes end up being the best path.

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Commodities

Tuesday, December 22, 2015

Gold and Silver: A Positive Big Picture View of Risk vs. Reward / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Gary_Tanashian

While routinely following the precious metals as one of many sectors in NFTRH, we have mostly left it alone with respect to public writing over the last few years.  That is because it is in a bear market and since I am not a slick short-term trader, I have felt it is best to mostly just let it play out to the bear’s will without overly active involvement.

But several indicators have us on alert that 2016 is going to be the year that the bear ends in gold and gold stocks.  So why not publicly discuss the shiny rock a bit more in anticipation?  I am still 100% in line with the value aspect of a monetary metal that is historically sought after in times of doubt about the Monetary Politburo’s (Central Bankers’) ability to manipulate the global macro backdrop as desired and to positive effect over the long-term.

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Economics

Tuesday, December 22, 2015

BEA Revises 3rd Quarter 2015 U.S. GDP Growth Upward to 1.99% / Economics / US Economy

By: CMI

In their third (and "final") estimate of the US GDP for the third quarter of 2015, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported that the economy was growing at a +1.99% annualized rate, down -0.08% from their previous estimate -- and down nearly 2% (-1.93%) from the second quarter.

Almost all of the revisions in this report were minor, with the largest changes again involving the especially noisy inventory data. Most of the other line items were essentially unchanged. Inventories were reported to have been contracting at a -0.71% annualized rate, a -0.12% deterioration from from the -0.59% contraction rate reported in the previous estimate. As we have mentioned a number of times before, the BEA's treatment of inventories can introduce noise and seriously distort the headline number over short terms -- which the BEA admits by also publishing a secondary headline that excludes the impact of inventories. This BEA "bottom line" (their "Real Final Sales of Domestic Product") was actually revised upward +0.04% to a +2.70% growth rate for the third quarter, from the +2.66% previously reported.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 22, 2015

Is The BBC Global 30 Index Signalling a Stock Market Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Sol_Palha

"A wise man is he who does not grieve for the thing which he has not, but rejoices for those which he has." ~ Epictetus

Much the same way many experts felt that the NYSE was issuing a series of death signals, there are just as many who share the same sentiment towards the signals the Global BBC 30 Index is supposedly issuing. This index is thought to provide a more accurate reflection of what is going on in the markets as it is based on the economic data of 30 of the world's largest companies. In today's world where manipulation is the order of the day, over-reliance on such an index might not be the most prudent of actions. It has, however, confirmed that volatility levels have surged to the moon, but of course, we already knew this would occur as this was predicted well in advance by the Market volatility indicator (V-indicator).

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 22, 2015

Stock Market Retracement Not Yet Complete / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Sol_Palha

SPX appears to need one more probe higher to 2033.00 – 2035.00. Of note is that the Fibonacci retracement of 38.2% is at 2033.27, so this retracement appears to be quite muted, compared to earlier ones. Of course, it may go higher, so the 50% retracement is at 2041.57, just in case...

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 22, 2015

Stock Market Reversal Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

SPX appears to have completed an impulse from its Thursday morning high. The correction, which is nearly complete, appears to be a flat one, indicating a further decline ahead. Today is a Pivot day, suggesting a reversal may be about to take place.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, December 22, 2015

Is This Interest Rate Hike Rigged? / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

It’s official.

This week the Federal Reserve raised the key overnight Fed Funds rate by 0.25%. The move was discussed, debated, argued, and telegraphed to death. We all heard about it until we hoped anything else financial would happen so we could finally put the tired story to rest.

Now that the rate hike is on the books, we can start talking about outcomes, like how in the world the Fed intends to enforce the rate hike, what it means, and what comes next.

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Housing-Market

Tuesday, December 22, 2015

U.S. Housing Market Warning - Don’t Sit On Your Real Estate! / Housing-Market / US Housing

By: Harry_Dent

I suppose you could say we have World War II to thank.

Upon returning from the war, soldiers had their GI benefits to enjoy and a deep-seated desire to start a family. And so was born (quite literally) the baby boom, and an accompanying surge in home buying.

Out of the ashes of destruction arose an American middle class and the first generation able to more broadly buy homes with long-term mortgages.

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Politics

Tuesday, December 22, 2015

Jesus Christ Second Coming Imminent, Why There Could Also be a Third Coming / Politics / Religion

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The long wait for the always imminent Second coming of Jesus Christ may soon be over, and not just for the worlds 2.1 billion Christians but 1.6 billion muslims who have also waited for millennia for his return that is said would follow the destruction of the city of Damascus.

Christians - Isaiah 17:1 :
"The burden of Damascus. Behold, Damascus is taken away from being a city, and it shall be a ruinous heap."

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