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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Sunday, March 27, 2016

Sugar Commodity Price Set For Correction  / Commodities / Agricultural Commodities

By: Austin_Galt

The sugar price has traded exactly as outlined in analysis titled, Sugar Technical Outlook, produced back in September 2015 and has seen price increase by just over 50%.

That analysis outlined the expectation for price to trade up to around the $16.25 level. Price just hit a high of $16.75 before reversing back down impulsively. I believe that completes the intermediate term rally.

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Commodities

Saturday, March 26, 2016

What to Watch For in Gold Price and Gold Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Gold and gold stocks finally showed a bit of weakness during the holiday shortened week. Gold had its biggest weekly loss in months, losing 3% to $1217/oz while the miners (GDX, GDXJ) declined about 5%. Silver lost 4%. If weakness in Gold and gold stocks continues then we should turn our attention to technical support and see if it will hold. Gold and gold stocks are trading above the 400-day moving average which has been key resistance since 2011. Holding that support in the days or weeks ahead would offer confirmation that a new bull has started.

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Commodities

Saturday, March 26, 2016

Who Sets the Gold Price? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

How is the price of gold established? Scratching the surface, the answer seems obvious: it is a result of a free interplay of market forces. However, there is no single gold market; the yellow metal is traded in many places. Who then sets the price of gold? London or New York? Which of them shapes the price discovery process? What is the relationship between the LBMA Gold Price and Comex futures and spot prices? As the chart below shows, there is an almost perfect correlation between London and New York prices; but which leads the dance?

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Commodities

Friday, March 25, 2016

Gold Stocks Spring Rally / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Zeal_LLC

The red-hot gold stocks have spent most of March in consolidation mode, grinding sideways near their 2016 highs.  Interestingly this month’s rally pause is par for the course seasonally in gold-stock bull markets.  Like gold itself, this sector tends to slump to a seasonal low in mid-March before embarking on a strong spring rally in April and May.  With gold stocks back in a bull, their seasonality warrants consideration.

Seasonality is the tendency for prices to exhibit recurring patterns at certain times during the calendar year.  While seasonality doesn’t drive price action, it quantifies annually-repeating behavior driven by sentiment, technicals, and fundamentals.  We humans are creatures of habit and herd, which naturally colors our trading decisions.  The calendar year’s passage affects the timing and intensity of buying and selling.

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Commodities

Friday, March 25, 2016

Pre-1965 Silver Pocket Change Provides Investors With an Economic Future / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: MoneyMetals

Among all the choices you have for gold and silver bullion, genuinely historic metal is still around at reasonable prices. The runaway classic is ninety-percent U.S. silver coinage.

The lyrical ring of a handful of silver coins speaks not only to the history of the United States but also the entire heritage of sound money. Simply put, pre-1965 silver used to be called "pocket change." Everyone had some, saved some, spent some. Silver money was a natural part of everyday life.

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Commodities

Thursday, March 24, 2016

The 'Dangerous Obsession' with Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Jesse

"Gold has worked down from Alexander's time. When something holds good for two thousand years I do not believe it can be so because of prejudice or mistaken theory." Bernard Baruch

"The commerce and industry of the country, however, it must be acknowledged, though they may be somewhat augmented [by paper money], cannot be altogether so secure, when they are thus, as it were, suspended upon the Daedalian wings of paper money, as when they travel about upon the solid ground of gold and silver." Adam Smith, Wealth of Nations, p. 262

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Commodities

Thursday, March 24, 2016

The Current Oil Price Rally Is Reaching Its Limits / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

Oil prices have climbed by about 50 percent from their February lows, topping $40 per barrel. But the rally could be reaching its limits, at least temporarily, as persistent oversupply and the prospect of new shale production caps any potential price increase.

U.S. oil production has steadily lost ground over the past two quarters, with production falling more than a half million barrels per day since hitting a peak at nearly 9.7 million barrels per day (mb/d) in April 2015. American oil companies have gutted their budgets and have put off drilling plans, with many projecting absolute declines in 2016.

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Commodities

Thursday, March 24, 2016

GLX, GLDX, Baby Gold Bull Market Stillborn? / Commodities / Gold and Silver Stocks 2016

By: Rambus_Chartology

Today felt like a short covering rally during the bear market years in the PM complex only in reverse. Days like today can make one think that the rally over the last two months is all she wrote for the new bull market.. Did the baby bull die at birth ? Maybe , but I’ll need to see more proof that the bear market for the precious metals stocks, that ended on January 19th of this year is back.

During a bull market it’s nice to see new highs being made even if it’s for the short to intermediate term time frame. Then to confirm a new uptrend we need to see higher highs and higher lows being made. Since the January 19th low we’ve seen the PM stock indexes making higher highs but we’ve not seen a higher low put in yet because the rally has been so strong. Tonight I would like to show you the new bull market for the GLDX, global explores, using horizontal support and resistance lines. You can apply the same principal to the other precious metals stock indexes like the HUI or the GDX.

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Commodities

Thursday, March 24, 2016

A Love Affair: India and Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Submissions

India has had a long-standing love affair with gold. At Indian weddings, some of the brides get so much gold jewellery that it weighs them down. There are upwards of 15 million weddings every year in India. According to the World Gold Council, upwards of 50% of Indian demand for gold is destined for weddings. Gold is ingrained in the culture and a part of their belief system. Not only is it integral to weddings, gifts of gold are common for anniversaries, birthdays and religious festivals. Gold jewellery is not regarded solely as adornment. It is a store of wealth. At one time it was widely accepted that women could not own anything except for their gold jewellery. That custom still prevails outside the major cities. Gold has spanned centuries and millennia in India.

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Commodities

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

Is This The End for Crude Oil? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Sol_Palha

"The end is never as satisfying as the journey. To have achieved everything but to have done so without integrity and excitement is to have achieved nothing." ~ Anonymous

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Commodities

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

A Big Reason Why Silver Price Is Set To Soar / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Hubert_Moolman

There is only so much value in the world economy, and it is split between all the different instruments (like gold, silver, stocks, bonds, commodities, etc.) where value resides.

For silver and gold to rise significantly, relative to other instruments of value, value will have to be diverted away from those other competing instruments. The stock market, in particular, has been the biggest obstacle to a rise in precious metals, due to it sucking up most of the available value on global markets.

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Commodities

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

Global Stocks Fall, Bonds and Gold Rise After Terrorist Attacks In Brussels / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Safe haven assets, gold, silver and German bonds rose, while European stocks and global stock futures fell, after explosions rocked Brussels airport departure hall and a subway station near the EU parliament and other important EU institutions. At least 26 people are reported to have been killed after the explosions which the Belgian prosecutor has alleged are terrorist attacks.

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Commodities

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

Gold Holds on to Gains Despite Rollercoaster Ride on Rate Hike Rumors / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Nicholas_Kitonyi

Gold has an interesting relationship with the U.S Federal Reserve – we all know the Fed has huge gold reserves. However, the relationship between the Fed and gold extends beyond the huge stockpiles of gold that the Fed hoards. The fed often wields the power to determine the trading price of gold and you can record massive gains or huge losses on your gold investments depending on what the fed does at any point.

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Commodities

Tuesday, March 22, 2016

BitGold’s Secret: A Taxation Time Bomb / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Peter_Schiff

Gold is not only the world’s best performing asset so far in 2016, but it’s also off to its strongest annual start since 1980. A key difference is that 1980 was the end of a bull market, while this is the beginning of a new one. Actually, it’s the beginning of the second leg of a long-term bull market that began over 15 years ago, which I believe will be even more powerful than the first.

But today, I am warning potential gold buyers about another gold ripoff. 

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Commodities

Monday, March 21, 2016

Crude Oil Price – North or South? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Trading position (short-term; our opinion): No positions are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

On Friday, crude oil lost 1.30% after unexpected increase in U.S. oil rig counts. As a result, light crude slipped under $42 and closed the day under the previously-broken 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. What’s next for the commodity?

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Commodities

Monday, March 21, 2016

Crude Oil Price Action & Forecast / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Recently, Light Crude has seen a dramatic 35%+ increase in value.  As the current price continue to flirt with $40 per barrel, the likelihood of a further price rise is on everyone’s mind.  With recent lows near $26 per barrel, what is the possibility that oil will form a base above $30 and attempt a rally?

Historically, the 2009 low price for oil was $33.20.  This level should be viewed as a key level of support for current price action.  The recent price rotation below this level is a sign that oil prices are under extreme pressure in the current economic environment with a supply glut and slower than expected demand.

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Commodities

Monday, March 21, 2016

Silver – A Long-Term Perspective / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: DeviantInvestor

We all know silver is volatile.  When gold rallies, silver usually rallies faster and farther, particularly after the rally has been well established.

Volatility is not a reason to avoid silver.  Instead, now is a time to continue stacking.  Yes, silver almost certainly will correct many times, but examine the big picture.

Over the past 50 years prices for stocks, silver, gold, crude oil, health care, and presidential elections have increased exponentially, mainly due to massive increases in debt (see graph below) and devaluations of currencies.  Expect exponential price increases to continue.

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Commodities

Monday, March 21, 2016

Gold Silver Ratio Says It’s Time to Buy Silver, Sell Gold / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: GoldCore

Silver remains undervalued versus gold and the gold silver ratio suggests “selling the former” and “buying the latter” according to a Bloomberg article published today.

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Commodities

Monday, March 21, 2016

Silver Price About to Slump Lower / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Clive_Maund

Whilst silver had a good week last week, outperforming gold and rising to multi-month new high, it looks like that may have been its "swan song" for a while. It looks quite positive at first sight on its latest 6-month chart with the new high and moving averages starting to swing into a more positive alignment, but once you "look under the hood" you quickly realize things are not so good at all.

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Commodities

Monday, March 21, 2016

Gold Price Intermediate Top / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2016

By: Clive_Maund

All the technical evidence suggests that gold is building out an intermediate top area here, which fits with the fundamental situation where complacency and "risk on" are making a comeback, thanks to the boundless generosity of Central Bankers.

Starting with gold's 6-month chart we see that after its parabolic ramp up in January and early February, it has been struggling to make further progress. The supposed (by some) bull Flag or Pennant turned out to be false and although it has edged ahead a little, the passage of time has resulted in its breaking down from the parabola simply by moving sideways, which has, unknown to many, opened up the risk of a potentially severe drop. The most plausible interpretation of pattern development since the parabolic blowoff spike in early - mid February is that it is a bearish Rising Wedge, which the price broke down from about a week ago, before a backtest of the breakdown point with the big up day last Wednesday when the Fed didn't raise rates, which triggered panic short covering.

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