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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Monday, July 23, 2007

Harry Houdini – Financial Markets Seasonal Patterns -- And Liar's Loans Toxic Waste / Commodities / Financial Crash

By: Captain_Hook

Market pundits are coming out of the woodwork prognosticating financial markets are in real trouble now because the subprime mess will spread to other markets, and a ‘ blood bath ' will occur in everything from commercial loans to the stock market. And then select others more conservatively espouse, while they are open to such possibilities given global imbalances / bubbles are undoubtedly stretched, it's not over until the fat lady sings, but that at a minimum we should count on increased volatility in the days ahead.

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Commodities

Monday, July 23, 2007

Gold Breakout - Are You Awake Yet? / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: David_Vaughn

How about that gold chart below? Does that look like evidence of a crash to you? Give me a break.

Notice anything peculiar in the gold market? If you are real astute you have noticed a predictable oscillation in the gold price this past year or so. This is interesting. This is kind of like looking at a glass half full or half empty. Volatility in a given market can be a good thing or a bad thing.

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Commodities

Monday, July 23, 2007

Daily London Gold Market Report - Gold Targets Next Resistance at $693 / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

THE PRICE OF GOLD traded in a tight range early Monday, briefly nearing Friday's two-month high of $685 per ounce before recording the highest Gold Fix in London since May 9th at $683.50.

"Gold seems to be supported at the moment by both the weak Dollar and strong crude," said a Bank of China gold trader to Bloomberg this morning.

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Commodities

Sunday, July 22, 2007

Uranium Spot Price Decline Stops for A Week / Commodities / Uranium

By: James_Finch

Just when the uranium markets begin to look dull – like they did in the 1980s and 1990s, along comes bad news planting the seeds of renewed interest. In October 2006, it was Cigar Lake. In March 2007, flooding at the Ranger operations attracted more investors.

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Commodities

Sunday, July 22, 2007

Gold and Silver Analysis - Precious Points: Good As Gold / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Joe_Nicholson

“There is strong overhead resistance in gold, first at $680 and again just below $700, but over the past year every consecutive weekly close above the 5-week moving average has signaled a move to a new high… Silver resistance lies overhead near $13.40 and again just below $14. If we really start rolling, the possible target for this move is near $14.50.” ~ Precious Points: Are Metals Next?, July 14, 2007

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Commodities

Sunday, July 22, 2007

Gold and Silver Marketwatch- This Time It's For Real... / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Clive_Maund

The powerful rally by large Precious Metals (PM) stocks over the past couple of weeks is believed to be the start of a "breakout drive" that will vault the sector indices out of the large holding patterns that they have been stuck in for past 18 months, for these patterns date back further than the actual highs to the start of last year, ushering in a period of rapid and substantial advance.

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Commodities

Sunday, July 22, 2007

Weekly Gold and Silver Technical Analysis Report - 22nd July 2007 - Technically Precious with Merv / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Merv_Burak

All in all, a pretty good week. The major gold Indices are finally breaking out of their year long lethargy and may be making a dash towards the 2006 highs. Is this the start of something big?

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Commodities

Saturday, July 21, 2007

PLATINUM - ZIMBABWE - Send Not to See Whom The Bell Tolls, It Tolls For Thee! / Commodities / Platinum

By: Julian_DW_Phillips

By far the greatest majority of you who read this article live in well-ordered societies, where the bulk of your problems can be contained within the good order of the rest of your life. Indeed, from this position it seems easy to couch your views and criticisms of others, from within this secure framework. 

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Commodities

Friday, July 20, 2007

Energy Stocks Due for a Correction, Which Would Present a Buying Opportunity / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: Zeal_LLC

In a rapidly developing world starved for energy, the powerful surge in energy stocks in recent months certainly has a strong fundamental foundation. With decades left to go in the massive industrialization of Asia , global energy demand is going to continue relentlessly growing for many years to come.

And as long as worldwide demand growth exceeds supply growth, energy prices have no economic choice but to continue to rise on balance. This is why energy stocks are probably the best long-term investment in the world today. I started speculating in them in 2001 and have laid up big investments in elite energy producers in the years since. In the specific case of oil stocks, their valuations remain so low that they are also true value plays in addition to being highly leveraged to the structural energy deficits.

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Commodities

Friday, July 20, 2007

Daily London Gold Market Report - Gold Short-term Pullback / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

GOLD PULLED BACK from a fresh nine-week high overnight to hold steady above $676 per ounce during the Asian and early London sessions on Friday.

Trading more than 1.3% above last week's Dollar close, gold for immediate delivery also touched a new one-month high versus both Sterling and Euros before slipping just below £330 and €491 respectively.

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Commodities

Friday, July 20, 2007

Tuareg Rebels Threaten Niger Uranium Industry / Commodities / Articles

By: James_Finch

How would the loss of nine percent of world's uranium mining impact the uranium price?
We would not wish to trade places with Nick Tattersall, the Reuters wire serve reporter providing outsiders a glimpse of the chaos now unfolding in the Republic of Niger.

Nearly all of Niger's journalists have been threatened or shut down.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 19, 2007

Gold Stocks Bull Market - The Next Phase Has Begun / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

On Thursday gold stocks broke out from the consolidation that began in May 2006. The XAU closed at 158.25, exceeding its consolidation high of 153.15. The HUI closed at 371.88, exceeding its consolidation high of 369.69. If not for the recent slip in Eldorado Gold (EGO), the HUI would be at least a few points higher.

How do we know that this breakout is for real or confirmed?

Given the aforementioned case with Eldorado, I'm going to use the XAU here.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 19, 2007

Daily London Gold Market Report - Gold Rallies to 8 Week Peak / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

GOLD PRICES rose nearly 1% by mid-morning in London on Thursday, reaching $673 per ounce by the Morning Fix – the highest fix in US Dollars since May 14th.

Priced against Euros, gold hit a one-month high at €486.90 per ounce, and the metal was rose 0.8% from Wednesday evening against the Pound Sterling. Fixed at £328.18, the metal then rose further as the Pound slipped on the currency markets.

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Commodities

Thursday, July 19, 2007

Gold Shines on Further Secular US Dollar Weakness / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Ashraf_Laidi

The dollar resumes its broad sell-off as Chairman Bernanke's speech and the Fed's central tendency forecasts present no real deviation in the existing negative dollar flows, which have escalated in the Asian session following Bear Stearns' announcement on its sub-prime hedge funds. The secular deterioration in the US dollar is highlighted via the 5% increase in gold prices over the past 2 ½ weeks. Gold today is surging by $8 per ounce to $674 per ounce, its highest level in 2 months.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 18, 2007

How to Profit from Crude Oil's Next Surge / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Money_and_Markets

Sean Brodrick writes: I have bad news: If you think oil prices are high now, you ain't seen nothin' yet. The good news is that you can profit from oil's next move. That should help you pay your soaring bills when gasoline accelerates past $4 a gallon. More on that in a moment. First, let's talk about why energy prices are on the move.

About a month ago, I gave you "Three Triggers for Higher Oil Prices." Just to refresh your memory, they are: 1. the potential for monster hurricanes in the Gulf of Mexico, 2. spreading violence in the Persian Gulf, and 3. a potential al Qaeda attack on U.S. oil facilities.

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Commodities

Wednesday, July 18, 2007

Daily London Gold Market Report - Gold Forecast $1400 by 2015 / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

SPOT GOLD PRICES rose steadily throughout the Asian session on Wednesday, hitting a new high for the week above $669.90 before slipping to $667.75 per ounce at the AM Fix in London – the highest Fix since June 7th.

Global stock markets fell sharply, meantime, knocking 1.1% off the Nikkei in Tokyo and shaving 0.7% off the FTSE in London .

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 17, 2007

How High Can Crude Oil Fly? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Gary_Dorsch

In London, the price of North Sea Brent, the benchmark for two-thirds of the world's oil, touched an all-time high of $78.40 per barrel this week, with no sense of alarm at the world's top central banks. Regarded as a key indicator of global inflation, central bankers are sitting in stone faced silence about the surge in crude oil, and that's been good news for bullish speculators in gold and energy shares.

After all, higher interest rates won't produce one extra barrel of oil. When asked about the high price of crude oil on July 10th, Federal Reserve chief Ben “helicopter” Bernanke replied, “Inflation is less responsive than it used to be to changes in oil prices and other supply shocks. If inflation expectations are well anchored, changes in energy and food prices should have relatively little influence on “core” inflation.” Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Tuesday, July 17, 2007

MPTrader Mid-Day Minute - Gold Streets ETF Consolidates Above Support / Commodities / Gold & Silver Stocks

By: Mike_Paulenoff

For the past four sessions, and since it thrust above its declining 50-day moving average, the streetTRACKS Gold Shares (NYSE: GLD) has consolidated above the 50 DMA in what appears to be a bull flag formation that should resolve itself in a thrust towards the May '06-July '07 resistance line, now at 67.80. At this juncture, only a sustained break of the 50 DMA will begin to compromise the developing bullish scenario.

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Commodities

Tuesday, July 17, 2007

Daily London Gold Market Report - Gold Slips Below $665 / Commodities / Gold & Silver

By: Adrian_Ash

GOLD SLIPPED nearly $2 per ounce during the first-half of London trade on Tuesday, nearing the US open below $665, its lowest price since Thursday.

"The Dollar is still the main driver of gold prices and there will be a set of important data points this week which may influence the Euro/Dollar exchange rate and hence gold," reckons Michael Widmer, director of research at Calyon Bank.

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Commodities

Monday, July 16, 2007

Crude Oil Going To $80 a Barrel? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Hans_Wagner

How do you beat the market when oil keeps on rising? Last week's rise in the price of oil to $74/barrel once again raises speculation that we could see all time highs in oil. As you might realize there are three factors that contribute the price of oil. Supply of oil, demand for oil and speculation. Looking at these factors may help provide a better understand of where the price of oil might go.

Supply of Oil

The following is from the Energy Information Administration Short Term Energy Outlook .

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