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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Monday, March 17, 2014

Can Gold and Interest Rates Move Higher at the Same Time? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Matt_Machaj

Can the gold price be fundamentally related to some other economic variables? Can we use those variables successfully in trying to predict the future price of gold? Is gold highly correlated with any of those variables?

Last year a very insightful and interesting working paper was published in the webpages of the National Bureau of Economic Research by Claude Erb and Campbell Harvey. The paper is mostly about gold being perceived as either a safe haven or an inflation hedge. After a while it sparked various discussions about gold not being what it is thought of. And rightly so. As we have already mentioned many times in the Market Overviews, gold is not historically an inflation hedge device which will protect you against possible inflation. Of course the special case for the gold price could be a hyperinflationary scenario.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Monday, March 17, 2014

Aging Stocks Bull Market Is Igniting Commodity Sectors Rally / Commodities / Resources Investing

By: Money_Morning

Peter Krauth writes: Markets clearly move in cycles, and commodities are no exception.

In fact, resources as an asset class are prone to the most extreme examples...

The good news is that recognizing and embracing these boom/bust cycles can make for huge profits.

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Commodities

Monday, March 17, 2014

Gold Price Moves Into Important Fibonacci Zone / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Gregor_Horvat

Gold is at the highs once again, testing 1380-1400 area where we see some important Fibonacci levels that could react as resistance in this week. An updated count now shows a five wave move in wave (c) of C that is in final stages after recent break out of a running triangle in subwave four.

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Commodities

Monday, March 17, 2014

Three Breakouts in Gold and Silver Stocks / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Rambus_Chartology

I’ve shown you several comparison charts with the HUI, GLD and SLV that shows they all tend to breakout at roughly the same time. One can sometimes be stronger than the others but they tend to breakout at the same time. This week was no exception. All three broke out of their consolidation patterns this week. Who would have thunk it.

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Commodities

Monday, March 17, 2014

Gold’s Protection Against Counterparty Risk Is Coming Alive / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: GoldSilverWorlds

History repeats itself. Although it does not repeat exactly in the same way, it rhymes. Consider this, exactly one year ago, on March 16th, Cyprus reached the newswires globally with the announcement of its bank bail-ins.

One year later, the geopolitical escalation between Ukraine and Russia is front stage. Just moments ago, the long awaited referendum in Crimea resulted in an overwhelming 95% of votes to join Russia, according to Reuters. The Western world, even before the closing of the referendum, has officially stated that it denies the results.

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Commodities

Sunday, March 16, 2014

Gold Continues Higher as Mining Stocks Outperform / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Jesse

Gold continued punching higher after its breakout, but the less talked about story might be the performance of the mining stocks this year, which has been fairly impressive. I have intraday commentary and some relative performance charts on that here.

With silver lagging a bit it looks like a 'safe haven' trade so far, and some of it has to be a relief rally from the incredibly pounding that the metals have taken since the Germans asked for the return of their gold bullion in late 2012. That apparently tipped over someone's punchbowl, and they unleashed the dogs of currency war.

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Commodities

Sunday, March 16, 2014

Monster Silver Price Rally Brewing / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Clive_Maund

On silver's 1-year chart we can see that a fine large Double Bottom is completing. We already had the breakout on good volume from the 2nd trough of this Double Bottom in the middle of February, and it was this event that has (rightly) caused traders to pile into silver, although the price hasn't moved much - yet. The better silver stocks, on the other hand, are already on fire, because the "writing is on the wall". Right now the price is consolidating following the breakout in a fine tight Flag formation, from which upside breakout looks imminent.

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Commodities

Sunday, March 16, 2014

Gold Stocks Golden Rocket – Best of the Breed / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Gold and gold stocks have be stabilizing for months and have been quietly rising. Many gold stocks are up 30% even 50% in the past three months. The $HUI AMEX Gold Bugs Index is up over 30% from the lows.

If you think you have missed most of the move already you are wrong. The truth is most of the biggest rallies in stocks take place after a basing pattern with 30 -50% or more has formed. This is signaling massive accumulation in gold stocks and its happening right now by the institutions.

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Commodities

Saturday, March 15, 2014

Gold And Silver - Start Watching Fed's Fiat 'Dollar' More Closely For Clues / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Michael_Noonan

Saturday The Ides of March 2014

For the past several weeks, our commentaries have dwelled on factors unrelated to what so many other writers have focused, primarily demand from a variety of sources, shrinking supply of physical at COMEX and LBMA, lots of charts and graphs to make interesting presentations, but none of those factors have been instrumental in moving gold and silver to higher levels. Our take has been the suppression of gold and silver has come from the elites running the central banks, and by extension, all Western governments.

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Commodities

Saturday, March 15, 2014

Gold for Investors In Need of Financial Safety / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Aden_Forecast

Gold is a safe haven

The emerging market turmoil in January got the safe haven ball rolling. The slowing U.S. economy then added another boost, especially with Yellen keeping the same policies as Bernanke.

And now geopolitical concerns, like the crisis in Ukraine, are giving gold yet another safe haven push upward.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Friday, March 14, 2014

Gold and Silver Prices To Rise As The U.S. Economy Disintegrates / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Steve_St_Angelo

As the U.S. economy continues to disintegrate, increasing numbers of investors will be forced to move out of paper assets and into physical gold and silver to protect their wealth.  At first the move will be slow, but as Americans wake up from four decades of fiat monetary amnesia, it will turn into a torrent.

Unfortunately, there won't be much in the way of physical precious metals to "GET" at this time, as the clever Chinese and Easterners already cleared most of the shelves.  However, Americans will still be shocked and stunned that they didn't see this big transfer of wealth coming..... and there is a good reason for that.  Brain damage.

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Commodities

Friday, March 14, 2014

Gold Price Rebound Driven by Big Futures Buying / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Zeal_LLC

Gold’s strong rebound upleg this year has been driven by big gold-futures buying.  After abandoning gold last year, American futures speculators are returning to the yellow metal in droves.  These capital inflows are a very bullish harbinger, as major futures buying is the primary fuel for young gold uplegs before investors return to take the baton.  And this big gold-futures buying is likely less than half done!

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Commodities

Friday, March 14, 2014

The Best Case For Gold In Years: World War III / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Jeff_Berwick

The Ukraine is a cesspool of geo-political posturing, and it poses a great danger to our society. What is going on in the Ukraine is openly admitted by mainstream media to be largely helped along by US taxpayer money via government. This involvement by the US, on Russia's border, is really an act of war. As The Guardian wrote in 2004:

"[...]the campaign [Orange Revolution] is an American creation, a sophisticated and brilliantly conceived exercise in western branding and mass marketing that, in four countries in four years, has been used to try to salvage rigged elections and topple unsavoury regimes[...]The Democratic party's National Democratic institution, the Republicn party's International Republican Institute, the US state department and USAid are the main agencies involved in these grassroots campaigns as well as the Freedom House NGO and billionaire George Soro's open society institute."em>

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Commodities

Friday, March 14, 2014

Gold, Silver, Blind Men and Golden Elephants / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

"The first rule of mainstream financial journalism and, particularly, financial journalism about gold is never to put a specific critical question about the monetary metal to any of the primary participants in the gold market, central banks. That is, nearly all gold market reporting is, by design, irrelevant distraction at best, disinformation at worst." -Chris Powell, Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee

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Commodities

Friday, March 14, 2014

Gold Price Storms Through $1350 / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Alasdair_Macleod

Last Monday gold ended a week-long consolidation that saw it fall from $1354 to $1329, before rising strongly to over $1370 yesterday. Not only is Asian demand still outstripping mine supply by a large margin, but physical ETFs such as GLD are now beginning to see more buyers than sellers, and so are no longer a source of supply.

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Commodities

Friday, March 14, 2014

Bearish Banks Help Fuel Gold’s Meteoric Run / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Clif_Droke

Just when you thought the last of the big institutional banks were ready to throw in the towel on their bearish metal forecasts, yet another one has joined the ranks of the gold bears.

Morgan Stanley was the latest to enter the fray on Monday when it lowered its gold price forecast for 2014 and 2015 in a research report. The group based its lower forecast on the expected impact of reduced monetary stimulus combined with increased regulatory pressure on investment banks to reduce the scale of proprietary commodities trading.
Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Thursday, March 13, 2014

Breakout in Gold Price and Gold Mining Stocks! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne

Lately we’ve been writing about why we expected the rebound in precious metals to continue without any serious setbacks. After a major low, sentiment can remain muted for several months even in contrast to the improving market action. Yet, a look at history shows that rebounds from major lows can continue unabated and unscathed for more than a year. The rebound in precious metals thus far appears to be following this script. It has received a further boost with the breakout in Gold yesterday and as of now, the breakout in the gold miners.

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Commodities

Thursday, March 13, 2014

The Silver Storage Myth / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Paul_Behan

I have often heard some “experts” explain how much space it takes to store physical silver in comparison to gold. For example, they say if the gold silver ratio is (GSR) is 50 to 1, it takes 50 times more space to store the physical silver over the same value of gold.  While the GSR is valid for comparing the price of the two metals, it only makes up part of the equation on the space it takes for storage. What is often overlooked is the density of the metals. The density of pure gold is 19.3 which equates to:

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Commodities

Wednesday, March 12, 2014

The Case for Gold Right Now / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Michael_J_Kosares

With special thanks to the St. Louis Federal Reserve and its FRED charting software.
Published with permission. These charts update automatically.

'A picture is worth a thousand words'

This collection of charts is for those who do not like a lot of verbiage to justify an investment decision -- just the facts. Two primary themes drive the specific chart selections presented here:

First, it is clear that none of the factors which caused the financial crisis of 2008 have been addressed in any sustainable fashion by those charged with setting economic policy. Explosions in both the monetary base and reserve bank credit show they have simply been 'papered-over' - a far-cry from a lasting solution. In fact, one could argue (and many have) that such policies may one day fuel a second tier to the crisis even more damaging than the first.

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Commodities

Wednesday, March 12, 2014

Copper Price Breakdown Means Short Silver / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Briefly: In our opinion short speculative positions (half) in silver and mining stocks are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

There were basically no changes in gold, silver and mining stock charts yesterday, except for gold moving slightly higher on news about increased tensions in Ukraine. Gold's reaction was once again weak.

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