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Analysis Topic: Commodity Markets - Metals, Softs & Oils

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Commodities

Friday, November 21, 2014

Gold Price Now What? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Aden_Forecast

Gold has been volatile in recent weeks. It broke down, then it bounced back up. So where does it currently stand?

Gold's timing will help us in identifying the lows and the steps upward towards a new bull market.

Chart 1 shows our favorite gold timing tool. As our older readers know, gold has had recurring cycles going back for years.

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Commodities

Thursday, November 20, 2014

The Secret Advantage Gold/Silver Owners Have Over Everyone / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Submissions

Guy Christopher writes: A lot of folks took advantage of recently falling gold and silver prices to beef up their precious metals holdings. 

Those adding to their portfolios understood the old adage of buying low and selling high.  Unfortunately, others wait until dollar values of gold and silver have zoomed before deciding to convert their paper money.  

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Commodities

Thursday, November 20, 2014

Iran Nuclear Negotiations, OPEC Meeting Loom For Oil Markets / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: OilPrice_Com

As November draws to a close, there are two major events that could profoundly change the oil markets.

With the clock ticking, the 5 permanent members of the UN Security Council plus Germany (P5 plus 1) are negotiating down to the wire with Iran over its nuclear program. The two sides have made substantial progress, but some difficult issues remain unresolved ahead of the November 24 deadline.

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 19, 2014

Gold Manipulation - Efficient Markets Driven By Symmetrically Available Information - Algorithic! / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Jesse

"What a piece of work is a man, how noble in reason, how

infinite in faculties, in form and moving how express and

admirable, in action how like an angel, in apprehension how like

a god! the beauty of the world, the paragon of animals." - William Shakespeare, Hamlet

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 19, 2014

Gold Rises After Unusual Russian Central Bank Gold Buying Announcement / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: GoldCore

Russia’s central bank bought about 150 metric tons of the metal this year, announced Governor Elvira Nabiullina yesterday. The pronouncement immediately created buying in the market, prompting gold to rise to a two week high at $1,200 an ounce.

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 19, 2014

Why Gold and U.S. Dollar Do Not Always Move Inversely? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Arkadiusz Sieron writes: The strength (or weakness) in the U.S. dollar is one of the most important drivers of price of gold. However, this is not always true and there are times when they rise or fall simultaneously. The positive correlation between U.S. dollar and gold occurred, for instance, from May through December 1993, from May until November 2005, and at the turn of the 2008 and 2009.

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 19, 2014

Gold & Silver Timing and Flexibility is the Key to a Successful Trade / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Bob_Kirtley

Background
Gold has not glistened since the summer of 2011 when a substantial rally took it to an all-time record price of $1900/oz.

Since then however it has been a one way trek south punctuated by an occasional weak rally or head fake. Gold’s inability to sustain a meaningful move to higher ground has been damaging to any portfolio that has acquired gold, silver or the associated mining stocks over the last 3 years or so. Gold’s bull market lasted for 10 years from 2001 to 2011 before its rally came to an end. One can be forgiven for expecting such a rally to continue indefinitely as the same data which supported the precious metals surge were more or less still in place. Gold’s fall from grace can be attributed to many reasons including the attraction of a roaring stock market, resurgence of the US dollar, cost of storage, poor sentiment, etc. Depending on the time that one entered this market determines ones current p/l position. Those who purchased gold, silver and the producers in the early years of this bull market will be sitting on handsome profits, assuming they had a buy and hold strategy. For those who are relatively new to this sector of the market it has been a roller coaster of a ride with values being in a progressive state of deterioration.

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Commodities

Wednesday, November 19, 2014

Forget About Crude Oil Price Testing 2009 Low / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Austin_Galt

Oil has hit a slick recently with price sliding over 30% in the last five months. There are now calls for price to potentially  test the 2009 lows. While I think this is a bit extreme, let’s investigate the charts to see what the evidence there suggests.

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 18, 2014

How to Profit From Oversold Crude Oil Price / Commodities / Oil Companies

By: Investment_U

Christopher Rowe writes: There's a seismic macroeconomic shift going on right now. It's happening on a global scale, and it will shake up investment portfolios everywhere in the world.

Mistakes will be made, but fortunes will be made, too.

The price of oil is at a four-year low, and investors are asking these questions:

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 18, 2014

ECB Buy Gold Bullion? Japan's Monetary Policy Dubbed "Ponzi Scheme" / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: GoldCore

Concerns about deflation, recession and a return to the Eurozone debt crisis, may see the ECB follow Japan and print money to buy assets including shares, exchange traded funds and physical gold.

Counter intuitively, gold prices fell on the quite bullish news. In marked contrast to the sharp falls gold saw on the mere rumour of small Cyprus selling their miniscule gold reserves. Such odd trading leads to continuing concerns that the precious metals markets are still being manipulated.

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 18, 2014

Gold, Silver, Crude and S&P Ending Wedge Patterns / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: DeviantInvestor

Gold and silver prices have been trading in declining wedge patterns since 2011.  Crude has traded in a flat to down wedge pattern for five years, and the S&P has been moving inexorably higher since early 2009 in a contracting wedge.

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 18, 2014

GOLDZILLA / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Gary_Tanashian

“History shows again and again how nature points out the folly of man” –Blue Oyster Cult, Godzilla

I would have written off the gold sector long ago in its ongoing bear market had I thought for one moment that gold’s utility as insurance against the acts of monetary madmen/women in high places had been compromised in any way. On the contrary, the monetary metal is simply having its price marked down in a bear market while its value, especially given its current price and all that has gone on in the financial system over the last 3 years remains just fine.

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Commodities

Tuesday, November 18, 2014

Has the Gold Bear Trap Been Set / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Bob_Loukas

We finally have some movement within the gold complex, and for a welcomed change, it’s to the upside. It has been dicey lately, as the back and forth daily swings have been unnerving. It’s not common within bear markets to see an asset form a Cycle Low and then just take off to the upside. This is why anyone trading the precious metals sector needs to understand that the Long traders carry with them a lot of anxiety. Past experiences have them guarded, which is why we see these frequent quick intra-day reversals…they’re spooked far too easily.

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Commodities

Monday, November 17, 2014

Are Crude Oil's Bears Over? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Nadia_Simmons

Trading position (short-term; our opinion): Long positions with a stop-loss at $72.78 are justified from the risk/reward perspective.

Although crude oil hit a fresh four-year low on Friday, the commodity rebounded sharply as upbeat U.S. data and speculations that OPEC countries may consider cutting output supported the price. As a result, light crude closed the day above $75 and invalidated the breakdown below important support lines. Is it enough to trigger a trend reversal?

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Commodities

Monday, November 17, 2014

Gold Price and Miners Soar on Huge Volume / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Briefly: In our opinion no speculative positions are currently justified from the risk/reward perspective.

Gold moved substantially higher on Friday and the volume was huge. The session was both significant and bullish, but the question remains if such show of strength can be a start of the next big move. As we promised in Friday's second alert, we analyzed the situation thoroughly over the weekend and are reporting to you today.

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Commodities

Monday, November 17, 2014

Gold Standard - We Are Never Going Back / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis

It has always fascinated me to hear the mainstream's interpretation of the gold standard. The great majority - including many who are part and parcel to the financial elite - elicit a knee-jerk response to its mere utterance.  

Many see the return to the most recent Bretton-Woods-based "imposed standard", not one based on market value. Furthermore, the knee-jerk is detached from the main reasons why they "should" oppose. 

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Commodities

Monday, November 17, 2014

Gold Price Golden Bottom? / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Toby_Connor

Today I’m going to follow up on my last article “Are commodities at a major turning point”.

If commodities and gold are ready to reverse then the first thing that has to happen is the dollar needs to form a top. I think that may have occurred on November 7th when the last employment report was released. Notice how the dollar formed a key reversal on that day, that was retested Friday and failed, forming a bearish engulfing candlestick.

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Commodities

Sunday, November 16, 2014

Gold Dragons Grand Strategy / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2014

By: Richard_Mills

Zheng Bijian, a leading Chinese intellectual and reformer said: "The most important strategic choice the Chinese made was to embrace globalization."

China has made a new most important strategic choice - Asian Regionalization.

"In the past few years, both Chinese and foreign analysts began to reach the conclusion that China has developed a fairly consistent and coherent grand strategy... Because economic development is taken as the only way for tackling all the pressing challenges that China is facing and will face, China's grand strategy must serve the central purpose of development. Therefore, the central objective of China's Grand Strategy in the past two decades (which may well last to 2050) can be captured in just one sentence: to secure and shape a conducive environment (security, economic, and political) so that China can concentrate on its development (economic, social, and political)." ~ Tang Shiping and Zhang Yunling, China's Regional Strategy

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Commodities

Sunday, November 16, 2014

Whatever Happened To $100 Crude Oil Price? / Commodities / Crude Oil

By: Andrew_McKillop

The Paradigm Shift
Business news provider Bloomberg, November 14, cited a Tass interview in which Vladimir Putin says that Russia is prepared for "catastrophic falls" of world oil prices and export revenues – on a day when Nymex oil market players and manipultors engineered a classic "sucker's rally" with a one-day 2.5% jump in Brent and WTI prices!  Putin is unlikely to be fooled by that rally and Russia, like China has been making very large gold purchases as an insurance policy on likely or probable major currency upheavals, in Russia's case including intensified attacks in the present "war on the ruble" to punish its support for rebels in eastern Ukraine.

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Commodities

Sunday, November 16, 2014

Gold and Silver 2015 Trend Forecasts, Prices to Go BOOM / Commodities / Gold and Silver 2015

By: Austin_Galt

“Finally!” in English, “Por fin!” in Spanish and “About bloody time!!” in Australian. The belated rally in gold and silver finally got underway when it was least expected. The contrarian wins again!

The final bear market rally in gold and silver kicked off after a fake out move lower and should end with a fake out move higher. That’s the way I see it anyway. Of course the permabulls will be back out in force again calling the next great bull market now in progress and this rally should terminate when those calls reach fever pitch.

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