Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, November 30, 2010
Stock Market Big Comeback Pares Losses / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The stock market indices had a down day, but came way back in the last couple hours to shave a big chunk off the losses. The day started out with a big gap to the downside, bounced, and then went sharply lower in the morning, reaching the session lows literally in the first 45 minutes.
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Monday, November 29, 2010
Could Wikileaks Revealing Major Bank Secrets Crash the Global Economy? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Whilst the mainstream press is focused on tittal tattle such as the Duke of York's' rude utterances or South Koreans suggesting that China would be more than happy for them to takeover the North that smacks more of wishful thinking than anything credible.
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Monday, November 29, 2010
Stock Market Small Late Reversal...Nothing To Get Excited About... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
We saw the market come off its lows today. To many this will seem as if the selling is finally over. I'd be very careful with that type of thinking since all the market did was rally a bit after the dollar hit major resistance on its daily chart at the 200-day exponential moving average. At the same time its daily chart was hitting strong resistance, its oscillators got overbought on both the 60-minute and daily charts. So it was no real surprise to see the market find a reversal off the lows late day. None of this makes the market bullish short-term. It could lead to a small rally over the next day or so, but it's incredibly unlikely we'll see much to the upside here.
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Monday, November 29, 2010
Investors Drawn to China Like Moths to a Flame / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
"Investors are drawn to China like moths to a flame." – Neil Woodford
That’s a great quote. Neil is the head of investments at Invesco, running the UK’s largest investment fund with a decade of 15% average returns under his belt so let’s take the man seriously for starters. Mr Woodford’s concerns coincide with figures showing that food prices in China were 10.1pc higher in October than in the same month last year – a level of inflation not seen since mid-2007. This is deepening concern that China’s economy is now starting to overheat.
Monday, November 29, 2010
Stock, Bond and Silver Year-End Targets To Watch / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
I hope you had a wonderful Thanksgiving holiday and weekend! But now I want to turn our attention back to the markets. Judging by the positive response to last Monday’s column, I want to give you more year-end signals to watch for key markets.
Remember, this is the first time ever that I’ve released such signals. They are based on a proprietary trading model I developed in the early 1980s, and are a unique combination of cyclical and technical analysis.
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Monday, November 29, 2010
Are Mid-Cap Stocks Set to Lead the Market Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Jon D. Markman writes: Stocks struggled over the past week as investors managed to shrug off an escalating conflict in Korea only to have renewed sovereign debt troubles in Europe slug them in the face. The Dow Jones Industrials and S&P 500 both closed half a percent lower while the Nasdaq closed half a percent higher. The European exchanges all closed 3% to 5% lower.
Yet some sectors thrived. Best groups for the week were retailers, semiconductor makers and Internet software and hardware makers, all up 3% to 5%. Major damages were mostly in large-cap banks and materials producers.
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Monday, November 29, 2010
Market Concerns Over Euro-Zone Bailout, Smart Money Preparing to Sell Stocks Hard / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
(ZeroHedge) Despite its illiquidity, The FX market has been the first and earliest indicator of how the market is taking the Irish bailout. So far it has been a complete abortion, and after opening in the mid 1.33 in the interbank market, the EURUSD has just touched on 1.3196, and is about to take out Friday support. The vigilantes refuse to go away. In addition to LCH margin hikes on Portugal and Spanish bonds tomorrow which now appears inevitable, we continue to expect that FX margin requirements will be hiked over the next few days across the board. Lastly, expect to hear rumors of secret service chasing any and all bond shorts/CDS longs. The war for the Eurozone's survival is now on in earnest.
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Sunday, November 28, 2010
Smells Like A Stock Market Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
It was only 2 weeks ago that the "dumb money" indicator and Rydex market timers were bullish to an extreme degree and company insiders were selling shares at a clip that had not been seen in 4 years. In most instances, these are bearish signals. The exception would be the scenario where too many bulls actually leads to a bull market.
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Sunday, November 28, 2010
Stock Market Manipulation, Interest Rates and Dow Theory Bear Rally / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
I continue to believe, based on the evidence at hand, that the rally out the March 2009 low is a large scale bear market rally that should ultimately prove to separate Phase I from Phase II of the much larger and ongoing secular bear market. But, just as I told my subscribers before that low was even made, the longer this rally holds up, the more dangerous it becomes. Reason being, it becomes more and more convincing. I also continue to receive questions asking whether or not the Dow theory or any other market discipline is still applicable in light of the manipulation.
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Saturday, November 27, 2010
Stock Market Elliott Wave Count Weekend Update - 27th Nov / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
After four gapped openings in four trading days the US markets ended the week mixed. Economic reports for this week continued the upward trend of improving numbers. Q3 GDP was revised higher to 2.5%. Personal income/spending rose, weekly jobless claims fell to their lowest level in many months, weekly mortgage application rose, consumer sentiment moved higher, the WLEI continued to rise, and PCE prices were flat.
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Saturday, November 27, 2010
Benjamin Graham’s Investing Wisdom and Stock Market Cycle Formula Timing Plans / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Most investors are aware that Benjamin Graham, author of The Intelligent Investor, the acclaimed investment book first published in 1949, is the father of value investing. The basics of value investing are that when you buy a financial asset like a stock or bond, the reason to buy is for the future cash flow that the underlying business is going to generate, and from which you will be compensated in dividends, interest or price appreciation.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, November 27, 2010
Stock Investors Should Give the Fed Some Love! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
It would seem that the Federal Reserve has few fans these days. Fed Chairman Bernanke is castigated in blogs. Members of Congress are questioning his strategies. Finance Ministers in Germany call him “clueless”. His QE2 tactic has prompted near universal scorn from economists throughout the world. Einstein taught us that everything is relative. Depending up one’s point of view, maybe it’s time to give Bernanke and the Fed some love.
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Friday, November 26, 2010
North Korea, Euro Crisis… Trading News Psychology / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
Overnight Tuesday, selling pressure slammed futures on the ominous news of North Korea shelling a South Korean island. What ought to have been a relatively-quiet market day heading into Thanksgiving was suddenly filled with anxiety. How would the South Koreans retaliate? Was a new war erupting?
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Friday, November 26, 2010
Room For Additional Economic Stimulus Continues To Shrink, Stock Market Trend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Most analysts view the current correction on stock markets worldwide as unavoidable. Tensions in Europe linked to the public finances are on the rise, China is trying to restrict domestic credit supply, and the Fed faces a torrent of criticism at home and abroad regarding its policy to increase quantitative easing by $600bn with an option to draw down more. It is feared that further quantitative easing would only weaken the dollar further and push up commodity prices. As a result of the latter the rapidly growing Asian economies would come under additional inflationary pressures.
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Friday, November 26, 2010
The Dogged German Dax / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
The Technical Trader’s view:
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Friday, November 26, 2010
Stock and Commodity Markets Now Entering the Most Dangerous Period Since Mid 2008 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
“The best way to understand Wall Street is to view it as a heist movie, like “The Sting,” “The Italian Job” or “Ocean’s Eleven.”. There’s just one difference: In your traditional caper, a bunch of little guys get together to steal money from the big guys — a tycoon, big bank or major corporation. On Wall Street, it works the other way around.” – Bret Arends, Marketwatch, November 2nd 2010.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 25, 2010
Is Santa Claus Dead, Will the Stock Market Tumble? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The wall of worry is about as steep as it gets. The weight of evidence points to a top in the market. Here are a few of the negatives that are stacking up like cord wood.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 25, 2010
Trin Rocks The Stock Market Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The trin is a way of measuring very short-term sentiment. Whenever it hits levels of 2.0, or higher, it almost guarantee's a rally of some magnitude the very next day. Yesterday I mentioned in the final update how we were seeing a print of 2.94, and should expect a good day today. That's what we got fortunately. Our stocks were lucky enough to perform quite well today, which gives us a little breathing room as we await the markets next intentions.
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Thursday, November 25, 2010
Gold & U.S. Dollar Rise Together? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The past week and a half has been as choppy as it gets for the stocks market. Thankfully the herd mentality (fear & greed) stays the same. Understanding what others think and feel when involved in the market is one of the keys to making money consistently from the market. The crazy looking chart below I will admit is a little tough on the eyes, and I should have used red and green for holiday colors but green just was not going to work today so bear with me J.
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Thursday, November 25, 2010
Stock Market S&P500, Gold, Crude Oil and Banking Stocks Trading Patterns / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Stocks were back on sale Tuesday when the S&P 500 suffered more than a 1.40% decline by the closing bell. Some market prognosticators pointed their fingers at the dollar, other pointed at the Korean situation, and still others had their eyes fixed on Ireland and the Eurozone as potential causes for the sharp selloff. The S&P 500 is currently oversold on the short term chart and either a bounce or period of consolidation is likely. At this point, chasing stocks in either direction will only satisfy the desires of the smart money, who will likely blow these anticipatory traders into trading fodder in coming weeks.
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