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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 21, 2007

Further Stock Market Weakness Expected - Leading Market Indicators: Part 1 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Donald_W_Dony

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article

This report is the first of a two-part series reviewing several key leading indicators on the equity markets. With recent volatility due to the subprime mortgage exposure and drops of 10% or more to major indexes, the timing and direction of the markets is vital now for many investors.

The Dow Jones Utilities Average has a 40 year history of leading the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Utilities as a sector, are the most sensitive to interest rate movements and are normally the first group of stocks to reverse their trend ahead of the DJIA.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 21, 2007

US Financial Markets Rocked — What Is Really Happening / Stock-Markets / Money Supply

By: Gerard_Jackson

Last week I alerted readers to the possibility of a cut in the Fed funds rate. As sure as God made little apples, a cut is exactly what we got — except that it was the discount rate that was cut. For those of you who gave a sigh of relief at the Fed's “timely intervention”: take a deep breath because at some time in the future we will get a rerun of this financial fiasco and the Fed won't be able to stop it without igniting a severe inflation. Assuming for a moment that the Fed took this risk, the result in all likelihood would be a run on the dollar followed by an immediate increase in the funds rate on the heels of which would emerge an unavoidable recession.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 21, 2007

Bullish on US Treasuries and Financial Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Purely from a technical pattern, the XLF Financial Select SPDR, a sector that everybody is watching, appears to have completed a pullback in the aftermath of last week's powerful advance from 31.50 to 36.50.

Today's low at 33.58, followed by the upside pivot and rally to 34.15/30 has the right look of the start of a near-term advance that should revisit 35.50 at a minimum and more than likely 36.50 in the upcoming hours.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 20, 2007

Glossary of Credit Crunch Gloom / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch

By: Paul_Petillo

In the last several weeks, the questions about Wall Street and the stock markets have become much more declarative. No longer are they phrased as if those who ask want answers yet, when spoken, the statements often implore the listener to offer something, some comfort, sympathy, empathy, anything.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 20, 2007

NOLTE NOTES - Stock Market to Revisit Lows during September / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch

By: Paul_J_Nolte

Good time to take a vacation and clear the mind and body of all things Wall Street. However, upon return the markets are acting as though the financial world is ending. While we have been concerned about the markets for much of this year (our beginning year prediction was for a flat return at best), the near seizing up of portions of the credit markets was alleviated by the Fed cutting the discount rate by a half of one percent on Friday before the market open. The Fed has been involved in providing liquidity to the markets over the past few weeks, however the cut was a more formal statement that they stand at the ready to provide the “grease” to keep the economic wheels moving.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 20, 2007

Nasdaq (Qs) Poised to Continue Larger Recovery Upleg / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Although the major equity market ETFs feel like they are moving around quite a bit, actually in relation to the intense volatility during the prior two weeks, this is a pretty calm day! The pattern the Q's (Nasdaq: QQQQ) have carved out since Friday's spike high at 46.99 appears to me to be taking the form of a coil (lower highs and higher lows). As long as 45.59 contains any forthcoming weakness, the integrity of the lower side of the coil will remain intact. Conversely, I think that today's high at 46.64 is a second data point near the top side of the coil.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 20, 2007

Massive Credit Crunch Striking Now! / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article

Martin Weiss writes: A massive credit crunch is striking, and you sit at a critical juncture like none other in history.

Never before have you seen so much wealth at stake. Never before have you seen such massive threats to that wealth. And, fortunately, never before have investors had such powerful tools to protect themselves from these threats!

In just the last few days, the U.S. Federal Reserve has desperately tried to rescue the nation's gigantic $10 trillion mortgage market …

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, August 19, 2007

How Far Will the Stock Market Crash Go and What Do we Do Now? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Richard_C_Cook

The “Crash of 2007-08” is underway

The immediate triggers are being described quite well: the collapse of the U.S. subprime mortgage market; the vulnerability of the rest of the economy to the subprime undertow, due to the “efficiency” of the markets in spreading risk; the worldwide overextension of cheap credit; the failure of large institutional investors and Wall Street brokerages to behave responsibly; and the long-term effects of the U.S. trade and fiscal deficits which are now coming home to roost.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, August 18, 2007

Stock Market Technical Analysis : Trimming the Hedgies / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Dominick

With so many bombs hitting the tape, and with massive short-covering rallies apparently never far behind, it was suggested last week that less experienced traders stay flat, or at least stay flat more often, as the market structure becomes more and more distorted by outside forces. Still, there were some fantastic setups this week we were able to take advantage of, and from here it looks like there's at least one more big move yet in store.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, August 18, 2007

Stock Market Technical Analysis Report 18th August 07 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Mike_Burk

The good news is: The Federal Reserve Bank cut its discount rate 0.5% to 5.75% on Friday.

What is going on?

Technical analysis is the study of trading patterns as technicians we look for repeating patterns.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, August 18, 2007

Panic at the Fed! Collapse in the US Dollar! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Money_and_Markets

The Federal Reserve is so desperate to stop the spreading panic in the credit markets that …

It has just slashed its discount rate by a HALF point!

It has blown away its own rules on how long the banks can borrow! And …

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, August 18, 2007

The Financial Markets Panic of 2007 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: John_Mauldin

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article

In this issue:
Muddle Through or End of the World?
An Alphabet Soup of Credit
Turning Nuclear Waste Into Gold (and Back Again!)
Mrs. Watanabe and the Hedge Fund Connection
The Rating Agency Blame Game
Where Do We Go From Here?
Hedge Funds to the Rescue!
Warren Buffett Needs to Take Over Moody's
Will a Fed Rate Cut Make a Difference?
Vacation, Europe, and Reading

End of the World or Muddle Through? This week I try to explain in simple terms the very complicated story of how we went from some bad mortgage loan practices in the US to the point of world credit markets freezing up. There is a connection between the retirement plans of Mr. and Mrs. Watanabe in Japan and the subprime problems of Mr. and Mrs. Smith in California. We find the relationship between European banks and problematic hedge funds. And finally, we try and see how we get out of this mess. Oddly, I think it is hedge funds (and maybe Warren Buffett) to the rescue, but not in the way you would think. It is a lot to cover, so let's jump right in. (And there are a lot of charts, so while this will print out long, it is only a little longer than the usual in word length.)

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, August 18, 2007

Refueling Psychotic-Optimism As Fed Saves Stock and Financial Markets From Near-Meltdown / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Joseph_Russo

In light of the Feds clandestine shattering of the discount window in the wee-hours of Friday morning, we really do not have much to add to last weeks rant about Ponzi-Regimes coming to the rescue of grossly mismanaged markets.

Down how much? – And already requiring immediate emergency rescue measures?

Last Thursday, stock markets were off their historic highs by around 10%, and most major metropolitan housing-markets are down anywhere from 5% - 10% at best. Certain regions like Manhattan , have experience little if any downward adjustment to their mega-bloated values - some 200% - 300% above their former 1998 values.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, August 18, 2007

Expect More Stock and Financial Markets Tension, But Don't Panic! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

LONDON : “Economists said yesterday that turmoil on global stock markets was likely to persist but ruled out a catastrophic crash in share prices that would hit consumers and their pension funds.” This missive came from London by way of Saudi Arabia .

The Asian Times headline reads, “ Panic Attack: Asian markets take a tumble .” Who do you believe? The “don't panic” people or the “panic attack” crowd? Thursday, the Dow Jones Industrials dropped 340 points by mid-day, then rallied to close down only 15 points. Not a bad rescue, eh? Even with the final hour rescue, the Dow is still down nearly 3% this week.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, August 17, 2007

Lenders take the Jab, Borrowers take the Knockout / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch

By: Peter_Schiff

The current weakness in domestic markets has recently been magnified overseas as panic spread to foreign investors with exposure to U.S. asset backed debt. Some commentators point to this reaction in an attempt to disprove the belief that foreign assets offer protection from falling U.S. stocks. I believe such conclusions are premature. Global stock markets will soon decouple from ours, and strong returns overseas will occur even as U.S. stocks slump.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, August 17, 2007

Importance of Long Stock Market Earnings Valuation Waves / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations

By: Zeal_LLC

Just one month after the US stock markets achieved new all-time highs, today's fear-stricken equity landscape looks radically different. Investors and speculators alike are frantically dumping everything with reckless abandon, regardless of fundamental merit. The resulting carnage is impressive to behold.

Such episodes of wanton fear, though painful, are very healthy for the markets. They are necessary from time to time. In fundamentally-weak sectors, they force leveraged speculators to rein in their leverage and reduce their risk. In fundamentally-strong sectors, they shake out the weak hands who lack the courage to ignore their emotions and lack the faith to ride secular bulls through turbulent spells.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, August 17, 2007

Financial crisis! What to do ... / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Money_and_Markets

Mike Larson writes: We are in the midst of a financial crisis . Not a downturn. Not a slump. Not a blip. This is a full-blown meltdown. The causes?

Too much housing speculation: The Federal Reserve pumped the economy full of easy money after the tech bubble burst. That money found its way into the housing market, fueling a speculative bubble like no other in modern U.S. history. Now that bubble is popping, too … and the fallout is spreading throughout the financial markets.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 16, 2007

Panic Selling As Stock Markets Crash Towards Bull Market Support Levels / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Marty_Chenard

Noon Time Update: We will look at seven charts this Noon time, based on where a number of indexes were at the close yesterday and what the VIX was telling us (last chart).

This first chart is of the DJI and its 200 day moving average. At the close yesterday, it was holding above it, but today it dropped below that support. The DJI is the index that should be the strongest in this down turn, but this morning it dropped below the 200 day moving average. Panic selling levels are high now, and the panic has its own momentum. It will be important to hold the 200 day moving average in the next few days.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 16, 2007

2007 Stock Market Crash Update II / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Greg_Silberman

In late July we published a piece called 2007 crash market stock update wherein we described the inter-market picture as shaping up to be eerily similar to that of the 1987 stock market crash. 

In summary: We noted that the stock market had been ignoring a falling bond market for much of 2007 in much the same way as the stock market ignored a falling bond market back in 1987. We further explained that it was not until the Bond market broke below its May lows in September 1987 that all hell broke loose in the stock market and ended up in Black Monday, a one day drop of 22% in the S&P500.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 16, 2007

Stock Market Panic In Progress / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Captain_Hook

The market is telling officialdom, and specifically Bernanke, that like in the lead up to the 1929 stock market crash (which was 90%), the true health of the economy is not being interpreted correctly, and that official policy is not sufficiently accommodative. As alluded to during the course of the week, this misread and mishandling of the situation has a great deal to do with the stubborn resilience of Chinese stocks , commodities , and freight rates , which are all barometers of the ‘global economy'.This is why the Fed is now suggesting that only a ‘ calamity ' will cause them to soften official policy, because they must get prices under control soon if traditional Presidential Cycle policy considerations are to be managed successfully. What's more, like Greenspan, Bernanke is a gradualist, but he is a rearview mirror gradualist, meaning he actually manages official policy based on history. Again, like the '29 experience, this is causing a misread of measures currently needed to stave off a real deflation risk, which is why prices are falling in spite of supportive price constraints . In a nutshell, people are panicking, and for this reason Monday could be very interesting.

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