Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, April 27, 2013
Matt Taibbi: Everything Is Rigged - The Biggest Price-Fixing Scandal Ever / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
By: Jesse
“The worst crimes were dared by a few, willed by more, and tolerated by all.”
Tacitus
There are more scandals to come. Wall Street is now a pathological environment, and the City of London is as bad or worse.
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Saturday, April 27, 2013
Why Next Week’s Economic Data Is The Most Critical in Months! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: Sy_Harding
The market has been engaged in a balancing act for six weeks now between being made optimistic by 1st quarter earnings that are mostly beating Wall Street’s estimates, and concerns about 1st quarter economic reports that are consistently worse than forecasts and indicate the economic recovery is stumbling again.As a result, while the market gets high marks for its resilience and ability to shrug off the negative economic reports, it has also made almost no further progress over the last six weeks. The Dow closed yesterday (Thursday) just 1.1% higher than six weeks ago on March 14. The broad NYSE Composite closed Thursday just 0.7% higher than on March 14. Even the usually more volatile Nasdaq closed at 3,258 on March 14 and just 0.9% higher on Thursday. Meanwhile, the DJ Transportation Average and Russell 2000 are 3% and 2% below their levels of six weeks ago.
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Friday, April 26, 2013
Warning Stocks, Bonds, Gold Major Shift in Asset Class Trends / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: Jordan_Roy_Byrne
The latest warning sign on US equities came from the recent issue of Barron’s. A recent survey of big money managers showed extreme bullish sentiment. 86% polled were bullish on stocks over the next six to 12 months while only 7% were pessimistic. Meanwhile only 11% were bullish on bonds. The cover of Barron’s emphasized the view of the participants with its title “Dow 16,000” and picture of a bull, leaping away from a bear. In regards to Gold and commodities, 50% were bullish on commodities with 35% bullish on Gold.
Friday, April 26, 2013
How to Play the Disconnect Breakout Dow Industrials and Transportation Stocks Breakout / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: DailyGainsLetter
Mitchell Clark writes: The Dow Jones Transportation Average experienced a powerful breakout this past December. And it’s been a stealth rally ever since, with an expansion in valuations, not earnings.
The stock market’s strongest sector over the past few months has been transportation stocks, which have been much stronger than technology stocks or the S&P 500 companies. Even though it doesn’t seem real, leadership in the Dow Jones Transportation Average is a classic stock market sign.
Friday, April 26, 2013
What Happens When Stock Market Liquidity Disappears? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
ZeroHedge reports on the 4th Qtr. GDP release, “Less than an hour ago we speculated that "it wouldn't be surprising for GDP to come substantially weaker than expected, only to be revised higher (or lower) subsequently." Sure enough, we have gotten at least the first part right for now, with the advance Q1 GDP number printing a very disappointing 2.5%, on expectations of a 3.0% increase, up from 0.4% in Q4, and the biggest miss since Q3 2011. The reason for the big miss: Inventory and Fixed Investment came well below expectations, comprising 1.03% (of which autos represented 0.24%) and 0.53% of the 2.5% annualized increase GDP. Kiss the great CapEx investment story goodbye.”
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Friday, April 26, 2013
Which Market Bubble is Larger - Stocks or U.S. Treasury Bonds / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: J_W_Jones
Today we have a plethora of companies reporting earnings and are moving through the 1st Quarter earnings season at a rapid pace. Thus far, earnings have been far from exciting and have made the previous 2013 forward earnings estimates laughable.
The only way we get to the proposed valuations is through multiple expansion which is simply going to require the Federal Reserve to continue to pump $85 billion into Treasury’s and MBS securities each month. I am confident they will comply.
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Friday, April 26, 2013
Barrons Turns Bullish, TIme to Cash in Your Stock Market Chips? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Bill_Bonner
We don't like the looks of it...
Advisors are too bullish. Investors are too complacent. The financial authorities are too confident.
All up and down Wall Street... in central banks and in Washington... the stuff that goeth before the fall is thick, sticky and stinky.
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Friday, April 26, 2013
Stock Market Reaches Correction Apex, Gold Panic About to Begin / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
It now appears that SPX has reached the apex of its corrective wave and may have started down shortly after 2:00 pm eastern time. I went to a Rotary lunch today and several members mentioned that they bought more stock, indicative of the sentiment of the day.
Thursday, April 25, 2013
Stock Market to Follow Gold's Example? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Graham_Summers
The markets rallied hard yesterday, thanks to promises of more from Europe. However, the global economy is once again contracting with the bad data coming out of both China and Germany: two of the biggest exporters in the world.
With that in mind, the S&P 500 looks as though its initial jump to the upside from its rising wedge pattern could have been a false breakout: a move was not sustained. These developments are usually followed by VIOLENT swings in the opposite direction.
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Thursday, April 25, 2013
Bubblemania And The Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Andrew_McKillop
FINANCIAL EUPHORIA
Stock markets are at all-time record highs, yet the real economy is anemic as is clearly shown by constantly "unexpected" or "disappointing" GDP growth figures in almost all countries. As we know, one major fetish cant-lose asset bubble, after another, will suddenly weaken and collapse but the equity markets confortingly roar on and up, unperturbed. Looking at the cant-lose asset bubbles since year 2000, we have had the Internet dot com bubble, real estate in a string of countries and arguably a major cause of the 2008 crash, the uranium bubble of 2005-2007, oil prices in 2004-2008, the green energy and cleantech bubble of 2007-2012, gold price growth for nearly 11 years, the ongoing Bitcoin craze, and other cant-lose assets whose prices "could only grow". Until they wilted or even collapsed.
Wednesday, April 24, 2013
Stock Market Crash Alert / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Money_Morning
Ben Gersten writes: If you're contrarian, then Barron's latest "Big Money" poll and its magazine cover just gave you reasons to be on the lookout for a stock market crash.
The semiannual poll of professional investors found that 74% of money managers are bullish or very bullish about the prospects for U.S. stocks - an all-time high for Big Money, going back more than 20 years.
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Tuesday, April 23, 2013
S&P 500 Showing a Top Formation At 1597 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: ForexPros
The S&P500 fell sharply last week from 1597, finding support around 1536 from where we have seen 20 point rally on Friday. Notice that market reversed from swing lows made in early April that caused a recovery towards the 1565/1575 Fibonacci resistance area. We believe that this pull-back represents a wave 2/B, as we labeled a decline from 1597 as a leading diagonal in wave 1/A.
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Tuesday, April 23, 2013
There is No Such Thing as a "Safe" Big Bank / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2013
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes: Thank goodness we have the FDIC and the Federal Reserve and Congressmen and women.
Thank goodness they're willing to tap the captive citizenry for as much cash as they need to back the Fed and the FDIC to safeguard our big, beautiful banks from... themselves.
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Tuesday, April 23, 2013
Stock Market 4-year Cycle / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Ed_Carlson
Prior to last week’s detour to discuss the gold market my April commentaries have been about Lindsay’s long cycle and how that matches what we all normally think of as secular bull and bear markets. The second commentary in this series discussed finding the high in the current long cycle and the conclusion was that a high should be found between March and September of this year. Before going any further with Lindsay I want to spend this week to see if we can confirm this forecast using another common cycle approach (non-Lindsay), the four-year cycle. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 23, 2013
The #1 Destructive Lie Responsible for Financial Distress / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: Money_Morning
Mary Rivas writes:
Summary:
Like seeds, our thoughts about money get planted deep in our minds and multiply. They grow into ideas, into beliefs that define us. What if your thoughts about money and wealth creation are poisoned seeds? What if those poisoned seeds grew into worthless weeds, beliefs that breed self-sabotage, self-criticism, fears, self-doubts and procrastination?
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Monday, April 22, 2013
Stock Market, Gold, Time to Get Very Bearish / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
If you review Friday morning’s outlook on the SPX, you will find a projection for where it might go on that day. Here is the actual result in comparison. It turned out that the SPX was forming an Expanding Diagonal in wave c. The last zigzag formed in the afternoon shows up as complete at the trendline.
This version of the Wave action shows Primary Wave [1] ending at 1541.86 and suggests more rally this morning since the retracement did not even reach a 38.2% Fibonacci level.
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Monday, April 22, 2013
Returning U.S. Dollar and the S&P 500 Relationship / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Donald_W_Dony
During the 1980s and 1990s, the U.S. dollar and the S&P 500 moved in near parallel trends. This relationship was particularly close from 1995 to 2000. This five year stretch produced some of the highest performance from both securities. Yet when the dollar started to fall in 2002 that relationship was broken until 2009.
Throughout the 1980s and 1990s, the US$ and the U.S. index steadily advanced together. However, this 20-year period represented a challenging time for commodities as a higher dollar forces natural resource prices lower.
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Monday, April 22, 2013
Dramatic Shifts in Stock Market Equity Fund Money Flows / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Richard_Shaw
We’ve been tracking the differential flows between US domestic and international or global equity mutual funds since 2002 with Investment Company Institute Data. The shifts since the 2008 crash have been dramatic, as shown in this chart:
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Monday, April 22, 2013
The Danger of Gold and Stock Market Investors Ignoring Technical Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013
By: Clif_Droke
The cyclical recovery that began in March 2009 has been impressive but is getting long in the tooth. Investors wonder when it will end, and while this can’t be known with precision there are signs that its terminus isn’t far away.One sign this bull is getting old can be seen in Wall Street’s attitude toward practitioners of technical analysis. Market technicians have never been highly respected on Wall Street and are usually accorded only second-class status in the research departments of large institutions. About the only time technical analysts are given a hearing is in bear markets when the fundamentals stop working and everyone wants to know what’s going on with the market. In desperation they turn to the despised technicians because they are the only ones properly equipped to navigate the treacherous waters of a cascading stock market. As my mentor the late Bud Kress used to say, “In a bear market everyone becomes a closet technician.”
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Monday, April 22, 2013
Waiting for the Stock Market SPX to Break Key Support / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - SPX has started an intermediate correction.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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