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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Tuesday, October 18, 2016

Stock Market More to Come! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: The long-term trend is up but weakening. Potential final phase of bull market.

SPX Intermediate trend: The uptrend from 1810 continues, but it has entered a corrective phase which could extend into November.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, October 18, 2016

Stock Market 20/50 Cross Down...20/50 Headache....Big Earnings On Tap... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

When one studies the market it's important to study moving average crosses on all time frames, but particularly the daily charts. If you were to study the S&P 500 daily chart you would see the 20-day exponential moving average has crossed down below the 50-day exponential moving average. It's by a hair, but for now a cross. When the 20's at below the 50's that can often mean the market will struggle for appreciable upside action. It can also mean downside action can accelerate. It's never easy to tell when the cross is so minor, such as it is now. The reason for wondering about it now though is easy. The cross up took place in early March. We're now in mid-October. Over seven months above with the action mostly on the positive side of the ledger.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 17, 2016

A Falling Stock Market Cannot Be Allowed - Financial Repression Is Now “In-Play”! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Gordon_T_Long

A FALLING MARKET CANNOT BE ALLOWED – at any cost!

The Central Bankers have clearly painted themselves into a corner as a result of their self-inflicted, extended period of “cheap money”.  Their policies have fostered malinvestment , excessive leverage and a speculative casino approach to investments. Investors forced to take on excess risk for yield  and scalp speculative investment returns, must operate in an unstable financial environment ripe for a  major correction.  A correction because of the  high degree of market correlation that likely would be instantaneously contagious across all global financial markets.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 17, 2016

Stock Market Bubble Has Run Out of Excuses and Time / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: Michael_Pento

It is finally going to be a make or break earnings season for stocks. This is because the justification for record high stock prices that have been perched atop extremely stretched valuation metrics has been the following false assumptions: the hope that the Federal Reserve will not resume its interest rate hiking cycle, the U.S. dollar stops rising, the price of oil enters a sustainable bull market and long-term interest rates continue to fall.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 17, 2016

Commodities, Forex and Stock Market Trend Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Ken_Ticehurst

We should now begin to see a drop in WTI over the next couple of months and in to 2017. So far the last few weeks have been as forecast and the next down phase we have been modelling for months is now due.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 17, 2016

Stock Market Crash..or No Crash? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Martin Armstrong writes, “Apparently, there are a lot of people calling for a crash in the stock market as usual claiming it looks just like 1987. Sorry, there is nothing of that magnitude showing up at this time. We did elect one Weekly Bearish Reversal back at 18368. However, the main bank of support lies at 17710 followed by 17330. Only a weekly closing below 17330 would hint of a more serious correction.”

I agree that this market does not look like 1987. Trying to make a parallel between this market and another period is usually futile.

However, he points out to PAY ATTENTION to a break of the September 14 low at 17992.21….as I do, as well. This would warn of a drop to a lower level of support.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 17, 2016

A perspective on risk rally – Risks abound but Stock Market is Confident / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: John_Mesh

Three of the major indexes posted gains and five posted losses. China's Shanghai Composite was the top performer, up 1.97% following the previous week of market closure celebrating Chinese National Day. Hong Kong's Hang Seng was the biggest loser, down 2.59%. The average of the eight was a modestly negative -0.26%. The tables below provide a concise overview of performance comparisons over the past four weeks for these eight major indexes. We've also included the average for each week so that we can evaluate the performance of a specific index relative to the overall mean and better understand weekly volatility. The colors for each index name help us visualize the comparative performance over time.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 17, 2016

Danger, Will Robinson, Stock Market Crash Dead Ahead! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Brad_Gudgeon

When I mean crash, I mean about an 11-14% stock market panic in a few days. The astro is there, the e-wave is there and so are the cycles and chart formation (plus some technical information like the MACD daily below the zero line).

I’ve been talking about a Rising Wedge building for a while now.  I also talked about the expected False Break, which we just had on Thursday when the S&P 500 went down to the 2114 level and then bounced.  It pierced the bottom of the daily Bollinger Bands and closed back above them.  Now we must go back into the wedge itself before turning back down in expected waterfall action in the coming waning days of October. The SPX will likely be up nicely on Tuesday with some follow through into Wednesday in most indexes. I look for either a bearish evening star pattern or bearish Harami to form on the 19th.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, October 14, 2016

Brace Yourself for the Quadrillion-Dollar Reckoning / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2016

By: John_Mauldin

The ever more extreme antics of our central bankers keep forcing us to find new ways to describe them. My good friend Danielle DiMartino Booth does this by drawing an interesting historical parallel.

Danielle takes us back to the 20th-century era of World Wars and draws upon Liaquat Ahamed’s. The Lords of Finance. His work was inspired by that 1999 Time magazine cover story “The Committee to Save the World.” You may recall it: the lovely mugs of Alan Greenspan, Robert Rubin, and Larry Summers up there, grinning like the Cheshire Cat.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, October 14, 2016

John Mauldin: My Infrastructure Plan to Save the US Economy / Stock-Markets / Infrastructure

By: John_Mauldin

Infrastructure. Most people think of roads and bridges when they hear the term. But we really should think of infrastructure as the things that allow us to move food, energy, water, products, people, and information.

It’s our rail and trucking systems. It’s our electric grid. It’s our telephone system, Internet, and other information systems. To some degree, it’s our school systems. It’s the things that make it possible for businesses and governments to provide the services and goods we all expect.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, October 14, 2016

America's 50-Pound Ball and Chain / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Clif_Droke

America's economic condition is truly a "tale of two cities." Upper middle class and wealthy earners have never been more flush thanks in large part to the record liquidity creation of the last eight years as well as to their financial market exposure.

By contrast, the middle and lower classes have either stagnated or are struggling as perhaps never before, due in part to their under-exposure to the financial market but also to the erosion of their real estate wealth in the last 10 years.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 13, 2016

US Stock Market, Big Picture View / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Gary_Tanashian

Because perspective is everything, let’s once again get some big picture perspective…

S&P 500 is outside the lower fork line (again the Fork being a novelty, but the line being real) but above critical support.  Bears would call this an overthrow to the upside and massive bull trap.  We can call it an intact bull market above support and a very bearish market should that support be lost.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 13, 2016

Stock Buybacks Main Force Driving Bull Market; Rewards Investors and Starves Innovation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Sol_Palha

"All the power that we exercise over others depends on the power we exercise over ourselves." ~ Cotvos

Share buybacks are nothing new; they have been around for decades, and in most cases, one would view this type of action under a favourable light. However, for the past few years, companies have used this technique as a ploy to hide stagnating earnings or even falling profits. The idea is very simple, and the rewards are lucrative as most corporate officers have incentive-based rewards. Corporations borrow money for next to nothing and then use this to purchase huge blocks of shares; the number of outstanding shares drops and the EPS magically rises. Each year for the past six years the amount of money allocated towards share buybacks has soared, because as we stated, this is the fastest way to increase EPS without doing a single thing magically.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 13, 2016

SPX Gapping Down... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

The SPX Premarket is substantially down, lower than Tuesday’s low at 2128.84. It appears that, should the market open at this level, it may gap down beneath the 2-hour Cycle Bottom at 2125.33. A systemic unwinding may not stop at the September 12 low at 2119.12.

ZeroHedge reports, “Remember when two weeks ago the China Beige Book warned that "It’s A Lot More Negative Than People Think" in the world's second biggest economy? Well after months of complacency about the Chinese economy and financial risks emanating from its $35 trillion financial sector, overnight the world got a rude awakening when China export figures tumbled, signalling a deeper slowdown than many anticipated just as the Fed prepares to raise interest rates.”

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 13, 2016

Stock Market Negative Expectations Following Tuesday's Decline - New Downtrend Or Just Consolidation? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,210, and profit target at 2,050, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 12, 2016

Very Negative, Critical Day for the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a very negative session today. The day started out with gap downs, they went down all day, and only in the last hour they bounced back to pare back the gains.

Net on the day, the Dow was down 200.38 at 18,128.66. The S&P 500 was down 26.93 at 2136.73. The Nasdaq 100 was down 71.85 at 4821.91.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 12, 2016

Stock Market Lost in Translation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Ed_Carlson

A Hybrid Lindsay high is expected late this week, or early next, but that doesn't mean equities are expected to necessarily trend upward all week. Regardless, readers cannot afford to become lost in the semantics. Equities still appear to be looking into an abyss which will not bottom until closer to the final week of October.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 12, 2016

Stock Market Head & Shoulders Pattern Activated / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The neckline of the Head & Shoulders formation appears to have been crossed. That action activates the formation with a minimum target of 2044.43. Chances of a bounce back above the neckline are normally slim to none. Should we close beneath it, we may see a massive gap down tomorrow.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, October 11, 2016

Confirmed Stock Market Sell Signals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has crossed beneath the bottom trendline of the Triangle formation. This confirms the trend change in SPX.

ZeroHedge points out that the Risk Parity trade is deleveraging this morning, causing the breakdown. This practice is akin to the “portfolio insurance” used up to the crash of 1987, but with leverage, since yields are so low.

This may be a fast-developing situation, as each level of breakdown instigates more selling. There is a vicious feedback loop that may be unstoppable until selling is exhausted. That may take SPX beneath the February 12 low at 1810.10.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, October 11, 2016

The US Needs a Robust Infrastructure Spending Program / Stock-Markets / Infrastructure

By: John_Mauldin

I’ve been quite hard on central bank leaders lately, and rightly so. But once in a while, a central banker says something that makes sense. When it happens, I want to be fair and highlight it.

Bank of Canada Governor Stephen Poloz gave an unusually coherent Sept. 20 speech called Living for Lower with Longer. The “lower” refers to lower interest rates. He discussed some of the broader factors contributing to the extended low-rate environment.

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