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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Friday, December 12, 2014

Stock Market SPX Top Valuations / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Zeal_LLC

The prevailing valuations in the lofty US stock markets are increasingly becoming a bone of contention.  Wall Street calmly asserts stocks are fairly valued or even cheap, since it has a huge vested interest in keeping people fully-invested.  But a growing chorus of dissenters is disputing that idyllic notion, warning that stock valuations are very high and portend great downside risk.  Indeed, topping valuations abound.

Since investing is all about buying low and selling high, the price paid for any investment is everything.  Buy good companies at cheap prices, and you’ll multiply your wealth over time.  But buying those very same good companies at expensive prices radically stunts future gains.  While cheap investments have great potential to soar as traders recognize their inherent value, expensive ones have already exhausted their upside.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, December 12, 2014

Mastering the Art of Financial Backtalk / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Dennis_Miller

Alan Greenspan has popped back into the limelight and confirmed some of my worst fears (not that they needed much confirming). Here’s a recap of statements Greenspan made at the New Orleans Investment Conference:

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Stock-Markets

Friday, December 12, 2014

Largest Financial Bubble in History - 10 years of 'Why Sell Now?' / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Doug_Wakefield

While finding the end of the largest financial bubble in history has proved very illusive over the last three years for some of the most seasoned market technicians in the world, the last fifteen have allowed us to have many reminders that wild rides to the top have always ended the same.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, December 12, 2014

A Probable Stock Market Crash Scenario / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Today we are at an equivalent point with the high on October 14, 1987. History does not repeat itself, but it rhymes.

On Wednesday, October 14, 1987, the SPX retested the bottom trendline of its Broadening Wedge in a Minute wave [ii]. Today we crossed inside (for a second time) a more bearish Orthodox Broadening Top in a Minute wave [ii].

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, December 11, 2014

When the Market Moves Fast, Stuff Blows Up / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: John_Mauldin

One of my old rules of trading is that whenever a major asset class, index, or other benchmark has a sudden, rapid move in price, something blows up. Sky high.

That’s because people get used to regimes. They get used to a certain state of affairs with a lack of volatility. They become complacent. Maybe they stop hedging. Maybe they allow themselves to have unbounded downside risk. Maybe they start gambling.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, December 11, 2014

State of the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: David_Banister

We are seeing normal corrective declines in the broader indexes of late. December has been volatile from day one. Tax selling is obvious to me, and we are seeing extreme oversold set ups in Energy stocks. Insiders have been loading up the last few weeks yet those same stocks are still declining, and we think Hedge funds are taking on heavy losses, and selling is begetting selling.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, December 11, 2014

Stock Markets Sell Off Following Negative Global Economic Outlook / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,085 and profit target at 1,950, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:

Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bearish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bearish
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, December 11, 2014

10 Outrageous Predictions For 2015 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Interesting – if not outrageous – remarks today from Steen Jakobsen at Saxo Bank in Denmark, always good for some fresh insights, and a statement from him that I would like to decorate with a few question marks. As WTI oil looks threatening to break through $60 a barrel with another 5% loss today, let’s first take a look at Saxo’s, and hence Steen’s, Outrageous Predictions, via Tyler Durden. We can take it from there.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 10, 2014

Run Away from the Fed Economic Tsunami / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Dennis_Miller

This warning comes from “Big Al” Greenspan, age 88. He’s been in the news a lot lately, speaking with Gillian Tett of the Financial Times at the Council on Foreign Relations and at the New Orleans Investment Conference. After reading several reports of both events, I spoke with Casey Research colleagues who’d attended the conference and asked, “Did Big Al really say this, this, and this?”

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 10, 2014

Doug Casey on Russia and Russian Stocks / Stock-Markets / Russia

By: Casey_Research

By Nick Giambruno

Nick: Okay Doug, so looking around, what markets look cheap to you today?

Doug: I saw recently that many stocks in Greece are selling at around four times earnings. But I don’t know what the quality of their earnings are. Of course, the dividend yield on Greek stocks isn’t very high, and dividends are, I think, the best real indicator of how much free cash flow there actually is in a company.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 10, 2014

Is The Halt of QE3 The End of The Loose Monetary Policy? / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing

By: Arkadiusz_Sieron

The end of QE3 neither implies the real abandon of purchasing assets (due to reinvesting interest and principal payments and rolling over retiring Treasuries) nor the permanent exclusion bond-buying programs from the tools of monetary policy. Investors should also be aware that the end of QE3 does not rule out loose monetary policy. Why?

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 10, 2014

US Dollar and SP 500 Rally Fizzling Out? Gold Breaks Five Month Downtrend / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Jeb_Handwerger

In a recent article I wrote, "Gold and silver could gap higher by the end of 2014 and the top notch juniors could skyrocket." I expected a breakout at $1205. It appears gold may be breaking that downtrend today.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 10, 2014

Stock Market George Lindsay 22year Cycle Overlay / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis

By: Ed_Carlson

George Lindsay described his 22y overlay in a two part installment of his newsletter in 1964. In it he showed 18 examples of how the model had helped to time highs in the Dow. In the 22y overlay we are searching for three important intervals ending at a high 22y, 15y, and 8y later. Lows appear every ~7y followed by a high 8y after the final low.

Some of the highs he showed were significant and some were not. The significance of the forecast can predetermined by the significance of the 22y and 15y interval lows. The significance of the 8y interval does not affect the expected decline.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 09, 2014

European Banks At Risk Of Bail Ins In 2015 Warn Moody's and S&P / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015

By: GoldCore

Europe's banks are vulnerable in 2015 due to weak macroeconomic conditions, unfinished regulatory hurdles and the risk of bail-ins according to credit rating agencies.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 09, 2014

Finally Some Stock Market Selling...Nothing Bearish Yet.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Jack_Steiman

And that's the key to the whole thing. Ask yourself, is the selling that took place today bearish? Answer is that for now, not at all. No heavy push negative on the daily oscillators. No big gap down that closed at or near the lows. Just overbought conditions getting unwound as they need to be. I get tired of staring at 70 RSI's, or higher, on the daily-index charts. Thankfully, they are now all below. Many in the 50's, except the Dow. Safest dividend stocks getting the action, thus, the Dow is still in the mid-to-upper 60's. At least it's an index of only 30 stocks. So yes, solid unwinding on the index sixty-minute charts and some decent unwinding on those key-index-daily charts.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 09, 2014

SPX Breaks Short-term Supports / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The short-term uptrend is broken and SPX is trading back inside its larger Orthodox Broadening Top. However, it has also developed a smaller Orthodox Broadening Top (green). In order to fulfill its structure, it should decline to 1960.00-1980.00 in the next couple of days before a bounce. The bounce may either go back to mid-Cycle support/resistance at 2056.70 before proceeding back down to lower levels. Today’s decline may be considered an aggressive sell signal for SPX.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 08, 2014

Crude Oil Panic Knock-on Effects / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Crude just broke below its prior low at 63.72, hitting 63.47 as I write this memo. It appears that it will decline to its Wave [iii] target of 58.45 in the next 24 hours, creating another 10% down day panic.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 08, 2014

Still No Short-Term Stock Market Direction As Stocks Fluctuate Along Record Levels / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,085 and profit target at 1,950, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:

Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bearish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bearish
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 08, 2014

The 3 Grinch that stole Xmas. Why were they flying upside down? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Submissions

Nicholas Migliaccio writes: I think it was the pilot from Colorado brought in his kit. No it was really not marijuana related
 t was an auroral storm of the century, trashed their instruments, in the middle of a 12 hour white out left them flying blind, and  upside down, the wrong way into the West Flank of Mt.Elbert, where no one knew to look for them.   Their instruments must have been trashed by the storm as the black box showed them impacting the mountain, upside down, at 550 knots.  There was not much in the way of big pieces left.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 08, 2014

Stock Market High Level Levitation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market

Intermediate trend - While everything technical points to an overbought condition which should require an adjustment, the exact timing of that correction is for the market itself to decide and reveal.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.

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