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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 20, 2015

Stock Market Negative Expectations Following Yesterday's Retreat / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,140, and profit target at 1,980, S&P 500 index)

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 20, 2015

Stock Market More Bearish Behavior.... 17,300 Dow Important Watch / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

Today was fascinating. Truly fascinating, and certainly not boring. The market plunged early on as the European markets fell hard. We gapped down and continued to fall hard. After getting close to oversold on the short-term sixty-minute charts we noticed a small rally ensue into the FOMC at 2 PM Eastern Time. It stated that the economy hadn't quite gotten to a level where they'd feel good about slowly raising rates. The market absolutely exploded, with a twenty handle S&P 500 move up in a matter of minutes. The market looked ready to rock up, but something funny happened along the way. The market hit gaps, and the selling exploded back in taking the market right back down.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 20, 2015

Shanghai and DAX-30 Stock Indices Dance around 200-DMA / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Ashraf_Laidi

Overnight, China central planners saved the 200-DMA in the Shanghai Composite, with an intraday 6.7% recovery following an earlier 5% decline. This is especially crucial as the index held above its 200-DMA since Jul 23, 2014. The latest selling pressure may have resulted by three consecutive daily gains in the Chinese yuan, following media assault from the rest of the world on the day of the CNY devaluation. Coincidently, the Shanghai Composite's late Wednesday session recovery emerged on the day the CNY depreciated for the first time four days.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 19, 2015

Why You Should Go to Africa Instead of College / Stock-Markets / Africa

By: Casey_Research

Recently Doug Casey was a guest on the always excellent podcast, The Tom Woods Show.

Tom and Doug talked about the enormous economic potential in Africa, Doug’s efforts to build a truly free market country, and better uses of your time and money than going to college.

It’s an exciting and informative conversation. 

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 19, 2015

The Trigger For The Upcoming Stock Crash / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Harry_Dent

I recently explained that it’s one thing for a central bank to artificially prop up its own stock market. It’s another thing entirely to even imagine doing something similar to falling oil prices. What’ll they do – buy oil futures? Give me a break.

Oil hit a six-year low this week. As I write this, it’s around $43, closer yet to the $42 target I forecast when oil bounced back to $63. After another tepid bounce, it will very likely fall to the $32 support level we saw in late 2008. John Kilduff, a leading oil analyst who will be speaking at our Irrational Economic Summit in Vancouver next month, sees this happening earlier than his original Christmas call.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 19, 2015

Keeping the Stock Market Bubble-Boom Going / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: Thorsten_Polleit

The US Federal Reserve is playing with the idea of raising interest rates, possibly as early as September this year. After a six-year period of virtually zero interest rates, a ramping up of borrowing costs will certainly have tremendous consequences. It will be like taking away the punch bowl on which all the party fun rests.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 19, 2015

SPX Keeping a Bearish Profile / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Although SPX hasn’t crossed below the 50-day Moving Average at 2095.05, it hasn’t made any progress higher, either. This increases the probability of a Diamond formation, where the breakout is down. Diamond formations usually precede an average decline of 20% from the lower trendline, suggesting a target near 1656.00. The Diamond may supersede the Orthodox Broadening Top, so I may have to alter the Wave structure should that happen. Tomorrow is the Pivot day.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 18, 2015

Junk Bonds Call for Stock Market Crash ... / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Clive_Maund

We have looked at plenty enough evidence in recent weeks that a crash is looming for US markets, and now we are going to take a look at another important piece of evidence that we haven't previously considered - the Junk Bond market.

When confidence deteriorates Junk Bonds get sold off. A reason for this is that Junk Bond Holders are low on the list of creditors who can expect to be paid off in the event of corporate default, hence the name. They yield more because they carry more risk, so when risk threatens to rise or rises, savvy holders want out.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 18, 2015

What Credit Markets Are Telling Us About Stocks Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Michael E. Lewitt writes: Rather than trust markets to heal themselves, the world's central banks have polluted markets with flawed economic theories and trillions of dollars of debt. Rather than ignite economic growth as they had hoped, however, they have suffocated the global economy.

It began with the U.S. Federal Reserve's move to lower interest rates to zero seven years ago, followed by several bouts of quantitative easing.

This was followed by Mario Draghi's August 2012 declaration to do "whatever it takes" to defend the euro.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 18, 2015

Global Stock Markets and Dow Jones Fire Warning Shot Across Investors Bow! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Last week, the global equity markets were quite undecided. China’s and Japan’s equity prices have been moving higher. The Japanese Nikkei reached its highest level since 1996 on Tuesday, August 11th, but then pulled back at the end of the week. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng made a new monthly low and the Australian Market fell to a new 6-month low.

Europe was more decisive. Traders mostly sold stocks.  The German DAX, London FTSE, and Zurich SMI all fell to monthly lows by mid-week and did not recover much by Friday August 14th’s close. In Russia, it was much different. Moscow’s MICEX index rallied to its highest mark in 3 months.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 18, 2015

The Staggering Scope of the Next Financial Crisis And How It Will Hit / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015

By: Graham_Summers

As you know, I’ve been calling for a bond market crisis for months now. That crisis has officially begun in Greece, and will be spreading in the coming months. Currently it’s focused in countries that cannot print their own currencies (the PIIGS in Europe, particularly Greece).

However, China and Japan are also showing signs of trouble and ultimately the bond crisis will be coming to the US’s shores.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 18, 2015

Doomsday Clock Strikes One Minute To Midnight For Global Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: GoldCore

It is only a matter of time before stock markets collapse under the weight of their lofty expectations and record valuations.

China currency devaluation signals endgame leaving equity markets free to collapse under the weight of impossible expectations.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 18, 2015

Corporate Debt - Road To Oblivion In A Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: James_Quinn

Any article that starts with a quote from Jim Grant is guaranteed to be a fact based, common sense, reasoned analysis of our warped, debt saturated, over-valued, Federal Reserve rigged financial markets. John Hussman starts his weekly letter with this quote from Jim Grant:

"The way to wealth in a bull market is debt. The way to oblivion in a bear market is also debt, and nobody rings a bell." - James Grant

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 18, 2015

Stock Market Pause in the Downtrend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market

sIntermediate trend - SPX may has started an intermediate correction

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 17, 2015

Bullish Breakout of Qatar Stock Exchange Index (QE) / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets

By: MarketsToday

The Qatar Exchange Index (QE) is now in the early stages of a bullish breakout of a descending wedge pattern as seen on the enclosed chart. This potential bullish move was first discussed in our analysis from August 9, and can be reviewed here. The breakout occurred today, Sunday, as the index rallied above the prior swing high of 11,836.8, above the top downtrend line identifying the wedge, and to a 3-week high.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 17, 2015

One of the Longest Cyclical US Stocks Bull Market May be Coming to an End / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jas_Jain

Sell when the market has had a long rise and is hesitating, with everybody in the frenzy of optimism. Don't be fooled by cats and dogs leaping up after the good stocks have hesitated. ~ Bernard M Baruch, one of the most successful American speculators and among the most powerful political kingmakers in American history.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 17, 2015

Stock Market, Gold Early Week Pullback Expected / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Brad_Gudgeon

Stock Market: The 12 TD low came on Wednesday along with the TLC low near 2052. Next is due the 4/(8-1)/16 TD low on Tuesday this next week. Support is in the 2039/2046 SPX area. Friday the 14th was a solunar turn and new moon as well as the 4 TD top. I believe we are nearing a short term low and a rally (low 2100's SPX) is due into OPEX and even the day (August 24) after where we can expect lower prices again. The next TLC low is due August 31, so an August 24-31 drop is indicated.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 17, 2015

Stock Market Dumb Money Is Doing Something Smart / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: John_Rubino

At the peak of bull markets, when stock prices have been rising long enough for people who just recently started paying attention to conclude that they always go up -- that's when retail investors traditionally go all-in to snag some of that apparently easy Dow Jones money. That's also when markets tend to peak and then roll over, once again transferring a sizable chunk of societal wealth from late-to-the-party "dumb money" investors to the pros who have been here before and recognize a peak when they see one.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, August 16, 2015

Next Stock Market Low Important / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week at SPX 2078. After a gap up opening on Monday the SPX rallied to 2105. Then two gap down openings took it down to 2052 by Wednesday. After that the market worked its back up above where it started the week, and ended the week at SPX 2092. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.65%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.15%, and the DJ World lost 0.40%. On the economic front positive reports slightly outpaced negative reports. On the uptick: wholesale/business inventories, retail sales, the PPI, industrial production, capacity utilization, and long term investor sentiment. On the downtick: export/import prices, consumer sentiment, plus both weekly jobless claims and the treasury deficit increased. Next week will be highlighted by the FOMC minutes, the NY/Philly FED, and Leading indicators.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, August 15, 2015

U.S. Stock Markets Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Gary_Tanashian

Reviewing the US stock market picture from a few different angles...

NFTRH been using the Equity Put/Call ratio to gauge pressure on the US stock market for all of 2015. Many people think that anxiety indicators like this and the VIX are contrary indicators (i.e. when they spike you buy the fear in the markets, which often does work well) but when smoothing out CPCE using a moving average (weekly EMA 20 in this case) you get a trend.

The market benefited over long stretches from the calm atmosphere and the down trend in put buying vs. call buying. One explanation is that the market felt safe in mommy and daddy's arms (Bernanke and Yellen, amidst 'peak confidence' in the Fed with a side of Goldilocks).

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