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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 12, 2014

Shanghai Composite Bull in a China Shop / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market

By: Ed_Carlson

On the one hand…
Three weeks ago the Shanghai Composite (SSEC) broke out from a multi-year bullish wedge formation. Wedges imply a minimum move back to the start of the wedge which, in this case, would mean an advance to over 3,000 – a 36% rally! Whoo-hoo! A recent spike in volume, however, warns of a short-term top and the better play is to wait until a pullback has completed.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, August 12, 2014

Is the Stock Market Correction Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.

Intermediate trend - Correction could be over.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 11, 2014

Stock Market Rebound Change Of Trend Or Just A Correction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 1,970 and a profit target at 1,850, S&P 500 index)

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish, following a breakout below recent consolidation:

Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: bearish
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bearish
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

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Stock-Markets

Monday, August 11, 2014

Stock Markets Keep Calm and Carry On / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Alasdair_Macleod

At the end of July global equity bull markets had a moment of doubt, falling three or four per cent. In the seven trading days up to 1st August the S&P500 fell 3.8%, and we are not out of the woods yet. At the same time the Russell 2000, an index of small-cap US companies fell an exceptional 9%, and more worryingly it looks like it has lost bullish momentum as shown in the chart below. This indicates a possible double-top formation in the making.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, August 10, 2014

Are Stocks Finally Starting the Topping Process? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Toby_Connor

With all the uncertainty in the world, and everything that could happen over the weekend, I think it's safe to say that the market didn't rally 22 points naturally to complete a swing low as we go into the weekend. When I saw the index futures turn from deeply oversold to positive as if by magic in the pre-market Friday morning I had a pretty good idea that the Fed was ready to put an end to this correction. By the end of the day it looks like they probably succeeded (at least for now).

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, August 10, 2014

Stock Market Retail Investors About to Get Fleeced Again / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of  writes: Mistiming the Market

As a small addendum to our previous post on the market situation, here is a chart recently posted by the “Short Side of Long”. It shows the cash allocation reported by AAII, which surveys retail investors. Not surprisingly, retail investors tend to be completely wrong in their positioning at major lows and major highs, while generally not doing too badly in the middle portion of trends. That latter remark has to be qualified by the fact that they tend to lose their gains from this portion of a trend by being wrongly positioned at its end.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, August 09, 2014

Dow Stock Market Rally is On! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Austin_Galt

The rally is on! Let’s get straight into it by looking at the daily chart.

I have added a Relative Strength Indicator (RSI) which shows a little bullish divergence. This week’s low was less weak than the previous week’s low. Also, notice how the RSI pushed deep into negative territory compared to the previous times the RSI came down during the bull trend. This is the first time it went so deep under the 30 level since the February correction low. This type of negative reading is synonymous with the end of a significant correction or the first swing low in a new bear market.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, August 09, 2014

Stock Market Downtrend May Have Bottomed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Tony_Caldaro

Quite a roller coaster week for such a small correction. The market started the week at SPX 1925 and rallied to 1943 on Monday. Then it made a choppy eleven small waves on its way down to SPX 1905 on Thursday. On Friday it turned the whole week’s losses green. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.35%, the NDX/NAZ were +0.30%, but the DJ World index lost 0.9%. On the economic front positive reports outpaced negative ones 7 to 2. On the uptick: factory orders, ISM services, wholesale inventories, the monetary base, long term investor sentiment, plus both weekly jobless claims and the trade deficit improved. On the downtick: consumer credit and the WLEI. Next week we get reports on Industrial production, Retail sales and the PPI.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, August 09, 2014

Stock Market Risk is On the Run / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: EWI

Weak Secondary Stocks and Declining Junk-to-Treasury Bond Ratio Indicate the Stock Market is Ripe for Reversal

The following article is adapted from the August 2014 Elliott Wave Financial Forecast, published Aug. 1. For the latest from the Financial Forecast Service, click here.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, August 09, 2014

European Stock Markets Look Downright Scary / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets

By: Sy_Harding

Here’s the situation.

The economy of the 18-nation European Union is about the same size as that of the U.S., with roughly equal impacts on each other and on global growth. Germany, France, and the U.K. are the largest economies in the EU, and the fourth, fifth, and sixth largest economies in the world.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, August 09, 2014

Deflation’s Final Curtain Call / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Clif_Droke

Gold has once again begun to assert its safe haven value after the recent drop in equity prices. Last week’s Argentina bond default scare coupled with rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine have combined to spook global equity markets.

On Thursday NATO warned that Russia was preparing to send 20,000 troops into eastern Ukraine under the pretext of a humanitarian mission to save separatist rebels. Due to these concerns gold’s value has risen to a 2-week high. Gold’s rally is all the more conspicuous in light of the recent rally in the U.S. dollar index.
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Stock-Markets

Friday, August 08, 2014

The Dow Silent Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: EWI

"Silent Crash": Why the Real Value of the Dow Jones Industrials Matters
Priced in real value, the Dow has collapsed 84% since 1999

Stock market investors who glance at their screens see the dollar value of the Dow Industrials.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, August 08, 2014

Iraq, Ukraine, Ebola… Global Concerns Rock US Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: PhilStockWorld

PLENTY of things to worry about and we've ONLY corrected 10 points (7.5%) on the Russell – exactly what we predicted under our fabulous 5% Rule™! None of the other major indexes have fallen as far, so we continue to watch that line very closely for support.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, August 08, 2014

Stock Market Renewed Selling on Russia Sanctions Showdown / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short: From a market perspective, this morning’s plunge in new jobless claims was trumped by mounting tensions over sanctions against Russia and Putin’s sanction reprisal. The S&P 500 hit its 0.45% intraday high moments after the open. It then sold off in a couple of waves to its -0.81% intraday low shortly after 3 PM. Some buying in the final hour trimmed the day’s loss to -0.56%.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 07, 2014

Stock Market Summer Correction Options / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Gary_Tanashian

With the help of some of NFTRH's standard weekly charts, we take a snapshot of the US stock market.

The Bank index is unbroken from a weekly perspective. People will talk about an H&S but it is not activated until the trend channel and the neckline (a well defined support area) are broken. BKX, along with the Semiconductors has been a notable leader to the entire surprise* phase of the bull market out of Q4, 2012.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 07, 2014

Cold War 2.0 Is a Financial War / Stock-Markets / New Cold War

By: Money_Morning

James Rickards writes: Editor's Note: James G. Rickards is the New York Times best-selling author of The Death of Money and Currency Wars. Today, he'll tell us about a new kind of global conflict – one that could wipe trillions in personal wealth off the map…

Relations between the United States and Russia are now at their lowest ebb since the end of the Soviet Union on Christmas Day 1991.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, August 07, 2014

Stock Market Rally Time?...Should A Bit... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Jack_Steiman

Markets can often get to the point where they need to stop selling after a strong move down. Oscillators take a beating. Many short- and mid-term charts get oversold, such as the Dow on the daily chart with a 30 RSI. It's time for a small rally. When I say small I mean small, since there's strong resistance at 1846 and 1854 on the S&P 500, which are the 50- and 20-day exponential moving averages. It does NOT have to rally to those levels, but it would make sense technically to get a move up to either one of those levels before heading lower again. Unwinding some oversold oscillators would be best for the bears. This is why it made sense for the market to rally once we had the strong gap down this morning. The Dow RSI was falling below 30, and some short-term oscillators were getting ridiculously oversold.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 06, 2014

The Anticipated Stock Market Correction Is Developing / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014

By: Christopher_Quigley

Last month I wrote that the stock market was overvalued and that caution was warranted.

I reckon the anticipated correction started July 31st, a month or so sooner than I expected.

Recent price movement has done considerable technical damage to all indices and I do not think this is a “standard” pullback. Why, you may ask?

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 06, 2014

The Most-Anticipated Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: John_Rubino

US equities have been going up for so long that most investors — especially those who were only recently enticed into the casino by the apparently easy money on offer — have trouble remembering the last time it was possible to lose big in stocks.

Along the way, a whole slew of indices and indicators have drifted into their historical danger zones, prompting many in the financial media to address the subject, either by making explicit predictions (YouTube is now full of recent videos with pundits hammering the “get out while you can” theme) or considering the issue from unusual angles. Here’s a good example of the latter from MarketWatch’s L.A. Little:

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, August 06, 2014

The Single Most Important Strategy Most Investors Ignore / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014

By: Jeff_Clark

“If I scare you this morning, and as a result you take action, then I will have accomplished my goal.” That’s what I told the audience at the Sprott Natural Resource Symposium in Vancouver two weeks ago.

But the reality is that I didn’t need to try to scare anyone. The evidence is overwhelming and has already alarmed most investors; our greatest risk is not a bad investment but our political exposure.

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