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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Friday, December 14, 2012

Stock Market Over the Cliff / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!
(ZeroHedge) If yesterday's better than expected initial claims numbers were bad for the market (as they implied the approach of the Fed's QEnd), today's CPI should dissolve some fears of an imminent, and very unrealistic, end to easing. Because as the Fed explained, employment is only one component of the QEnd calculus, inflation is another. And with November CPI dropping 0.3% sequentially (up 1.8% Y/Y), on expectations of a -0.2% M/M, and +1.9 Y/Y, also the biggest sequential decline since 2008, there is not much to worry about on the inflation front... as long as one doesn't count other inflation "expressions" such as modern art, insurance costs, student tuition, or even the S&P and other credit funded items into account. Core CPI also missed the expected rise of 0.2%, growing at 0.1%.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, December 14, 2012

Fiscal Follies – Stock Markets Live and Die by the Rumor / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: PhilStockWorld

What craziness!

As you can see from Dave Fry's intra-day SPY chart, it takes only minutes to reverse half a day's drop on just the word that Boehner is heading to the White House to meet with Obama – as if that's likely to accomplish anything…

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Stock-Markets

Friday, December 14, 2012

Stock Market First a Stair-step, Next a Stumble? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The SPX is stair-stepping through its trendline support and closed at its 50-day support. The bounce fell short of a 38.2% retracement and appears to be over. In fact, the after-hours futures continued to fall beneath the 50-day moving average. There is a high risk of an overnight fall beneath the remaining supports to the Cycle Bottom at 1383.39 and 200-day moving average at 1387.00. Should that event take place, we could wake up Monday to a waterfall decline.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, December 13, 2012

Important Factor In Determining Stock Trends and Election Outcomes / Stock-Markets / Trader Psychology

By: EWI

In the wake of the Presidential election, the Social Science Research Network (SSRN) reports that the study, "Social Mood, Market Performance and U.S. Presidential Elections" has earned the #3 spot among the most-downloaded papers in the past 12 months.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, December 13, 2012

Stock Market SPX, U.S. Dollar, Natural Trading Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Yesterday’s price action was very bearish yet again and we are patiently waiting for a counter trend pullback to happen. While three are some good looking plays out there I really do not want to get long until the market clears the air with a bout or three of strong selling. Remember 3:4 stocks follow the market and the odds of picking a commodity or ETF that bucks the trend is unlikely. If you are interested in powerful stocks & ETFs the buck the trend check out my FREE Trading Ideas live Go Here: https://stockcharts.com/public/1992897

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, December 13, 2012

Stock Market Santa Tries to “Sleigh” the Fiscal Cliff / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Sabrient Systems and Gradient Analytics writes: Santa Claus is trying his hardest to keep spirits bright among stock investors. But the President and the House are not playing nice and just might find a lump of coal in their stockings. Neither appears willing to give an inch, so some observers predict that we will indeed go over the fiscal cliff, at least until mid-January. Then, with across-the-board tax increases and spending cuts in place, the politicians can be seen as having restored tax cuts for most of us rather than seen as making the marginal rates on some of us go up.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, December 13, 2012

Sell Short, Stock Market Breaking Down! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The SPX is breaking down,, to the point of violating its month-old bullish trendline.  This is the spot where we should be 100% short.  Tomorrow may not provide an entry, so take care to have at least a partial short position here.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 12, 2012

US Fiscal Cliff Talks Going Nowhere to be Followed by Market Collapse / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Graham_Summers

Ever since the EU Crisis began in earnest in January 2010, EU leaders have maintained the following strategy:

1)   Engage in endless meetings/ discussions, none of which resolve anything.

2)   Announce that the situation is resolved.

3)   Wait for the world to realize nothing has been fixed.

4)   Repeat.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 12, 2012

December Stock Market Brief, Avalanche of European Debt 2013 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Christopher_Quigley

A market giving mixed signals:
The stock market had been basically playing a waiting game since the American presidential election with a tug of war going on between buyers and sellers but now the momentum is definitely moving with the bulls. By all accounts this rally should remain, notwithstanding any shock from Congress and the fiscal negotiators from the Whitehouse. The sooner these budget issues are put to bed the better. Either way, fiscal cliff or no fiscal cliff, the end result will be the same.  There has to be some budget cuts and some raising of taxes (the ratings of the American dollar demand it) so I really do wish they would get on with the job of work at hand and cool the dramatics.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, December 12, 2012

Stock Market Strong Performance Despite the Congressional Dithering / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short. The markets certainly didn’t share the dismal outlook of this morning’s NFIB Small Business Optimism Index, which posted the 10th worst level in its history. The S&P 500 surged at the open and hit its intraday high, up 1.11%, in the late morning. The index showed resilience through the early afternoon until Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid expressed his view that “it’s going to be extremely difficult to get it [an agreed budget plan] done before Christmas.” The index rolled over for about 30 minutes but the regained its poise and closed the day with a 0.65% gain. Today’s intraday high was back in the neighberhood of the November election day intraday high.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 11, 2012

Credit Kills the Stocks Bear for December / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Clif_Droke

Stocks remained buoyant this week as the market believes the Fed will remain accommodative in view of the latest drop in U.S. unemployment numbers. It’s widely expected the Federal Reserve will maintain its easy money policy when it meets on Wednesday.

The number of stocks making new 52-week lows has remained under 40 for the last two weeks now and the major indices are all above their rising 15-day moving averages. That shows that the market has stabilized enough to allow rising short-term internal momentum to begin to have a lifting effect on the market.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 11, 2012

Stock Market Ready For a "Take Down" / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

It took this morning’s ramp to 1431.62 to confirm this EW pattern.  As of now, it is (nearly) finished, with a 67% retracement of Primary Wave [1].  Wave (A) consumed 64 hours.  Wave (B) consumed 17 hours and Wave (C) consumed 26 hours, giving us a near-perfect fractal model for a corrective pattern. 

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 11, 2012

Stock Market No Drive Higher....Nor Lower....Not Yet Anyway... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Jack_Steiman

The market just can't seem to get moving higher with any force. The reason is because fewer and fewer stocks are leading the way up. Many more are just sitting in long-term bases or breaking down some. It's not bad everywhere. Some sectors are trying to break out, such as the transports, although they've yet to do so. Every time it seems the market is ready for something really good, it just can't get the juice behind it. No shock as, let's face it, folks, the uncertainty of the fiscal cliff remains with us on a daily basis with the deadline getting closer and closer. The end of the year will be here before you know it, and for now the boys on opposite sides aren't trying real hard to get things done as their egos are still getting in the way.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, December 11, 2012

Stock Market 50-day Sell Signal May be Activated Today / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The SPX is finishing its Intermediate Wave (2) this early afternoon.  It succeeded in overcoming the 50-day on the third attempt, but cannot hold above it at 1417.71.  This is your sell signal if you have gone neutral or long in the past two weeks. 

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 10, 2012

The Twitter Stock Market Investor Sentiment Indicator / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: PhilStockWorld

The Downside Hedge Twitter Sentiment indicator for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) is confirming the current uptrend. Both daily and smoothed sentiment are showing very strong readings that reflect the optimism of market participant’s tweets. We saw a good number of tweets early last week predicting the market would hold support and that any dip should be bought. This proved to be true as the dip to 1400 on SPX was bought aggressively. Later in the week traders were tweeting about trading the current range, but still wanting to be buyers to levels as low as the 1385 on SPX (near the 200 day moving average).

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 10, 2012

Stock Market Elliott Wave Analysis of Blow off Tops, Apple Stock Example / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: WavePatternTraders

SPX Long Term

My preferred wave count is similar to the idea I posted some weeks back on the DAX and that I suspect the SPX is inside a 5th wave for an ending diagonal so likely to chop higher into Jan-Feb period next year before a meaningful high. It would need a seriously strong break below the 200DMA on the SPX before I would switch to an alternative bearish idea, whilst this market continues higher I still prefer the bullish option over the bearish option.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 10, 2012

Dow Complex Points to Higher Stock Market This Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.

SPX: Intermediate trend - SPX has made a top at 1474. A mid-correction rally is underway.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, December 10, 2012

Stocks Bull / Bear Market Inflection Point Nears / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Tony_Caldaro

A choppy market this week in the US which ended quite mixed. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.55%, but the NDX/NAZ were -1.15%. Asian markets gained 0.8%, European markets gained 1.0%, and the DJ World index was +0.6%. On the economic front positive reports outpaced negative ones 8 to 5. On the uptick: construction spending, productivity, factory orders, ISM services, consumer credit, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims and the unemployment rate improved. On the downtick: ISM manufacturing, the ADP index, nonfarm payrolls, consumer sentiment, and investor sentiment. Next week the FED meets tuesday/wednesday, plus we get reports on retail sales, the CPI/PPI, and industrial production. Best to your week!

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, December 09, 2012

Stock Market PANIC Coming! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Darah_Bazargan

The TV pundits all contribute their fair share to the conditioning process by clouding thoughts of any market player. To the extent that all ambiguities presented will bait investors to thinking IRRATIONALLY! Like, waiting for a 1000 point rally to emerge once the fiscal cliff is resolved.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, December 08, 2012

Good Jobs...Bad Jobs.... Stock Market Still Lateral..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Jack_Steiman

The Government came out with their bag of tricks this morning pre-market, telling us that jobs increased by 146,000, which was much better than expected. What they failed to tell you was that the jobs market lost 122,000 people when their claims ran out with the Government--the new math, apparently. So in the end the report was actually worse than expected, but they want you to believe that things are actually improving.

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