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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 27, 2016

Zero Percent Mortgages Debut Setting up the Next Stage for this Stock Market Bull / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market

By: Sol_Palha

Although gold dust is precious, when it gets in your eyes it obstructs your vision.
Hsi-Tang

Economists stated that main trigger for the financial crisis of 2008 was the issuance of mortgages that did not require down payments.  The ease at which one could get mortgages in the past is what drove housing prices to unsustainable levels. Post-crisis all banks vowed to end the practice forever, or that is what they wanted everyone to believe.   When the credit markets froze, we openly stated that the 1st sign that banks were getting ready to lower the bar again would come in the form of Zero percent balance transfer offers that had all but vanished after 2008.  A few years after 2008, banks started to mail these offers out, and now everywhere you look you can find 0 %  balance transfer offers ranging from 12 months to 18 months.  The next step after that would be for banks to lower the 20% down payment required to something much lower. Currently, Bank of America and a few other banks are offering 3% down mortgages. 

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 27, 2016

SPX, TNX May Finish their Rallies. BKX May lead the Decline / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

At last there may be some resolution to this rally. The Triangle formation is an introduction to the terminal thrust for this rally. A Triangle formation also suggests this may be the last of the rallies. I drew the upper channel trendline in the same manner as the 2-hour chart. It shows a probable terminus of the last thrust closer to 2185.00. Given the rise in volatility that the Fed meeting may engender, it may be a more likely top than the minimum 2180.00 that I mentioned yesterday.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 27, 2016

Topsy-Turvy, Volatile Stock Market Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market had a topsy-turvy, volatile session. The indices were up sharply in the morning, came down sharply midmorning, rallied back midday, came down again in the afternoon, made higher lows, and then rallied back at the end of the day, finishing mixed on the day.

Net on the day, the Dow was down 19.31 at 18,473.75. The S&P 500 was up .70 at 2169.18. The Nasdaq 100 was up 6.18 at 4672.11.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 27, 2016

Stock Market Should be Going Down And Yet... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Ed_Carlson

Everything seems to say this market should be going down... and yet... price is always the final arbiter. July through October is a seasonally bullish period of the year for the VIX. The VIX closed last Friday at 12.02. The last time the VIX was below 13.00 was last August just before the S&P 500 declined over 11.00%... and yet...

Sentiment is at an extreme. The CNN Fear & Greed index is at 83 which is a level described as "extreme greed". The NAAIM Exposure index is at 96 which is as bullish as it has ever gotten... and yet...

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 26, 2016

Deutche Bank Stock Price Crash - The EU Has Problems Far Beyond the Brexit / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets

By: Harry_Dent

The Dow dropped nearly 1,000 points (5%) and the London FTSE dropped 10% after the Brexit vote surprised the markets on June 23. After two days though, markets were marching back up again.

That’s just like markets on “crack!” They react to political events, but totally miss the fundamentals.

Yes, Brexit is important. Years from now it will be recognized as the beginning of the end for the great Eurozone experiment.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 26, 2016

SPX is Flat, Crude is Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

The SPX Premarket is flat this morning. Normally, at the beginning of the Fed meetings, I would expect the SPX futures to be higher. That may be the case prior to the open. If this is a “buy the rumor, sell the news” moment, I would anticipate that all the rumors may have already been played out.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 26, 2016

Nasdaq Pulling the Stock Market Up, and Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Gary_Savage

Markets don’t generally go through a major resistance zone on the first try. Notice it took the S&P 5 tries before it could break through the 2015 high.

I think we can expect the same thing when the Nasdaq tests the all-time highs. It should pull back, and I expect it will take the rest of the markets down with it. Nasdaq will likely pull back to the 5,000 level.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 26, 2016

Nasdaq Closed Flat Despite Down Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices started off the week on a very weak note, and although an afternoon comeback from midday hold of secondary support created a market rally that saw a late afternoon pullback consolidation, and then a strong surge in the last half hour to take back a big chunk of losses back. However, they were unable to get to through to the positive side, although the Nasdaq 100 closed nearly flat on the day after being down as much as 15 points.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 26, 2016

Stocks Could Easily Fall 40% From Here / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Graham_Summers

The US is in a recession.

Quarterly earnings by publicly traded corporations have fallen for SIX straight quarters. That covers a time of 18 months.

This has never happened outside of a recession.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 26, 2016

Stock Market Unwinding...Nothing Bearish...Fed On Deck... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

Can you believe it! The market pulled back for a whole day. Who knows, it may do two days in a row. You never know. It's not unusual for a market or a stock to come back and test the level from which it broke out. In this case it's S&P 500 2134. I don't know that we'll get that low, but it's always possible for this market to back test. The fact that it shot decently past 2134 allows it to have a reasonable pullback without breaking support as it unwinds. It would be healthier for the market to back test and get some unwinding, but if it does actually do that, it would likely scare folks that we had a false breakout. I don't think that will occur. It would if the market was playing the real world, but since the market rarely does that it's quite unlikely that we'll break far below 2134 on the S&P 500, thus causing a false breakout from a couple weeks back. The bulls waited a long time to get this breakout, and, with the bears mostly silent, it would be a surprise if this move was a false one. Anything is possible, but it makes little sense.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 25, 2016

Declines in Multiple Market Indexes / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

WTIC is making new lows beneath its Head & Shoulders neckline at 44.25. It may make its target by the next Pi date on August 11. If so, that also leaves the door open for a longer decline into the end of August.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 25, 2016

Stock Market Short-Term Uncertainty As Investors React To Earnings Releases / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,210, and profit target at 2,050, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is now neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 25, 2016

Stock Market Top is Expanding / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: The long-term trend is at an all-time high.

SPX Intermediate trend: The uptrend from 1810 has continued to a new high.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, July 24, 2016

Stock Market Has Topped; GDX Continues Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

The signs of a stock market top came on July 22 when the SPX made a truncated pseudo 5th wave failure at 2175. There were many astro/cyclical signs pointing to a July 19/20th top. My thinking regarding a continuation higher for the stock market is now not warranted.

GDX is about to break an important uptrend line and the technical/cyclical read is down hard next week to near $25 .20. Gold and silver could make a final bottom in early August.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, July 23, 2016

Stock Market Wealthbuilder Report / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Christopher_Quigley

Technical Overview:
Short Term Trend:                            Bullish
Medium Term Trend:                      Bullish
Long Term Trend:                            Rising From Neutral.
Long Stochastics:                                            Overbought
Short Stochastics:                                           Overbought
Vix:                                                    Very Low/ Risk High.
McC. Oscillator:                               Bullish
A/D Line:                                           Bullish

This market is very much overbought. However, the McClennan Oscillator indicates that prices could easily move higher without too much effort as its price is positioned in the middle of its current trading range.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, July 23, 2016

SPX Stock Market Uptrend Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week at SPX 2162. The market had a small bounce on Monday, then pulled back to SPX 2159 on Tuesday. Wednesday the market opened higher and rallied to SPX 2176, a new all time high. Thursday the market pulled back to SPX 2160, then rallied on Friday to end the week at 2175. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.45%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 1.55%. Economic reports for the week were positive. On the downtick: the NAHB and the Philly FED. On the uptick: building permits, housing starts, existing home sales, the FHFA, leading indicators and weekly jobless claims improved. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the FOMC meeting and Q2 GDP.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, July 23, 2016

Stock Market Caution ... / Stock-Markets / Volatility

By: Marty_Chenard

Time goes on, but risk levels remain high ... here is why ...

Take a look at this 10 year chart of the VIX that we posted below and observe two things.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, July 22, 2016

The Serious Warning No One’s Talking About / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Casey_Research

By Justin Spittler

On Tuesday, a huge event happened in the investing world.

But if you’re like most Americans, you probably haven’t even heard about it.

The mainstream media didn’t discuss this event much. It was too busy pointing out that the S&P 500 and Dow Jones Industrial Average have hit new all-time highs.

Meanwhile, something much bigger was happening on the other side of the world.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, July 22, 2016

NASDAQ Pulling the Stock Market Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Gary_Savage

The Nasdaq Nov/Dec high may act like a magnet to pull the S&P 500 price higher before generating a half cycle top.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, July 22, 2016

Stock Market Rally IS Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Joseph_VanDerveer

VIX verse OEX

Many fund managers and analysts are calling for much higher prices in the market near term, medium term, and long term, extremely bullish sentiment.  These are the ingredients for making a top in the market.  We have very high sentiment, overbought oscillator, and some other technical clues illustrated below.

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