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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Tuesday, October 02, 2007

Making Money In a Supercycle Bear Market Without Margin Or Trading Or Paying Commissions / Stock-Markets / Investing

By: Bob_Bronson

If you are a money manager, or professionally advise investors, you may be interested in a market commentary showing some of our latest economic reasoning, which an investment advisor client of ours has been using to make money for their managed accounts during this Supercycle Bear Market – and with extremely low downside volatility. 

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 01, 2007

Leverage and Liquidity being Thrown at the Global Banking System - The Morgan Legacy / Stock-Markets / Derivatives

By: Captain_Hook

That's the extent of leverage being thrown at the financial system in keeping the Western banking model (he set the stage for way back when) – and better known today as ‘globalization' – afloat. If the bank run in England currently underway is any indication however, in spite of these efforts big changes are now at our doorstep. And if history is a good guide, even exploding derivatives growth and money supply will be unable to prevent the system from collapsing onto its own weight, even though increasing hyperinflation practices will be employed in an attempting to preserve current political regimes and power structures. Why is this the case? Because in the end change is inevitable, where those attempting to model themselves after J.P. Morgan (the bail out king) today will discover it's better to think in these terms at the beginning of a larger cycle (the Fed cycle began with its birth in 1913) than the end.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, September 30, 2007

UK FTSE 100 and Germany's DAX Index - Elliott Wave Stock Market Analysis / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory

By: Robert_McHugh_PhD

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBoth major stock markets are completing tops , and are about to start multi-week declines.

The London FTSE topped in July, 2007, and since has been tracing out the first two legs of an a- down, b -up, c- down Intermediate degree wave 2 decline. Wave b- up has retraced about 73.6 percent of the decline from July into August. That wave should complete soon. Then a strong decline, wave c- down should begin. A Fibonacci .786 retrace of wave a- down would take the FTSE up as high as 6,554.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, September 30, 2007

Stock Market Update: Eyes of the Beholder / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Dominick

Last week's update warned that “big moves are still out there, building just below the surface”, but they didn't really materialize in this mostly sideways week as Wall Street looked to dress up its balance books at the close of the quarter. Financials, for example, were untouchable on Friday after trading higher earlier in the week on a spurious rumor about Warren Buffet and Bear Sterns. Oh jeez, it's enough to make someone forget about the news and just trade the charts!

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, September 29, 2007

Stocks Bull Market With a Recession? / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets

By: John_Mauldin

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn this issue:
Inflation is Not a Problem - Until It Is
The House of Pain
A Bull Market and a Recession?
The Return of Muddle Through
King Dollar and the Guillotine, Part Two
Birthdays and the Ground Rush Effect

The dollar reaches new lows. The housing market shows no sign of a bottom. Oil almost touches $84 before backing off. Interest rates go up after the Fed cuts. So naturally the stock market keeps climbing. But then, consumer spending came in strong, employment looks like it may be ok, inflation (at least by one measure) came in below 2%. This week we look at the question of whether you could have a continued bull market and a recession. (Maybe.) We look at the bigger picture for the dollar and interest rates and examine the ugly data from the housing sector. Inflation or deflation?

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, September 29, 2007

Weekly Financial Markets Analysis - A Credit Crisis Is Looming / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleFedWatch: The discount window has moved.

The original $2 billion borrowed at the Fed discount window has been repaid. Two weeks ago, yet another $7.2 billion borrowed by other banks was outstanding. This week, there are no outstanding loans at the Federal Reserve Discount window. End of story…or is it?

The Federal Reserve has another tool called the Federal Temporary Open Market Operations (FOMO), which is used to influence the Federal Funds market. The purpose of FOMO is, “To implement monetary policy, short-term repurchase and reverse repurchase agreements are used to temporarily affect the size of the Federal Reserve System's portfolio and influence day-to-day trading in the federal funds market.”

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, September 26, 2007

Crouching Dollar, Golden Investment Opportunity! / Stock-Markets / US Dollar

By: Money_and_Markets

Sean Brodrick writes: The U.S. dollar is on a slippery slope — down more than 8% from its highs earlier this year and down 54% from its all-time highs.

Make no mistake: The fundamentals have not changed, and the buck probably has lower to go — perhaps much lower. Here's a quick summary of what's driving the greenback lower …

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, September 26, 2007

Macro Musings: Northern Rock Exposure / Stock-Markets / Global Financial System

By: Justice_Litle

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBY NOW YOU HAVE probably heard about Northern Rock—the UK mortgage bank that got, er, rocked.

"It was a very British bank run," portfolio manager Tim Price reports. "The queues were orderly, but the emotional impact will scar people for generations." 

What's remarkable is how long it's been since the last one. Northern Rock was Britain's first bank run since 1866.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 25, 2007

Upside Breakout Expected for Semiconductor Tek Stocks / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: Mike_Paulenoff

Time for a look at the Semiconductor HOLDRs ETF (AMEX: SMH), which looks to me like it is heading for an upside breakout that will be precipitated by strength in Intel (Nasdaq: INTC), Applied Materials (Nasdaq: AMAT), Analog Devices (NYSE: ADI)...in the upcoming hours/days...

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 25, 2007

What Foreign Investors Will Do Next As Falling Dollar Makes US Assets Cheaper / Stock-Markets / Investing

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTony Sagami writes: Did you jump for joy when the Federal Reserve Bank lowered interest rates by half a percentage point? If you own a significant stake in the U.S. stock market, you probably did.

I say that because the Dow Jones added 417 points from last Tuesday (the day of the Fed announcement) through last Friday. For all of last week, the Dow gained 2.8% and the Nasdaq tacked on 2.7%.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 25, 2007

Adam Hamilton on Options, LEAPS and Warrants / Stock-Markets / Options & Warrants

By: Dudley_Baker

In the July issue of Zeal Intelligence , Adam Hamilton focused on alternative methods for investing in the mining shares. His subscribers were presented with more trading tools in building their portfolios in addition to purchasing the common shares. He discussed the long awaited Market Vector Gold Miners ETF (GDX) which launched in May 2006 and additionally, he discussed in depth, options, LEAPS and warrants.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 25, 2007

Stock Market Returns After Interest Rate Cuts / Stock-Markets / US Interest Rates

By: Hans_Wagner

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOn September 18, 2007 the U.S. Federal Reserve lowered the Federal Funds rate and the Discount rate by 0.50% and the stock market leapt up by 2.9% for the day. Many investors were surprised by the Fed's move and wished they had been fully invested in the market. So, will the market continue up as a result of the move by the Fed? It turns out that there are a couple of studies that we might use to give us some guidance.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 24, 2007

Investment Flash: Hyper-Bearish / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Paul_Lamont

What we think of as ‘money' has been tremendously expanded by the use of debt. Now that fear has entered the credit market, money has become scarce putting pressure on leveraged asset prices. Margin calls are becoming more numerous throughout the system. Central banks, through various schemes, will attempt to reflate the credit bubble. But they will fail because they cannot create confidence.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 24, 2007

Urgent Financial Self-Defense and Massive Profit Opportunities / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Money_and_Markets

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleMartin Weiss writes: We are on the verge of some of the greatest market convulsions of a lifetime.

And we're already seeing the first symptoms: Oil surging to all-time highs … gold making a beeline for $800 per ounce … long-term bonds suffering their worst one-day decline since 2003 … and behind it all, the US dollar getting slammed day after day, now within just an inch of its lowest level in history.

That's why we just held our Emergency Video Summit. And that's why we created this 14-page gala issue of Money and Markets …

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 24, 2007

Markets Rate Cut Enthusiasm Maybe Short lived / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Regent_Markets

Many traders will be breathing a heavy sigh of relief this week as the economic calendar lightens comparatively. The US interest rate decision weighed heavily on trading action last week. The FOMC announcement had top billing and it certainly didn't disappoint. Many analysts were expecting a 25 base point cut, with much speculation on when the next cut would be. The 50 base point cut took many by surprise and the market reacted with typical enthusiasm.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, September 23, 2007

Fed Acts to Head off Recession, Stock Market Investment Implications / Stock-Markets / Investing

By: Roger_Conrad

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleYou can throw out your economic models, quantitative analysis and research reports. It really just boils down to economics 101: The Federal Reserve is prepared to do whatever it takes to head off a credit collapse and potential recession.

This economy and market still have some bumps ahead. But the key to stanching any credit crunch is to provide more credit. And with the Fed apparently willing to do anything short of throwing bags of money out of airplanes, the odds of a global economic catastrophe are fading fast.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, September 23, 2007

Stock Market Cycle Turning Points Analysis 23rd September 2007 / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market.

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSPX: Long-Term Trend - The 12-yr cycle is approaching its mid-point and some of its dominant components which are topping should soon restrain the bullish effect of the 4.5-yr cycle which has just made its low and is now in an uptrend. This could lead to another period of consolidation in 2008 with an eventual bull market top in 2009-2010.

SPX: Intermediate Trend - With the 4.5-yr cycle making its low in August, the intermediate-term trend is now up.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, September 23, 2007

Stock Market Update: Don't Fool with the Fed! / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets

By: Dominick

Did someone order a breakout? Or a bear sandwich? The Feds went hunting for shorts again this week with a 50 basis point cut in their overnight target rate that sparked the biggest one day rally in years. And, just like after their surprise cut of the discount rate in August, short positions were forced to cover en masse as there was little if anything to suggest in advance such a dramatic policy shift was forthcoming.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, September 22, 2007

The $900 billion "Bin Laden" Options trade Expires / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOn August 29th , a news website picked up on the existence of a gargantuan option trade that had the internet abuzz for the last month. You see, a trade of that size suggests to many that something is afoot. One point of view was that whoever bought or sold that ($900 million) option was anticipating disaster in the markets. Today that option trade expired, worthless. But was it a total loss? Not according to www.moneymorning.com (See “The $900 million Conspiracy Trade That Wasn't.) In the options business, a “box spread trade” can be used to lend someone money that could not get it in other venues and allows the lender (most likely a large banking institution) to keep its money at work.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, September 22, 2007

Semiconductor Stocks Grind Higher / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The Semiconductor HOLDRs ETF (AMEX: SMH) continues to carve out a rounded base-like pattern since late July, which resembles an inverted head-and-shoulders. Today's upside continuation off of Monday's pivot low at 36.80 has pushed prices towards the neckline resistance plateau between 38.80-39.10, which if hurdled and sustained, should trigger acceleration towards 40.50-42.00. At this juncture, only a plunge that breaks 37.90 will begin to compromise the developing pattern.

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