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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Friday, September 23, 2016

Possible Stock Market Aggressive Sell for the Brave / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX made its high at 10:35 am. Although it has not gone higher, it has only taken baby steps lower, so it may not be “out of the woods,” yet. As noted earlier, it has achieved at least one Wave relationship, but has not filled the gap.

I cannot give an “all clear” for conservative investors, since the SPX has not declined back beneath its 50-day Moving Average and the NYSE Hi-Lo Index went considerably higher today. However, those who are aggressive may consider at least a partial position today.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, September 22, 2016

The Implications of the Italian Banking Crisis Could Be Disastrous / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2016

By: John_Mauldin

BY GEORGE FRIEDMAN : The current Italian banking crisis carries with it the possibility of bank failures. The consequences of these failures pyramid the crisis because of European Union regulations. Essentially, the position of the European Union is that the European Central Bank (ECB) and the central banks of member countries cannot bail out failing banks by recapitalizing them—in other words, injecting money to keep them solvent.

EU regulations go so far as to prohibit Italy from using its state funds to shield investors and shareholders of banks from losses, unless there is risk of “very extraordinary” systemic stress. Rather, the EU has adopted a bail-in strategy.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, September 22, 2016

What's Keeping the Stock Market Up? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

There appears to be some unfinished business in the NDX. It appears that the Cycle Top may be challenged yet one more time before reversing down. From there, it should sync up with the SPX in their declines.

Wave 5 = 1 and [v] = [i] at 4903.00 or slightly higher, but Cycle Top resistance is strong. In addition, Wave (C) equals Wave (A) at 4865, so the Wave relationships may limit the upside. Whether it goes all the way is to be determined, but it appears that NDX will be having an influence on the markets until it is finished.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, September 22, 2016

Lemmings Only Function in The Stock Market is to Serve as Cannon Fodder / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Sol_Palha

"A genius can't be forced; nor can you make an ape an alderman." ~ Thomas Somerville

From the Tulip bubble to the financial meltdown of 2008, the theme has been the same. The masses never learn, they always cry foul on the way down but gurgle with joy on the way up. In other words, when they are making money, they are okay with the risk, but when they start to lose, they scream bloody murder.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, September 22, 2016

Stock Market Sentiment Improves Following Fed's Rate Decision, Will The Uptrend Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,210, and profit target at 2,050, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, September 22, 2016

Spectacularly Higher Day as NDX Makes New 15-Year Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market had a very volatile session today. First they gapped up and ran to resistance, rolled over hard to test support, and after the FOMC, bounced, and then exploded. They then pulled back sharply and held, and then went ballistic in the last couple hours, then went vertical at that point, going from 4810 Nasdaq 100, all the way up to 4859, a 49 run up. The S&P 500 went from 2144 to 2165, and closed not far off the highs.

Net on the day, the Dow was up 163.74 at 18,293.70, 14 points off the high. The S&P 500 was up 23.36 at 2163.12, just 2 points off its high. The Nasdaq 100 had a strong day, up 48.53 at 4853.75, 5 points off its high.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, September 21, 2016

The Fed Chickens Out / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX made a marginal new high this afternoon as the Fed “chickened out” on its rate decision.. This is one of the sloppiest Ending Diagonals I’ve seen in a while, but that appears to be the best fit. Wave [v] appears to be complete, so those who have stepped aside may re-engage their short positions.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, September 21, 2016

Three Charts Every Stock Market Investor Needs to See Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Graham_Summers

The markets are in waiting mode as the Bank of Japan and Federal Reserve meet this week.

However, smarter markets than stocks are already adjusting to a weak global economy. Oil, which lead the S&P 500 to the upside from the February bottom is now rolling over sharply.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, September 21, 2016

The Fed Has Set Us Up for a Massive 50% Stock Market Collapse / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Graham_Summers

The Fed is running a virtual repeat of 1937.

The common narrative is that the Fed “didn’t do enough” during the Great Depression. This is used to justify the Fed’s use of non-stop extraordinary monetary policy post-2008.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, September 21, 2016

Stock Market VIX / Stock-Markets / Volatility

By: Marty_Chenard

The current VIX Index (Volatility Index) chart is posted below going back to 2015.

Please note the following: The long term trend has been down with each successive peak being lower. (A lower VIX correlates with a higher stock market and a higher VIX with a lower stock market.)

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, September 21, 2016

Stock Market Cycle Dates have been Modified / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

After researching the Leading Diagonal [Wave (1)], I have concluded that it may not be considered corrective at all. That means the September 9 decline may have been the start of Wave (3).

More importantly, a closer examination of the Cycles Model strongly suggests that Wave (3) may have begun on September 9. The Brexit low appeared to be important, but it was not an Elliott Wave (4), as many would believe. It did not even register on the Hi-Lo Index. As a result, I cannot label it as an important Cyclical low, although its is an important part of the Orthodox Broadening Top.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 20, 2016

European banks may be more important than the Fed this week / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

It’s like déjà vu all over again. The SPX Premarket has tested the lower trendline of its Orthodox Broadening Top, but pulled back.

ZeroHedge observes, “If yesterday one could "explain" the overnight stock levitation due to the move higher in crude oil, today there is no such catalyst with WTI down modestly, and yet the broader push higher across European stocks and US equities has reappeared following yesterday's muted close on Wall Street ahead of key central bank data on deck. Some have attributed the 0.4% rise in futures to the latest dip in the dollar, while a modest bond rally as the countdown to crucial policy decisions by the Bank of Japan and the Federal Reserve entered its final stretch, put taper tantrum concerns on hold if only for the time being.”

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 20, 2016

Gold, Silver, Stocks and Bonds Grand Ascension or Great Collapse? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: DeviantInvestor

It depends upon your perspective and the markets you follow …

Perspective:

  1. The global economy is drowning in debt – $230 Trillion and counting – that will not be repaid at current value. Expect hyperinflation or outright default.
  2. Negative Interest Rates on $13 Trillion in sovereign debt are a sign of failure by central banks, governments, and Keynesian economists.
  3. Pension plans and savers are hurt by low and negative interest rates. They have been sacrificed for the continued levitation in the stock and bond markets.
  4. All of the above indicate a correction and possible collapse are coming. Perhaps it began this month, September 2016.
  5. The charts of six markets tell the story.
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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 20, 2016

Mass Psychology in Action; Instead of Selling Gilead it is Time to Take a Closer Look / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Sol_Palha

"A little and a little, collected together, becomes a great deal; the heap in the barn consists of single grains, and drop and drop make the inundation." ~ Saadi

One should be wary of listening to individuals that claim to be experts especially if they are associated with big investment firms or popular media. In most instances, the word expert is the code word for jackass, and the word sell is the secret code word for buy, especially if these jackasses are the ones telling you to do so. Before we continue, let's examine the story below, and it clearly illustrates how those with the mass mindset sell when it is time to buy and buy when its time to sell.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 20, 2016

Stock Market Waiting On Wednesday..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Jack_Steiman

Boring. Simple as that. The market is boring. It whips about, but goes nowhere in the end. That's because the market wants to always go higher in the new fed environment, but because the economy is worsening it's having more resistance from the bears. In the end, we go nowhere. It is what it is. The global economy is mirroring our economy here at home. Both are on steep declines based on the key reports we've received over the past couple of weeks.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 19, 2016

SPX is still on a sell signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

At the hourly level, the SPX has a few anomalies in its Wave structure. However, this appears to be the “best fit.”

In this case Wave [v] is roughly equal to Wave [i] of C. I had expected to see Waves C and A attaining equality where Wave C would approach the 50-day Moving Average, instead. As a result, this correction is called an “irregular.”

But that also verifies a Wave (B).

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 19, 2016

Stock Market May Turn Ugly This Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The SPX Premarket is higher this morning, but short of Thursday’s high or the trendline.

ZeroHedge reports, “Stocks across the board, and US equity futures are broadly in the green this morning as markets shrug off the terror-related events in the NYC area over the weekend. There wasn’t a single positive “reason” for the green price action but the bond “tantrum” that caught the attention of stocks beginning back on 9/8 is increasingly fading and investors are hopeful this week’s central bank decisions (BOJ and FOMC both on Wed 9/21) will further ease yield anxieties.”

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 19, 2016

Central Bank Digital Currencies: A Revolution in Banking? / Stock-Markets / Bitcoin

By: Ellen_Brown

Several central banks, including the Bank of England, the People’s Bank of China, the Bank of Canada and the Federal Reserve, are exploring the concept of issuing their own digital currencies, using the blockchain technology developed for Bitcoin. Skeptical commentators suspect that their primary goal is to eliminate cash, setting us up for negative interest rates (we pay the bank to hold our deposits rather than the reverse).

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 19, 2016

Stock Market Positive Expectations Following Last Week's Uncertainty, But Will Stocks Continue Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,210, and profit target at 2,050, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is now neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Monday, September 19, 2016

More Stock Market Selling Monday? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

It looks like that we should have more selling early Monday in the stock market according to the extremes of the 4 TD low combined with the current bearish wave action and negative astros. There is a rising wedge that meets near 2110 Monday. I'm not sure we tag that or not, but in any case there should be a strong rally Monday out of this sell-off according to the cycles.

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