Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Tuesday, October 13, 2015

German DAX Stock Market Index Expected To Go Lower / Stock-Markets / Germany

By: Gregor_Horvat

German DAX fell sharply down this summer so we see price in big wave IV) pullback which could reach much lower levels by the end of the year, but after wave (B) rally is complete which seems to be underway now to higher levels. Ideally price will hit 10800 before downtrend will continue into wave (C).

Tuesday, October 13, 2015

Gold for Stocks Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Axel_Merk

While some continue dancing, the music might have already stopped: are we already in a bear market in stocks? In this context, we study past bear markets to see whether gold may serve as a valuable diversifier for what's ahead.

Tuesday, October 13, 2015

Stock Market Holding Below Breakout....Bullish Action Overall... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

The stock market plays games with the heads of the traders out there. For a good period of time it will not be able to move higher, and then out of the blue, things reverse and it simply can't fall very much. It transitions and fools the masses over and over, but isn't that its intentions! You bet it is. To keep you guessing and getting frustrated time after time. The house usually wins as we all know.

Monday, October 12, 2015

Stock Market S&P 500: Is it This Simple? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Gary_Tanashian

In an age of Algorithms, High Frequency Trading, Quant-injected performance engines and every Casino Patron with an e-Trade account hyper-stimulating the market after each bit of news that is fed (no pun intended) to us by the financial media and Policy Central, the lowly individual can be forgiven for feeling small and vulnerable; for feeling as if the answers are beyond her, or that long-term success is out of his reach.

Indeed, this very publication has ground its gears pondering the fact that August-September market sentiment became historically over bearish in ratio to the relatively minor downside experienced thus far. That was a bullish, not a bearish thing. With sentiment now being repaired it is time to ask if we are giving the bulls too much latitude.

Monday, October 12, 2015

Stock Market Waiting for the Turn / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX Premarket is down a fraction. That means we have to give it a little more room fefore the reversal. Equities may rally to 11:00 am or shortly after to have rallied for 60.2 hours from the low. Since the decline was 56 hours, it makes sense that a rally, no matter how strong, will take a bit longer. In addition, there is some unfinished business because Minor Wave C has not yet equaled Minor Wave A, a common relationship. To do so, it would have to rally to 2025.76.

Monday, October 12, 2015

Stock Market One Step Back From the Ledge / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Michael_Pento

I started Pento Portfolio Strategies three years ago with the knowledge that the unprecedented level of fiat credit creation had rendered the globe debt disabled and would result in mass global sovereign default. As a consequence, there would be wild swings between inflation and deflation dependent upon the government provisions of fiscal stimulus, Quantitative Easing and Zero Interest Rate Policies...

Monday, October 12, 2015

Structural Reasons For A Long-Term Financial Markets Decline / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Raymond_Matison

Markets advance and decline for a myriad of different reasons. But in the final analysis, the old maxim about more buyers than sellers making bullish markets, and more sellers than buyers making bear markets remains true.  Unfortunately such a simple observation is neither insightful nor helpful. However, by adding detail to this old market truth we can get great insight into the future of our current and future financial markets.

Monday, October 12, 2015

Stock Market / GDX New Lows Coming: Panic Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Brad_Gudgeon

The stock market came back with a vengeance out of the late September low (5- week lows), but failed to come back evenly, creating a case of an inter-market bearish divergence. The Dow Industrials, NYA, OEX and SOX made a higher high above the September 17th top on October 9th, but the SPX and NASDAQ Comp failed to do so. The SPX came close but the Comp failed miserably. In charting terms, we have just created a "double top" and hence a 'double top reversal' is at hand. Normally, it runs a Fibonacci .333 to .382 past the previous low (1871 SPX) and that forecasts ideally somewhere between or near 1780-96 on the SPX within the next 5-6 TD's.

Sunday, October 11, 2015

Stock Market Gains, but the “Super Crash” Is Accelerating / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: MM

MoneyMorning.com Michael E. Lewitt writes: The lunatics are running the asylum.

After an incessant flow of bad economic news from both the U.S. and abroad, investors decided that "bad news is good news" and they should bid up stock prices.

Saying "bad is good" is like saying "down is up" or "Hillary is telling the truth."  It is so obviously contrary to the facts that you can't take it seriously.

Sunday, October 11, 2015

October Stocks Bear Market and Crash Killer / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Nadeem_Walayat

We are now well into October, which is THE month for stock market doom and gloom to prevail. This is the month when the perma stock market crash proponents are at their most vocal when they dust down and repost ancient charts of previous crashes such as 1929 and 1987 and more recently 2008, to once more proclaim that history is about to repeat and a stock market crash is imminent. Though this time its even worse than usual because even those who may have been 'mostly' bullish threw in the towel several weeks ago to at least conclude that stocks bear market had begun.

Saturday, October 10, 2015

Stock Market Primary V to New Highs Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Tony_Caldaro

The week started at SPX 1951. After a gap up opening on Monday morning to start the week, the market made higher highs and lows every day ending the week at SPX 2015. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 3.5%, the NDX/NAZ gained 2.5%, and the DJ World index gained 4.4%. Economic reports for the week continued their neutral to negative bias. On the uptick: wholesale inventories, the WLEI, GDPn and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: ISM services, consumer credit, export/import prices, the MMIS and the trade deficit expanded. Next week, a busy week, we get Industrial production, the FED’s Beige book, and Retail sales.

Saturday, October 10, 2015

A Week Where Pessimism Ruled.... Stock Markets Rally.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

Pessimism has been rocking in over the past two months. Step by step we've seen more and more bears come in, while more and more bulls run out. Shorting positions dramatically on the rise. Fewer and fewer people are talking as if the market can actually go up again. So naturally the market had a nice week to the upside, closing at overbought on the short-term charts for good measure. Shows how much pessimism and short interest can do for the short-term, if not a bit longer than that. The bull-bear spread started the week at minus 4%. It was probably close to zero or slightly green, but still a solid number for the bulls.

Friday, October 09, 2015

Stock Market Rally May be Broken / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

At 9:59 am the SPX made a failed attempt at a new high, missing by 95 ticks. It appears to be coming back down and may break the uptrend at 2010.00. SPX regains its sell signal below the 50-day Moving Average at 1993.78.

The reason I brought up the time element is that it is exactly 51.6 hours from the low on Sept 29.

Friday, October 09, 2015

Contrarian Investing - Being the 10th Man / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015

By: John_Mauldin

By Jared Dillian

I was going to give you this big macro rundown of what happened since the payroll number, but I changed my mind. Anybody can give you the play-by-play. Let’s talk about it in the context of true contrarian investing.

Being contrarian doesn’t just mean doing the opposite of what everyone else is doing. It means doing what is really unpopular and may make you subject to ridicule.

Friday, October 09, 2015

Global Players at the Financial Poker Table / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: DeviantInvestor

From the movie “Rounders” regarding poker:

“If you can’t spot the sucker in the first half hour at the table, then you are the sucker.”  

Friday, October 09, 2015

Stock Market Waiting for the Turn / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The SPX Premarket is higher this morning. This appears to be the final phase of the rally, which may be gunning for the hourly Cycle Top at 2022.41.

ZeroHedge comments, “Several days ago, we pointed out a startling fact: short interest in the NYSE had risen to match the record level seen just before the collapse of Lehman!

Friday, October 09, 2015

Financial Markets Calm Before the Storm? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Puru_Saxena

BIG PICTURE - Global business activity is slowing down and the majority of the developing nations are experiencing severe economic problems. Over in the developed world, Japan is contracting again, Euro zone is barely growing and even America's leading economic indicators are suggesting trouble ahead. Elsewhere, the CRB Index is trading at a 13-year low and this implosion in the prices of commodities is suggesting that all is not well with the global economy.

The crux of the matter is that the world is severely over-indebted (debt to GDP ratio of 286%, Figure 1) and without fiscal measures, viable reforms and debt restructuring, we will probably remain stuck in this low growth environment for years. Unfortunately, you cannot solve a problem of too much debt by encouraging even more borrowing; yet policymakers are trying to fix this mess by lowering interest rates and injecting liquidity.

Friday, October 09, 2015

Stock Market History Calling, Says Performance will be Crappy for Another ~10 years! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: John_Mauldin

I remember the first time I walked into Henry Blodget’s new startup, Business Insider, back in 2009. Twelve fresh-faced kids were crammed into a room about the size of my bedroom, pounding away on laptops, creating a new destination website. He took me over to a corner; we sat down in front of a few cameras; and he began shooting question after question at me, later turning the session into a series of interviews.

You walk into his office today and it’s still packed wall-to-wall with fresh-faced kids (the older I get the younger they look), but the offices are much larger, and it seemed to me last time that there had to be at least 150 people in them. But the interviews are still quick-paced, even if they’re now conducted in a special room, with upgraded equipment.

Friday, October 09, 2015

Cycle Top Met in the SPX / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The final surge in SPX hit Cycle Top resistance at 2013.51 where it appears to be repelled. A cross beneath the 50-day Moving Average at 1994.49 puts SPX back on a confirmed sell signal.

SPX has a new bearish profile with an Orthodox Broadening Top formation. A final peak that is lower than the second peak of the formation elevates the probability of a negative outcome to over 80%. Once SPX declines beneath the lower trendline the chances of meeting its proposed target is elevated to as high as 96%.

Thursday, October 08, 2015

FOMC Minutes Fireworks / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has risen back to the 50-da Moving Average for the 5th time. I don’t like this action, but it seems that the market is waiting for the release of the FOMC Minutes at 2:00 pm.

Reuters reports, “U.S. stocks fell on Thursday as investors await the minutes of the Federal Reserve's September meeting to get an insight into the central bank's decision to keep interest rates steady.