Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, May 25, 2017
Debt Mile Markers on the Road to Ruin / Stock-Markets / Global Debt Crisis 2017
We know much is currently wrong with our financial world, as discussed in the James Rickards book “The Road to Ruin” and elsewhere.
- The official U.S. government debt is nearly $20 trillion. Unfunded liabilities are 5 – 10 times larger. Debt has doubled every 8 – 9 years for decades – since the Federal Reserve was put in charge of devaluing the dollar. Debt will continue to grow, obviously out of control.
- Millions of Americans are out of work, regardless of the official statistics.
- Prices increase, some rapidly, regardless of the official statistics on consumer price inflation.
- More government spending and debt are looming on the horizon. New and escalating wars are likely. Expect more deficits, debt, and inflation.
- The U.S. stock market is selling at all-time highs, levitated by “easy money” and unsupported by fundamentals or breadth.
Thursday, May 25, 2017
Stock Market Top - Are We There Yet? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Good Morning!
SPX futures are at new highs this morning. This appears to be Wave (v) of [v] of 5…the final push.
Potential targets are as follows:
Wave 5 equals Wave 1 at 2408.83.
Wave [v] equals Wave [i] at 2413.85.
The 2-hour Cycle Top is at 2411.05.
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Thursday, May 25, 2017
Stock Market At Record High Again, Will Stocks Accelerate Their Uptrend? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Our intraday outlook is now neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, May 25, 2017
DOW Set for Short Term Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
My Bias: short below parity.
Wave Structure: continuing impulsive structure to the downside in wave (5)
Long term wave count: decline in wave (5) blue, below parity
Important risk events: GBP: Second Estimate GDP q/q, Business Investment q/q. USD: Unemployment Claims, OPEC Meetings
Wednesday, May 24, 2017
Stock Market Excellent Consolidation Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The stock market indices had a very excellent consolidation day, ending with gains on the day. The day started out with a pop to the upside, then a quick pullback, but the S&P 500 went to new highs, and the Nasdaq 100 failed to do so. When that happened, they pulled back midday. They tried to rally in the afternoon, unable to take out the highs. They pulled back at the end of the day, but then a quick, ten-minute snapback ensued that put them in the plus column.
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Wednesday, May 24, 2017
SPX Burns Stock Market Shorts / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
SPX sits on the knife’s edge. There’s no new high, but no decline to speak of, yet. Anything may happen, including an overnight bust. However, I cannot make any recommendations without more substantiation.
By the way, SPX did “close the gap” at 2400.67, taking out the shorts who jumped in beneath the trendline.
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Wednesday, May 24, 2017
The Stock Market Will Tank Hard / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The script for 2017-2018: Melt Up, then Global Meltdown, says Lior Gantz, editor of Wealth Research Group, who sees industrial metals, specifically silver and zinc, leading a commodities charge, while broad indices take a nose dive.
The market cap of the NASDAQ has reached a new all-time high of $8.705 trillion recently, which is equal to 45.8% of U.S. GDP. The long-term median NASDAQ market cap/GDP ratio is only 24.91%.
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Tuesday, May 23, 2017
Rosenberg: Republican Presidents Always Come In Near The Stock Market Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By Patrick Watson : GOP presidents have terrible luck. The last three before Trump took office near economic and market peaks, and Trump may have done the same.
That's what Gluskin Sheff economist David Rosenberg said at the Mauldin Economics Strategic Investment Conference today. In a sweeping presentation he called "The Trials and Tribulations of Trumponomics," Rosenberg noted the odd pattern dating back almost 40 years.
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Tuesday, May 23, 2017
Stock Market Forecast for Next 3 Months - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
This is the stock market forecast for the next 3 months for the US stock market, gold, silver, and gold mining stocks. In this video I also tell you what is the next market going to do tomorrow.
Each trading day I share my updated pre-market stock market forecast for the next 3 months and on Fridays, I share my stock market forecast for next week.
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Tuesday, May 23, 2017
Stock Market Good Day to Start the Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The stock market indices had a exceptional up-day today. The day started out with a gap to the upside, then a sharp run-up, they consolidated in the morning, continued midday, pulled back early afternoon, and ran again for a fifth wave in the afternoon, finishing near the session highs for the day.
Net on the day, the Dow was up 89.99 at 20,894.83. The S&P 500 was up 12.29 at 2394.02. The Nasdaq 100 was up 47.84 at 5699.40.
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Monday, May 22, 2017
Stock Markets Should Fear Central Banks More Than Trump / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Trump’s economic agenda has become further delayed by what seems like daily leaks from the White House. This may finally bring about the long-awaited equity market pullback of at least 5 percent. However, what will prove to be far more troubling than Trump’s ongoing feuds with the DOJ and the press, is the upcoming market collapse due to the removal of the bids from global central banks.The markets have been feeding off artificial interest rates from our Federal Reserve and that of the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan for years. In addition, the global economy has been stimulated further by a tremendous amount of new debt generated from China that was underwritten by the PBOC. After it reached the saturation point of empty cities, China is now building out its “Belt and Road Initiative” that could add trillions of dollars to the debt-fueled stimulus scheme that has been spewed out over the world-wide economy.
Monday, May 22, 2017
Stocks Fluctuate Along Record Highs - Topping Pattern Or Just Pause? 22nd May / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,410, and profit target at 2,200, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook remains neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Monday, May 22, 2017
Stock Market Volatile C-Wave / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: Uptrend continues.
SPX Intermediate trend: The correction from 2400 on 3/08 continues, with the B-wave now in place.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
Monday, May 22, 2017
Stock Market Trend Forecast and Fear Trading / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The broad US stock market last week took a tumble sending a massive wave of fear through investors’ minds. On Wednesday May 17th the S&P 500 index plummeted 1.7% causing the fear index to jump a whopping 48% in a single session.
What does this mean and what should we expect going forward? I don’t see the recent drop as being anything to worry about at this point. It’s important to remember that some of that larges drops in stocks happen during a bull market (rising trend). In fact, these stand out sharp drops on the charts are nothing more than the market trying to buck investors out of the bull market (scare them out) before it continues higher.
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Sunday, May 21, 2017
THREE Charts That Tell Us the Next Financial Crisis is Closer Than Most Think / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2017
The election night bull market trendline is about to break. The only reason stocks have held up is hype and hope for Trump’s economic agenda. With the entire MSM, establishment shills, and deep state operatives trying to derail this, the market is about to lose this prop.
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Sunday, May 21, 2017
Stocks Bull Market and Donald Trump's Death Knell / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
In the minds of many investors, the election victory of Donald J. Trump to the United States Presidency was nothing short of a miracle. Following his shocking victory, expectations were high that Trump would, with the help of Congress, fulfill his promises of tax reform and infrastructure spending. The lifting of the heavy penalties associated with Obamacare was another hope that investors cherished. Many hailed his victory by declaring that it was “morning in America” again. But after only six months since the election, Trump's presidency has hit a potentially fatal obstacle and he now faces the growing possibility of impeachment.
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Sunday, May 21, 2017
Stocks, Commodities and Gold Multi-Market Status / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
It has now been exactly 10 months since we established 2410 as the measured objective for the S&P 500. In forming a potential double top this week at 2405.77 I’d say we are close enough to call the target in (as we did in February when the first top was made on what we called “peak Trump” day, post-congressional address).
Now, a target is not a stop sign; in this case it was a long-term objective based on a chart pattern, period. It could make me look like the genius I certainly am not, or it could just pause at the target on its way to further upside mania and a potential market blow off. Don’t let ’em baffle you with bullshit, nobody knows which of those, or whatever else may be in store.
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Sunday, May 21, 2017
Stock Market Day Trading Strategies and Brief 20th May 2017 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Technically Speaking
1. Technical Summary:
Short Term Trend: Consolidating.
Medium Term Trend: Bullish.
Long Term Trend: Bullish.
28 Day Stochastics: Overbought.
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Saturday, May 20, 2017
DOW Needs to Rally Big or Correction is Next / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
The market started the week at SPX 2391. The market rose on Monday, hit an all-time high on Tuesday at SPX 2406, then started to pullback. On Wednesday the market had a gap down opening, hit SPX 2353 on Thursday, then rallied to end the week at 2382. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 0.40%, and the NDX/NAZ lost 0.60%. Economic reports were mostly positive. On the downtick: the NY FED, housing starts, building permits, and the WLEI. On the uptick: the Philly FED, the NAHB, industrial production, capacity utilization, leading indicators, the Q2 GDP estimate, plus weekly jobless claims declined. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by: Q1 GDP, durable goods, FOMC minutes, and housing.
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Friday, May 19, 2017
Stock Market Profiting from the Unexpected News / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
Every weekday morning I roll out of bed just before 5 a.m.I sleepwalk to the kitchen, where my coffee-maker on a timer has just finished brewing, and reach for a much-needed cup. Then I flip on the television, and switch between local news and either CNBC or Bloomberg.
As I hate myself every single day for rising so early to exercise, I take note of the weather, any craziness that happened overnight in the Houston area, and the current trends in futures and interest rates.
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