Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, December 15, 2010
Stock Market Bad Breadth / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Toby_Connor
I've noted before that at intermediate turning points we will usually see breadth diverge from price.
The McClellan oscillator is now showing a large negative divergence and has moved back below zero despite the market making new highs.
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Wednesday, December 15, 2010
Stock Traders Profiting from QE2 ...3, 4 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Bob_Clark
What about Ben? Two stories. There has been a lot of chatter about the Fed and how their QE2 strategy is failing, but is it?
The government has just agreed to borrow $600 billion dollars from them. That is just a down payment. The government has to refinance 30 % of it's debt this year and 50 % of it's debt over the next 3 years. At present, the government pays approximately 1 1/4 % on the exiting debt. I haven't heard the Fed guarantee the Government a low rate on the new refi loans, just market rates. The higher rates go, the more money the federal reserve banks make.
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Wednesday, December 15, 2010
The SP500 and the Financial Sector May Have Been Naughty This Year / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: J_W_Jones
Market pundits and prognosticators are all worried as to whether Santa is going to deliver presents to Wall Street this year. While we have seen the S&P 500 reach new highs in December, the S&P 500 is facing a wall of resistance around the S&P 1250 area. Based on price action today, Santa may not be coming to Wall Street in 2010.
Tuesday, December 14, 2010
EURO, USD and Equities in light of No decision from FOMC / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Bari_Baig
We had the OPEC meeting which went almost unnoticed and today we have the FOMC. Would there be any policy change or let’s just say would the post meeting communiqué shed light on any possibility of tightening? The answer is a resounding No! And anyone anywhere expecting otherwise has gotten it totally wrong. Same could also be said about further easing therefore at best this meeting shall be one where committee members meet, have a brief discussion session and then call it a day, as if it was a “get together”.
Tuesday, December 14, 2010
U.S. Economy Still on Shaky Foundations, Gold Targets $1600 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Rosanne_Lim
In an innovative TV commercial for Barclays Bank, a man walks down on Wall Street but discovers that nearly everything is a fake movie set. The huge investment houses and international banks are all made of paintings on cloth or Styrofoam while the people are mannequins. The nightmare ended with the man finding one real bank which is Barclays Bank.
Tuesday, December 14, 2010
Obama Tax Deal Sets the Stocks Bull Running / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Money_Morning
Jon D. Markman writes:
U.S. President Barack Obama's tax deal has yet to pass Congress, but the compromise - hatched as an appeasement to Republican opposition - already has had an effect on the currency and stock markets.
What's more is the deal looks as though it could offer a significant impetus for the U.S. economy as we move into 2011.
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Tuesday, December 14, 2010
Stock Market Indices Close Mixed in Last Hour Sell-Off / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices ended mixed on the session after a last-hour sharp sell-off peeled back a vast majority of the gains and closed the indices right at the lows for the day.
The day started out with a gap up. They then backed and filled, held support, and went to new highs the entire rally, reaching 2225 on the Nasdaq 100 and nearly 1247 on the S&P 500.
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Tuesday, December 14, 2010
Stock Market Snaps Some Late..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Jack_Steiman
Sometimes you get too complacent and you have to pay a small price for that. For weeks now, we have seen the bull-bear spread get a bit out of hand on the too many bulls side of the ledger. To add to that, we are now seeing many daily put-call readings below .60. Anything below that is a red flag. On the equity side of the put-call ratio we are now seeing readings at .30. That is just not sustainable for further market upside. The end of the day today saw this kick in as the markets finished on their lows, well off the highs of the day. This too complacent situation is not the kiss of death for the market. Not by any means. It simply means the market has some cooling off to do to unwind the overbought daily and short-term charts. A deeper heavier sell is always possible, and, quite frankly, would be in the market's best interest, but the bull phase we're in is very powerful, thus, I'm not sure we get anything terrible from here, but the more we sell the better off we'll be for sure.
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Monday, December 13, 2010
Just Another Manic Market Monday – Stagflation Now Official in China / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: PhilStockWorld
Wheeee, everything must be great!
We are crushing our levels as the market flies ever higher. Our 11,500 target on the Dow looks sure to be tested and we’re already flipping bullish with our "Breakout Defense" trades, in which our goal is to make 5,000% in 5 trades or less. We are not ashamed to jump on the bullish bandwagon – if they are giving away money, we’ll stand in line with everyone else, only we’ll take a larger share – thank you very much. We certainly know how to use leverage just like a Bankster – we have a spread and we’re not afraid to use it!
Monday, December 13, 2010
The Stock Markets are Celebrating but Commodities are Clueless / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Bari_Baig
The optimism today moved east to west as Chinese stocks which rose on Friday, rose the second day after Peoples Bank of China opted not to increase the interest rate as the street expected a hike however PBoC increased the reserve requirement on six of the largest banks of China. Nonetheless, no interest rate hike meant a green signal for the bulls to begin their rampage and this too is now visible in the U.S market.
Monday, December 13, 2010
The Most Important Stock Market Chart of the Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Jared_Levy
Early last week I gave you four reasons to buy the S&P 500 market (SPX or SPY), and hopefully you had the chance to participate in the market's recent gains. Aside from the somewhat positive fundamentals of both the macroeconomic improvements and individual companies' improved fiscal health, we have year-end window dressing and some good old statistical (and superstitious) beliefs working in your favor, especially if you are a bull.
Monday, December 13, 2010
Stock Market Rally Elliott Wave Trend Target / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: Dr_John_Trapp
There is a lot of Bull in the market. My first chart – the Weekly – gives the Big Picture so we can see what our overarching market opinion needs to be. Look at all the Bullishness on this chart: 1. ES above the 15EMA, 50MA and 200MA, 2. all but the 200MA have positive slopes and the 200MA is flattening, 3.ES is in W3 of W5, 4. ES consolidated below the 61.8% retracement level and began peeking above it on Friday (still in area of resistance though!), and 5. typical targets above the current high are indicated on chart – including MOB.
Monday, December 13, 2010
U.S. Stock Market Reaches a Pivotal Point as Goldman Sachs Forecasts 2011 Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Money_Morning
Jon D. Markman writes:
Stocks clicked around the flat line much of the past week until the tumblers of the lock finally fell into place and prices were freed to go higher on Thursday and Friday.
The Standard & Poor's 500 Index quietly gained 1.2% over the week to close at a new two-year high, while the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 1.7% to a three-year high and the Russell 2000 small-caps rose 2.7%.
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Monday, December 13, 2010
Gold and the Overall Strength of the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The past week has been interesting to say the least. Gold is trying to find support while the SP500 grinds its way higher. Let’s jump into the charts and analysis to get better feel for what I feel is happening here.
Monday, December 13, 2010
Investing for Profit in the Russian Mafia States Stock Market, Goodbye Chinese Century? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Wikileaks recently released U.S. Embassy cables that contained accusations of Russia being a defacto Mafia State that has ceased to be a democracy and is run by the secret services on behalf of an Oligarchy. Much of which comes as nothing of a surprise to either the Russian people, business men or foreign investors who know that whilst doing business with Russia can prove highly profitable, however investors and business people have to be nimble footed by being prepared to pull their funds out at short notice, which mean investors need to be invested in highly liquid funds that aim to track or better the general Russian stock indices such as the RTS stock market index rather than in illiquid individual stocks.
Sunday, December 12, 2010
Stock Market Elliott Wave Analysis and Forecast for Week Starting 13th Dec / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Tony_Caldaro
Another positive week for US equities as the SPX/NDX/NAZ all made new bull market highs. Economic reports were nearly all positive. The only negatives were an increase in the budget deficit and a downtick in the M1 multiplier. On the positive side, the trade deficit improved along with import/export prices and weekly mortgage applications. Consumer credit expanded, consumer sentiment improved; wholesale inventories, the monetary base and the WLEI all rose. Also weekly jobless claims and excess reserves declined. These reports continued the 2010 second half trend of an improving, not deteriorating, economy.
Sunday, December 12, 2010
Quantitative Easing Financial Markets Train Smash Coming / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Brian_Bloom
In this analyst’s view, it is only a matter of time before the folly of Quantitative Easing becomes transparent to everyone. That time may be closer than most people think.
Here is a quote from an article entitled “Investors Hold Biggest Commodity Positions On Record; Viral Nonsense About Silver” written by Mike Shedlock.
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Sunday, December 12, 2010
U.S. Interest Rates, the Fed and Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
By: Tim_Wood
Of late it seems that rising interest rates and the Fed’s ability to “keep rates low” have become a focal point for many of the news commentators. The vast majority of the public believes that the Fed is actually controlling interest rates and as a result that they are controlling the credit markets as well as the equity markets. I am about to show you the proof that the Fed follows the short-term credit market and that in reality they do not lead. The data simply does not support the widely held belief that the Fed is in “control” of the markets. I realize that this may come as a shock to you, but reality is what it is. The data speaks for itself.
Sunday, December 12, 2010
SPX Stock Market Rally Near Completion, Is the FDIC Out of Cash? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
November Budget Deficit $150.4 Billion, Worse Than $138 Billion Consensus, Biggest November Deficit On Record(ZeroHedge) The Treasury has released the November deficit, which at $150.4 billion was about $12 billion worse than expected. Total receipts were $148 billion, of which individual income taxes were $64.3 billion, while the government actually refunded $3.1 billion for corporate taxes in the month. While cumulative receipts since the start of the new fiscal year are better than in the prior year period ($135.7 billion compared to $109.1 billion), it is the expense side that is far more important: in November the government spent $299.4 billion, the bulk of which going to the Department of Health and Human Services ($72 billion), social security ($64 billion), and Defense ($57 billion).
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Saturday, December 11, 2010
Stocks Risking Taking, Bonds Take a Beating and Gold Volatility / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
A&P May File for Bankruptcy as Soon as Weekend After 151 Years in Business
(Bloomberg) Great Atlantic & Pacific Tea Co., the once-dominant grocery-store chain founded in 1859, may file for bankruptcy in the coming days to restructure debt, two people with knowledge of the matter said. A filing to reorganize under court protection may come as soon as this weekend, said the people, who declined to be identified because the matter is private. A&P hired law firm Kirkland & Ellis LLP to represent it in negotiations with creditors and in any Chapter 11 proceeding, the people said.