Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, March 17, 2011
Get Ready For The Coming Stock Price Tsunami / Stock-Markets / Corporate Earnings
Vitaliy N. Katsenelson writes: Profit margins are a tick away from all-time highs and are creating the impression of cheap equity valuations. But that impression is a mirage, because today’s generous margins are destined to shrink.
I first wrote about this in January 2008. Stocks are allegedly cheap now, at 15.7 times 2010 earnings. And they are cheap by historical standards. Only 10 years ago, their price/earnings ratios were double today’s; they are even cheaper if you compare their forward (2011) earnings yield of 7.3% to the 10-year Treasury yield of 3.40%. They are cheap, cheap, cheap!
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Thursday, March 17, 2011
Stock Market Selling Accelerates... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
What a day we had today. Down in the morning before rallying back with the Nasdaq, actually going green for a brief moment before the European Union's energy chief made a comment about the Japan nuclear situation, which sent the market exploding downward. The Dow went from -40 to -200 in moments. Eventually, it almost went to -300 before rallying back to -130. It slipped again late finishing down 242 points. Down 50 plus on the Nasdaq and 25 plus on the S&P 500. Very nasty action with wild swings as the VIX has spiked, and thus, large swings were taking place all day long, although most of the swings are clearly lower. Larger swings do create more emotion, so it's best to keep things light on both sides as you'll get head faked time after time. Just better to keep things light to mostly, if not all, cash.
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Wednesday, March 16, 2011
Stock Market Rally Top, Collapse Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Don't miss out! This free issue is only available through March 21. Learn more about Prechter’s 12-page issue – it’s yours for free.
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Wednesday, March 16, 2011
E.U. Energy Chief Remarks on Japan Nuclear Catastrophe Hits U.S. Equity Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The EU Energy Chief made some comments about the likelihood of a major radiation disaster in Japan, which may be underway. This caused US equity markets to plunge dramatically.
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Wednesday, March 16, 2011
Defensive Investing After the Japan Disaster / Stock-Markets / Investing 2011
Money Morning Chief Investment Strategist Keith Fitz-Gerald has called Japan home for more than two decades - a fact that has given him a view of that country that few U.S. investors will ever have.
That insight - combined with his innate financial acumen - gives Fitz-Gerald an unrivaled understanding of the global-investing climate at any given time.
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Wednesday, March 16, 2011
Japan Nuclear Crisis: New Power Plant Construction Renaissance in Peril / Stock-Markets / Nuclear Power
David Zeiler writes: Concerns revived by the nuclear crisis in Japan could well reverse a renaissance in new power plant construction in many countries, while design upgrades to prevent similar reactor failures will make those that are built more expensive.
The 9.0 earthquake and resulting tsunami that struck northeastern Japan on Friday have caused a series of catastrophic failures in several nuclear reactors at the Fukushima Daiichi plant. Attempts to cool overheating fuel rods have led to four explosions, giving rise to fear over how much nuclear radiation may have escaped.
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Tuesday, March 15, 2011
New Stocks Bull or Deceptive Bear Market? Find Out in This Free Elliott Wave Theorist! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Elliott Wave International has released a free issue of Robert Prechter's Elliott Wave Theorist. It includes more of Robert Prechter's experience than you’ll ever read in a single issue -- all 30-plus years of it. What matters is that he uses his experience at a moment when it can do the most good, namely when investors are most vulnerable. This is a unique opportunity for you to see what Prechter’s subscribers see. Don't miss out! This free issue is only available through March 21. Learn more about Prechter’s 12-page issue – it’s yours for free.
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Tuesday, March 15, 2011
Tsunami May Sink the U.S. Dollar and Uranium Sector / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
What a few days it has been. It was and continues to be a humanitarian disaster of grand proportions - and one that happened on an island where there is more high end video and cellphone cameras than almost anywhere in the world - bringing us photos and videos that are both shocking and incredible.
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Tuesday, March 15, 2011
US Dollar, FOMC, and the Japan Crisis: The Dog That Didn't Bark / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Detective Gregory: "Is there any other point to which you would wish to draw my attention?"Sherlock Holmes: "To the curious incident of the dog in the night-time."
Detective Gregory: "The dog did nothing in the night-time."
Holmes: "That was the curious incident."
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Tuesday, March 15, 2011
Will Fed Hint at QE3 and Surprise the Stock Market Bears? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Will the Fed Hint atGiven the stark contrast between asset class performance before and after the implied announcement of QE2, the Fed’s statements related to quantitative easing in the coming weeks will have a significant impact on the outlook for stocks and the relative attractiveness of asset classes, market sectors, and subsectors.
The Fed is scheduled to issue statements on March 15 and April 27, 2011 with the following concerns as a backdrop:
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Tuesday, March 15, 2011
Japanese Nuclear Plant Explosions Trigger Global Stock Market Meltdown / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Japanese Nuclear power plant buildings exploding virtually every other day has sent a shock wave across the worlds stock markets that effectively crashed the japanese stock market by 11% which set in motion a chain reaction of stock market meltdowns across the world.
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Tuesday, March 15, 2011
Negative Returns for a Decade, Is Gold in a Bubble? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
John Hussman is is once again exploring the topic of valuations and expected future returns. Please consider this snip from Anatomy of a Bubble
Read full article... Read full article...When valuations are reasonable, investors can expect satisfactory long-term returns simply on the basis of the stream of cash flows they receive over time. But once valuations are elevated, investors become increasingly reliant on pure increases in prices and valuations in order to achieve satisfactory returns. This is easily seen in historical data for the S&P 500.
Tuesday, March 15, 2011
Japan's Nuclear Crisis Leads to 'Panic' - Nikkei Crashes, Gold Down 1% / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Japan's nuclear crisis has deepened and we deeply regret to say that there is now the real possibility of a nuclear catastrophe. Investor panic has set in with the Nikkei down over 16.5% in two days and the Topic index down by 17% - its worst two-day loss since the 1987 Wall Street stock market crash.
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Tuesday, March 15, 2011
Secular Stock Market Trend Game Changer / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
This week we look at another except from Ed Easterling’s gonzo book on stock market return projections, called Probable Outcomes. This section is entitled “Game Changer,” and it is that and more. (Again, thanks to Ed for letting us read his work!)
“Game Changer” is a thought-provoking, somewhat detailed analysis, with two major surprises. The first is that GDP growth was well below average last decade (a trend that could continue this decade); and second, slowing growth has a substantial negative effect on valuations (P/E ratios). This ties well into my own Endgame and suggests implications about slower growth, etc. (similar to what I project from work of my own). Slower growth drives P/Es lower (even without higher inflation, or deflation) and could drop the market by a third or so relative to “normal” cycles.
Tuesday, March 15, 2011
Stock Market Doing What It Was Going To Do... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Markets have a way of doing what they need to do regardless of whatever news is out there. The situation in Japan is incredibly sad. Breaks my heart, and I'm sure it breaks the heart of each and every one of you out there.
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Monday, March 14, 2011
Japan’s Nikkei Index Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Japan’s Nikkei Index, which measures the top 225 companies on the Tokyo Stock Exchange, went into an almost immediate freefall after Tsunami waves began washing up on the country’s northeast coast. The Nikkei 255 Index, which reached a high of 10,600 point on Wednesday, had tumbled to 10,250 points by Friday’s close. The earthquake off the coast of Japan hit at approximately 2:00 PM Japanese time on Friday, March 11.
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Monday, March 14, 2011
Nuclear Power Industry Praying Japan Will Avert a Nuclear Disaster / Stock-Markets / Nuclear Power
Explosions and meltdowns at nuclear reactors in Japan this past weekend will forever change the world of energy.
Authorities have already scheduled widespread power outages starting today — and they could continue the planned outages for weeks or even months.
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Monday, March 14, 2011
Stock Market Investors, It’s Time to Get Out! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
This is for all you folks out there with retirement accounts in the general stock market. I've been warning for many months that the cyclical bull we've been in for almost two years is still just a counter trend rally in an ongoing secular bear market. I made that same warning about the last cyclical bull market from `02 to `07. Many people ignored me in November `07 when I said the second leg down in the secular bear had begun. I suspect many people wish they hadn't.
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Monday, March 14, 2011
Will Stock Sell-Off Trip Up the Bull Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Jon D. Markman writes: Stocks tumbled over the past week - despite a sharp 3% drop in crude oil prices - as investors fretted about the devastating earthquake in Japan, a downgrade of Spain's sovereign debt rating, weak trade data out of China, Germany and the United States and violence in Saudi Arabia.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed down by 1% for the week, while the Nasdaq Composite Index finished down 2.5% and the Russell 2000 small caps fell 2.7%. The stock sell-off was punctuated by a 90% downside day on Thursday, which means nine out of 10 stocks finished lower and 9/10 of the volume was in declining stocks.
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Monday, March 14, 2011
Japanese Stock Market Trend Forecast Post EarthQuake / Stock-Markets / Japanese Stock Market
The Japanese people are suffering after a massive earthquake, our best wishes go out to them. Many financial market analyst are posting what happened to Japanese stocks (N225) post the 1995 Kobe earthquake. What can we expect this time, we fear much of the same.
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