Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, July 12, 2015
Greece and China: Heralding a New Stocks Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
What started out as typically sluggish summer week quickly morphed into an extremely eventful one. In just the last five days we witnessed the intensification of the Greek debt roller coaster, the bursting of a mini-bubble in Chinese equities, a temporary shutdown of trading on the NYSE, and a brief but meaningful pullback in U.S. equities. And to think the summer is still young!
Investors are clearly disquieted over the impact the overseas crises might have on the U.S. stock market. But are they right to be concerned?
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Sunday, July 12, 2015
Stock Market Roller Coaster to Continue This Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Last week, I warned of the wild swings coming in the financial markets based on astrology. This indeed is what occurred! Our C 2 auto-trading account is now +52.3% from April 15, 2015 to July 10, 2015! We had a great week trading because we were forewarned due to astrology!
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Saturday, July 11, 2015
Stock Market New Uptrend Underway? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Volatile week. The market started the week at SPX 2077. On Monday it traded down to SPX 2057 before rallying to 2079, only to drop to 2044 on Tuesday before rallying to 2084. On Wednesday the market headed down to SPX 2045, before rallying to 2074 and then dropping to 2051 on Thursday. Friday the market rallied to SPX 2081, then closed the week unchanged at 2077. One to two percent swings nearly every day, after weeks and weeks of less than one half percent daily swings. For the week the SPX/DOW were mixed, the NDX/NAZ were -0.25%, and the DJ World was -0.8%. On the economic front negative reports outnumbered positive ones for the first time many weeks. On the uptick: ISM services and wholesale inventories. On the downtick: consumer credit, the WLEI, the MMIS, plus the trade deficit and weekly jobless claims both increased. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by Industrial production, the CPI/PPI, Retail sales and the Beige book.
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Saturday, July 11, 2015
Greece Saves The Stock Market Day....Weekly Bullish Candlestick Review.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
It was a tough week for the bulls Monday through Thursday There were some really bearish candles printed, especially yesterday with a big reversal lower after a huge gap up. Today looked as if it would be the day the market finally gave up S&P 500 2040 with some force. Yesterday gave every indication the end of the bull-run was at hand. Not to be. Greece, last night, agreed to some key concessions on austerity that the Euro zone demanded on having if they were to give them any help. The markets abroad loved this news. The futures blasted up, and, of course, we followed along right behind. We gapped up but instead of collapsing like previous days, we held the move and worked our way mostly higher throughout the rest of the day. A close well above the open. Bullish action, and, thus, this never ending base between 2040 and 2134 continues.
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Friday, July 10, 2015
China’s Stock Market Crash as Bubble Bursts / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
China’s stock bubble has burst, with its stock markets utterly collapsing after rocketing parabolic. The failure of this popular speculative mania has grave implications for the global stock markets. It shatters the universally-believed myth that central banks can nullify normal market cycles. No government has more power over its stock markets than China’s, yet not even it could magically eradicate greed and fear.
Even before their recent calamity, the Chinese stock markets had been the most-interesting financial story of 2015. Having the world’s second-largest economy, China is immensely important in global markets. And its stock markets were soaring, as evidenced by China’s flagship benchmark stock index. It is the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite Index (SSEC), the local equivalent of the US S&P 500.
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Friday, July 10, 2015
Stock Market Sell Signal Still Intact / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Let’s do a review of the market signals. There seems to be the question that, if we had a market bottom on Tuesday, won’t we see a larger rally? The answer is, not necessarily.
The current market conditions seem to have the SPX trapped beneath the Ending Diagonal trendline at 2085.00. That may imply we saw both a low (2044.02) and a high (2083.72), a double Pivot, on the same day, July 7. A higher high at or near 2085.00 could still develop, but a failure to rally above 2085.00 would be profound.
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Friday, July 10, 2015
Where Is The Chinese Stocks Bear Market Likely To End? / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
With the Chinese stock market, known as the Shanghai Stock Exchange Composite (SSEC) plunging in recent weeks, I thought I would analyse the technicals to determine where the final low to this bear market is likely to be.
Let’s begin by reviewing the more immediate picture with the weekly chart before zooming out and looking at the bigger picture with the monthly and yearly charts.
Friday, July 10, 2015
Greek Crisis and the End of the Ends of the World / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
We are about a week into the Greek non-crisis, and nothing especially scary has happened. Stocks opened up lower a couple of times, and there was one wild trading day in EURUSD, but everything is essentially unchanged. Which surprised everyone. Including me, a little.
I used to be a plunger. Loved shorting stuff. I had one muscle, and I flexed it constantly. By my rough calculations, I was up about 18% by the time Lehman went bankrupt in 2008. The more turmoil, the better.
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Friday, July 10, 2015
Bail-Ins Likely In Greece and Indebted Western Nations - Question Is When? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015
- Governments move toward ever greater financial repression
- Repression includes suppression of rates, capital controls, outlawing of cash and bail-ins
- Finance ministers discuss cashless society, giving banks total control over public’s money
- Bail-in legislation is at advanced stage internationally
- Bail-ins coming to indebted western nations – question is when …
Friday, July 10, 2015
Stock Market Sentiment Reset / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
Excerpted from an extensive multi-market NFTRH update (including global stocks, commodities and precious metals) yesterday morning:
Volatility. It is what we expected and it is what we have with Tuesday’s big down and upward reversal, down hard again yesterday and today very green in pre-market. This volatility applies to most assets markets including the precious metals. It is the nature of the beast during a news-rich summer, with many operators on vacation or semi-vacation (with some players not able to resist peeking?).
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Friday, July 10, 2015
China and Greece – Implications on the Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
The global financial markets are still jittery and the twin worries (Greece and China) are playing on investors’ minds. Although anything can happen, it now appears as though a last minute deal between Greece and its creditors will materialise (gasp). If a deal is done on the creditors’ terms, the referendum will turn out to be a pointless and expensive exercise. Why bother with an anti-austerity referendum vote if you will eventually cave in to a similar deal!?
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Friday, July 10, 2015
China: What Deflation Looks Like / Stock-Markets / Deflation
Why the 32% slide in the Shanghai Composite is more than just a "hiccup"
The Shanghai Composite fell another 8% at the open on Wednesday (July 8). Trading was soon halted by the authorities. (But for a different reason that the trading halt on the NYSE the same day.)
From its all-time high on June 12, China's main stock index is down 32%. Using the word "crash" is becoming appropriate.
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Friday, July 10, 2015
China, Greece and the NYSE: Black Swans or Red Flags? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Scary. That is the word that kept coming up over and over as the news came in this week. Greece technically defaulted. The Shanghai Composite index dropped some 30%. And then a computer glitch caused the NYSE to be down for three hours. Are these headlines just blips on the equities markets? Do they have long-term implications for resource stocks? To answer these questions, we did what we do best at The Gold Report and asked the experts what is causing all the black swans and what they are doing to protect themselves.
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Thursday, July 09, 2015
The Great Train Wreck Of 2015 – 2016 Is Beginning / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Ninety seven years ago in Tennessee a train wreck killed 101 people. It was shocking, unexpected, and devastating.
In the year 2000 the Tech-Wreck was unexpected, the NASDAQ market crashed, and $Trillions of paper wealth disappeared. Most investors were shocked and their savings were devastated.
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Thursday, July 09, 2015
Growth of Chinese Margin Accounts Drove Bubble – Now Drives the Crash / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
- Restrictions on borrowing to speculate were eased in 2010
- Middle class savers gradually saturated the market trading on leverage
- Market crash began as government tried to reign in leverage in overheated markets
- Leverage amplified gains on the up-leg, amplifies losses on down-leg forcing further sell offs
- Policy u-turns could not halt crash
Thursday, July 09, 2015
China Crisis Stock Market Hyper-Oversold Condition Calls for Bounce - Target... / Stock-Markets / China Stocks
It's a shame more Chinese investors didn't get to read our timely warning of an impending mega-smash in the Chinese stockmarket - it would have been worth the cost of a subscription TO AVOID LOSING THEIR LIFE'S SAVINGS.
It was mentioned as an aside yesterday's update on the oil sector, in which we took huge profits in United States Oil Fund Puts, that the Chinese market was massively oversold and now exhibiting extreme technical compression and thus starting to look attractive for a rebound, and we will now proceed to see exactly why that is on the charts for the Shanghai Composite Index.
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Thursday, July 09, 2015
China Stock Market Crash Echoes of 1929 / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
MoneyMorning.com Shah Gilani writes: You've heard the stories about the 1929 stock market crash, how investors should have figured out that, when taxi drivers and shoe-shine boys hawked stock tips, the end was near.
The lesson we're supposed to have learned was that cheap margin – the debt that investors can use to finance stock purchases, when wielded by uneducated, blindly optimistic "plungers," can drive stocks up and up over a cliff into an abyss.
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Thursday, July 09, 2015
China Stock Market Crash - A Choice of Evils / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
The Shanghai Composite Index fell 6 percent on July 3, rounding out a 28 percent decline since June 12, when the country's stock markets peaked. The deterioration occurred despite intensive government efforts to stabilize prices and revive investor sentiment. Overt attempts by Beijing included cutting benchmark interest rates and reserve requirement ratios and loosening restrictions on investor access to margin loans, in addition to less overt moves, such as direct interventions to prop up the market with government-backed purchases of blue chip stocks. On Friday, in a clear bid to win investor confidence in its oversight abilities, the securities regulator announced it would investigate signs of potential market manipulation. Yet so far, Beijing's efforts have failed to achieve the desired effect of stimulating, or at least stabilizing, China's leading stock markets.
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Thursday, July 09, 2015
NYSE Shut Down Likely Due to Power Outage / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
Tom Farley, NYSE Group President, spoke with Bloomberg Television's Stephanie Ruhle about the glitches that brought the NYSE trading to a halt for three and half hours.
On what led to the shutdown, Farley said: "We were getting intermittent messages of customers not seeing the exact behavior that they would otherwise expect with respect to messages. I didn't feel like we had the level of trust in our systems that is required and I made the decision, working with regulatory team and counsel's office, let's suspend trading."
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Thursday, July 09, 2015
Stock Market Splat...At The Precipice...Fed Will Act Soon.. / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
I thought about different titles, but after thinking about it the word splat is the word that seemed best to explain today's action across the stock market world. China got annihilated last night to the tune of 6%, which would equal 120 S&P 500 points and 1000 Dow points. Imagine those headlines, if that occurred here in the United States. Europe followed China. We followed Europe, and the result is a market on the precipice of seeing its bull market vanish away. It hasn't happened yet, and may not happen, but the bulls are being tested here in a very large way. It's put up or shut up time for the bulls. If we lose 2040 on the S&P 500 then its lights out. Of course, it must lose it with force, then back test and fail on that back test to verify that the good old days are gone for a while to come.
I thought about different titles, but after thinking about it the word splat is the word that seemed best to explain today's action across the stock market world. China got annihilated last night to the tune of 6%, which would equal 120 S&P 500 points and 1000 Dow points. Imagine those headlines, if that occurred here in the United States. Europe followed China. We followed Europe, and the result is a market on the precipice of seeing its bull market vanish away. It hasn't happened yet, and may not happen, but the bulls are being tested here in a very large way. It's put up or shut up time for the bulls. If we lose 2040 on the S&P 500 then its lights out. Of course, it must lose it with force, then back test and fail on that back test to verify that the good old days are gone for a while to come.
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