Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, January 13, 2012
U.S. Dollar Centric Derivatives Complex Progenitor of Parasitic Ponzi Price-Fixing / Stock-Markets / Derivatives
The term “derivative” has become a dirty, if not evil word. So much of what ails our global financial system has been laid-at-the-feet of this misunderstood, mischaracterized term – derivatives. The purpose of this paper is to outline the origin, growth and ultimately the corruption of the derivatives market – and explain how something originally designed to provide economic utility has morphed into a tool of abusive, manipulative economic tyranny.
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Friday, January 13, 2012
Trends 2012: The Good, the Really Bad and the Very Ugly / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Are you ready for a 2012 that will be "Good" for the well-prepared, really "Bad" for wishful thinkers, and very "Ugly" for the see-nothings and do-nothings – those with their heads in the sand who blindly trust their leaders?
A few weeks ago we sent you a recap of the Trends Journal’s "Top Trends 2011" forecasts. There is very little in today’s headline news that was not in last year’s Trends Journal forecasts.
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Friday, January 13, 2012
Anticipating the Stock Market Golden Cross / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
I had a neighbor who set his sprinkler system to go on every Wednesday around 5 a.m., about the same time I am about to reach his yard on my jog. After a few weeks of getting my ankles wet, I started to cross the street before I reached his property.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 13, 2012
Deadly Dow 36,000 & The Secret History Of A 70% Stock Market Loss / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Some nvestors fear that the Dow may go to 4,000 or 5,000. Surely that would be bad, but there is a worse possibility to consider, which is that the Dow could go to 36,000 instead. Now, Dow 36,000 may sound like a "problem" that most investors would love to have! So what's the danger?
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Friday, January 13, 2012
Bill Gross of PIMCO on Global Economy, and how investors can get returns / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
PIMCO's Bill Gross spoke to Bloomberg TV's Trish Regan this afternoon, saying he's "very worried" about the global economy and that U.S. Treasuries are a "safe haven."
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Friday, January 13, 2012
China Stock Investors Face Rampant Chinese Fraud / Stock-Markets / China Stocks
Carson Block of Muddy Waters Research spoke to Bloomberg Television's Erik Schatzker about his outlook for China.
Block said that he is "very much looking for U.S.-listed Chinese companies with which we can go long." He also said that "the chances are better than 50 percent that we'll see [a hard landing in China] in the next two to three years."
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Thursday, January 12, 2012
How Bond yields and Money Supply influence Stock Prices / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
What is a Bond? A bond is a form of debt like a loan or IOUs. A Corporation like AIG may raise fund through the sale of bonds, a city may sell bonds to build a bridge or the Federal Government may issue bonds to finance spiraling debts. All of these entities need money to operate and they do so by issuing bonds.
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Thursday, January 12, 2012
Stock Market Solid Action At Key Resistance.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
The bears will make a strong argument that the consolidation is more like churning at key resistance. The bulls will tell you that the market is holding very well at the breakout point, although the S&P 500 is still thirty points away, but needs to clear the old highs at 1292 to get things rolling. If they can do that, then they can challenge the July-high trend line that comes down around S&P 500 1318/1320. I have to form an opinion, of course, about how I see things, and I have to say, it looks more favorable than not. I wouldn't bet the farm, or even a bedroom, on it, but the bulls look to be gaining more and more control on the situation.
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Wednesday, January 11, 2012
Evolving Financial Crisis. Solvency of the Euro Zone / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
The hand of the US elitists shows more each day in the decisions being made in Europe. Mario Draghi, ex-Goldman Sachs, Trilateralist and Bilderberg, is putting everything in place just the way the US elitists want. We are about to see full scale quantitative easing.
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Wednesday, January 11, 2012
Market Madness: How to Play Bonds, China, and Gold in 2012 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Martin Hutchinson writes: Yes, I know that markets are irrational.
I read Charles Mackay's 1841 classic, "Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds" long before it ever became fashionable.
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Wednesday, January 11, 2012
Stocks Vulnerable To Bad News / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Financial markets love any story that involves printing money. Tuesday’s report showing China’s import growth fell to a two-year low prompted speculation that “China will loosen monetary policies to bolster economic growth”, according to Bloomberg. Tuesday’s gains left numerous markets overbought and susceptible to any negative headlines.
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Wednesday, January 11, 2012
Five Market Trends to Watch in 2012 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
The new year begins with a big question mark hanging overhead. The second half of 2011 left many investors weary of what to expect relative to the economy, Europe and other news. The outcome will be based on current trends playing out and new trends developing. Following these trends as they unfold, along with the opportunities they present will play an important role for investment results. The following are trends or potential trends to follow as we start 2012:
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Tuesday, January 10, 2012
The European Debt Crisis and Your Investments / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
About the PublisIn 1999, 11 European countries surrendered their currencies for the euro and a shared monetary authority. Barely a decade later, the once-celebrated EU is in the midst of a credit crisis and its currency is facing collapse.
Elliott Wave International's analysts have been anticipating and tracking the credit contagion across the European nations for the past two years. EWI subscribers were first alerted to the still-developing European debt crisis back in December 2009.
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Tuesday, January 10, 2012
Stock Market Praying For Resolution.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Aren't we all! If this continues for too much longer we may all lose our collective minds. It's almost too painful to wake up, and deal with this every single day. If this was a short-term pattern for just a few months I could deal with it, but this is going on just far too long, and it needs to go away. I am ready to pray to the stock-market Gods for help. It's insane how this is allowed to go on day-after-day. The good is the trend lines. The long-term up-trend line and down-trend line are pinching. This can't go on forever, unless they start having the S&P 500 trade in a two-point range for a few months. I wouldn't put it past the higher-ups to do it, just to drive the last bull and bear to walk away forever. Today was yet another example of this tedious process. It was a small move up at the open that went nowhere for another six-and-a-half hours. Torture! Some volatility would be nice.
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Monday, January 09, 2012
Stock Market Uptrends Broken / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
The NDX has broken down out of its rising wedge pattern after making a slight new high this morning. The cycles tell us that we have two solid weeks of decline ahead. At the very minimum, we should see a break of the November 25 low at 2150.88. Chances are good that the decline may go even deeper.
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Monday, January 09, 2012
World Stock Markets 2012 New Year Start Review / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Courtesy of Doug Short. Our eight benchmark world indexes got off to a mixed start for 2012, again on thin volume and variously abbreviated by a mix of market holidays. The DAXK and BSE SENSEX were the stellar performers, a full percent above the S&P 500, which also had strong opening week, as did the FTSE 100. The Shanghai finished last and is now a stunning 37.68% off its interim high. In fact, the adjacent chart shows that six of our eight indexes are more than 20% off their interim highs.
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Monday, January 09, 2012
Could Crude Oil Prices Intensify a Pending S&P500 Selloff? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Last week we received reports that the unemployment rate in the United States was improving markedly. In addition, sentiment numbers were released that confirmed my previous speculation that market participants were becoming more and more bullish as prices in the S&P 500 edged higher. The exact numbers that came in demonstrated that bullish sentiment had not reached current lofty levels since February 11, 2011. The table below illustrates the most recent sentiment survey:
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Monday, January 09, 2012
Stock Market Another Pause? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014.
SPX: Intermediate trend - Intermediate uptrend still intact, but short-term top likely soon.
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Monday, January 09, 2012
Markets Vanish - "In a Flash" / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
What follows is the same warning broadcast in January 2011. In his January 6, 2012, Credit Bubble Bulletin, Doug Noland discussed the same topic: "The '08 crisis is considered a low-probability "tail event" - a so-called rare "black swan" or "hundred-year flood." Yet I would argue that such a financial crisis was in reality a high probability outcome. Bubbles burst - plain and simple. It is the act of predicting the timing of their demise that tends to be an exercise in low probability outcomes. This is especially the case when government policymaking is a major factor fueling Credit and asset Bubble excess...."
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Sunday, January 08, 2012
U.S. Stock Market the New Safe Haven? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
2012 starts off with one interesting day, then returns to the inflection point. Overall, US indices did well for the week with the SPX/DOW +1.40%, and the NDX/NAZ +3.05%. Global equity markets were less robust as Asian markets gained 0.9%, European markets lost -0.4%, and the DJ World index gained 0.8%. US economic reports for the week were quite impressive: nine positive versus two negative. On the uptick: ISM, construction spending, factory orders, the ADP, the Payrolls report, the M1-multiplier, plus both weekly jobless claims and the unemployment rate declined. On the downtick: the monetary base and the WLEI declined. Next week we have the FED’s beige book, retail sales and consumer sentiment.
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