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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Tuesday, June 09, 2015

Housing and Stocks Bubble - The Punch Bowl Stays / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: Peter_Schiff

It is well known that I don’t think much of the ability of government officials to correctly forecast much of anything. Alan Greenspan and Ben Bernanke have made famously clueless predictions with respect to stock and housing bubbles, and rank and file Fed economists have consistently overestimated the strength of the economy ever since their forecasts became public in 2008 (see my previous article on the subject). But there is one former Fed and White House economist who has a slightly better track record...which is really not saying much. Over his public and private career, former Fed Governor and Bush-era White House Chief Economist Larry Lindsey actually got a few things right.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, June 09, 2015

Stock Market Three Peaks and a Domed House Revisited / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Ed_Carlson

Taking a fresh look at the Three Peaks/Domed House chart recently I had a “funny” thought. In the current pattern, the May 19 high reached 127.2% of the Jan decline (the final high of this pattern has always been a Fibonacci relationship to the extent of the decline during the First Floor Roof). There’s no reason the Dow can’t rally to a higher Fib ratio but the May high is an almost perfect 107 day interval from the Feb low. What if the top of the bull market is already behind us?!!! Lindsay’s template calls for a final head-and-shoulders topping pattern and a potential pattern can be seen on the daily chart below.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, June 09, 2015

Time to Move Capital into Next Bull Market – Part I / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Chris_Vermeulen

If you remember the dot com bubble as clearly as I do and are a technical analyst then you will recall the month which the NASDAQ broke down and confirmed a new bear market has started. The date was November of 2000.

You may be wondering why I bring this up. What do tech stocks have to do with commodities?

Good question because they have nothing in common. But the key here is that when a bull market ends in one asset class that money is shifted into another. That money moved into commodities and resource stocks and in a big way.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, June 09, 2015

Stock Market Panic Before Everyone Else Does / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: James_Quinn

For the lazy people who don’t like to slog through Hussman’s entire data laden weekly tome, I’ve picked out the most pertinent sections. For the really lazy, I’ve bolded the most important sentences. When everyone on Wall Street is using the same algorithms in their HFT supercomputers, and John Q. Public isn’t even in the market, who will these supercomputers sell to when they all get the sell signal at the same time? When that time comes, and it won’t be long, I’ll be munching popcorn and watching the festivities unfold. The talking heads, government apparatchiks, and Ivy League educated big swinging dicks on Wall Street will declare a national emergency and demand another bailout. Will we be stupid enough to fall for it again, or will we start hanging bankers?

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, June 09, 2015

Stock Market Acting Tired...Still Nothing Bearish... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

The market had hung around the top of the range over 2110 for quite some time. Breakout number one was a move over 2119, and after some time 2134 became there new level. We have a double, consecutive-day top at that level and after several tries that failed decently below, the market gave it up some. Nothing terrible, but we're now headed south for the most part as the market unwinds further its oscillators, which were not overbought, so they're getting down to some nice levels, if you're a bull. The lower the better.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, June 08, 2015

Why We're Selling Half of China Stocks Today / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market

By: DailyWealth

Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: A huge announcement about Chinese stocks is coming tomorrow night...

On June 9, shortly after 5 p.m. ET, MSCI – the world's leading provider of global stock market indexes – will announce whether or not China will start to be included in its indexes.

Even if MSCI doesn't approve China tomorrow, it will sometime soon. And this will ultimately cause hundreds of billions of dollars to flow into Chinese stocks over the next couple years.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, June 08, 2015

TNX Declining. Another Confirmation of the SPX Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

The SPX Premarket is down enough to suggest that the descending trendline of the Orthodox Broadening Top is being triggered this morning.

Remember, both the VIX and Hi-Lo gave us a confirmed sell signal last Friday. This signal suggests the SPX may decline beneath 1600, as suggested by the Megaphone formation, by the end of the month. However, the ride will be bumpy on the way.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, June 08, 2015

Is Deutsche Bank World’s Largest Holder of Derivatives in Trouble? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015

By: GoldCore

- Deutsche co-CEOs announce “resignation” nine months before their contracts expire
- Only two weeks ago, CEO Anshu Jain was given more power to reorganise the bank
- Deutsche have been engaged in money laundering, tax evasion, derivative and manipulation scandals
- Deutsche is world’s largest  holder of financial weapons of mass destruction (FWMD)
- Deutsche Bank’s derivatives position almost 15 times as large as Germany’s GDP
- Announcement follows Greek failure to pay IMF on Friday and growing financial risk

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Stock-Markets

Monday, June 08, 2015

Stock Market Unconfirmed Downtrend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market

Intermediate trend - Waiting for confirmation that the ending triangle is complete.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, June 07, 2015

FTSE 100 Ready For Reversal / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market

By: Richard_Cox

Stock investors have been very kind to the FTSE 100 stock index for most of this year.  This outlook has been supported by forecasts for low interest rates into the second half of this year and by stronger than expected corporate earnings in most industrial sectors.  According to one options think-tank this has led to increased buy flow activity for a number of different trading strategies -- and these reports can be largely confirmed by the price activity that has been seen in stocks for both the options and futures markets. 

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, June 07, 2015

EXPOSED: The Biggest Threat to Your Retirement / Stock-Markets / Inflation

By: Investment_U

Rachel Gearhart writes: This week, we are doing something different.

We are analyzing two charts - one that exposes a huge threat to your retirement and another that shows how you can protect yourself.

First, the bad news...

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, June 07, 2015

Stock Market Downtrend Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Brad_Gudgeon

Last weekend, I was looking for a low on Monday, a rally into Wednesday and then down into June 8, followed by a rally into June 10 and then down hard into June 12. The low came on Tuesday, and we did rally into a Wednesday top, but the amplitude of the waves forecast was wrong. One never knows exactly how the waves will play out until one is right on top of the occurrence (later as it unfolds it becomes a little clearer).

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, June 06, 2015

Stock Market Crash - Are We Heading For 1987 All Over Again? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: Toby_Connor

History has been pretty clear. When the Fed prints too much money, and holds interest rates too low for too long, it eventually it creates a bubble followed by a market crash. It happened in 2000 with tech stocks. Then again in 2006 with real estate. Followed not long after by a collapse in the banking system. Then a bubbling oil and commodities. And now I would argue we have the beginnings of a bubble in biotech. So the question is will we experience another crash like we did after each one of those previous bubbles? I think the odds are high we will. Especially if the Fed doesn’t immediately end its stock market interventions.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, June 06, 2015

Stock Market Correction Appears Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week at SPX 2107. A gap up opening on Monday took the SPX to 2119. Then a gap down opening Tuesday took the SPX down to last week’s low at 2099. But the market gapped up on Wednesday carrying the SPX to 2122. Then a gap down Thursday open eventually led to breaking last week’s low and hitting SPX 2086. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.80%, the NDX/NAZ were -0.35%, and the DJ World index was -1.10%. On the economic front reports came in quite positive. On the uptick: personal income, PCE, construction spending, ISM manufacturing, ADP, payrolls, consumer credit, plus the trade deficit and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: factory orders, ISM services, WLEI, and the unemployment rate rose. Next week’s reports are highlighted by Retail sales, the PPI and Export/Import prices.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, June 06, 2015

Hot Jobs...Rising Rates?...Greece Headache...Global Markets Sell Off..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

A very boring and yet interesting week just took place. Price action here in the United States was extremely boring. No one will deny that. Small caps were higher, but big caps were lower by about one percent each. Large caps not leading while froth led which is normal for this market since nothing that takes place makes much sense. That's the new normal. The interesting part of the week came from today's Jobs Report, which was very hot.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, June 06, 2015

Stock Market Connfirmed Sell Signals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX appears to have completed yet another impulse and retracement, stopping at the 50-day Moving Average. Confirmation come at the re-crossing of the trendline, now at 2090.00.

Lance Roberts has an insightful piece about the Incredibly Bearish Bull Market. The bearish divergences are mounting, yet investors are still attempting to “buy the dip.” That is, until today. If the 50-day Moving Average holds, the markets may get ugly in a hurry. With the majority of investors :all in,” there may be less money on the sidelines than what we are being told.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, June 05, 2015

Debt and the Tinderbox / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing

By: DeviantInvestor

We know that the Federal Reserve cranked up their digital printing presses and created over $16 Trillion in new currency, swaps, loans, bailouts, gifts, etc. in response to the 2008 financial crisis.  Example:  Bernie Sanders says that Bank of America received over $1.3 Trillion in bailouts.

If you invested in stocks and bonds, the various QE – “money printing” programs were probably successful for you.  Examine the following chart and note the impact of QE on the S&P 500 Index.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, June 05, 2015

QE Breeds Instability / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing

By: Raul_I_Meijer

Central bankers have promised ad nauseum to keep rates low for long periods of time. And they have delivered. Their claim is that this helps the economy recover, but that is just a silly idea.

What it does do is help create the illusion of a recovering economy. But that is mostly achieved by making price discovery impossible, not by increasing productivity or wages or innovation or anything like that. What we have is the financial system posing as the economy. And a vast majority of people falling for that sleight of hand.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, June 05, 2015

Support Broken as Stock Indices Sell Off / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a very tough session today, although they started out with a move down, and then within minutes they rallied sharply, particularly on news out of Greece. They then rolled over hard, taking the Nasdaq 100 from 4536 to 4475, down 50 points, and the S&P 500 in 5-wave declines went from 2113 to 2094, nearly 20 points down. In the afternoon they tried to rally, got up to resistance, and backed off, but in the last five minutes they spiked up at the close. Perhaps on short covering.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, June 05, 2015

Stock Market Set up for a Flash Crash / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

As I had suggested, SPX impulse down to the double Megaphone trendline. It appears ready for a retracement, but it is hard to tell if it will go much beyond the 50-day Moving Average.

Remember, this is the start of a Minute Wave [iii]. Things may get interesting from here, even though it is only less than 2% off the market high. Yesterday’s high may be the top of point 7 in the Orthodox Broadening Top pattern. The opportunity for a flash crash is very high…about 96% once SPX makes its 2nd decline through the trendline.

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