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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 06, 2016

Will the Stocks Bull Market Remain Intact in 2017? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Clif_Droke

The question confronting investors right now is whether the lateral trading range in the major indices represents consolidation of the long-term uptrend, which precedes an eventual upside breakout from the range?  Or does it represent distribution (i.e. selling) which precedes an eventual breakdown of the trend? 

Bulls and bears have assembled evidence to support their respective take on this conundrum, but the most basic and useful evidence suggests the first outcome, namely an eventual upside resolution.  Let’s examine the evidence in support of this conclusion. 

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 06, 2016

Stock Market Positive Session with Good Technicals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had another wild session, first gapping up and running to retest the highs, unable to get there, and by midday hit their peak on the Nasdaq 100. The S&P 500 did make a higher high in the afternoon, unconfirmed by the Nasdaq 100. That caused a negative divergence, which sold them off in the last hour.

Net on the day, the Dow was up 112.58 at 18,281.03, 34 points off its high. The S&P 500 was up 9.24 at 2159.73, 4 points off its high. The Nasdaq 100 was up 18.28 at 4877.75, 14 points off its high.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 05, 2016

TNX, USD and SPX Meet their Respective Turning Points / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Bond yields spiked this morning in a retracement of the decline from the September 13 high in an 89.5% retracement to the 2-hour Cycle Top.

ZeroHedge comments, “"Soft" survey data from ISM appears to have trumped "hard" data from construction spending and factory orders, juicing expectations for a rate-hike in November to around 30% - the highest since The Fed began its so-called normalization cycle. The USD Index and bond yields are jumping on the news, stocks are unclear, and silver and gold are slipping further.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 05, 2016

Stock Market Season of Falling Prices and Percent Index Proves It! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

It’s a knows fact that Sept and October are typically weak times for US stocks. Going back 37 years shows us the tendency for investors to sell and rebalance their portfolios to try and perform better during the final quarter.

But that’s not really the point of this article. The chart below shows a comparison between the SP500 bullish percent index and the SP500 index.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 05, 2016

Stock Market Indices Has Rough Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Harry_Boxer

The stock market indices had a rough session. After a gap up and then a move up to resistance, the indices were unable to get much further than that. They had a selloff, a very sharp snapback, but again couldn’t get through the highs, and then started to decline in a distinct down-channel all day. Only in the last hour did they snap back off the lows, but S&P 500 violated key support by a couple points, before the rally. We’ll just have to see whether they were able to hold the fort right here, or going to make lower lows.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 05, 2016

USD, Gold and USB are testing their Outer Limits / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

USD came within a hair’s breadth of the upper Broadening Wedge trendline at 96.50 this morning, but now is beginning to sell off after reaching 96.39. Considering the corrective nature of the move, I did not expect the trendline to be broken. Nonetheless, I had monitored it for any unexpected outcome. A decline today beneath 95.26 may create a Bearish Engulfing Candle, which is a strong reversal pattern.

The moves being made here may have a pronounced effect on various markets, which we will discuss further down the page. The main effect of a declining USD may be the withdrawal of foreign investors from risk markets.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, October 04, 2016

Stock Market September 30- October 3 High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Ed_Carlson

The Hybrid Lindsay model points to a high early this week (if not last Friday). While there are other highs and lows scheduled, the next important low is due late this month and getting there should be quite a “ride” if the Three Peaks/Domed House pattern is correct.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, October 04, 2016

Deutsche Bank - The Next Financial Crisis Will Come from Europe! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: Chris_Vermeulen

A financial system stability assessment report, from the International Monetary Fund (IMF), on one bank in Europe identified Deutsche Bank AG (NYSE: DB), as the TOP bank that poses the greatest systemic risk to the global financial system. Systemic risk was identified as a major contributing factor in the ‘financial crisis’ of 2008. This is essentially the risk of contagion by the failure of one firm leading to failures throughout its’ industry.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, October 04, 2016

Fed Chair Yellen’s Plan B: “Intervene Directly” in Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: MoneyMetals

By Stefan Gleason : October could see a ramping up of volatility across all asset markets. The month is notorious on Wall Street for the 1987 stock market crash. Fall crashes also occurred in 2002 and 2008.

Are we due for another one? Perhaps. Some analysts think it will come after the election. Others think the stock market will stay elevated until the Federal Reserve raises rates.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, October 04, 2016

Deutsche Bank Could Be the Demise of Germany / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: Harry_Dent

The first bad news broke following the third quarter of 2015. Deutsche Bank reported a loss of $7 billion. The news just keeps coming with low or negative earnings thanks to bad loans in Germany and abroad.

In my February 19, 2016 edition of The Leading Edge, I issued a clear and stern warning about Deutsche Bank and about a second banking crisis looming. I explicitly said…

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, October 04, 2016

Could a S&P500 Stock Market Flash Crash be Round the Corner? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash

By: John_Mesh

There has been general speculation among the trading community recently about the possibiity of a flash crash of the types in 1988. In our morning meeting, we looked at some triggers which can potentially cause a major correction. We will look at if there is any real posibility. As many of you know, we do not like to just talk some nonsense about gold and Silver being precious metals and S&P500 as worthless papers and hence S&P 500 should be trading at under 10 and gold to be at 10,000. That kind of talk we leave to the uninformed punters of the kind we find at various bearish sites. MESH framework is a statistical tool which analyses various trading instruments for trading opportunities. Here we will look at the posibility of a major risk aversion this month.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, October 04, 2016

FTSE BrExit Stock Market Panic Crash Resolves towards New All Time Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Remember how BrExit was supposed to trigger a stock market crash, collapse, bear market, with the mainstream press's panic reporting Brexit morning (June 24th) following the FTSE's early morning 5% mark down in the wake of the UK voting to LEAVE the EU.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 03, 2016

Central Banks’ Bank Warns That China Could Cause Global Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: John_Mauldin

I’ve been saying for the past couple of years that the next recession in the US will probably be triggered by an external macro event or cascade of events, coming out of Europe or China.

Ambrose Evans-Pritchard of the London Telegraph sharpens the focus on China. He writes about the recently released quarterly report of the Bank for International Settlements (“the central banks’ bank”). The report repeats Michael Pettis's warning that China faces growing risk of a major debt and banking crisis.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 03, 2016

Stock Market Closer To All-Time High, Will Uptrend Continue / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, speculative short positions are favored (with stop-loss at 2,210, and profit target at 2,050, S&P 500 index).

Our intraday outlook is bearish, and our short-term outlook is bearish. Our medium-term outlook is neutral, following S&P 500 index breakout above last year's all-time high:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bearish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 03, 2016

Strongly Bullish US Equity Markets Will Drive Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets

By: John_Mesh

Only one of the eight indexes on our world watch list posted a week-over-week advance, down from eight up the previous week. The S&P 500 was the sole winner with a fractional 0.17% gain. India's SENSEX was the biggest loser at -2.80%. The -1.15% average of the eight contrasts sharply with the 1.92% average for the previous week. The tables below provide a concise overview of performance comparisons over the past four weeks for these eight major indexes. We've also included the average for each week so that we can evaluate the performance of a specific index relative to the overall mean and better understand weekly volatility. The colors for each index name help us visualize the comparative performance over time.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 03, 2016

Commodities, Forex and Stock Market Trend Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016

By: Ken_Ticehurst

We continue to forecast a drop in the commodities complex over the next few months with the possibility of some important lows next year. WTI is still putting in a top, the dead cat bounce that has lasted throughout this year is running out of steam and we should see the push for lower lows over the next couple of months and in to 2017.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 03, 2016

Stock Market Correction to Worsen? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend: The long-term trend is up but weakening.  Potential final phase of bull market.

SPX Intermediate trend:  The uptrend from 1810 continues, but it has entered a corrective phase which could extend into November.

 Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, October 02, 2016

Deutsche Bank - Signs of Stock Market Panic! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2016

By: Gordon_T_Long

John Rubino and Gordon T Long discuss the unfolding mayhem in the European banking sector and specifically what is behind the panic selling in Deutsche Bank stock.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, October 02, 2016

Choppy, Toppy Stock Market into Early October / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Brad_Gudgeon

Last week, we saw the stock market whipsaw: up one day and down the next. That pattern should continue into October 4th with another down day Monday. Buy the dip! A cycle top is due on Oct 4. The whole pattern smacks of a sideways 'b' wave bear flag that should give way to a nice 'c' wave drop into week's end.

I believe we finally see that false break of the rising wedge I've been talking about. A test of SPX 2099/2100 looks likely by Oct 7. October 6th should be a huge down day, somewhat similar to September 9th. What a messy strewn out 'Z' wave we've had (see chart below).

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, October 01, 2016

SPX: corrective advance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started this choppy week at SPX 2165. After a gap down opening on Monday (DB related) the market declined to SPX 2142 by Tuesday’s open. After that it rallied to SPX 2173 Thursday morning. Then sold off (DB related) to SPX 2145 by Thursday afternoon. After a late day rally on Thursday the market gapped up on Friday (DB related) and hit SPX 2175. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.25%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 0.25%. Economic reports were mixed. On the downtick: Case-Shiller, the Q3 GDP estimate, pending/new home sales, plus weekly jobless claims rose. On the uptick: Q2 GDP, consumer confidence/sentiment, personal income, the Chicago PMI and the PCE. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by monthly Payrolls and ISM.

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