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Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 24, 2013

New Dow Components Enter Index on a Whimper / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: PhilStockWorld

Welcome GS ($165), V ($196) and NKE ($69) - Goodbye to AA ($8), BAC ($14) and HPQ ($21).

The changing of the Dow replaced $43 worth of stocks with $430 worth of stocks and, in the price-weighted index, this is a major shift of balance. Rather than over-analyze it, let's just say that it shifts the Dow to a far more consumer-spending orientation and GS pumps up the sensitivity to the banking sector. What we're taking away from, once again is the "Industrials" which, much like America, are barely a part of the Dow Jones Industrial Average anymore.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 24, 2013

Responding to Financial Crisis Risk With intelligent Analytics / Stock-Markets / Risk Analysis

By: Submissions

Joe Budden writes: Following the financial crisis of 2007-2008, many veteran traders were faced with a totally different financial landscape in which to operate. The ‘New Normal’, a term first coined by Pimco trader, Mohammed El-Erian, became the finance community’s go-to word for a new world order which bore more similarities with the post Depression era than anything investors had previously experienced.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, September 24, 2013

If the U.S. Economy Is Improving, Why Is This Happening? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Profit_Confidential

Michael Lombardi writes: While the media and politicians tell us we’re in an economic recovery…I keep writing about the slowdown we’re heading towards. How can I say that?

First, take out the stock buyback programs, and you’ll see that U.S. companies are seeing their earnings and revenues grow this year at their slowest pace since 2009. (More on that in today’s “Michael’s Personal Notes” column below.)

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 23, 2013

Stock Market Tangling With 13 Year Trendline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Afternoon!

BKX has lost all Model supports and appears to be capable of declining to its daily mid-Cycle support at 59.36. Should it stop there and bounce, we may have the setup for our first Head & Shoulders formation in this decline.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 23, 2013

DJIA Futures Elliott Waves Suggests Temporary Top Is In Place / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Gregor_Horvat

US stocks futures extended weakness in the last few hours and now we have five waves down on DJIA futures from the top which means that temporary high is in place. Therefore, market will make minimum three wave retracement to the downside because that’s the minimum structure of a contra-trend price action. With that in mind, be aware of more weakness in days ahead, but after a bounce in wave (b). This wave (b) could occur soon if we consider that price is already in fifth wave now of wave (a) down.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 23, 2013

Shake-Up For The Dow Jones 30 Stocks Index / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Clif_Droke

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is getting another makeover this week. On Sept. 20, the Dow 30 stock industrial index will replace three of its older components - Alcoa, Bank of America, and Hewlett Packard - and will replace them with Goldman Sachs, Visa, and Nike. This makes the 52nd time since its inception in 1885 that the index has changed components.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, September 23, 2013

Fed Decision Speeds Up Stock Market Topping Action / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the severe correction of 2007-2009 may have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.

Intermediate trend - SPX has made a new high after ending its correction at 1627. It still has a little way to go to reach its current intermediate top.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, September 22, 2013

Stocks Bull Market Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Tony_Caldaro

An expected volatile FOMC/Options expiration week did not disappoint. The market started the week with a gap up opening, held those highs on Tuesday, then spiked when FED chairman Bernanke did not taper QE 3 as was expected. Then the unwinding of that spike unfolded during Thursday and Friday’s expiration. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.95%, the NDX/NAZ were +1.45%, and the DJ World index was +2.0%. Economic reports for the week ended positive. On the uptick: industrial production, the CPI, existing home sales, the Philly FED, leading indicators, the monetary base and the WLEI. On the downtick: the NY FED, the NAHB, housing starts, building permits, and weekly jobless claims rose. Next week: Q2 GDP (est. +2.5%), PCE prices and more housing reports.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, September 22, 2013

World Stock Markets September Bounce Continues / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short. All seven of the eight indexes on my world watch list posted strong advances for the week. The exception was China’s Shanghai Composite, where the stock exchange was closed Thursday and Friday for Mid-Autumn Festival, and thus missed the “No-Fed-Taper Festival” celebrated by the other seven indexes.

Interestingly, the index most closely associated with Fed policy, the S&P 500, finished the week in sixth place with its 1.30% gain. Of the seven indexes open all week, only the UK’s FTSE fared worse with its fractional 0.19% advance. The big weekly winners were the three Asia-Pacific indexes (ex-Shanghai), with the 2.69% gain for India’s SENSEX besting Hong Kong’s Hang Seng by 0.13% and Japan’s Nikkei by 0.35%.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, September 21, 2013

Coming Soon – The Bubble Economy Tapers Down And Out / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: Andrew_McKillop

IT CERTAINLY HAPPENED BEFORE
By the end of October 1929, the total value of stocks listed on the New York stock exchange had fallen by nearly 40% against early 1929 levels, but this was only the beginning. When the bottom was finally reached in March 1933, stocks had declined by more than 80%. Commodity prices fell by around 50%. World manufacturing output declined by 33% to 60% depending on country. World trade declined by about 67% or two thirds. In less than one year unemployment doubled in several countries, such as the UK, and quadrupled in most countries within 4 years. The International Labor Office in 1933 said that unemployment in the developed world had increased by 33 million since 1928. Corrected for today's population against the world's 2.2 billion in 1933, this would mean about 110 million people losing their jobs, today. The total US labor force as of 2013 is about 150 million.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, September 21, 2013

Stock Market Investors Have No Place to Hide / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

It now appears that SPX has broken its 3-week Ending Diagonal formation. The minimum retrace is 100%. There are only 3 waves evident here, so the move is as yet incomplete. The most likely immediate target is either the Broadening Wedge trendline at 1692.00 or short-term support at 1688.12.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, September 21, 2013

Has Warren Buffett Nailed Another Stock Market Top? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Sy_Harding

I know. I know. Warren Buffett is not a market-timer, has no idea what the market will be doing this year, or next, or at any specific time in the future. Or so he says, and the media seems to accept it as fact.

So we probably shouldn’t pay attention to what he is doing and saying now.

However, in spite of what he says, Buffett has a remarkable track record of accurately calling the serious market tops and bottoms.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, September 20, 2013

Federal Reserve Antics - I Don’t Know Whether to Laugh or Cry / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation

By: Profit_Confidential

Michael Lombardi writes: After yesterday’s Federal Reserve antics, we were taken by the reaction of one well-known writer, who said, “I didn’t know whether to laugh or cry.” That is truly the most apt phrase for the current situation.

To sum up the bigger picture:

Almost 100 years ago to the day, the U.S. “subcontracted” money and the banking system to third parties. These third parties called themselves the “Federal Reserve” but, of the few unchallenged facts one can determine about the actual ownership of the Fed, it becomes clear they are neither “federal” nor a “reserve.”

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Stock-Markets

Friday, September 20, 2013

Federal Reserve - The Con, The Fraud, and The Lie / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Barry_M_Ferguson

What do we think of when we hear the words, ‘con’, ‘fraud’ and ‘lies’?

Correct! The Federal Reserve Bank.

The Con

The Chairman, Mr. Bernanke, paddled across the river Styx to address the nation over which he rules on Thursday, September 19, 2013. Since he and his associates had so clearly intimated over the last several months a reduction in the $85 billion per month bond purchase program known as ‘quantitative easing forever’, nearly everyone anticipated, and expected, an announcement of some reduction in the amount of those purchases. But alas, there was no such reduction. The Fed elected to keep the current rate of purchases in place until they were more comfortable with real signs of economic recovery.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, September 20, 2013

Terrorism and the Stock Market, Investor Participation in Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Clif_Droke

Contrarians take note: The latest issue of Time magazine featured another one of those infamous bull market covers. The bull was displayed rather prominently on the cover under the headline, "How Wall Street Won."

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