Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, October 19, 2014
Understanding a Confusing Stock Market…Inside and Out / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Michael E. Lewitt writes: The long overdue stock market correction continued this week as a European growth scare was compounded by fears about the potential spread of Ebola to send the markets lower.
A strong rally on Friday allowed the major stock market indices to stabilize for the moment and show relatively minor damage on the week, but many hedge funds suffered larger losses after being forced (or forcing themselves) into realizing losses as the markets reached a selling climax on Wednesday, October 15.
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Sunday, October 19, 2014
Stock Market Primary IV Wave Counter Trend Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
What a week! After the SPX dropped 3.1% last week ending at 1906, it started off quiet enough with a push to 1912 by around noon Monday. Then the bottom fell out, as the market dropped, gyrated on Tuesday, then dropped to 1821 by early afternoon Wednesday. After that it staged one heck of a come back rally, hitting SPX 1898 on Friday then ending the week at 1887. For the week the SPX/DOW were -1.0%, the NDX/NAZ were -0.9%, and the DJ World index dropped 0.8%. Economic reports for the week were biased 8:6 to the positive. On the uptick: business inventories, industrial production, housing starts, building permits, consumer sentiment, the monetary base, plus the budget surplus and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: retail sales, the PPI, the NY/Philly FED, the NAHB and the WLEI. Next week is highlighted with the CPI, Existing/New home sales, and Leading indicators.
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Saturday, October 18, 2014
Stock Market Gap Up Off Short-Term Bottom... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The stock market never has never been easy. The emotion machine keeps chugging along making sure all of you have a difficult time understanding it. It doesn't want you to ever think it's easy, and it wants to make sure you struggle. Just about everyone does. When you look at the recent volatility it's easy to understand. Tremendous day-to-day moves off the recent top as the VIX exploded. The bulls and bears alike are more used to small grinding moves for several months, with the direction mostly higher. Now things have swung around, and the market is playing a different tune. Slow dance nights are over. The doji is playing rock music these days, and most folks just can't dance well to that music. Most folks simply get used to the new pattern in place and never adapt to what's taking place in the moment.
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Saturday, October 18, 2014
Anatomy of a Stock Market Sell-Off / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Michael A. Robinson writes: Meet “Mr. Market.”
He’s the analogy that Warren Buffett – you know him – uses to help investors understand the market as though it were a person.
Usually, Mr. Market is as rational as the efficient market we all dream about.
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Saturday, October 18, 2014
Stock Market SPX New Head & Shoulders Formation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The bounce turned into a double zigzag correction which had a higher target than an a-b-c would accommodate. There is a new Head & Shoulders formation with the top of the right shoulder matching the length of the left shoulder at 1903.58, just under the 200-day Moving Average at 1906.07. It may not make either target.
Intermediate Wave (1) may turn out to be either a Leading Diagonal with five Minor A-B-C waves, or an (A)-(B)-(C) wave in a larger degree Wave [1]. The pattern will work itself out, as it did in the decline in gold.
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Friday, October 17, 2014
How to Invest in a Difficult Market / Stock-Markets / Investing 2014
Many experts hold dim views of the current state of the US economy—but what’s a prudent investor to do to make a profit? Find out what the blue-ribbon faculty of economists and investment pros at the recently concluded Casey Research Fall Summit thought.
Lacy Hunt, senior executive VP of Hoisington Investment Management Company and former chief economist at the Dallas Fed, says the main reason that the global economy continues to falter is that all countries borrow too much and save too little.
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Friday, October 17, 2014
Stock Markets, Commodities and Indicators / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
Allow me to share a simple sketch I drew that was part of an NFTRH interim update for subscribers last night. The black line is where we have been. The blue line is a projection of what a typical correction (whether a healthy interim one or a bear market kick off) might look like.
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Friday, October 17, 2014
How to Trade the Ebola Stock Market Sell-Off / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: I believe Ebola may be the most serious threat to humanity since the bubonic plague of the Middle Ages. Already it has spread to a dozen countries, including the U.S., and more than 4,000 people are dead. According to Dr. Bruce Aylward of the World Health Organization (WHO), mortality rates are rising and now sit at 70%.
This outbreak is more grim proof that the global trend of war, terrorism, and ugliness is indeed a growth industry.
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Friday, October 17, 2014
Stock Market Pullback Underway, Euro downside, Commodities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
BIG PICTURE – The first round of QE began in March 2009 and after 5½ years, the Federal Reserve’s bond buying program is coming to an end. Since the QE program boosted confidence, combated deflationary forces and sparked an epic bull market on Wall Street; it is hardly surprising that its end has brought about some turbulence in the stock market.
There can be no denying the fact that over the past few years, the QE program significantly assisted the stock market by tackling the deflationary forces within the economy. You will recall that when QE1 and QE2 were ending, the stock market abruptly reversed course and the major indices started to face intense selling pressure. Thereafter, when the Federal Reserve unleashed its next bout of bond purchases, buyers returned in earnest and piled into common stocks.
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Friday, October 17, 2014
Stock Market Seven Year Cycle and A Correction Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
From a duration perspective, is the current uptrend in today’s stock market getting risky? Based on history, should one assume that a correction may be nearing? Our main consideration of the following charts of the S&P 500 is the duration of the turning points.
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Friday, October 17, 2014
The 10th Man: What a Stock Market Correction Feels Like / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Back in the summer of 2007, when I was working for Lehman Brothers, I had a vacation to the Bahamas planned. This was unusual for me. Up until that point, in six years of working for Lehman, I had taken about five vacation days—total. But my wife and I were going to a semi-primitive resort on Cat Island, the most desolate island in the Bahamas. Interesting place for a vacation. Suffice to say that it’s plenty hot in the Bahamas in August.
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Thursday, October 16, 2014
Rising Market Volatility / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
SPX is down over 1% in the Premarket. Today is day 69 in the current Master Cycle. The nearest Pivot is 68.8, so it may have made the Pivot at yesterday’s close. That is why I was uncertain on how the Pivot would work.
There may be some attempt to rally SPX prior to the open, but there is no liquidity in the hedge funds’ favorite market, the E-mini.
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Thursday, October 16, 2014
Stock Market Negative Expectations As Investors Continue To Worry – Will Downtrend Extend Even Further? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified at this moment.
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, October 16, 2014
Stocks Bear Markets Move Fast and Are Intensely Emotional / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
As Bob Prechter says, bear markets move fast and are intensely emotional.
Please read this free report that could help you sidestep perhaps the biggest bear market in living memory.
Anyone who has been watching the market for the past few years knows that Wall Street wanted the stock market to get back to where it was.
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Thursday, October 16, 2014
Stock Market Splat.....But Well Off The Lows...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
The market was primed to go higher today as Intel Corporation (INTC) and CSX Corp. (CSX), two key market leaders, were rocking after hours last night after reporting earnings. Futures were exploding higher due to those reports, and the fact that daily and sixty-minute short-term charts were oversold. A nice combination for the bulls to get some momentum. Then over night the news from overseas on their economies, plus further bad news on the Ebloa virus, caused the futures to reverse hard, allowing for a massive gap down across the board of 1% or a bit more. That's unusual for the indexes. They rarely move that much in a day at the open.
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Wednesday, October 15, 2014
The Best Strategy for Dealing With the Stock Market Sell-Off / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Marc Lichtenfeld writes:Investors have it tough today.
The market has been ugly the past few weeks, instilling fear in some investors that the bull market is over and they missed their chance at making money.
Additionally, interest rates are still so low, it's tough to generate any income from your nest egg.
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Wednesday, October 15, 2014
Why This Stock Market Selloff Is the Next "Buy the Dip" Opportunity in Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Brett Eversole writes: Investors are scared.
Over the past few years, we've seen investors hit the panic button every time the market sells off even a few percent.
"This is the big one," they think. So they run for the door as sentiment reaches a negative extreme. But in this bull market, these extremes in sentiment have turned out to be "buy the dip" moments... not the starts of crashes.
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Wednesday, October 15, 2014
Possible Stock Market Runing Correction / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Good Afternoon!
We may be witnessing a running correction, which I haven’t seen since September 2002. This is typified by a short Wave a followed by a very long Wave b, then followed up by a short Wave c, as we see in the chart. Today was a Pivot day and the only way I can interpret it is that Micro Wave c topped at 1863.76.
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Wednesday, October 15, 2014
Fat Lady Singing: The Alibaba IPO Top-Ticked the Stock Market, Precisely / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
"As flies to wanton boys are we to the gods. They kill us for their sport." - William Shakespeare, King Lear
Wall Street puffed up the stock market indices to get the 'largest ever' IPO of Alibaba out the door.
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Wednesday, October 15, 2014
Get Your Tactics Ready for the Ebola Stock Market Event / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: My sources tell me that Ebola is probably the most serious threat to humanity since the Bubonic Plague of the Middle Ages. Already it has spread to a dozen countries, including the U.S., and more than 4,000 people are dead. According to Dr. Bruce Aylward of the World Health Organization (WHO), mortality rates are rising and now sit at 70%.
This outbreak is more grim proof that Trend No. 6 – War, Terrorism, and Ugliness – is indeed a growth industry.
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