Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, November 02, 2007
Bond Market Meltdown, Real Inflation and GDP - Fingers of Instability, Part 11 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
In This Issue – 4 Fingers of Instability
- Meltdowns
- The Taxman Cometh, Middle Class Attacks
- Stocks
- Inflation and GDP
Introduction
The markets are rocking: precious metals, commodities, raw materials, energy, interest rates, foreign currencies, the dollar and more are providing opportunities, up and down to the prepared investor. The tsunami of money and credit creation required to underpin the asset-backed economies of the G7 has provided opportunities as far as the eye can see. And the massive sterilization of this same money printing by the emerging world is stoking runaway inflation to surface in every area of the globe and signaling the unfolding “Crack up Boom” (see Tedbits archives at www.TraderView.com ).
Friday, November 02, 2007
What happened on Thursday to the Financial Markets? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
You can say it was a case of Fed hangover. In what has become an odd yet peculiar pattern in the financial markets, the US stock market rushed ahead following the Federal Reserve announcement and then sells off the following day. Thursday's selloff was particularly strong as everyone had a night to reassess the statement and economic data released as well.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, November 02, 2007
Sharp Drop in Stock Markets - A Mere Correction or Reversal? / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
From its closing high peak on October 9, 2007 , the Dow Jones Industrials spent 8 days in decline and 8 days in a corrective rally. Assuming the up-trend from August to October may be over for now, where may the market go from here?Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 01, 2007
Fear & Perception - The Speed at Which Investor Sentiment Can Change / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
“There is truth deep down inside of you that has been waiting for you to discover it, and that Truth is this: you deserve all good things life has to offer . You know that inherently, because you feel awful when you are experiencing the lack of good things. All good things are your birthright!” – The Secret (2007), 41 weeks in top the five NY Times Hardcore Advice ListRead full article... Read full article...
Thursday, November 01, 2007
Nasdaq Falls to Support Trendline, Will It Hold? / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
Isn't it amazing that the Q's (NASDAQ: QQQQ) can decline right to a near-term support line, currently 54.25 or so, and hold right there? And this is happening while the other indices are breaking down! In any case, let's keep an eye on the Q's during the final two hours of trading to see if they can avert breaking important near-term support at 54.25 and possibly 54.05/00, which will (finally) inflict some damage to the near-term technical picture. If so, then the next target is 53.85.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 31, 2007
Stock Market Reaction to US Fed Interest Rate Cut of 25 Basis Points / Stock-Markets / US Interest Rates
For whatever it is worth, the "gurus" on CNBC seem to think that the Fed signaled a pause in its accommodation policy (all of two cuts and 75 bps) because of the statement that "the rate cut taken to forestall harm to the broader economy."Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 30, 2007
Investing in the Technology Sector Stocks / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
To beat the market investors need to be in the right sector and sub-sector. Money in markets tends to flow from one sector to another based on investors perceptions of what is fundamentally driving the underlying business. The basic theory behind sector rotation was described by Stan Stovell in Standard & Poor's Guide to Sector Investing 1995 (this is an expensive book). However, as I have discussed in previous articles on sector rotation, the movement of money is a bit more complex and not quite as straight forward. In this article I present a couple of the underlying themes that are driving the technology sector to help identify investing opportunities.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 30, 2007
Hunt for Stock Market Juncture Inflection Points / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The GM and Ford debt downgrades in 2006, the Amaranth blowup, the mini-market crash in China in March 2007, and the subprime debacle/credit crunch that started in July. The common theme following these and other events was that the U.S. equity markets quickly rebounded following a brief period of heightened investor fear.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 30, 2007
Canada's Investing Secrets I Learned in Calgary / Stock-Markets / Canadian Stock Market
Tony Sagami writes: Woody Allen was absolutely right when he said "80% of success is just showing up." And nowhere is that more true than the world of investing.
I regularly find myself dodging forklifts on busy shipping ports … walking past snarling street dogs in Chinese alleys … or, in my latest trip's case, freezing my buns off in northern Canada.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 29, 2007
NOLTE NOTES - Stock Market Rally on Low Volume - What, Me Worry? / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
Oil prices rise, the markets rise, as demand for oil remains high, indicating that the global economy is still chugging along. Oil prices decline and the markets rally, as lower oil prices will add to consumer's ability to spend. Let's face it; the markets are not really paying attention to oil prices, other than a convenient reason for a market rally. However, that rally is coming on lower volume and less participation than at any time since the August bottom.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 29, 2007
With Market Uncertainty Comes Market Volatility / Stock-Markets / Volatility
Last week world stock markets made a decent stab at recovering from the previous week's rout. The strongest market was again the Nasdaq, with the new economy shrugging off the previous Friday's wobble to finish near its highs. Interest rate rumours thrust the market higher, as whispers of another 50 base point cut did the rounds. Few people wanted to be short going into what is expected to be another obliging FOMC meeting on Wednesday.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, October 29, 2007
US Housing Sinks! Your Shares Soar! / Stock-Markets / Investing
The housing market is sinking further, while the oil and gold shares we've been recommending are soaring.
But are you ready?
Are you ready for the day when the average home in America has gone down for 13 months?
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, October 28, 2007
Rewrite of Canadian Oil Royalty Agreements a National Disgrace and Surging JP Morgan Derivatives Book / Stock-Markets / Canadian Stock Market
As a Canadian, I would first like to voice my disgust with actions taken by my fellow countrymen [Alberta's Provincial Government] on Thursday – who saw fit to ‘rewrite' royalty agreements they had entered into with the oil industry.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 27, 2007
Subprime Credit Crunch - The Market for New Homes is Dead / Stock-Markets / US Housing
In this Issue:As the Subprime Turns
"The Market for New Homes is Dead"
Mortgage Pig of the Year
When the Going Get Rough, Simply Borrow More
$100 Oil and $1,000 Gold
More Birthdays, Home Again and Deadlines
As the World Turns is a popular soap opera playing on American TV. It focuses, as do most soaps, on the lives and foibles of its characters, with plenty of dramatic flair. We are watching a different type of soap opera today which we could call "As the Subprime Turns. And the world is watching. It has plenty of drama, lots of flawed characters, a plot that is hard to understand, everyone saying it was the other guys fault and the world (literally) paying for the sins of exuberance in the US. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 27, 2007
Asset Backed Commercial Paper Still Shrinking As Fallout From Mortgage Crisis Spreads / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
“The ABCP market , which had helped finance the housing boom, fell $4.6 billion to $883.7 billion following last week's $11.0 billion decline, according to Federal Reserve data released on Thursday.
On the other hand, the overall U.S. commercial paper sector grew for a fourth straight week to $1.872 trillion in the week ended Oct. 23, up $6.2 billion from a week earlier, the Fed data showed.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 27, 2007
Stock Market Weekly Update: Rumor Has It / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
Don't get the idea from reading this update that performing real time Elliott wave analysis is easy, or that consistently selling tops and buying bottoms is something you can learn how to do overnight. It's not, and if that's the rumor you've been hearing, it's as wrong as this week's emergency Fed meeting. But do understand that making money by finding favorable risk/reward entries and exits is exactly what we do at TTC, week in and week out, through our rigor and vigilance and determination. And, what's more, if you're willing to be patient and pay attention, we can teach you to do the same!Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, October 27, 2007
Roaring Into the Stock Market Top / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
Thinking outloud: Frankly, a sharply falling dollar coupled with sharply rising (historic) oil prices amidst credit and housing crises would not be considered my ideal background for a roaring bull market in equities.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 25, 2007
Sub-Prime Mortgage Collapse Crisis Over? - Part 1 / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
"...If you can't spot the patsy then it might just be you - or your retirement-fund manager, money-market fund, local government trustees or mutual fund..."
ON AUGUST 8th THIS YEAR , just one day before the sudden and savage "credit crunch" that Alan Greenspan - former head of the US Federal Reserve - now says was "an accident waiting to happen", the Investment Council of Oregon State voted to change the way it invests public retirement funds.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 25, 2007
New Upleg for the Ultrashort S&P / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
My sense in this crazy volatile market is that the ProShares UltraShort S&P ETF (AMEX: SDS) correction from Monday's high at 53.60 likely ended earlier today at 51.07, which happens also to coincide with a "healthy" pullback of about 40% of the entire advance from the 10/11 low at 47.50 to the 10/22 high at 53.60. The structure of the correction, its magnitude, and the upside pivot from 51.07 to 52.00 argue strongly that the SDS has started a new upleg that should climb above 53.60 on the way to 54.75-55.25 next.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 25, 2007
Labor Department Institutionalizes Speculation / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
One day, the "asset prices must always be pushed higher" approach toward preventing the U.S. economy from succumbing to the gravitational pull of deflation will run its course and the " rentier culture " will beat a hasty retreat back to wherever it is they came, but after the decision the other day by the Labor Department to require new employees to invest in stocks if they make no other choice during what is normally a very confusing first day at their new job, well, the hasty retreat has been pushed back a little bit.Read full article... Read full article...