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Sunday, March 08, 2009

Credit Default Swaps, Wall Streets Worst Invention Ever / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009

By: Money_Morning

Martin Hutchinson writes: When it comes to naming a winner in the competition for “the worst product ever invented by Wall Street,” there is quite a list of worthy candidates. With just the current financial crisis alone there are such “inventions” as subprime mortgages, auction rate preferred stock and asset-backed commercial paper, which all have a good claim to this title.

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Sunday, March 08, 2009

Stock Market Investor Sentiment: Bullish Signals / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment

By: Guy_Lerner

For 13 weeks the "dumb money" has been on the wrong side of the trend and hopeful that the November, 2008 lows would hold. The "smart money" has not been bullish on the markets for about 20 weeks now. With the November, 2008 lows on the S&P500 convincingly behind us, the "dumb money" has turned bearish and the "smart money" is now the most bullish it has been in 30 weeks. These are bullish signals for equities.

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Sunday, March 08, 2009

The Worst Stocks Bear Market Since the Great Depression / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Prieur_du_Plessis

“Down, down, deeper and down”. So goes the chorus of a Status Quo song, but it is eerily starting to sound like the stock markets' anthem.

Another week and another plunge of equities on fears about the intensity of the global recession and renewed skepticism regarding the beleaguered financial sector. And, yet again, flight-to-safety trades such as the US dollar (at a three-year high) and government bonds took center stage.

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Sunday, March 08, 2009

Obama's Stocks Bear Market Takes A Breather / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Kingsley_Anderson

The meltdown that began in February is nothing short of spectacular. Like a tornado, its ferocity and destruction is frightening, yet fascinating to watch. On Thursday, the S&P 500 had lost 20% since inauguration day, resulting in some calling this recent leg down “Obama's Bear Market.” To be fair, we have been in a bear market since October 2007. Whether this recent downtrend is the fault of the current administration is “above my pay grade.” What is not above my pay grade (or at least I think it's not) is analyzing the recent price action of the indexes.

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Sunday, March 08, 2009

Financial Markets Analysis - Stocks Bear Market Near Bottom? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Stock Markets fell to fresh bear market lows with the Dow Jones Index now fulfilling the original target for the bear market low of 6,600 as per the analysis of 20th Jan 09 as illustrated by the below graph.

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Saturday, March 07, 2009

Brief Overview of Stock Market Cycles / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis

By: Tim_Wood

Of late, I have received a few e-mails about cycles and the ways in which I use them. I've learned that in many incidences it seems that when I talk about cycles many conjure up images of some sort of black magic, voodoo, chicken bones and the like. However, I can assure you that this is not the case and in this article I'll show you why. Cyclical analysis is simply a method of trend identification that allows one to look at various trends of like degree. In my case, I then data-mine these trends in an effort to find common traits.

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Saturday, March 07, 2009

Stock Markets Post Crash Pattern Moving from A to B / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Captain_Hook

Are you scared yet? You should be because not many others are in spite of the growing carnage in the financial markets these days. This is set to change in a hurry however, where borrowing from the Kübler-Ross model on ‘death and dying', which is the same process investors are going through right now, if I am right about this, in getting from A to B, with A being denial and B anger, the stock market could do the unimaginable. You can see it already, the spoiled brats, with Obama in the lead, are starting to realize reality does actually bite, and that no matter how much one attempts to change it, nothing will make it go away.

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Saturday, March 07, 2009

Obama's Stocks and Bonds Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The Employment Situation? Grim - Nonfarm payroll employment continued to fall sharply in February (-651,000), and the unemployment rate rose from 7.6 to 8.1 percent, the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor reported today. Payroll employment has declined by 2.6 million in the past 4 months. In February, job losses were large and widespread across nearly all major industry sectors.

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Friday, March 06, 2009

The Oracle with Max Keiser - The AIG Black Hole / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009

By: Nadeem_Walayat

This weeks "The Oracle" presented by Max Keiser for BBC World Service with key guests Dean Baker, Andy Zaltzman seeks to predict the news before it happens.

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Friday, March 06, 2009

Stock Market Trends March 2009: Bear Market Targets S&P 600 / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Hans_Wagner

To identify the stock market trend, it is best to begin with the big picture in mind and then work our way down to weekly and then daily views of the charts. You will notice that the chart and the value of the indicators change as we move from a monthly to a weekly and then a daily chart. This is a normal part of the technical analysis.

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Friday, March 06, 2009

Nasdaq Stock Market 21 Year Elliott Wave Pattern Forecast / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory

By: Joseph_Russo

Desperately Seeking Stability - At the worst of the two-year dot.com bust, the NASDAQ registered a 78% peak to trough decline. In the following five-years spanning 2002-2007, though the market came nowhere near reclaiming its former value, it nonetheless posted a 158% five-year trough to peak bull market return.

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Friday, March 06, 2009

SPX Stocks Bear Market Bottoms / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Zeal_LLC

With the S&P 500 slumping below its November panic low, it's been one tough week in the stock markets. The SPX was holding its own until the Marxist Party inexplicably decided to announce giant and aggressive tax hikes on American investors. So confidence, already very weak after the first true stock panic in 101 years , continued flagging on the Marxists' plans to steal ever more of the fruits of our labors.

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Friday, March 06, 2009

Jim Cramer's Latest Rant, Technical Analysis is Voodoo Mumbo Jumbo / Stock-Markets / Technical Analysis

By: Guy_Lerner

Jim Cramer is at it again -speaking before thinking and pontificating on a subject he knows very little about. Before we get to another Jim Cramer "moment" let me state that I have no personal axe to grind with him, and in fact, as a former contributor to TheStreet.com , I am indebted to Jim Cramer for giving me a start and some credibility in the financial publishing business. I don't know the man, and I doubt he is even aware of my existence. I think he is genuine about helping investors, but I guess his downfall is that he must be a entertainer first and an analyst second. It is a tough job.

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Friday, March 06, 2009

Stock Market is Now Fairly Valued But Watch Out Below / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations

By: Mike_Stathis

The stock market (the DJIA) is now very close to fair value based on my forecasts made in 2006. But fair value doesn't mean the market won't go any lower. It's likely to fall considerably lower. I'll explain below. I decided to do a Q&A format so I can cover more material in less time.

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Friday, March 06, 2009

Stock, Commodities, Futures and Forex Markets Analysis 6th March 2009 / Stock-Markets / Futures Trading

By: INO

The March NASDAQ 100 was lower overnight as it extends Thursday's decline. Stochastics and the RSI are oversold and are turning bullish hinting that a short-term low might be near. If however, March extends this month's decline, the 87% retracement level of the November-January rally crossing at 1052.76 is the next downside target. Closes above the 20-day moving average crossing at 1165.67 are needed to confirm that a short-term low has been posted.

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Friday, March 06, 2009

How To Tell a Good Forecast from a Bad One / Stock-Markets / Forecasts & Technical Analysis

By: EWI

Here's a forecast for you. Clear and direct. As quoted by a Reuters reporter in his January 15, 2009, article, entitled, "Global Lending Thaw May Yet Return to Deep Freeze."

"'This is a temporary respite and when it's over, the stock market will make new lows...,' says Robert Prechter, chief executive officer at research company Elliott Wave International in Gainesville, Georgia." [Reuters, 1/15/09]

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Friday, March 06, 2009

Stock Markets Go Cliff Diving Again / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: PaddyPowerTrader

It amazing what you can buy for a buck or two these days. The un-happy meal menu of stocks features Citibank at $1.02 and GM at $1.86 as the death spiral beckons. There are times when too much drink is simply not enough as the horror show continues unabated . Yesterday's laughable notion that the Chinese authorities are in control of events and would be able to turn their export driven economy around displayed the kind of naivety and misplaced optimism not seen since the Alamo. Where are they going to export to?

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Thursday, March 05, 2009

New Lows for the Stocks Bear Market! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Harry_Boxer

It was an extremely negative session and close for the market indices today. The day started out with a gap down, followed by an attempt to bounce early on. They rolled over and went lower all morning, backed and filled mid-day, rolled over in the afternoon again, made lower lows, and had a late sharp rally that just couldn't hold. That was followed by a drop to new lows for the entire move on the S&P 500 and Dow.

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Thursday, March 05, 2009

Bullish on Energy and Chip Stock ETFs / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds

By: Mike_Paulenoff

For better or worse, to participate in another potent recovery rally, our model trading portfolio positioned long in energy -- like the ProShares Ultra Oil & Gas ETF (NYSE: DIG) -- and in the semiconductor sectors, rather than in the major equity market ETFs, such as the SPY's, Q's, or DIA's.

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Thursday, March 05, 2009

Forecasting the Anatomy of the Stocks Bear Market Bottom / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Donald_W_Dony

Financial forecasts, whether they are fundamentally or technically driven, are a combination of probabilities and assumptions. For example, when an analyst indicates that the earnings for a company are expected to increase during the next quarter and the business is now trading below its intrinsic value, he is suggesting that the probability of a number of issues should positively affect the near-term earnings outlook for this organization.

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