Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, January 28, 2011
Making Money with Stocks: Two Big Things That Make All the Difference / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Mitchell Clark writes: Being long the stock market is certainly paying off. In fact, it’s been paying off quite handsomely since the financial crisis low set in March 2009. Of course, the stock market is still in recovery mode. Share prices still aren’t back to their highs set over a decade ago. They’re getting closer, but, really, we’re only talking about breaking even. If it weren’t for dividends, most equity investors would have been in the red over the last 10 years.
There are two extremely important things that make all the difference for the equity investor. Time and timing.
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Friday, January 28, 2011
The Fed Effect, Full Spectrum Dominance of Stock and Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Dual mandates of Maximum Employment and Price Stability are noble headline goals of the Federal Reserve.
Unfortunately, over a long period of time, the perceptibly infinite concentrations of power in concert with the short comings of human nature has inflated the Federal Reserve System into an all-powerful godlike entity to both fear, and worship.
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Thursday, January 27, 2011
Stock Market Top Ahead? These Two Stocks Say Yes / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Michael Lombardi writes: While I hate to be the bearer of bad news, something is suddenly happening in the luxury high-end consumer market that stock analysts and economists have failed to pick up on.
Coach, Inc. (NYSE/COH), a seller of high-end leather handbags and a stock I follow closely to monitor consumer spending patterns on luxury items, yesterday reported that it made $303 million in its latest quarter on $1.26 billion in sales. Same-store sales climbed 13% and the company announced a $1.5-billion stock buyback program.
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Thursday, January 27, 2011
Inflation to cool soon, Metal & Commodities to correct further / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
No. This is mere healthy pullback. This correction will drive out weak holders from the market, presenting fresh buying opportunity at lower levels.
I have not changed my long term outlook about Gold by one iota.
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Thursday, January 27, 2011
Stock Market Train Crash 2011, Continued / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Below are two charts showing the cyclical behaviour of the S&P 500 – over a +-9 month cycle and a +-4 year cycle. (source: DecisionPoint.com)Essentially, the way cycles are measured on a computer is that the computer looks for dips or valley bottoms and then looks to see whether there is any periodicity to those dips. 9 months and 48 months appear to be recurring periods of valleys. It is never “precisely” the same – but always +- a similar amount. That’s why the perpendicular dashed lines are not always equidistant.
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Thursday, January 27, 2011
Strength Continues as S&P Tags New 2-Year Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The stock market indices started off today with a gap up. They pulled back and tested support, and then took off, setting new S&P 500 highs just under 1300. Nasdaq 100 exploded to a high of 2321.22, and then pulled back in the morning, tested support successfully, and then ran up to the highs on several occasions. It backed and filled all day, but could not get through, and then rolled over in the last 10 minutes.
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Thursday, January 27, 2011
Fed A Non Event for Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Someone needs to enlighten me as to why many think the fed was going to begin speaking about, or hinting at, raising rates. The economy is the stock market. The stock market is rising, based on liquidity from the fed. Raise rates, and the liquidity supporting Qe2 goes away. So again, I don't get why people thought he would begin speaking about raising rates. It's not going to happen in 2011. If the stock market falls we go in to a double dip as the real economy is not recovering. It's supported by printed dollars.
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Wednesday, January 26, 2011
Why Investors Should Fear America's "Sputnik Moment" / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
Martin Hutchinson writes: In his State of the Union Address yesterday (Tuesday) evening, U.S. President Barack Obama said the United States is experiencing another "Sputnik moment."
For a free marketer like myself, that's deeply depressing rhetoric: It reflects the reality that President Obama believes that this crisis - like others that came before it - is best solved by still more government action.
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Tuesday, January 25, 2011
Markets Forecasts 2011 Follow Through - Economies And Equities / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
As usual, most of the first Journal issue of the year is given over to that annual exercise in masochism known as predictions for the year. We note several potential problems but, overall, we think the markets should be ok, and the sector we deal with will be more than ok.
There has been a small pullback to start the year as those who waiting for the next tax year to book profits have been putting stock in the market. We won’t be surprised if the pullback gets deeper before it’s over but we are not concerned about it.
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Tuesday, January 25, 2011
BubbleOmics Financial Markets and Economic Forecasts for the Year of the Rabbit / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
On 4th February 2011 the Year of The Tiger transforms to The Year of The Rabbit. If you believe in Chinese horoscopes the “Rabbit” is going to be a walk-in-the-park compared to all the excitement of the past two years.
http://www.theholidayspot.com/chinese_new_year/more_zodiacs/rabbit.htm
Of course, when you consult with soothsayers it’s a good idea to read around a bit and get a second opinion. I saw that I Ching says, “In the year of the Rabbit without concentration you will fail”. So the secret to success presumably, is “laid-back-concentration”?
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Tuesday, January 25, 2011
Why China Stocks Remain Tops in My View / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
George Leong writes: China is on the right path to developing into a rising world economic power as well as a basin for incredible and sustained growth across many sectors, including industrial, mining, energy, services and technology. The reality is that, if it is saleable and in demand, then you know that China will likely have the consumer market for it. China knows that and so do many of the other global multinational companies, including many in the United States.
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Tuesday, January 25, 2011
Investment Strategies 2011, What to Buy and Sell / Stock-Markets / Investing 2011
This week I am really delighted to be able to give you a condensed version of Gary Shilling's latest INSIGHT newsletter for your Outside the Box. Each month I really look forward to getting Gary's latest thoughts on the economy and investing. In 2009 in his forecast issue he suggested 13 investment ideas, all of which were profitable by the end of the year. Last year he gave us 16 which the large majority hit the mark. It is not unusual for Gary to give us over 75 charts and tables in his monthly letters along with his commentary, which makes his thinking unusually clear and accessible. Gary was among the first to point out the problems with the subprime market and predict the housing and credit crises. His track record in this decade has been quite good. I want to thank Gary and his associate Fred Rossi for allowing us to view this smaller version of his latest letter, where he gives us 18 investable strategies for 2011.
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Tuesday, January 25, 2011
Stock Market Holds Support...Bounces... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
The difference between a bull market and a bear market is action such as you saw today. The overall market holds up, while froth stocks continue to mostly head lower and continue their correction off their most recent tops. The market is bifurcated and that's never great news. The Dow is well out performing while the Nasdaq is well under performing. That's simply because the highest froth and P/E stocks live in the Nasdaq. That won't be changing any time soon, thus, the correction to the down side should remain mostly in technology. That doesn't mean the overall market won't take a hit as well but the biggest damage will be in the land of technology.
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Monday, January 24, 2011
Are Institutional Stock Market Investors Buying or Selling Now? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Today's chart is easy to understand. It is a daily graph showing the amount Institutional Investor Buying versus the daily amount of Institutional Investor Selling ... Accumulation versus Distribution.
Reading the chart is simple ... when the blue Buying line is above the red Selling line, then Institutional Investors are in Accumulation.
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Monday, January 24, 2011
Sell Covered Call Options to Benefit from Stock Market Pause / Stock-Markets / Options & Warrants
George Leong writes: The lack of any catalyst, along with nervousness regarding the banks, is helping to exert continued downward pressure on stocks. The seven-week winning streak by the S&P 500 is at risk. And, without leadership, markets may stall. Should this happen, write some covered calls to generate some premium income and reduce the average cost base of your positions. Be careful, as a market surge could take out your position at the strike price. Make sure you are comfortable with the strike price of your covered call.
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Monday, January 24, 2011
Stocks Bear Market Rally About to End Soon / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Mitchell Clark writes: This is a bear market rally and the party is going to end soon. Sorry.
I’m not super bearish by any means, but rather realistic as to how far the stock market has come since the March 2009 low and even since last summer. In order for us to have a real bull market, we need a catalyst and I don’t see one as of yet. That catalyst has to be some major innovation or technological breakthrough (like doing business over the Internet) and it has to be sustainable.
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Monday, January 24, 2011
Stock Market Breakdowns and Divergences Signal Trouble Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
This week was notable for the official state visit of the Chinese President, Hu Jintao, to American soil. I liken it to the landlord coming to visit his tenants. The visit lasted three days and I saw little in the way of news and comments among the usual suspects. In fact as Hu boarded the plane, these were the headlines on www.msn.com:
- 18 Commandments foe a Bangin Body
- The Surprising Secret for Increasing Passion
- Frigid Weather
- America’s Most Dangerous Jobs
- Taking Justice into Their Own Hands (Phoenix Jones considers himself a superhero)
Monday, January 24, 2011
Current State of the Stock and Commodity Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
I’ve been forecasting a Mid January top in the SP 500 (Us Markets) for multiple weeks now well in advance. My work had looked for 1285 as a minimal upside rally from the 1173 4th wave lows. The range was 1285-1315, we have been to 1296 but that pretty much should have capped off the rally. Here are some further thoughts:
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Monday, January 24, 2011
The Three Risk Factors Every Stock Market Investor Should Know / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Jon D. Markman writes: Last week had its ups and downs, but some winners emerged. Consumer staples and technology companies had strong showings. But in determining which companies will continue to succeed going forward, there are three important risk factors to consider.
Stocks reacted to the first big week of earnings with a surprisingly mixed-up performance, as large-cap value stocks rose 0.7% while mid-caps fell 0.7% and small-caps fell 2.4%.
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Monday, January 24, 2011
Global Stock Markets Over Extended and Running Out of Steam / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
First cab off the rank and probably one of the biggest bull markets ever experienced in a western equity market index over a two year period in the history of the stock market, would have to be the Canadian TSX Mining Index, which rose from 177 to 1568, a rise of 786% since November 2008.By comparison, the Sydney Metals and Minerals index rose from 370 in 1959 to around 5400 in January 1970 – a rise of 1360% over the last 11 years of Australia’s mining boom.
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