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Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 25, 2017

Stock Market 37-Week Cycle / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Ed_Carlson

While the Advance/Decline line (among other indicators) keeps us bullish in the long-term, short-term, the environment is not so sanguine for equities. Both the Hybrid Lindsay model and a 37 week cycle point to a high last week. We can’t help but wonder if this is the top forecast by Lindsay’s 15 year interval (see Market Update 7.10.17).

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 25, 2017

Stock Market and Gold Stocks Trend Forecast Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Brad_Gudgeon

When I made the charts below over the weekend, I had thought I made a mistake regarding the final top in the SPX being 7/20 and changed it to 7/24 based on the astro/cycle reading.  As it turns out, it looks as though 7/20 was that top (irregular) and we are not making that rare double irregular top I used to see in the 1980’s.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 24, 2017

3 Stocks Sectors That Will Win in The Fed’s Great Balance-Sheet Unwind / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: John_Mauldin

BY STEPHEN MCBRIDE : In its June meeting, the Fed pledged to begin the unwind of its $4.47 trillion balance sheet in September.

Each month, about $50 billion in Treasury bonds on the Fed’s ledger reach maturity. Then the Fed buys new bonds to replace them.

The first step in the “great unwind” will be to let a portion of these maturing bonds roll off the balance sheet.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 24, 2017

5 Reasons to Fear the Stock Market Fall / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Michael_Pento

This powerful and protracted bull market has made Cassandras look foolish for a long time. Those who went on record predicting that massive central bank manipulation of markets would not engender viable economic growth have been proven correct. However, these same individuals failed to fully anticipate the willingness of momentum-trading algorithms to take asset prices very far above the underlying level of economic growth.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 24, 2017

S&P 500 Pushing the Envelope - Stock Market Crash 2017 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Submissions

Rajveer Rawlin writes: Looking at the weekly close on the S and p 500 since 1950 its average close stands at 522 while the standard deviation stands at 606. One of the few markets in the world where the standard deviation exceeds the mean. This is also true with other US Indices like the Dow and the Nasdaq but is not the case with Emerging markets. This has been the case with US markets since 1998 when the FED intervened in the market to bail out the failing LTCM. Subsequent Fed intervention has caused the risk in the market to go up and not come down.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 24, 2017

Are US Stocks in a Bubble / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: The_Gold_Report

Rudi Fronk and Jim Anthony, the cofounders of Seabridge Gold, examine the role of risk when trying to differentiate between a bull market and a bubble.

As we have noted, there is a very important difference between a bull market and a bubble. Valuations are certainly one means of distinguishing them. In retrospect, we can recognize previous historic bubbles such as 1929 and 2000. When basic ratios such as Price-to-Sales and Tobins' Q have reached the levels that marked these bubbles, as they have, we can make a reasonable inference that another bubble has formed.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, July 24, 2017

Stock Market Still on Track / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX Long-term trend:  Uptrend continues with a serious loss of upside momentum in weekly indicators.

SPX Intermediate trend:  An ending diagonal appears to be in its last stage of completion (5).

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, July 22, 2017

Prepare for a 30-year Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market

By: Clif_Droke

Heading into 2017, Wall Street was excited by the prospect of a U.S. president who sympathized completely with business.  His promised tax and healthcare reforms were widely cheered by investors in the wake of his election.  Yet the Congress has so far failed to deliver on those promises and investors are no longer giving the Trump administration a free pass based on the assumption that tax breaks are on the way.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, July 22, 2017

Market Reality Is Going to Bite Back Soon / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Enda_Glynn

My Bias: short in wave (3) red.
Wave Structure: downward impulse wave
Long term wave count: lower in wave (3) red
Important risk events: EUR: Flash Manufacturing PMI, Flash Services PMI.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, July 21, 2017

Warning: The Fed Is Preparing to Crash the Financial System Again / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Graham_Summers

Very few investors caught on to it, but a few weeks ago the Fed made its single largest announcement in eight years.

First let me provide some context.

For eight years now, the Fed has propped up the stock market. In terms of formal monetary policy the Fed has:

·      Kept interest rates at ZERO for seven years making money virtually free and forcing investors into stocks and junk bonds in search of yield.

·      Engaged in over $3.5 TRILLION in Quantitative Easing or QE, providing an amount of liquidity to the US financial system that is greater than the GDP of Germany.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, July 21, 2017

XIV Hits All Time Highs As The VIX Sets Records That May Never Be Broken / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Submissions

By Mike Golembesky : In last week’s article, I had noted that as long as the XIV was able to hold the 83.93 level, I expected to see it hit the 87.76 – 91.53 zone into this week with the potential to see a move into the mid 90’s prior to making a large degree top.

On Tuesday of this week, the XIV closed at the upper end of this 91.53 zone and then on continued to extend higher into Wednesday, and as of Thursday’s close is now trading at the 93.83 level having so far been contained by the 238.2 Fibonacci extension level of the move up off of the 7/6 low.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, July 20, 2017

The 3 Best Asset Classes To Brace Your Portfolio For The Next Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2017

By: John_Mauldin

By Jake Weber : No one knows when the next financial crisis will hit.

The 2008 financial crisis originated in sub-prime mortgages. Rampant speculation in dot-com stocks triggered a market panic in the early 2000s.

What will spark the next crisis?

Fed Chair Janet Yellen said last month that she didn’t expect a financial crisis in our lifetimes…. Of course, later she downplayed her comments, but it doesn’t change the message.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, July 20, 2017

Stock Market Decline May Have Begun. Be Careful About Taking Short Positions / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

While the decline doesn’t look like much yet, some of you brave souls who agree with my Cycles and Elliott Wave analysis may wish to begin adding partial short positions.

With that recommendation I warn that there are no confirmations from either the VIX or the Hi-Lo Index. It appears that both of those indicators will be laggards at this juncture. In addition, there may be some blow-back from the algos’ automatic buy programs in an attempt to keep the markets elevated. The first support is the Cycle Top at 2463.58. Positions may be added as we see supports being broken.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 19, 2017

Nasdaq: Not Parabolic Yet / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Gary_Savage

At the bubble top in 2000 the Nasdaq was 156% above its 200 week moving average. Currently the Nasdaq is 29% above its 200 week moving average. Clearly not parabolic yet.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 19, 2017

Stock Market Forecast: OPEX Week July 2017 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Brad_Gudgeon

I have SPX falling to 2444/45 Wednesday and GDX down to near 21.90/.93.  By Friday SPX should be tagging 2479 and GDX to near 22.99/23.00. Past cycles and VOL cycle suggest an up open tomorrow that will be sold.  By 11:00 EDT we should see a sell-off to 2444/45 SPX.  Wisdom dictates late day buying (3:00) of XIV on the secondary low.  I like VXX or UVXY on the open Wednesday.  A 6% gain in UVXY is possible tomorrow into late in the day on the secondary low.
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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 19, 2017

DOW Drops 200 Points in Lock Step with Wave Count! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Enda_Glynn

My Bias: LONG
Wave Structure: rally in wave [C]
Long term wave count: wave [C] is underway, upside to above 136.00
Important risk events: JPY: Monetary Policy Statement. USD: Housing Starts, Building Permits, Crude Oil Inventories.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, July 19, 2017

We Will Face The Greatest Stock Market Turning Point In October- Beware! / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Harry_Dent

Normally the worst season for the stock market is between July and November, especially August through mid-October, with September the worst month for losses (on average, of course).

The first wave of the 1929 to 1932 crash ran from early September into mid-November, claiming a loss of 47% in just two and a half months.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 18, 2017

Banks Are “Pulling the Plug” On Another Debt Bubble, CRASH is Coming / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2017

By: Graham_Summers

The credit cycle is turning for the worse.

Delinquency rates are creeping up in the consumer loan and commercial/industrial loan space. This is a clear signal that both the consumer and the corporate sectors of the economy are beginning to run out of steam.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 18, 2017

Nasdaq: Third Times a Charm? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Gary_Savage

 This is the Nasdaq's third attempt to break out of the bull market channel. Once it holds we should shift into a higher gear as the bubble phase progresses.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, July 18, 2017

Calling for Stock Market Top Within The Next Three Weeks / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017

By: Avi_Gilburt

Last week, I noted to members: "As long as last week’s low is not broken, the market still has a set up in place to rally up towards the 2500SPX region."

And, as we saw, the market has rallied up towards our long-term target region. The high we struck on Friday is now only 24 points from the bottom of our long-term target box, which we set several years ago.

Since bottoming back in February of 2016, the S&P500 has rallied 38%. That is one of the best runs in the market’s history. But, were you prepared for it?

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