Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, March 04, 2012
One Stock Market Where Sentiment is Bad... And Opportunity is Great / Stock-Markets / India
Sunday, March 04, 2012
Stock Market Volatility Bounces Bottom Awaiting Bad News or Selling to Strike! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Over the past 5 months we have seen volatility steadily decline as stocks and commodities rise in value. The 65% drop in the volatility index is now trading at a level which has triggered many selloffs in the stock market over the years as investors become more and more comfortable and greedy with rising stock prices.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 04, 2012
Broad Market Recap for Currencies, Metals and Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
The US dollar index staged a bullish engulfing candle last week putting in a bounce off the 50% retracement level and then pushed upwards in chart action staging an advance that pushed gold and silver lower.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 04, 2012
Stock Market Ending an Diagonal Top? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.
SPX: Intermediate trend - The intermediate uptrend is still intact, but a short-term top is forming.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 04, 2012
S&P 1370 Still too tough to Break, Time for Selling? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
The bulls have worked long and hard to get this market to break out lover the current big resistance level at S&P 500 1370, but after many attempts over the past several days, it may be best if they give up their efforts and allow the markets to sell some to allow things to unwind far more deeply on those long overbought oscillators. Stocks such as Apple Inc. (AAPL) and Priceline.com Incorporated (PCLN) could use a rest, and if they get it, this would allow the market to pull back and take the necessary pause to refresh. The bulls would actually be best served if they let this take place as it would offer up a far better buying juncture down the road. A few weeks, or months, of slight downward action would really get the job done, but we can't be sure this is about to take place, although there are subtle hints. There are somewhat more labored MACD's on the daily index charts, some leaders in various sectors are starting to lose their 50-day exponential moving averages, which is a real change of trend that hasn't happened in many months, and we are seeing a few more economic reports come in below expectations lately, this week to be exact, and this could help the bears get a bit more aggressive and tell the bulls to step back.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 04, 2012
Stock Market Uptrend Top for Potential Extension / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
A consolidation week for the major US indices, as the SPX traded in another narrow range: 1355-1378, but made another new uptrend high. For the week the SPX/DOW were mixed, but the NDX/NAZ were +0.7%. Asian markets gained 0.6%, European markets gained 0.7%, but the DJ World index was -0.1%. Economic reports for the week were mixed: 6 Up and 6 Down. On the downtick: durable goods orders, Case-Shiller, personal income, ISM manufacturing, construction spending and investor sentiment. On the uptick: pending home sales, consumer confidence, Q4 GDP, the Chicago PMI, personal spending, and the WLEI. Overall it was a fairly quiet trendless week after wednesday’s open. Next week: the monthly Payrolls report, Consumer credit and ISM services.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 03, 2012
Groundhog Day Meets the Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Another day, another week passed and it feels like we are all living a dream and playing the role Bill Murray did in the movie Groundhog Day. Virtually the past week felt like February 2nd.
Still there were some trades around for those traders that were keeping in touch with the markets. The obvious ones were gold and silver.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 03, 2012
DOW Ending Diagonal Pattern, Stock Market to Head Sharply Lower / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
DOW Short Term Forecast Update
Many investors have been frustrated with the choppy action on the DOW, so we have provided a chart to illustrate our forecast on the expected price action. This corrective choppy action is an ending diagonal pattern which is a terminal pattern. We should see further downside below the lower trendline with a a sharp decline to at least the starting point of the ED pattern at 12550. We should expect to see a brief rally at this level before further downside.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 03, 2012
Stock Market Dismisses Doom and Points to the Road to Economic Recovery / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Over the last 11 weeks, investors have enjoyed a continuing rising trend in equity markets. If the news pointed to rising tensions in the Middle East, higher cost at the gas pump, debt levels around the world that nations could not sustain, they were all dismissed. The road to "recovery" has spoken in "the markets".
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 02, 2012
Gaining From Gargantua Until it Collapses / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
“I’d rather write about laughing than crying. For laughter makes men human and courageous.”
La vie de Gargantua et de Pantagruel
Francois Rabelais
There is indeed a Gargantuan Giant growing in the International Economy and Markets. It is growing, and will continue to grow, until it collapses, inevitably.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 02, 2012
Why is the Financial World So Messed Up? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Why is the financial world so messed up? Because it’s run by Central Bankers. And those folks view money very differently from the businesspeople who actually create businesses, jobs, and wealth.
For your average Central Banker, the professional relationship between money and risk is a distant one. This has much to do with the fact that your average Central Banker is an academic, someone whose income has been fixed based on his or her status at a particular academic institution (tenure vs. non-tenured).
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 02, 2012
Will the Stock Market Ever Correct / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
That seems to be the question that everyone has been asking themselves for two months now. Analysts have been trying to pick a top in this market for weeks. All the while I've been telling, actually begging, people not to sell short. Until the dollar puts in an intermediate bottom there is just little chance that the stock market is going to suffer any meaningful correction.
There was the possibility that occurred in early February as the dollar rallied enough to form a weekly swing. However that rally quickly failed and rolled over into another left translated cycle. That gave the market enough impetus to push through the July and May 2011 highs.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 01, 2012
The Most Important Investment You Can Make Right Now / Stock-Markets / Investing 2012
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: I was taken aback by the question: "What is the single most important investment I can make right now?"
Not by the question itself - I get that one a lot.
But because of who was asking it and what they excluded.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 29, 2012
Dow Closed Above 13000: What Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Kerri Shannon writes: he Dow Jones Industrial Average closed above 13000 yesterday (Tuesday) for the first time since May 19, 2008, as investors remain optimistic amid global economic unease.
The Dow gained 0.18%, or 23.61 points, to close just above the mark at 13005.12.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, February 29, 2012
Stock Market Breadth Aligns With Pullback Scenario / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Yesterday, we noted some bad news would probably be needed to tip the scales in this market. This morning’s economic data fits the “bad news” bill. From Reuters:
Read full article... Read full article...New orders for long-lasting manufactured goods fell in January by the most in three years as demand slumped across the board, suggesting the economy started the year on weaker footing than expected. Durable goods orders dropped 4.0 percent, the biggest decline since January 2009 when the country was still mired in a deep recession, according to Commerce Department data on Tuesday.
Tuesday, February 28, 2012
MF Global Crime, Comedy and the Cover-Up / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2012
MF Global's October 2011 bankruptcy was the eighth largest bankruptcy by assets in the United States. James Giddens, the bankruptcy trustee, issued a press release on February 6 stating that his investigation found that money from customer accounts that was supposed to be segregated was improperly used to fund MF Global's daily activities. Improper transfers of customer money occurred regularly in amounts under $50 million before MF Global's bankruptcy. MF Global wasn't caught, because it put the money back before customers knew it was missing.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 28, 2012
Gold Stocks and U.S. Dollar What To Expect Next / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
This morning we are seeing the US Dollar index move higher retesting a short term breakdown resistance level. What this means is that the dollar fell below support and is not slowing drifting back up to test the breakdown level. As we all know once a support level is broken it then becomes resistance. So if that holds true with the current move in the dollar we should see stocks and commodities find a short term bottom and continue higher today or tomorrow from the looks of things.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 27, 2012
Stock Market Short-term Top Forming / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the steep correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.
SPX: Intermediate trend - The intermediate uptrend is still intact, but a short-term top is forming.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 27, 2012
2012 & Beyond: Pain at the Pump is Here to Stay, But it Won't Doom the Economy / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012
Monday, February 27, 2012
The Irrelevant Dow Industrials Stock Index? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012
With the ‘breaking news’ on Tuesday morning being the fact that the Dow Jones Industrials had broken 13,000 for the first time since 2008, the immediate spin from the majority of the mainstream press revolved around ‘see, its all better now’. Their evidence for this ridiculous statement? The performance of 30 stocks and an index that changes more than a flip-flopping politician during campaign season.
Read full article... Read full article...