Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, April 08, 2010
Mario's Market Takes: The New Reality Random Nightmare / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
I have kept quiet for well over a week watching the threat of explosive upside frenzy boil and boil, listening to practically every very respected primary advisor I am in touch with suggest this explosive upside rally is very much possibly imminent..oh I love the wording. From 60 year cycles to "this is the inflationary response" which even I have said, to sneaky slow bull markets, the markets are only going up driven by obvious sovereign level strategy that the stock markets will indeed be the root of the recovery.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 08, 2010
New Stock Sector Leadership Ahead / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
We just added new tools to analyze sector allocation on our U.S. Economics Monthly research. As of March 2010, the four sectors with highest momentums are consumer discretionary, industrials, technology and financials but that last one is starting to lose some steam (1 to 4). Can we expect these market outperformers to keep being the winners of the next 12 months? What is history telling us?
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Thursday, April 08, 2010
Predicting All Major Stock Market Crashes Since 1965! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Discovery
We unexpectedly discovered two sets of conditions preceding every major S&P 500 peak since 1965! We coined such signal the imminent Credit Complacency Crash - CCC. When these two sets occur, it always (so far) caused major stock market crashes. We define a crash as a decline of more than -15%.
Thursday, April 08, 2010
Stock Market Bullish Pullback Starting... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
I truly believe that this market is only pulling back and setting up again for further gains. The selling should be sporadic. Nothing severe at all. So many stocks hit hugely overbought levels but for the first time many of them we're starting to flash negative divergences on their daily charts. When you add in negative divergences on many oscillators such as RSI, MACD and stochastic's, it's time to relax, take a deep breath and not feel any urgency to be buying any longer.
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Thursday, April 08, 2010
Stocks Bear Market Rally Update, Dissent with Authority / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
One of the most essential elements present at the very founding of America was that of well-reasoned and persistent dissent.
A healthy and aggressive dissent against proclamations of those in authority often results in clearer perspectives on matters of substantial import.
Wednesday, April 07, 2010
Has the Wall Street Journal Lost its Mind? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
In a recent piece from the Wall Street Journal titled “Stocks' Parallel Universe,” columnist Richard Barley paints a relatively rosy picture for an otherwise unexciting stock market. Using recent data and historical examples, Barley attempts to solidify the “soaring” (which is 5.2% year to date) returns of the stock market as a function of an improving economy and stock market. In our humble opinion, his analysis couldn't be further from the truth.
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Wednesday, April 07, 2010
Stock Market More and More Chum / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The market can not blast higher but has been able to grind higher. There is a reason for this. When markets get full or mature short term only, they need some selling to unwind these overbought conditions. The bull keeps it grinding higher and we have been great beneficiaries of this, but the reality is, there can be no real blast off from here without some real selling first. You can feel the "fullness" of this market. It tried to overcome early morning selling and did its usual good job of doing so but all day was spent in grind mode. The rubber band will snap.
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Tuesday, April 06, 2010
Stock Market Toppy Tuesday, LA City Runs Out of Money on June 30th? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Is Los Angeles unique or just the first?
City Controller Wendy Greuel declared an "urgent financial crisis" and said the only way to continue paying bills in the short term was to begin to drain the city’s already limited emergency reserve. Greuel said the city would need to pull money from its $191 million in reserve funds immediately to pay its bills next month. She expects the city to be out of money, and probably in the red, by June 30. Some officials fear that using that money would not only leave the city without reserves in case of emergencies, it would also probably trigger another downgrade in its Wall Street credit ratings.
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Tuesday, April 06, 2010
Marc Faber Says Don't Buy Stocks, Euro Oversold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Marc Faber Again says Don't Buy Stocks, Says Equities to end lower this year, Does not expect Stocks to make new highs, and expects a 20% correction.
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Tuesday, April 06, 2010
Monday Stock Market Movement - Can We Go It Alone / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
It’s lonely out there in Stock Land today.Everybody’s closed today except Japan and they are so thrilled with 94.5 Yen to the dollar that you can’t figure anything out by watching their market add another 53 points this morning to finish the day at 11,339 but it was well off the gap up open at 11,400. As I mentioned in the Weekend Wrap-Up, where we discussed our Super-Secret Strategy for making money off this nonsense - just because a rally is totally propped up BS doesn’t mean it isn’t, technically, a rally - does it?
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Tuesday, April 06, 2010
Stocks Valuations and Market Psychology, Greed is the Winner, Fear is Waiting / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
One of the best newsletters that I have read recently is the Greed and Fear, edited by Chris Wood. Remarkable for its clarity and yet leaving enough material for the analyst to make his own calls.
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Tuesday, April 06, 2010
Diversify and Protect Against Any “ATION” / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
Much is said about how to protect against a rising tide of either inflation or deflation or hyper of either or stagflation.Most of the time a one way solution is offered supporting the views of a certain writer/analyst/economist for various reasons.
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Monday, April 05, 2010
Why the Stocks Bulls Can Stand Strong at Home and Overseas / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Jon D. Markman writes: Stocks enjoyed another plus week, closing one of the better Marches of the past 80 years. It seems like ages since volatility has been this low, and there have been many complaints about complacency and listlessness. Yet those concerns may be misplaced if indeed we are enjoying the second leg of a normal bull cycle. Low volatility in a bearish phase does suggest complacency, to be sure, but in a bullish phase it serves more to keep expectations in check.
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Monday, April 05, 2010
What to Expect in April for Stocks & Precious Metals / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
I hope everyone had a great weekend and Easter Holiday!
This is quick update as its Easter Sunday and it’s a time to relax with the family
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Monday, April 05, 2010
BlackRock's Bob Doll: "Long Term Path of Least Resistance for Stocks Continues To Be Up" / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Bob Doll, Vice Chairman of BlackRock (BLK) appeared at CNBC on March 29 sharing his latest views with Ken Langone.
BlackRock (BLK) became the largest money manager in the world last December after acquiring Barclays Global Investors, and now has about $3.35 trillion asset under management.
Monday, April 05, 2010
Stocks Bucking Bronco Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
What a crazy week!
The markets were bucking like a bronco but were they trying to throw off the shorts prior to a move back down or trying to flush out the weak-handed longs prior to a big breakout to new levels? After gapping open to 10,900 on Monday morning we went up to 10,950, down to 10,830 and back to 10,950 - all to finish the week at 10,927, which is up 39 points since March 23rd so don’t tell me we’re wasting out time as that’s 5 points a day baby (if we round up).
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Monday, April 05, 2010
Stock Market Overbought, and at Resistance! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
S&P has been hanging in there near resistance. That should be quite frustrating to bears and out-of-position bulls.
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Sunday, April 04, 2010
Economic Recovery Follows Stealth Stocks Bull Market, BlogosFear Cry's Manipulated Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
The economic recovery continues to manifest itself in the real world as this week both UK GDP was revised higher to 0.4% for Q4 2009 and Fridays U.S. Jobs reported 162k of new Jobs added to the economy, the economic recovery has long since been led by the stocks stealth bull market that has risen by more than 70% since the March 2009 low.
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Sunday, April 04, 2010
Financial Manipulation on Wall Street: An Economy run on Smoke and Mirrors / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
We have an economy run on smoke and mirrors, based on the manipulation of markets. That was accomplished via the executive order signed by President Ronald Reagan in 1988 in the aftermath of the stock market collapse of October 19, 1987, known as the “President’s Working Group on Financial markets.” This order intended to be implemented during emergencies has been used to manipulate markets worldwide 24/7.
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Sunday, April 04, 2010
Stock Market Investor Sentiment, A Different Look / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
Very often when looking at sentiment indicators, many market practitioners view the data as an all or nothing phenomenon. Either we are all in or too extreme in our opinions, and it is in those extremes that market turning points occur. That is how it is suppose to work. But as we have found out in 2009 (like in 1995 and 2003), prices can continue meaningfully higher despite extreme readings in the indicators. It should be obvious that looking for extremes to call turning points in the markets doesn't work all the time.
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