Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, June 11, 2014
Stock Market Summer Sell-off Scenario / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Clif_Droke
One of the most salient features of the market environment of recent months is the evolution of investor psychology. From March through May, stocks experienced a classic internal correction in which the most overbought and overvalued stocks declined while fairly valued large caps remained buoyant. The rationale behind this strategy was the determination of money managers not to give back the big gains from the 2013 rally. Instead of selling everything they simply moved money out of last year’s top-performing (but overvalued) small caps and moved money into stocks sporting lower P/E ratios and higher dividend yields. Consequently, the benchmark S&P 500 large cap index held up well throughout the March-May correction, as did the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
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Tuesday, June 10, 2014
Wall Street Yield Trade: Another Explanation For Low Inflation / Stock-Markets / Inflation
By: EconMatters
In an unprecedented move to fight off the threat of deflation, ECB cut its main interest rate to near zero at 0.15%, and its interest rate on deposits to a negative 0.1% for the first time. This means ECB will now be charging banks 0.1% to hold their reserves. ECB hopes these aggressive measures would spur banks to ramp up lending, and also weaken the euro. France has long been arguing that high euro exchange rate is holding back the economic recovery in the Euro Zone.
Tuesday, June 10, 2014
Stock Market S&P 500 Ninth Record Close in Eleven Sessions / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: With no economic news to distract, the market’s levitation continued, although at a reduced pace. The S&P 500 spent the day in a relatively narrow trading range between its late morning high and afternoon low (+0.31% and -0.12%). How narrow? The 0.43% intraday range was at the 11th percentile of the 109 market days thus far in 2014. The index closed with a 0.09% gain, modest — but this was the ninth record close in eleven sessions.
Tuesday, June 10, 2014
The Debt Bubble is Back / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: John_Rubino
For all those analysts (including this one) who thought the debt binge of the previous decade marked end of the Age of Leverage, well, not so fast. It turns out that memories are short and government printing presses are powerful, and this combination has turned the "Great Deleveraging" into a minor speed bump on the road to something even more extreme. As the following chart illustrates, the growth in total US debt flattened in 2009 and 2010, with government borrowing more-or-less offsetting a decrease in consumer and business loans. But now the trend is once again onward and upward across the board.
Tuesday, June 10, 2014
Good Reason for Stock Market Doom and Gloom / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Casey_Research
By Doug French, Contributing Editor
Predicting the future, like getting old, ain’t for sissies. Questioning the bull market is even more treacherous.
Howard Gold, writing for MarketWatch, makes fun of seers who made what he calls “the four worst predictions to gain traction over the past few years.”
Tuesday, June 10, 2014
Warehouse “Rats” Could Ignite Chinese Credit Crisis / Stock-Markets / China Credit Crisis
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes: Everyone knows that China is the world’s largest consumer of several commodities, including copper, iron ore, and aluminum.
Everyone knows the Chinese have been stockpiling tons of these same commodities.
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Monday, June 09, 2014
Financial Immolation - May 2014 - Crematorium / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Fred_Sheehan
"Groups of women were crushing each other..., a real mob, more brutal for covetousness....the furnace-like heat with which the shop was ablaze came above all from the selling, from the bustle at the counters... There was the continuous roar of the machine at work, of customers crowding into the departments, dazzled by the merchandise and then propelled towards the cash-desk. And it was all regulated and organized with the remorselessness of a machine: the vast horde of women were as if caught in the wheels of an inevitable force." ~ Émile Zola: The Ladies' Paradise (1883)
Monday, June 09, 2014
Stock Market Indices At New Record Highs - Will Uptrend Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion speculative long positions are still favored (with stop-loss at 1,910, S&P 500 index).
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is bullish:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: bullish Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
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Monday, June 09, 2014
Stock Market at Cycle Cluster Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - May be tracing out an ending diagonal pattern.
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Sunday, June 08, 2014
Stock Market Dow Trend Forecast Summer 2014 Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This video concludes in a detailed trend forecast for the Dow Jones Stock Index into August 2014
This video based on the recent article http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article45917.html
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Saturday, June 07, 2014
Stocks Bull Market 63 Months Old / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Tony_Caldaro
Another good week for stocks. The third week in a row the market has gained about 1%. The market displayed some choppiness early in the week, dealing with the OEW 1929 pivot. But then cleared it on Thursday, as it made new all time highs every day again except Tuesday. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 1.25%, the NDX/NAZ gained 1.75% and the DJ World index gained 1.35%. Economic reports for the week were mixed. On the uptick: ISM manufacturing/services, construction spending, factory orders, auto sales and consumer credit. On the downtick: the ADP, monthly payrolls, investor sentiment, the M1-multiplier, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims and the trade balance worsened. Next week we get reports on Retail sales, Export/Import prices and the PPI.
Saturday, June 07, 2014
U.S. Jobs....Higher Stock Prices....Froth and Overbought... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
This morning we had to deal with the monthly Jobs Report. The market was nervous since the ADP Jobs Report on Wednesday came in well below expectations. Would we meet with the same disappointment? Not at all. The number came in Goldilocks again. Not too hot and not too cold. We also saw wages rise nicely. The result was another up day for the averages. With this up day we are now extremely overbought on all the short-term sixty minute-charts. That said, we were also extremely overbought on those same averages coming in to today's action, and that certainly didn't stop the market from moving higher. Overbought is staying that way for now.
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Saturday, June 07, 2014
Stock Market Breaking Bad / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jesse
Non-Farm Payrolls came in a tad to the low side, but close enough to be considered 'in-line.'
Stocks continued to romp higher. The Russell 2000 and the broader market continue to lag a bit, but has finally returned to even money for the year. Chart below.
Saturday, June 07, 2014
The Truth About the U.S. Jobs Report and the Economy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Sy_Harding
Let’s see now.
Last week, the Commerce Department unexpectedly revised first quarter GDP growth down to negative, -1.0%. The Fed reported its National Business Activity Index, a weighted average of 85 economic indicators the Fed believes are important, fell from +.34 in March to -.32 in April. The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence report showed that those who plan to buy a home in the next six months declined to 4.9%, its lowest level in 21 months, and those who plan to buy major appliances fell to its lowest level since 2011.
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Friday, June 06, 2014
Stock Market Pop-n-drop Friday? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX is against the hourly Cycle Top and upper trendline o fits Broadening Top formation. It may have completed a Micro Wave [3] of Sub-Minuette Wave v yesterday. One more surge to go.
My Model suggests resistance at 1943.00, but Wave relationships suggest a pop to 1951.00. It could be anyone’s guess.
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Friday, June 06, 2014
Non-Farm Payrolls Friday – Who Needs to Work When the Market Makes 30%? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Is there any point to working?
For Americans, it's just the time we waste while waiting to consume. As more and more of our jobs are taken over by machines – why are we still hung up on working?
There is the small problem of distributing the wealth but, once our bosses let go of the idea of needing us to show up just to get paycheck – I think we can get our economy back on track.
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Friday, June 06, 2014
Hammering the ECONOMY, Unfolding Constitutional Crisis, European Banks Still in DEEP Trouble / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Ty_Andros
It's been a wild and wooly week for students of the economy and politics. A lot of significant developments on a number of subjects took place: ALL OF THEM NEGATIVE for the private sector and public. I will be covering a number of subjects in this week's Weekly Wrap:
- Hammering the ECONOMY
- Constitutional crisis Unfolding
- European banks still in DEEP trouble and economies as well.
- Beware Suppressed Volatility
- ECB meeting: NO SURPRISES - A "Let them eat cake" moment for the Eurozone
Read full article... Read full article..."Government is not reason, it is not eloquence, it is force, like fire it is a dangerous servant, and a fearful master." - George Washington
Friday, June 06, 2014
Stocks Bull Markets - Global Economic Coniditons are Just Right! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Puru_Saxena
BIG PICTURE - The economies of the developed world are improving; their housing markets are on the rebound and unemployment rates are sliding. On the monetary front, central banks remain accommodative, interest rates are at historic lows and the yield curve is steep. Furthermore, inflationary pressures remain subdued in the vast majority of the developed nations; thereby exerting downward pressure on long dated interest rates.
Admittedly, the world's economy is notgrowing at breakneck speed and many investors are viewing this as a bad omen for the stock market. However, as we have explained previously, as an investor, you do not want the economy to expand at torrid pace; and in the current landscape, bad news is good news!
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Thursday, June 05, 2014
Is Your Investment Portfolio a House of Cards? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Axel_Merk
The S&P 500 continues to hit new all time highs, but is your portfolio built on a house of cards? The politics to kick the proverbial can down the road may unleash dynamics that could be hazardous to your wealth.
The one thing politicians throughout the world have in common is that they rarely ever blame themselves. They tend to diffuse responsibility or place blame on groups such as political opponents, the wealthy, or foreigners.
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Thursday, June 05, 2014
Stock Market - Is Now the Time to Go To Cash? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Christopher_Quigley
Many commentators are asking whether this market is showing real signs of exhaustion, suggesting that it is time to get out, go to cash, and wait for a serious correction or collapse to jump back in.
To try to answer this question let us look at the situation from a more distant perspective than the standard one. Accordingly, I am going to adopt a 6 year view using the following charts set out below: 1. The Dow Transports, 2. The Dow Industrials, 3. The S & P 500, 4. The NASDAQ 100, 5. The Russell 2000 (small cap. stocks: weekly), The Russell 2000 (small cap. stocks: daily), 7. The NYSE A/D Line and 8. The index of the percentage of stocks above their 200 DMA.
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