Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, November 17, 2009
Goldman Sachs Betting on Derivatives Collapse Sparked Financial Crash? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Graham_Summers
Earlier this month, I detailed 25 US commercial banks that had trillions (with a “T”) of dollars’ worth of exposure to derivatives on their balance sheets. At the time, I stated that even if 4% of the notional value of these derivatives was “at risk” and only 10% of that 4% went bad, that you would wipe out the total equity at the five large US banks.
Tuesday, November 17, 2009
Stock Market Starts the Week with a Sharp Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Harry_Boxer
The markets were up again in a very sharp rally to start the week. The day started out with a gap up and a very strong rally that took them to new 2009 highs. They then backed and filled for a few hours and then made nominal new highs above that, reaching 1814 and change on the Nasdaq 100 and close to 1114 on the S&P 500. Then a quick sharp sell off ensued, but in the last 20 minutes they snapped back to close positive.
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Tuesday, November 17, 2009
Stock Market Driving Us All Nuts... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Jack_Steiman
You don't want to short a market in a confirmed up trend. At least not very often. I mean, why go against the trend in place. For the most part, this will just bring about bad results. On the other hand, as we trade closer to the top of the range, the market doesn't seem to want to explode up and out either. You do have to hand it to the bulls overall though. Even though they can't seem to break away from S&P 500 1100, they are keeping the pressure on the bears seemingly day after day. Like a boxer who doesn't have the power to knock out his opponent but who wins the fight by jabbing his opponent in to submission.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, November 16, 2009
Dow Trading Triggers Quick Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Simon asks : > Dow hit 10425, what's next ?
Its not my intention to turn The Market Oracle into a short-term trading signals site. However as you asked -
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Monday, November 16, 2009
Financial Markets Full Steam Ahead on Near Zero Interest Rates / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Paul_J_Nolte
Damn the torpedoes and full speed ahead! At least that seems to be the reaction of the financial markets to not only the good news, but the bad as well. The G20 over the past weekend reiterated the comments from the US Federal Reserve that low (or zero) interest rates will be the order of the day until further notice – meaning it will not pay to keep money in short-term instruments and in order to get any return, investors will need to accept risk.
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Monday, November 16, 2009
Dow and S&P Major Stock Market Indices Collide / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: INO
On Wednesday, 11/11/09, the Dow Jones Industrial Index rallied to a 50% retracement level based on MarketClub's Fibonacci measuring tool. The action today indicates that this level is very important and that it could be an important top for this market.
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Sunday, November 15, 2009
Stock Market Failed Bearish Technical Setups May Be Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Steven_Vincent
"When a market doesn't do what it should do when it should do it then it may be about to do the exact opposite in a big way".
In spite of a slew of ostensibly bearish technical setups, the equities markets have refused to sell off. These technical failures may have setup a potentially powerful bullish resolution.
Sunday, November 15, 2009
Stock Market Trend Too Uncertain to Call / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Peter_Navarro
Two weeks ago I called a market top, and the market proceeded to move up. In response, I covered my net short positions and remain in cash. I continue to ponder whether I was too early in my call or flat-out wrong.
To ponder this with you, some first principles here: (1) Speculate, never gamble; (2) the stock market is a leading indicator of the economy; (3) Use both technical and fundamental analysis to identify the trend of the market, a sector, or a stock.
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Sunday, November 15, 2009
Stock Market Smart Money Turning Bearish / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
By: Guy_Lerner
After 15 weeks of being neutral, the "smart money" indicator has turned towards a more bearish reading. The "dumb money" indicator remains in the extreme bullish zone. While not there yet, the indicators are heading in the direction that one would expect to see at a market top.
For now, I will continue to state what I have been stating for 5 weeks as it has served us well in defining the price action seen in the major market indices:
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Sunday, November 15, 2009
Stocks Bull Market Swing Juncture? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Nadeem_Walayat
In Britain the big story of the week was concerning Gordon Browns spelling mistakes riddled condolence letter to the mother of a soldier killed in Afghanistan which was publicised vocally by the Sun newspaper and Sky News. However the real story behind this is the brewing war between the mainstream media represented by the likes of Rupert Murdoch's News International and the internet represented by Google which allows access to a near infinite alternative sources of information.
Saturday, November 14, 2009
Financial System Designed Almost Exclusively to Benefit the Rich / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Bob_Chapman
The American journey that began on 8/15/71 is going to end over the next several years. The problems that have manifested themselves over the past few years signal the final stages of a destructive process that has stifled production and innovation and encouraged fraud in Wall Street and banking. The injection of money and credit into the financial system via the Fed and the Treasury has almost exclusively benefited the wealthy financial sector and has spread only crumbs to American citizens.
Saturday, November 14, 2009
Stock Market S&P500 Knocking at the 1100-1007 Door / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Piazzi
We expected a bounce, and we got a bounce, but, looking at a larger frame, what I see is that despite all the drama and the angst, S&P has done absolutely nothing for weeks
Saturday, November 14, 2009
Stock Market Rally is Worth Shorting Here / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Alistair_Gilbert
The S&P has been taking no hostages from the onslaught of Bears who have tried shorting it as it has climbed the wall of worry and advanced some 65% since the March lows. So is it worth shorting here at 1095? I am going to present here my evidence as to why I think that it is worth shorting here.
Saturday, November 14, 2009
Stock Market Six Week Lateral Base In Place...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Jack_Steiman
We get towards the top of our 6-week lateral bases and it looks like we'll finally break out. It's the exact same story as when we get towards the bottom of our existing bases. Breakdown looks inevitable. It gets very emotional at both ends because the consequences of a breakout or breakdown are large. The market is likely to have quite a large move once we get a decisive break and thus the emotions get intense. The only problem is, neither side is getting what they want, and there's a good reason for that. There is a lot of good news from both the economic and earnings front. That's the bullish case.
Saturday, November 14, 2009
Manic-depressive Stock Market Inviting a Black Swan Event? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Guess Where Our Economic Stimulus Money is Going
The trade deficit in the U.S. widened in September by the most in a decade, reflecting rising demand for imported oil and automobiles as the economy rebounded from the worst recession since the 1930s.
Friday, November 13, 2009
Financial Asset Bubble Spotting Isn’t Hard: But Whose Job Is It? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: Andrew_Butter
There is no dispute about what happened in USA over the past few years:
1: There was a Tech Bubble – It popped (that caused economic damage).
2: There was a Housing Bubble – It popped (that caused economic damage)
Friday, November 13, 2009
Protect and Profit Before the Coming Financial and Economic Storm / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: DeepCaster_LLC
The “full force of the economic crisis will hit us next year… The problem will get bigger before things can get better…”
Angela Merkel, German Chancellor, November 11, 2009
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Friday, November 13, 2009
If Stocks Tank, Shouldn't Gold Soar? / Stock-Markets / Gold & Silver 2009
By: EWI
The following article is provided courtesy of Elliott Wave International (EWI). For more insights that challenge conventional financial wisdom, download EWI’s free 118-page Independent Investor eBook.
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Friday, November 13, 2009
SPX Stock Market Pullback to Drag Commodity Stocks Lower / Stock-Markets / Gold & Silver Stocks
By: Zeal_LLC
With the US stock markets very overextended technically, my recent research has focused on this development’s implications. Several weeks ago I outlined the extremely overbought conditions in the flagship S&P 500 stock index (SPX). Last week I explored how the overdue SPX pullback is even likely to spill over into the precious-metals stocks, dragging them down.
Friday, November 13, 2009
Have the Dow and S&P500 Reached a Major Turning Point? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: INO
On Wednesday, 11/11/09, the Dow Jones Industrial Index rallied to a 50% retracement level based on MarketClub's Fibonacci measuring tool. The action today indicates that this level is very important and that it could be an important top for this market.