Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Sunday, April 05, 2009
Stock Market Investors Buoyed By Positive G20 Global Economy Developments / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Investors' mood benefited last week from the potentially positive implications for the global economy emanating from the London G20 meeting, and the Financial Accounting Standards Board's decision to relax mark-to-market accounting rules. And the previous week's announcement of the Geithner plan to remove toxic assets from the balance sheets of banks was also still seen as a tailwind for stock markets.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 04, 2009
Stocks Bear Market and Dow Theory Update / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The primary bearish trend change that occurred on November 21, 2007 still remains intact in accordance with classical Dow theory. However, in accordance with my cycles work the March low was indeed expected and my model immediately triggered a short-term buy signal that quickly evolved to the point at which an intermediate-term buy signal was also triggered. Thus, we have a cyclical advance within the context of an ongoing primary bear market.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 04, 2009
Stock Market Rally Some Room to Extend Further / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
All day long on Friday indexes labored as if in a topping process. That would have been no surprise, since my model had been saying all along that the top of this rally would be 840-850 in the SPX and 1300-1315 in the NDX. I had given up earlier this week on the indexes achieving their target, although a close call. Today it achieved its target.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 04, 2009
Dow Jones the Manipulated Stock Market Index / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
What About the Original Dow 30 Stocks?
Adding and Subtracting Value
The Original Dow 30 Components
A Few Thoughts from Richard Russell
How to Succeed at Writing
Conversations on Banks
Tonight (Saturday) some 450 people will come together in San Diego to honor Richard Russell, who has been writing the Dow Theory Letter for over 50 years. In that spirit, in today's letter we are going to look deep inside the Dow, back to its very roots. The Dow is a price-weighted index as opposed to a cap-weighted index. Does that make a difference in performance? Specifically, does it affect how the Dow has performed since it was expanded to 30 names in 1928? There are some real surprises we have found, and I think you will find this letter very interesting.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 04, 2009
Stock Market Trends for April 2009- The Bear Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Analyzing monthly stock market trends uses the S&P 500 charts to indicate important trend lines. Trend following is a proven strategy to beat the market and grow your stock portfolio. Technical analysis provides the tools to analyze and identify trends in the stock market. Since the S&P 500 trend line chart is the one used by professional traders for their analysis, it is important to understand how it is performing.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, April 03, 2009
Why Retail Stock Market Investors are Starving Themselves to Death / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
Since the market bottomed and the new cyclical recovery bull market began, retail investors have gone on a collective buyer’s strike. Call it a “hunger strike” if you will. The retail crowd is effectively starving itself by missing out on some remarkable recoveries in recent weeks and will most likely continue to miss out on these opportunity until they simply can’t take it anymore. In other words, a classic repetition of the idealized market cycle is setting up perfectly.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, April 03, 2009
Stimulus Commitments and Stock Market Confusion / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Talk about mixed signals. Confusion reigns supreme. On Thursday the economy was recovering because factory orders went up for February, breaking a multi-month downtrend. However, today, there is no end in sight as the employment report was released and another 663,000 Americans have lost their jobs. There is another storyline there, but we'll save that for a different time. It would seem that commentators, economists, and policymakers alike are in a race to call the bottom. Fundamentals and economic analysis have all but disappeared under what is a seemingly never-ending wave of distortion caused by monetary creation.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, April 03, 2009
Financial Stocks Rally on FASB Vote / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks
Shares of financial companies gained a sense of relief Thursday following a much-anticipated decision by the Financial Accounting Standards Board designed to ease mark-to-market accounting guidelines. The Financial Select Sector SPDR ETF (NYSE: XLF) and the SPDR KBW Bank ETF (NYSE: KBE) rose 2.8% and 1.4%.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, April 03, 2009
G20 U.S. Dollar Fiat Currency Smoke and Mirrors Manipulation / Stock-Markets / Articles
Humpty-Dumpty Fiat Sat on the Wall….You Know the Rest! - We've heard much over the past number of days, weeks and months as to what lays at the root of our economic and financial woes. We've been made painfully aware of sensationalized storylines; like a Made-off-ian styled Ponzi -fraud, a real head-scratcher when you consider that 64 billion in proceeds is alleged to have vanished into the ether without a trace; Bear and Lehman styled collapses where, in the confusion, 50 odd billions were created out of thin air – only to be quickly buried like bones in ‘rover's clover'; and perhaps the most egregious of all, visibly, to date – the 180 billion and growing “black hole” of Darth Vader Ponzi-finance – AIG.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, April 03, 2009
Significant Upside Ahead for S&P 500 Short SH ETF? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Let's notice that yesterday and today the ProShares Single Leveraged Short SPY (NYSE: SH) hit the exact same low at 73.00 and has since rallied to 74.40/60, leaving behind a potential near-term Double Bottom. Given the glaring positive momentum divergences that have been developing since 3/23, the Double Bottom at 73.00 could very well represent the (so far) elusive near-term low ahead of a significant upside corrective period. As long as 73.00 remains viable, I will be looking for the SH to climb to fill the gap left behind on yesterday's open, between 75.0 and 7.600 next, possibly on the way to a test of the March-April down trendline, now at 77.00/10.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, April 03, 2009
Where Next for the Stock Market S&P 500 Index? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The dramatic run up that we have seen in the S&P 500 may be coming to an end. The retracement back over the 840 level should provide sufficient resistance to reverse this market to the downside.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, April 03, 2009
Another Strong Stock Market Session / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Wall Street had another strong session today, although they gave back a chunk of it in the last hour, but still closed with strong gains across the board with excellent technicals.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 02, 2009
What Does the Bottom of a Bear Market Look Like? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Today, we posted our second study on "How a Bear Market ends".The first was a study of what the Institutional Investors did relative to "Accumulation" and the end of the 2002-2003 Bear Market.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 02, 2009
Speculators Return to Stocks, Commodities and Resource Currencies / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
There are times when it pays to be a contrarian, to think outside-the-box, to bet against the conventional wisdom of the crowd, and ignore the chatter of the media. Usually at key turning points, and the beginning of important new market trends, the fundamentals do not explain the behavior of the market. It is at these critical junctures, where sudden shifts in price trends can occur, - big percentage gains or losses are registered.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 02, 2009
Financials Fail to Lead Stock Market Advance / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks
One very disconcerting sign today amidst all the euphoria is the lack of performance in the financials-- after the FASB caved into pressures to modify mark-to-market, and with the price structure of the Financial Select Sector SPDR (NYSE: XLF) pushing up against an important resistance/breakout plateau (9.60/80). Right now, the XLF appears to have failed miserably to "lead" the advance in the larger S&P to the upside.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 02, 2009
Don't Be Fooled by the Stock Market Rally, More Pain Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The G20 protestors have got it all wrong. They shouldn't be on the streets of London , carping about bankers. They should be barricading the German embassy, demanding a stimulus package from German Chancellor Angela Merkel. You see, it's all the exporters' fault, this economic crisis we're in. Irresponsible countries like Germany , Japan and China have selfishly forced their top-notch cars and their cheap clothes on the innocent Americans and British.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 02, 2009
Chile: Was Prepared for the Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
Martin Hutchinson writes: Chilean President Michelle Bachelet rebuked British Prime Minister Gordon Brown last weekend, saying the British economy would have more room for fiscal stimulus now if he had pursued responsible budget policies previously, as Chile has.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 02, 2009
Stock Market Random Walk Continues / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Equities take heart from marginally less awful than expected auto sales and Geithner's fighting talk of the economy gaining “traction” . G20 cheerleading helped as well, as a positive view on the prospects of easing mark-to-market rules and how this may impact financials Q1 results. Short-termist smoke and mirrors if you ask me. Today's London G20 summit is in danger of over-promising and under-delivering.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 02, 2009
Impressive Showing for Stock Market Bulls / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The indices closed with a strong gain, near the highs for the day, but the day started out very differently. The pre-opening & overnight futures were down sharply, the indices gapped down big, retested Monday's lows, made higher lows and then rallied sharply in the morning, and that carried right through to about noon. They did back off after the lunch hour, but came on again and made higher highs, had a very sharp pullback with about 45-50 minutes to go, but held the earlier reaction lows and came on again and closed sharply higher.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 01, 2009
The Soft Financial Panic of 2009 Has Just Begun / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Boston's Clarendon Street sits on one of city's most iconic buildings. It's also the symbol of what could kick off what I call the “Soft Panic of 2009.”
Locals know it simply as “The Hancock.” The 60-story frame wrapped in reflective blue glass makes it look like the tallest mirror in the world. I'm sure it was an impressive sight when it was built in the 70's. It still is.
Read full article... Read full article...